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1402 22nd St NE #501
D+ Composite 48.44
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +20.1/30.0
  • DSCR +6.4/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.3/10.0
  • Schools +4.7/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.1/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +2.3/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$212,000

1402 22nd St NE #501 · Auburn, WA 98003
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,000 sqft · Manufactured · 32 Days on market
Built 1987 Est $190k · 12% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

The best home available in the exclusive 55+ Rio Verde Community! This immaculate 3Bed/2Bath home features a spacious 2,000SF ft floor plan, offering comfort and style at every turn. Huge Primary Bedroom with walk-In closet & 5 Piece Bathroom. Oversized 2-car Garage is a versatile space w/ a workshop, cabinets, lots of storage & can even accommodate up to 4 cars. Third Bedroom, office, flex space in the detached Casita! The private, fully-fenced lot is beautifully landscaped complete with a tranquil fountain, koi pond, fountain, flagstone patio & 2 driveways. Easy access to conveniences, restaurants, transit, freeways. Air conditioned. Plenty of off-street parking with 2 d

Key facts

  • Garage
  • Built 1987
  • Listed 32 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Senior community; Bus line nearby
  • Financial info: Listing terms: Cash or Conventional
  • HOA & community: Located in Rio Verde manufactured home park (park approved for sale); Park amenities include BBQs, clubhouse, common areas, playground, RV parking, security gate and sidewalks; 287 homes in the park; Land lease: $1,340

Exterior

  • Parking: Individual garage (garage included)
  • Security: Security gate
  • Utilities: Electric power (PSE); Community water (water company included); Community sewer (sewer included); Cable: Xfinity; Internet: Xfinity; Electric water heater
  • Home design: Manufactured double-wide home; One level; Entry with dining room, family room, living room and extra finished room; Facing west; Good condition; Make: BDKHM, Model: 28/60; Mobile home remains on site
  • Construction: Wood construction; Composition roof; Wood skirt; Tie-down foundation
  • Exterior features: Wood exterior/wood products; Awnings; Landscaped; Patio/porch/deck; Curbs, paved streets and sidewalks; Has view

Interior

  • Kitchen: Refrigerator; Microwave; Stove/Range; Garbage disposal
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Laminate; Carpet
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; Each bathroom includes a bathtub and a shower (2 bathtubs, 2 showers total)
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Heat pump cooling
  • Interior features: Fireplace (pellet stove); Water heater (electric, located in closet); Skylights; Vaulted ceilings; Drapes; Ceiling fan(s); Walk-in closet; Jetted/soaking tub; Patio/porch/deck (covered by manufactured home features)
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Utility room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $212k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $265 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $212k).
  • Recommended offer: $206k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 7.8% vs local median 2.7% in Auburn — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 81/100 on livability (#75 in WA, #1,371 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
  • Auburn School District (urban): math 47% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #125 of 291 in WA (top 43%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Dick Scobee Elementary School (825 students, 84% FRL); Auburn Mountainview High School (1,581 students, 63% FRL) — zoned schools average 73% FRL vs 44% district-wide (29 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.3%/yr); 233 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 10,555 units permitted in King County in 2024 (7,119 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($75k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • King County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 32 days — a 3% lower offer ($206k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 16y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $205,640 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 32 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.03%
Cap rate
7.79%
Cash-on-cash
5.36%
DSCR
1.24
GRM
8.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$190,000
Comps found
11
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1402 22nd St NE #126 0.02mi 2/2.0 2,040 (+2%) 8mo $178,570 $88 89
1402 22nd St NE #454 0.00mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,880 (-6%) 1mo $210,000 $112 84
1402 22nd St NE #440 0.00mi 2/2.0 1,866 (-7%) 11mo $205,000 $110 80
1402 22nd St NE #301 0.00mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,874 (-6%) 14mo $189,000 $101 73
1402 22nd St NE #531 0.38mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,848 (-8%) 6mo $122,500 $66 59
1402 22nd St NE #86 0.37mi 2/2.0 1,780 (-11%) 6mo $110,000 $62 59
1402 22nd St NE #558 0.40mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,848 (-8%) 9mo $240,500 $130 56
1402 22nd St NE #536 0.37mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,848 (-8%) 15mo $175,000 $95 52
1402 22nd St NE #456 0.38mi 2/2.0 2,232 (+12%) 21mo $170,000 $76 45
1402 22nd St NE #438 0.38mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,716 (-14%) 11mo $240,000 $140 44
1402 22nd St NE #247 0.37mi 2/2.0 1,756 (-12%) 23mo $100,000 $57 43

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.33% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-8.7%
Equity multiple
0.68×
Total profit
$-18,907
Equity at exit
$31,610
10-year hold
IRR
-0.1%
Equity multiple
0.99×
Total profit
$-531
Equity at exit
$18,330

Cash invested: $59,360 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
28 Tenant-Leaning
State Washington
28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Just-cause statewide (2021); Seattle layers rent control restrictions + relocation assistance; very tenant-friendly.

