1402 22nd St NE #501 · Auburn, WA
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.27%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $604 – $1,122
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 87°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 7/10 · Major
- Unhealthy air days now
- 10 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 11 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +20.1/30.0
- DSCR +6.4/10.0
- 1% rule +5.3/10.0
- Schools +4.7/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +3.1/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +2.3/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$212,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
The best home available in the exclusive 55+ Rio Verde Community! This immaculate 3Bed/2Bath home features a spacious 2,000SF ft floor plan, offering comfort and style at every turn. Huge Primary Bedroom with walk-In closet & 5 Piece Bathroom. Oversized 2-car Garage is a versatile space w/ a workshop, cabinets, lots of storage & can even accommodate up to 4 cars. Third Bedroom, office, flex space in the detached Casita! The private, fully-fenced lot is beautifully landscaped complete with a tranquil fountain, koi pond, fountain, flagstone patio & 2 driveways. Easy access to conveniences, restaurants, transit, freeways. Air conditioned. Plenty of off-street parking with 2 d
Key facts
- Garage
- Built 1987
- Listed 32 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Senior community; Bus line nearby
- Financial info: Listing terms: Cash or Conventional
- HOA & community: Located in Rio Verde manufactured home park (park approved for sale); Park amenities include BBQs, clubhouse, common areas, playground, RV parking, security gate and sidewalks; 287 homes in the park; Land lease: $1,340
Exterior
- Parking: Individual garage (garage included)
- Security: Security gate
- Utilities: Electric power (PSE); Community water (water company included); Community sewer (sewer included); Cable: Xfinity; Internet: Xfinity; Electric water heater
- Home design: Manufactured double-wide home; One level; Entry with dining room, family room, living room and extra finished room; Facing west; Good condition; Make: BDKHM, Model: 28/60; Mobile home remains on site
- Construction: Wood construction; Composition roof; Wood skirt; Tie-down foundation
- Exterior features: Wood exterior/wood products; Awnings; Landscaped; Patio/porch/deck; Curbs, paved streets and sidewalks; Has view
Interior
- Kitchen: Refrigerator; Microwave; Stove/Range; Garbage disposal
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
- Flooring: Laminate; Carpet
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; Each bathroom includes a bathtub and a shower (2 bathtubs, 2 showers total)
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Heat pump cooling
- Interior features: Fireplace (pellet stove); Water heater (electric, located in closet); Skylights; Vaulted ceilings; Drapes; Ceiling fan(s); Walk-in closet; Jetted/soaking tub; Patio/porch/deck (covered by manufactured home features)
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Utility room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $212k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $265 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $212k).
- Recommended offer: $206k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.8% vs local median 2.7% in Auburn — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#75 in WA, #1,371 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
- Auburn School District (urban): math 47% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #125 of 291 in WA (top 43%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Dick Scobee Elementary School (825 students, 84% FRL); Auburn Mountainview High School (1,581 students, 63% FRL) — zoned schools average 73% FRL vs 44% district-wide (29 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.3%/yr); 233 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 10,555 units permitted in King County in 2024 (7,119 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($75k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- King County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 32 days — a 3% lower offer ($206k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 16y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 32 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.03% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.79%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.36%
- DSCR
- 1.24
- GRM
- 8.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $190,000
- Comps found
- 11
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1402 22nd St NE #126 | 0.02mi | 2/2.0 | 2,040 (+2%) | 8mo | $178,570 | $88 | 89 |
| 1402 22nd St NE #454 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,880 (-6%) | 1mo | $210,000 | $112 | 84 |
| 1402 22nd St NE #440 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 1,866 (-7%) | 11mo | $205,000 | $110 | 80 |
| 1402 22nd St NE #301 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,874 (-6%) | 14mo | $189,000 | $101 | 73 |
| 1402 22nd St NE #531 | 0.38mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,848 (-8%) | 6mo | $122,500 | $66 | 59 |
| 1402 22nd St NE #86 | 0.37mi | 2/2.0 | 1,780 (-11%) | 6mo | $110,000 | $62 | 59 |
| 1402 22nd St NE #558 | 0.40mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,848 (-8%) | 9mo | $240,500 | $130 | 56 |
| 1402 22nd St NE #536 | 0.37mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,848 (-8%) | 15mo | $175,000 | $95 | 52 |
| 1402 22nd St NE #456 | 0.38mi | 2/2.0 | 2,232 (+12%) | 21mo | $170,000 | $76 | 45 |
| 1402 22nd St NE #438 | 0.38mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,716 (-14%) | 11mo | $240,000 | $140 | 44 |
| 1402 22nd St NE #247 | 0.37mi | 2/2.0 | 1,756 (-12%) | 23mo | $100,000 | $57 | 43 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.33% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -8.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.68×
- Total profit
- $-18,907
- Equity at exit
- $31,610
- IRR
- -0.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.99×
