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11 Woodlawn Ave
A- Composite 80.72
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +9.1/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +5.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$79,000

11 Woodlawn Ave · Owego, NY 13827
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 988 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 17 Days on market
Built 1961 8,712 sqft lot Est $79k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Bring your vision and creativity to restore this home to its full potential! Located in the Village of Owego, this property offers convenient access to local shops, dining, and everyday amenities, along with easy highway access for commuting. Positioned just 20 minutes from Binghamton and 30 minutes from Elmira, it’s ideally situated for travel in either direction. A great opportunity for investors or buyers looking to add value—schedule your showing today and imagine the possibilities! Highest & Best Hold Period active - expires 04/14/2026 2:00pm.

Key facts

  • Easy highway access
  • 8,712 sq ft lot
  • Built 1961

Tags

EASY HIGHWAY ACCESS20 MINUTES FROM BINGHAMTON30 MINUTES FROM ELMIRA

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable available
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One story
  • Construction: Cedar exterior
  • Exterior features: Covered deck; Level lot

Interior

  • Flooring: Hardwood; Tile; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom; One half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating
  • Interior features: Gas water heater; Hardwood, tile and vinyl flooring; 8 total rooms

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
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What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $79k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $481 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $79k).
  • Recommended offer: $78k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 13.6% vs local median 5.3% in Owego — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#214 in NY, #3,289 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D+, commute F.
  • Owego-Apalachin Central School District (town): math 62% / reading 62% proficiency, ranked #204 of 590 in NY (top 35%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Owego Elementary School (math 72% / reading 67%, grade A-, #447 of 2,108 statewide, top 24%, 486 students, 53% FRL) — zoned schools average 53% FRL vs 35% district-wide (18 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 65 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 139 units permitted in Tioga County in 2024 (65 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $7k of equity ($546 loan paydown + $6k appreciation (8.1% local appreciation)).
  • Tioga County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (8.1% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 17 days — a 2% lower offer ($78k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $55k; 44% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Recommended offer $77,815 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1961 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.65%
Cap rate
13.60%
Cash-on-cash
26.10%
DSCR
2.16
GRM
5.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$79,040
Comps found
3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
11 Woodlawn Ave 0.00mi 3/1.5 988 (0%) 1mo $79,000 $80 99
32 John Street St 0.74mi 2/1.0 (-1) 952 (-4%) 2mo $52,500 $55 51
108 Montrose Tpke 0.33mi 3/1.5 1,127 (+14%) 12mo $151,000 $134 51

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

8.11% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
40.9%
Equity multiple
3.88×
Total profit
$63,747
Equity at exit
$60,599
10-year hold
IRR
36.5%
Equity multiple
8.34×
Total profit
$162,256
Equity at exit
$120,847

Cash invested: $22,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 13827

Home prices YoY
3.2%
Active inventory
65
Price-to-rent
5.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,300 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$414
Tax est. 1.5%
$99 /mo · $1,185/yr
Insurance
$33
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$273
Net cashflow
$481

Break-even live

Break-even rent $691
Max offer price $79,000
Occupancy floor 58%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $536 -5% $508 +0% $481 +5% $454 +10% $426
Rent -10% $378 -5% $430 +0% $481 +5% $532 +10% $584
Rate -1.0pp $521 -0.5pp $501 base $481 +0.5pp $461 +1.0pp $440

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$19,750
Closing costs
$2,370
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
81 North Ave Unit 2 Owego, NY 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,300 $1.30 44d 1 0.56mi

Listing history 5 events

  1. 2026-04-27
    status Pending
  2. 2026-04-10
    listed $79,000 Active
  3. 2025-03-16
    listed $80,000 Active
  4. 2002-04-05
    soldstatus $54,700
  5. 1999-11-12
    soldstatus $33,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥94°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,600
− Mortgage interest
−$4,425
− Property taxes
−$1,185
− Insurance
−$395
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,248
− Management
−$1,248
− Depreciation
−$2,298
Taxable income
$4,801
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,152
After-tax cash flow
$4,620/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Owego-Apalachin Central School District
NCES district ID
3622170
Math proficiency
62% ▼ -1.00%
Reading proficiency
62% ▲ 6.00%
Median HH income
$57,425
Composite
53.45/100
National rank
#1464
State rank
#204 of 590 in NY

Livability — Owego

Score
76/100
State rank
#214
US rank
#3289

Category grades

Amenities C Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B+ Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Owego, NY
Population (ZIP)
11,713

Population outlook (Tioga County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
45,155 people
By 2030
42,801 · -5.2%
By 2040
37,960 · -15.9%
By 2050
33,071 · -26.8%
By 2075
24,144 · -46.5%
By 2100
16,545 · -63.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (93%)
Race & ethnicity
White 93% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 2% Asian 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 5% Lithuanian 3% Iranian 2%
Foreign-born
2% · China
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 1% Chinese 1% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Tioga

2024 margin
Strong R (+22.9) · D 38.6% · R 61.4%
2008→2024 swing
-12.7pp toward R · 2008: -10.2pp · 2024: -22.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+22.9 2020: R+20.6 2016: R+27.6 2012: R+15.1 2008: R+10.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 8.11%
Current HPI
259.9605
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+139.4% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-27 Pending GBAOR
  • 2026-04-10 Listed $79,000 GBAOR
  • 2025-03-16 Listed $80,000 GBAOR
  • 2002-04-05 Sold (Public Records) $54,700 Public Records
  • 1999-11-12 Sold (Public Records) $33,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+9.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $4,091 · +71.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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