6250 Highway 133 · Woodlawn, AR
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,499 – $2,785
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 111°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 24.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.3/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Schools +3.2/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$79,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Great investment opportunity. Current owner has taken this brick home to the studs and added a new roof. Plans were to turn it in to a 3 bed 2 bath home. It sits on a large 1.01 acre lot and with a little investment would make a beautiful home place. Let’s go see it today!
Key facts
- Large 1.01 acre lot
- Brick home
- New roof
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $79k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $307 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $79k).
- Recommended offer: $70k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#116 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D-, amenities F, commute F.
- Cleveland County School District (rural): math 40% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #95 of 238 in AR (top 40%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 33 active listings in the ZIP.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $546 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Cleveland County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 288 days — a 12% lower offer ($70k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $46k; list at $79k implies a 72% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 288 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.33% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.96%
- Cash-on-cash
- 16.66%
- DSCR
- 1.74
- GRM
- 6.3
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 7.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.31×
- Total profit
- $6,761
- Equity at exit
- $11,779
- IRR
- 17.1%
- Equity multiple
- 2.41×
- Total profit
- $31,081
- Equity at exit
- $6,830
Cash invested: $22,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arkansas
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 71665
- Home prices YoY
- -28.3%
- Active inventory
- 33
- Price-to-rent
- 6.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,051 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$414
- Tax from tax record
- −$76 /mo · $907/yr
- Insurance
- −$33
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$221
- Net cashflow
- $307
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $352 | -5% $329 | +0% $307 | +5% $285 | +10% $262 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $224 | -5% $266 | +0% $307 | +5% $349 | +10% $390 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $347 | -0.5pp $327 | base $307 | +0.5pp $287 | +1.0pp $266 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $19,750
- Closing costs
- $2,370
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $79,000 Active 288 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $79,000 Active 287 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $79,000 Active 286 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $79,000 Active 285 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $79,000 Active 284 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $79,000 Active 282 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $79,000 Active 281 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $79,000 Active 278 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $79,000 Active 277 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $79,000 Active 276 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $79,000 Active 273 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $79,000 Active 272 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $79,000 Active 271 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $79,000 Active 270 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $79,000 Active 269 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $79,000 Active 268 DOM
-
2026-04-09status Back on Market 279-char remark
Show marketing remark (279 chars)
Great investment opportunity. Current owner has taken this brick home to the studs and added a new roof. Plans were to turn it in to a 3 bed 2 bath home. It sits on a large 1.01 acre lot and with a little investment would make a beautiful home place. Let’s go see it today!
-
2026-02-24historical 279-char remark
Show marketing remark (279 chars)
Great investment opportunity. Current owner has taken this brick home to the studs and added a new roof. Plans were to turn it in to a 3 bed 2 bath home. It sits on a large 1.01 acre lot and with a little investment would make a beautiful home place. Let’s go see it today!
-
2025-07-22$79,000 New Listing 279-char remark
Show marketing remark (279 chars)
Great investment opportunity. Current owner has taken this brick home to the studs and added a new roof. Plans were to turn it in to a 3 bed 2 bath home. It sits on a large 1.01 acre lot and with a little investment would make a beautiful home place. Let’s go see it today!
-
2022-07-22soldstatus $46,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AR · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $907 · $76/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $907 · $76/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 24% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,607
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,425
- − Property taxes
- −$907
- − Insurance
- −$395
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,009
- − Management
- −$1,009
- − Depreciation
- −$2,298
- Taxable income
- $2,564
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$615
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,070/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Cleveland County School District
- NCES district ID
- 0500067
- Math proficiency
- 40% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 36% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $37,028
- Composite
- 31.62/100
- National rank
- #5939
- State rank
- #95 of 238 in AR
Livability — Woodlawn
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #116
- US rank
- #11291
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 4,889
Population outlook (Cleveland County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 7,657 people
- By 2030
- 7,246 · -5.4%
- By 2040
- 6,391 · -16.5%
- By 2050
- 5,612 · -26.7%
- By 2075
- 4,230 · -44.8%
- By 2100
- 3,389 · -55.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (87%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 87% Black 9% Two or more races 4%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 0% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · Spanish 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Cleveland
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+67.6) · D 15.5% · R 83.1% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -23.6pp toward R · 2008: -43.9pp · 2024: -67.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+67.6 2020: R+61.6 2016: R+52.6 2012: R+45.0 2008: R+43.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -49.03%
- Current HPI
- 124.3335
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.80%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 1 | $681B |
|
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| Food / Agriculture | 1 | $53B |
|
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| Retail / Energy | 1 | $22B |
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $12B |
|
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| Energy | 1 | $4B |
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Price history
+71.7% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-09 Relisted — CARMLS
- 2026-02-24 Listing Removed — CARMLS
- 2025-07-22 Listed $79,000 CARMLS
- 2022-07-22 Sold (Public Records) $46,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+22.2%/yrLatest (2025): $907 · +23.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…