- Total profit
- $-531
- Equity at exit
- $18,330
Cash invested: $59,360 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 28 Tenant-Leaning
- State Washington
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 98003
- Rents YoY
- 2.3%
- Active inventory
- 233
- Price-to-rent
- 8.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,190 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,112
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$265 /mo · $3,180/yr
- Insurance
- −$88
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$460
- Net cashflow
- $265
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $412 | -5% $338 | +0% $265 | +5% $192 | +10% $119 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $92 | -5% $179 | +0% $265 | +5% $352 | +10% $438 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $372 | -0.5pp $319 | base $265 | +0.5pp $210 | +1.0pp $154 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $53,000
- Closing costs
- $6,360
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2317 I St NE Unit 2319 Auburn, WA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $2,275 | $1.62 | 25d | 1 | 0.41mi |
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-03statusdays on market $212,000 Pending 32 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $212,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $212,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $212,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-05-20price $212,000
-
2026-05-07status Active
-
2026-04-20status Pending
-
2026-04-14$215,000 Active
-
2024-02-16soldstatus $215,550 Closed
-
2024-02-08status Pending
-
2024-01-19$209,950 Active
-
2018-07-26soldstatus $167,500 Sold
-
2018-07-03status Pending
-
2018-06-24status Pending Inspection
-
2018-06-15$180,000 Active
-
2010-11-03historical
-
2010-11-02status Pending
-
2010-11-01soldstatus $60,000 Sold
-
2010-10-20price $70,000
-
2010-06-18$76,500 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 27% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥87°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 7/10 Severe 10 unhealthy d/yr today · 11 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $26,280
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,875
- − Property taxes
- −$3,180
- − Insurance
- −$1,060
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,102
- − Management
- −$2,102
- − Depreciation
- −$6,167
- Taxable loss
- −$207
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$50
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,230/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Auburn School District
- NCES district ID
- 5300300
- Math proficiency
- 47% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 56% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $58,048
- Composite
- 46.73/100
- National rank
- #5240
- State rank
- #125 of 291 in WA
Livability — Auburn
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #75
- US rank
- #1371
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Auburn, WA
- County
- King County · 2,251,916 people
- City population
- 74,969
- Metro
- Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA
- Population (ZIP)
- 51,619
- Household income
- $75,319
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2895.0
Population outlook (King County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,576,485 people
- By 2030
- 2,803,316 · +8.8%
- By 2040
- 3,255,921 · +26.4%
- By 2050
- 3,706,444 · +43.9%
- By 2075
- 4,746,063 · +84.2%
- By 2100
- 5,407,730 · +109.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.79)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 32% Hispanic / Latino 23% Black 19% Two or more races 16% Asian 13% Pacific Islander 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 18%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 3% Lithuanian 2% Swedish 2%
- Foreign-born
- 32% · Canada, South Korea, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 57% English-only · Spanish 18% Other Indo-European 3% Russian/Polish/Slavic 3%
Political lean MEDSL · King
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+51.7) · D 74.2% · R 22.5% · Other 3.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +9.6pp toward D · 2008: 42.1pp · 2024: 51.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+51.7 2020: D+52.7 2016: D+50.4 2012: D+39.9 2008: D+42.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -623.87%
- Current HPI
- 327.5371
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.33%
- Metro
- Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.65%
- F500 in state
- 22
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 2 | $269B |
|
||
| Technology / Retail | 1 | $638B |
|
||
| Technology | 1 | $245B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 1 | $38B |
|
||
| Food / Beverage | 1 | $36B |
|
||
| Automotive / Trucks | 1 | $34B |
|
||
Price history
+177.1% since first listed16 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-20 Price Changed $212,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-07 Relisted — NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-20 Pending — NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-14 Listed $215,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-02-16 Sold (MLS) $215,550 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-02-08 Pending — NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-01-19 Listed $209,950 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-07-26 Sold (MLS) $167,500 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-07-03 Pending — NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-06-24 Pending — NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-06-15 Listed $180,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2010-11-03 Delisted — NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2010-11-02 Pending — NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2010-11-01 Sold (MLS) $60,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2010-10-20 Price Changed $70,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2010-06-18 Listed $76,500 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…