140 Spencer Hill Ct · Macon-Bibb County, GA
Flood risk 8/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 72.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +29.3/30.0
- ARV discount +12.3/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +7.5/10.0
- Rent growth +3.8/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$99,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Great Income Producing Property! Terrific Location! All brick with long term tenant paying $780 a month. Central Heat & Air! Don't miss this wonderful opportunity! This is an 'as is' sale.
Key facts
- Hardwood flooring
- Separate dining room
- All brick ranch home
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Lot size about 0.44 acre; Located in the Westhaven subdivision, Macon, GA
- HOA & community: No HOA
Exterior
- Parking: Off-street parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable available; Electricity available; High-speed internet available; Natural gas available
- Home design: Single-family house; Residential property; Built in 1960; Fixer condition
- Construction: Brick construction; Composition roof; Built in 1960
- Exterior features: Cul-de-sac lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms on the main level
- Flooring: Hardwood flooring; Laminate flooring
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms on the main level
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: One-level living; Unfinished basement; Fireplace (1); Other interior features
- Laundry & utility: Mud room / laundry area
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $99k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $280 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $99k).
- Cap rate 10.5% vs local median 5.4% in Macon-Bibb County — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Bibb County (urban): math 11% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #161 of 174 in GA (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Veterans Elementary School (math 3% / reading 9%, grade F, #1,154 of 1,228 statewide, top 94%, 697 students, 100% FRL); Southwest High School (math 2% / reading 17%, grade F, #365 of 424 statewide, top 88%, 800 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 75% district-wide (25 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.0%/yr); 207 active listings in the ZIP; 24 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 58% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 154 units permitted in Bibb County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,237/mo this rent would consume 49% of the median local household income ($30k/yr) (locally 1335% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $684 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Bibb County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 9 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; major wind risk, 72% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.25% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.50%
- Cash-on-cash
- 15.02%
- DSCR
- 1.67
- GRM
- 6.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $110,690
- List price
- $99,000
- Delta
- -10.56%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3471 Bloomfield Dr | 0.14mi | 3/2.0 | 1,351 (-0%) | 4mo | $74,000 | $55 | 88 |
| 2489 Locksley Dr | 0.42mi | 3/2.0 | 1,381 (+2%) | 4mo | $169,900 | $123 | 72 |
| 3936 Nisbet Rd | 0.48mi | 3/1.5 | 1,357 (+0%) | 15mo | $75,000 | $55 | 65 |
| 2545 Greenwood Ter | 0.36mi | 3/2.0 | 1,212 (-11%) | 3mo | $125,000 | $103 | 61 |
| 2715 Barrett Ave | 0.66mi | 3/2.0 | 1,322 (-2%) | 8mo | $6,200 | $5 | 56 |
| 2366 Lancelot Pl | 0.54mi | 3/2.0 | 1,409 (+4%) | 13mo | $134,000 | $95 | 56 |
| 2765 Alden St | 0.75mi | 3/2.0 | 1,392 (+3%) | 6mo | $38,000 | $27 | 54 |
| 728 Royal Oaks Dr | 0.51mi | 3/2.0 | 1,473 (+9%) | 11mo | $190,000 | $129 | 50 |
| 246 Beaumont Hts | 0.60mi | 3/2.0 | 1,536 (+13%) | 0mo | $135,000 | $88 | 48 |
| 3797 Brownley Dr | 0.52mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,212 (-11%) | 4mo | $85,000 | $70 | 48 |
| 2940 Springmeadow Dr | 0.71mi | 3/2.0 | 1,504 (+11%) | 10mo | $150,000 | $100 | 38 |
| 3860 Lindwood Dr | 0.74mi | 3/1.0 | 1,200 (-12%) | 9mo | $50,000 | $42 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.03% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 4.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.16×
- Total profit
- $4,426
- Equity at exit
- $14,761
- IRR
- 15.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.37×
- Total profit
- $37,989
- Equity at exit
- $8,560
Cash invested: $27,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 31206
- Rents YoY
- 5.0%
- Active inventory
- 207
- Price-to-rent
- 6.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,237 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$519
- Tax from tax record
- −$70 /mo · $836/yr
- Insurance
- −$41
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$260
- Net cashflow
- $280
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $337 | -5% $309 | +0% $280 | +5% $252 | +10% $224 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $183 | -5% $232 | +0% $280 | +5% $329 | +10% $378 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $330 | -0.5pp $306 | base $280 | +0.5pp $255 | +1.0pp $229 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $24,750
