140 Elm St · Susquehanna Depot, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 92°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +7.5/10.0
- Schools +3.3/10.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$74,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Instead of paying rent, Take a look at this affordable home , 3 bedrooms, 1 bath in neighborhood setting with gravel driveway for off street parking. Large eat-in kitchen with main floor bedroom and laundry room. Some hardwood floors, 200 amp service, storage shed and nice side porch. Take a look and see if this home can work for you.
Key facts
- Large eat-in kitchen
- Laundry room
- Storage shed
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $74k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $361 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $74k).
- Recommended offer: $70k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 59/100 on livability (#1,549 in PA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing B; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
- Susquehanna Community SD (rural): math 30% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #364 of 539 in PA (top 68%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 45 active listings in the ZIP; 80 units permitted in Susquehanna County in 2024 (5 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $4k of equity ($512 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (5.0% local appreciation)).
- Susquehanna County population projected at -30% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (5.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 72 days — a 6% lower offer ($70k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 10y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $50k; 48% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 72 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.57% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.15%
- Cash-on-cash
- 20.91%
- DSCR
- 1.93
- GRM
- 5.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $95,989
- List price
- $74,000
- Delta
- -22.91%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
5.01% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 31.1%
- Equity multiple
- 2.94×
- Total profit
- $40,123
- Equity at exit
- $41,965
- IRR
- 29.7%
- Equity multiple
- 5.90×
- Total profit
- $101,506
- Equity at exit
- $72,451
Cash invested: $20,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 18847
- Home prices YoY
- 4.2%
- Active inventory
- 45
- Price-to-rent
- 5.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,165 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$388
- Tax from tax record
- −$140 /mo · $1,685/yr
- Insurance
- −$31
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$245
- Net cashflow
- $361
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $403 | -5% $382 | +0% $361 | +5% $340 | +10% $319 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $269 | -5% $315 | +0% $361 | +5% $407 | +10% $453 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $398 | -0.5pp $380 | base $361 | +0.5pp $342 | +1.0pp $322 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $18,500
- Closing costs
- $2,220
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $74,000 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $74,000 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $74,000 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $74,000 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $74,000 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $74,000 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $74,000 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-09pricedays on market $74,000 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $79,000 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $79,000 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $79,000 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $79,000 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $79,000 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $79,000 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $79,000 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-04-11$79,000 Active 336-char remark
Show marketing remark (336 chars)
Instead of paying rent, Take a look at this affordable home , 3 bedrooms, 1 bath in neighborhood setting with gravel driveway for off street parking. Large eat-in kitchen with main floor bedroom and laundry room. Some hardwood floors, 200 amp service, storage shed and nice side porch. Take a look and see if this home can work for you.
-
2021-02-18soldstatus $50,000
-
2016-12-02$39,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,685 · $140/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,685 · $140/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,979
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,145
- − Property taxes
- −$1,685
- − Insurance
- −$370
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,118
- − Management
- −$1,118
- − Depreciation
- −$2,153
- Taxable income
- $3,390
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$814
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,518/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Susquehanna Community SD
- NCES district ID
- 4222980
- Math proficiency
- 30% ▼ -17.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,980
- Composite
- 33.46/100
- National rank
- #5458
- State rank
- #364 of 539 in PA
Livability — Susquehanna Depot
- Score
- 59/100
- State rank
- #1549
- US rank
- #20398
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Susquehanna Depot, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 5,082
Population outlook (Susquehanna County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 37,552 people
- By 2030
- 35,270 · -6.1%
- By 2040
- 30,663 · -18.3%
- By 2050
- 26,492 · -29.5%
- By 2075
- 19,658 · -47.7%
- By 2100
- 15,179 · -59.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (97%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 97% Two or more races 2% Hispanic / Latino 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Lithuanian 2% Iranian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1%
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Susquehanna
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+44.7) · D 27.2% · R 71.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -33.0pp toward R · 2008: -11.7pp · 2024: -44.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+44.7 2020: R+41.2 2016: R+42.9 2012: R+21.4 2008: R+11.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 5.01%
- Current HPI
- 124.2656
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
+98.0% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-11 Listed $79,000 GSBR as distributed by MLS GRID
- 2021-02-18 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records
- 2016-12-02 Listed $39,900 GSBR as distributed by MLS GRID
Property tax history
+1.7%/yrLatest (2026): $1,685 · +4.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…