🏷️ Likely Rental
5601 Highway A1a Unit S100 · Indian River Shores, FL
Flood risk 9/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.98%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 25 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +16.2/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Rent growth +5.0/5.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$435,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Experience spacious island living in this 2400 sq. ft. corner first-floor apartment in a highly desirable beach area. This generously sized 3BD, 3-BA unit offers a large living space, two car spaces in a secure garage, additional storage and washer and dryer. Enjoy two oversized screened patios, heated pool, tennis facilities, all within walking distance to the beach. New roof and SIRS study completed. Also available for rent. Sizes are approx/subj to error.
Key facts
- Large living space
- Tennis facilities
- Heated pool
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Pets allowed with size limit
- HOA & community: ELLIOT MERRIL association; Monthly association fee; Association dues paid monthly; Association covers common areas, cable TV, insurance, structure maintenance, parking, recreation facilities, sewer, trash and water; Community clubhouse, elevator, park, tennis courts, pool, bicycle storage, trash chute
Exterior
- Parking: 2-car garage; Garage parking
- Security: Phone entry
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: 3 stories; Residential property
- Construction: Block, concrete and stucco construction
- Exterior features: Enclosed porch; Screened porch; Porch; Community tennis courts; Community heated gas pool; Community pool; Has view; Faces north; Property is attached
Interior
- Kitchen: Range; Microwave; Refrigerator; Dishwasher; Electric water heater
- Bedrooms: Bedroom (14 x 12); Bedroom (15 x 12); Bedroom (24 x 15)
- Flooring: Carpet; Tile
- Bathrooms: 3 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Window treatments; Closet cabinetry; Unfurnished
- Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer in unit
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath townhouse listed at $435k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $161 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($7k rent vs $435k).
- Recommended offer: $383k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 6.9% vs local median 1.5% in Indian River Shores — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#517 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A-; Watch: schools C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Indian River (other): math 48% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #35 of 73 in FL (top 48%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+11.0%/yr); 498 active listings in the ZIP; 33 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 564 units permitted in Indian River County in 2024 (281 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $6,699/mo this rent would consume 54% of the median local household income ($150k/yr) (locally 119% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $13k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Indian River County population projected at +18% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $122k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 127 days — a 12% lower offer ($383k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 10 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask is 13932% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; HOA is 31% of rent.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 127 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1977 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.54% ✓
- Cap rate
- 6.92%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2.25%
- DSCR
- 1.10
- GRM
- 5.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $849,600
- Comps found
- 6
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5601 Highway A1a Unit N204 | 0.04mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 2,115 (-12%) | 3mo | $225,000 | $106 | 66 |
| 5536 N Highway A1a #209 | 0.20mi | 3/3.0 | 2,099 (-12%) | 4mo | $1,078,500 | $514 | 66 |
| 5536 Highway A1a Hwy #114 | 0.20mi | 3/3.5 | 2,110 (-12%) | 4mo | $800,000 | $379 | 65 |
| 5680 Highway A1a #110 | 0.22mi | 2/3.5 (-1) | 2,180 (-9%) | 3mo | $650,000 | $298 | 65 |
| 5680 Highway A1a #307 | 0.22mi | 3/4.0 | 2,620 (+9%) | 8mo | $720,000 | $275 | 64 |
| 5670 Highway A1a Unit 317s | 0.22mi | 2/3.5 (-1) | 2,050 (-15%) | 12mo | $725,000 | $354 | 48 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -4.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.81×
- Total profit
- $-23,399
- Equity at exit
- $64,860
- IRR
- 12.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.31×
- Total profit
- $159,707
- Equity at exit
- $37,611
Cash invested: $121,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32963
- Rents YoY
- 11.0%
- Active inventory
- 498
- Price-to-rent
- 5.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $6,699 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,281
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$544 /mo · $6,525/yr
- Insurance
- −$181
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$2,058
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,407
- Net cashflow
- $161
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $462 | -5% $312 | +0% $161 | +5% $11 | +10% $-139 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-368 | -5% $-103 | +0% $161 | +5% $426 | +10% $691 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $380 | -0.5pp $272 | base $161 | +0.5pp $49 | +1.0pp $-66 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $108,750
- Closing costs
- $13,050
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 33 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5601 Jimmy Buffett Memorial Hwy Unit 206C Indian River Shores, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2400 | $6,000 | $2.50 | 21d | 1 | 0.03mi |
| 5601 Jimmy Buffett Memorial Hwy Unit 304N Indian River Shores, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2115 | $1,999 | $0.95 | 21d | 1 | 0.07mi |