- Closing costs
- $2,970
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 24 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4995 Bloomfield Rd Macon, GA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 900 | $997 | $1.11 | 22d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 5487 Bloomfield Rd Macon, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1050 | $1,200 | $1.14 | 22d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 3257 Ohara Dr S Macon, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1352 | $1,125 | $0.83 | 22d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 2427 Vivian Dr Macon, GA | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1056 | $1,150 | $1.09 | 44d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 5161 Nisbet Dr Macon, GA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1040 | $975 | $0.94 | 44d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 2418 Adger Rd Macon, GA | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1365 | $1,500 | $1.10 | 44d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 4300 Essex Rd Macon, GA | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1246 | $1,450 | $1.16 | 22d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 4278 Vinson Ave Macon, GA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1104 | $1,550 | $1.40 | 22d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 2477 Thrasher Ave Macon, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 960 | $825 | $0.86 | 14d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 2423 Thrasher Ave Macon, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1056 | $725 | $0.69 | 44d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 1000 Crystal Lake Cir Macon, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1312 | $1,063 | $0.81 | 44d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 5708 Edwina Dr Macon, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 925 | $1,275 | $1.38 | 44d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 3733 Lindsey Dr Macon, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1645 | $1,350 | $0.82 | 14d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 5771 Satterfield Dr Macon, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 888 | $1,250 | $1.41 | 44d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 4386 Thrasher Cir Macon, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1120 | $1,400 | $1.25 | 44d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 4406 Chambers Rd Apt E16 Macon, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 925 | $899 | $0.97 | 22d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 4406 Chambers Rd Unit B-06 Macon, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 925 | $899 | $0.97 | 44d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 4471 Elkan Ave Macon, GA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1128 | $1,495 | $1.33 | 44d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 2665 Chatsworth Ct Macon, GA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1056 | $1,175 | $1.11 | 44d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 2961 Deeb Dr Macon, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,000 | $1.00 | 44d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 4455 Fairfax Dr Macon, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1352 | $1,225 | $0.91 | 44d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 2916 Walmar Dr Macon, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $1,275 | $0.98 | 44d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 5962 Bloomfield Rd Macon, GA | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1159 | $1,300 | $1.12 | 14d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 4685 Pinedale Dr Macon, GA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1404 | $1,450 | $1.03 | 14d | 1 | 1.43mi |
Listing history 28 events
-
2026-05-12$99,000 New 1042-char remark
-
2026-04-30historical $1,190
-
2026-04-03price $1,190
-
2026-04-02price $129,900
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2026-03-04price $1,250
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2026-03-03price $139,900
-
2026-01-26$1,350
-
2025-11-19price $144,500
-
2024-12-06historical $1,000
-
2024-09-26price $1,000
-
2024-09-17$1,100
-
2024-09-17historical $1,100
-
2024-08-29$1,100
-
2024-08-29historical $1,100
-
2024-06-27$1,100
-
2024-06-27historical $1,100
-
2024-06-19$1,100
-
2022-06-17soldstatus $90,000
-
2021-11-10soldstatus $63,500 Sold
Show marketing remark (197 chars)
Great Income Producing Property! Terrific Location! All brick with long term tenant paying $780 a month. Central Heat & Air! Don't miss this wonderful opportunity! This is an 'as is' sale.
-
2021-11-10soldstatus $63,500
Show marketing remark (197 chars)
Great Income Producing Property! Terrific Location! All brick with long term tenant paying $780 a month. Central Heat & Air! Don't miss this wonderful opportunity! This is an 'as is' sale.
-
2021-11-10soldstatus $63,500
Show marketing remark (197 chars)
Great Income Producing Property! Terrific Location! All brick with long term tenant paying $780 a month. Central Heat & Air! Don't miss this wonderful opportunity! This is an 'as is' sale.
