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140 Elm St
A- Composite 83.8
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +7.5/10.0
  • Schools +3.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$74,000

140 Elm St · Susquehanna Depot, PA 18847
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,080 sqft · Other · 72 Days on market
Built 1900 6,534 sqft lot $69/sqft · 23% below area Est $96k · 23% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Instead of paying rent, Take a look at this affordable home , 3 bedrooms, 1 bath in neighborhood setting with gravel driveway for off street parking. Large eat-in kitchen with main floor bedroom and laundry room. Some hardwood floors, 200 amp service, storage shed and nice side porch. Take a look and see if this home can work for you.

Key facts

  • Large eat-in kitchen
  • Laundry room
  • Storage shed

Tags

GRAVEL DRIVEWAYLARGE EAT-IN KITCHENMAIN FLOOR BEDROOMLAUNDRY ROOMSTORAGE SHEDSIDE PORCH

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $74k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $361 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $74k).
  • Recommended offer: $70k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 59/100 on livability (#1,549 in PA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing B; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Susquehanna Community SD (rural): math 30% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #364 of 539 in PA (top 68%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 45 active listings in the ZIP; 80 units permitted in Susquehanna County in 2024 (5 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $4k of equity ($512 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (5.0% local appreciation)).
  • Susquehanna County population projected at -30% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (5.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 72 days — a 6% lower offer ($70k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 10y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $50k; 48% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $69,560 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 72 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.57%
Cap rate
12.15%
Cash-on-cash
20.91%
DSCR
1.93
GRM
5.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$95,989
List price
$74,000
Delta
-22.91%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

5.01% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
31.1%
Equity multiple
2.94×
Total profit
$40,123
Equity at exit
$41,965
10-year hold
IRR
29.7%
Equity multiple
5.90×
Total profit
$101,506
Equity at exit
$72,451

Cash invested: $20,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 18847

Home prices YoY
4.2%
Active inventory
45
Price-to-rent
5.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,165 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$388
Tax from tax record
$140 /mo · $1,685/yr
Insurance
$31
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$245
Net cashflow
$361

Break-even live

Break-even rent $708
Max offer price $74,000
Occupancy floor 64%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $403 -5% $382 +0% $361 +5% $340 +10% $319
Rent -10% $269 -5% $315 +0% $361 +5% $407 +10% $453
Rate -1.0pp $398 -0.5pp $380 base $361 +0.5pp $342 +1.0pp $322

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$18,500
Closing costs
$2,220
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $74,000 Active 72 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $74,000 Active 70 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $74,000 Active 69 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $74,000 Active 68 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $74,000 Active 67 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $74,000 Active 65 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $74,000 Active 64 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    pricedays on market $74,000 Active 61 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $79,000 Active 60 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $79,000 Active 59 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $79,000 Active 58 DOM
  12. 2026-06-04
    days on market $79,000 Active 55 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $79,000 Active 54 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $79,000 Active 53 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $79,000 Active 52 DOM
  16. 2026-04-11
    listed $79,000 Active 336-char remark
    Show marketing remark (336 chars)

    Instead of paying rent, Take a look at this affordable home , 3 bedrooms, 1 bath in neighborhood setting with gravel driveway for off street parking. Large eat-in kitchen with main floor bedroom and laundry room. Some hardwood floors, 200 amp service, storage shed and nice side porch. Take a look and see if this home can work for you.

  17. 2021-02-18
    soldstatus $50,000
  18. 2016-12-02
    listed $39,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,685 · $140/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,685 · $140/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,979
− Mortgage interest
−$4,145
− Property taxes
−$1,685
− Insurance
−$370
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,118
− Management
−$1,118
− Depreciation
−$2,153
Taxable income
$3,390
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$814
After-tax cash flow
$3,518/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Susquehanna Community SD
NCES district ID
4222980
Math proficiency
30% ▼ -17.00%
Reading proficiency
50% ▼ -10.00%
Median HH income
$39,980
Composite
33.46/100
National rank
#5458
State rank
#364 of 539 in PA

Livability — Susquehanna Depot

Score
59/100
State rank
#1549
US rank
#20398

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment F Housing B Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Susquehanna Depot, PA
Population (ZIP)
5,082

Population outlook (Susquehanna County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
37,552 people
By 2030
35,270 · -6.1%
By 2040
30,663 · -18.3%
By 2050
26,492 · -29.5%
By 2075
19,658 · -47.7%
By 2100
15,179 · -59.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (97%)
Race & ethnicity
White 97% Two or more races 2% Hispanic / Latino 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 5% Lithuanian 2% Iranian 2%
Foreign-born
1%
Languages at home
97% English-only · German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Susquehanna

2024 margin
Solid R (+44.7) · D 27.2% · R 71.9%
2008→2024 swing
-33.0pp toward R · 2008: -11.7pp · 2024: -44.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+44.7 2020: R+41.2 2016: R+42.9 2012: R+21.4 2008: R+11.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 5.01%
Current HPI
124.2656
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+98.0% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-11 Listed $79,000 GSBR as distributed by MLS GRID
  • 2021-02-18 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records
  • 2016-12-02 Listed $39,900 GSBR as distributed by MLS GRID

Property tax history

+1.7%/yr

Latest (2026): $1,685 · +4.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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