ZIP-level market 98003

Rents YoY
2.3%
Active inventory
233
Price-to-rent
8.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,190 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,112
Tax est. 1.5%
$265 /mo · $3,180/yr
Insurance
$88
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$460
Net cashflow
$265

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,855
Max offer price $212,000
Occupancy floor 83%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $412 -5% $338 +0% $265 +5% $192 +10% $119
Rent -10% $92 -5% $179 +0% $265 +5% $352 +10% $438
Rate -1.0pp $372 -0.5pp $319 base $265 +0.5pp $210 +1.0pp $154

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$53,000
Closing costs
$6,360
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2317 I St NE Unit 2319 Auburn, WA 3.0 2.0 1400 $2,275 $1.62 25d 1 0.41mi

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-03
    statusdays on market $212,000 Pending 32 DOM
  2. 2026-06-02
    days on market $212,000 Active 31 DOM
  3. 2026-06-01
    days on market $212,000 Active 30 DOM
  4. 2026-05-31
    days on market $212,000 Active 29 DOM
  5. 2026-05-20
    price $212,000
  6. 2026-05-07
    status Active
  7. 2026-04-20
    status Pending
  8. 2026-04-14
    listed $215,000 Active
  9. 2024-02-16
    soldstatus $215,550 Closed
  10. 2024-02-08
    status Pending
  11. 2024-01-19
    listed $209,950 Active
  12. 2018-07-26
    soldstatus $167,500 Sold
  13. 2018-07-03
    status Pending
  14. 2018-06-24
    status Pending Inspection
  15. 2018-06-15
    listed $180,000 Active
  16. 2010-11-03
    historical
  17. 2010-11-02
    status Pending
  18. 2010-11-01
    soldstatus $60,000 Sold
  19. 2010-10-20
    price $70,000
  20. 2010-06-18
    listed $76,500 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 27% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥87°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 7/10 Severe 10 unhealthy d/yr today · 11 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$26,280
− Mortgage interest
−$11,875
− Property taxes
−$3,180
− Insurance
−$1,060
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,102
− Management
−$2,102
− Depreciation
−$6,167
Taxable loss
−$207
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$50
After-tax cash flow
$3,230/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Auburn School District
NCES district ID
5300300
Math proficiency
47% ▼ -3.00%
Reading proficiency
56% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$58,048
Composite
46.73/100
National rank
#5240
State rank
#125 of 291 in WA

Livability — Auburn

Score
81/100
State rank
#75
US rank
#1371

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime F Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings C

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Auburn, WA
County
King County · 2,251,916 people
City population
74,969
Metro
Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA
Population (ZIP)
51,619
Household income
$75,319
Rent vs Own
53.1% rent · 46.9% own
Severe rent burden
2895.0

Population outlook (King County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,576,485 people
By 2030
2,803,316 · +8.8%
By 2040
3,255,921 · +26.4%
By 2050
3,706,444 · +43.9%
By 2075
4,746,063 · +84.2%
By 2100
5,407,730 · +109.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.79)
Race & ethnicity
White 32% Hispanic / Latino 23% Black 19% Two or more races 16% Asian 13% Pacific Islander 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 18%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 3% Lithuanian 2% Swedish 2%
Foreign-born
32% · Canada, South Korea, Vietnam
Languages at home
57% English-only · Spanish 18% Other Indo-European 3% Russian/Polish/Slavic 3%

Political lean MEDSL · King

2024 margin
Solid D (+51.7) · D 74.2% · R 22.5% · Other 3.4%
2008→2024 swing
+9.6pp toward D · 2008: 42.1pp · 2024: 51.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+51.7 2020: D+52.7 2016: D+50.4 2012: D+39.9 2008: D+42.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -623.87%
Current HPI
327.5371
Rent YoY
▲ 2.33%
Metro
Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.65%
F500 in state
22

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+177.1% since first listed
16 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-20 Price Changed $212,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-07 Relisted NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-20 Pending NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-14 Listed $215,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-02-16 Sold (MLS) $215,550 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-02-08 Pending NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-01-19 Listed $209,950 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2018-07-26 Sold (MLS) $167,500 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2018-07-03 Pending NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2018-06-24 Pending NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2018-06-15 Listed $180,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2010-11-03 Delisted NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2010-11-02 Pending NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2010-11-01 Sold (MLS) $60,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2010-10-20 Price Changed $70,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2010-06-18 Listed $76,500 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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