-
2021-11-03status Under Contract
-
2021-10-23status Active
-
2021-10-20historical
-
2021-10-15status Under Contract
-
2021-09-08$74,000 New
Show marketing remark (197 chars)
Great Income Producing Property! Terrific Location! All brick with long term tenant paying $780 a month. Central Heat & Air! Don't miss this wonderful opportunity! This is an 'as is' sale.
-
2021-09-08$74,000
Show marketing remark (197 chars)
Great Income Producing Property! Terrific Location! All brick with long term tenant paying $780 a month. Central Heat & Air! Don't miss this wonderful opportunity! This is an 'as is' sale.
-
2006-12-11soldstatus $95,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $836 · $70/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $911 · $76/mo
- Expected delta
- +$75/yr (+$6/mo · 9.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 72% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,841
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,546
- − Property taxes
- −$836
- − Insurance
- −$1,292
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,187
- − Management
- −$1,187
- − Depreciation
- −$2,880
- Taxable income
- $1,913
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$459
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,907/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Bibb County
- NCES district ID
- 1300420
- Math proficiency
- 11% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 18% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $37,426
- Composite
- 12.13/100
- National rank
- #9654
- State rank
- #161 of 174 in GA
Livability — Macon-Bibb County
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Macon-Bibb County, GA
- County
- Bibb County · 164,332 people
- City population
- 143,186
- Metro
- Macon-Bibb County, GA
- Population (ZIP)
- 24,310
- Household income
- $30,042
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1335.0
Population outlook (Bibb County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 148,772 people
- By 2030
- 145,904 · -1.9%
- By 2040
- 139,404 · -6.3%
- By 2050
- 131,603 · -11.5%
- By 2075
- 111,050 · -25.4%
- By 2100
- 83,346 · -44.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (76%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 76% White 12% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 8%
Political lean MEDSL · Bibb
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+22.4) · D 61.0% · R 38.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +4.4pp toward D · 2008: 18.0pp · 2024: 22.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+22.4 2020: D+23.8 2016: D+20.2 2012: D+20.0 2008: D+18.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -80.17%
- Current HPI
- 148.6765
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.03%
- Metro
- Macon-Bibb County, GA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $160B |
|
||
| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
||
| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
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Price history
+4.2% since first listed29 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-19 Pending — GAMLS
- 2026-05-12 Listed $99,000 GAMLS
- 2026-04-30 Rental Removed $1,190 CGMLS
- 2026-04-03 Price Changed $1,190 CGMLS
- 2026-04-02 Price Changed $129,900 CGMLS
- 2026-03-04 Price Changed $1,250 CGMLS
- 2026-03-03 Price Changed $139,900 CGMLS
- 2026-01-26 Listed for Rent $1,350 CGMLS
- 2025-11-19 Price Changed $144,500 CGMLS
- 2024-12-06 Rental Removed $1,000 RENTLY
- 2024-09-26 Price Changed $1,000 RENTLY
- 2024-09-17 Listed for Rent $1,100 RENTLY
- 2024-09-17 Rental Removed $1,100 BUILDIUM
- 2024-08-29 Listed for Rent $1,100 BUILDIUM
- 2024-08-29 Rental Removed $1,100 RENTLY
- 2024-06-27 Listed for Rent $1,100 RENTLY
- 2024-06-27 Rental Removed $1,100 BUILDIUM
- 2024-06-19 Listed for Rent $1,100 BUILDIUM
- 2022-06-17 Sold (Public Records) $90,000 Public Records
- 2021-11-10 Sold (Public Records) $63,500 Public Records
- 2021-11-10 Sold (MLS) $63,500 GAMLS
- 2021-11-10 Sold (MLS) $63,500 MGMLS
- 2021-11-03 Pending — GAMLS
- 2021-10-23 Relisted — GAMLS
- 2021-10-20 Listing Removed — GAMLS
- 2021-10-15 Pending — GAMLS
- 2021-09-08 Listed $74,000 GAMLS
- 2021-09-08 Listed $74,000 MGMLS
- 2006-12-11 Sold (Public Records) $95,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+7.6%/yrLatest (2025): $836 · -1.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…