| 219 Park Shores Cir Unit 219B Vero Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1583 | $3,000 | $1.90 | 14d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 131 Peppertree Dr #21 Vero Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1787 | $3,300 | $1.85 | 14d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 5536 Jimmy Buffett Memorial Hwy Unit 211 Vero Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1632 | $6,000 | $3.68 | 21d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 5554 Jimmy Buffett Memorial Hwy Unit 201 Indian River Shores, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1632 | $12,000 | $7.35 | 21d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 5554 Jimmy Buffett Memorial Hwy Unit 202 Indian River Shores, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1632 | $12,000 | $7.35 | 21d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 270 S Peppertree Dr Vero Beach, FL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 2261 | $3,600 | $1.59 | 21d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 5680 Highway A1A #111 Vero Beach, FL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 2050 | $6,000 | $2.93 | 21d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 5680 Highway A1A #112 Vero Beach, FL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 2620 | $7,000 | $2.67 | 21d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 5670 Jimmy Buffett Memorial Hwy Unit 315S Vero Beach, FL | 2.0 | 3.5 | 2050 | $7,000 | $3.41 | 21d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 5790 Jimmy Buffett Memorial Hwy Vero Beach, FL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 2300 | $8,500 | $3.70 | 21d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 101 E Park Shores Cir Unit 2 Indian River Shores, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1640 | $2,600 | $1.59 | 14d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 133 E Park Shores Cir Unit 7E Vero Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1640 | $3,000 | $1.83 | 14d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 926 Pebble Ln Vero Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2695 | $15,000 | $5.57 | 21d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 5101 Highway A1A #109 Vero Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1848 | $5,500 | $2.98 | 21d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 100 River Oak Ln Vero Beach, FL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 2245 | $13,000 | $5.79 | 21d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 915 Surfsedge Way Vero Beach, FL | 3.0 | 3.5 | 3000 | $25,000 | $8.33 | 21d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 4617 Pebble Bay S Vero Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2240 | $8,500 | $3.79 | 21d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 902 Tides Rd Vero Beach, FL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1810 | $8,500 | $4.70 | 14d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 907 Tropic Dr Vero Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1830 | $10,000 | $5.46 | 21d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 705 Bahia Mar Rd Vero Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2214 | $16,000 | $7.23 | 14d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 5000 Highway A1A #320 Vero Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1980 | $5,000 | $2.53 | 21d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 4836 Bethel Creek Dr Unit 4836 Vero Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1650 | $3,000 | $1.82 | 14d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 4800 Highway A1A #207 Vero Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1850 | $7,000 | $3.78 | 21d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 4800 Highway A1A #506 Vero Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1850 | $4,500 | $2.43 | 21d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 4800 Highway A1A #116 Vero Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1822 | $3,000 | $1.65 | 21d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 4800 Bethel Creek Dr Unit 5S Vero Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 2215 | $5,500 | $2.48 | 14d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 4770 Highway A1A Vero Beach, FL | 4.0 | 4.5 | 3297 | $40,000 | $12.13 | 21d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 4601 Sunset Dr Vero Beach, FL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 3092 | $20,000 | $6.47 | 21d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 4601 Highway A1A #103 Vero Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1600 | $2,500 | $1.56 | 21d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 4600 Highway A1A #409 Vero Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1725 | $7,500 | $4.35 | 21d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 215 Live Oak Rd Vero Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 3368 | $12,000 | $3.56 | 14d | 1 | 1.49mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $2,058 · $24,696/yr
- Likely covers
- pool
Listing history 36 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $435,000 Active 127 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $435,000 Active 126 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $435,000 Active 125 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $435,000 Active 124 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $435,000 Active 123 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $435,000 Active 121 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $435,000 Active 120 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $435,000 Active 118 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $435,000 Active 117 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $435,000 Active 116 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $435,000 Active 115 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $435,000 Active 112 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $435,000 Active 110 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $435,000 Active 109 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $435,000 Active 108 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $435,000 Active 107 DOM
-
2026-05-04$3,100
-
2026-04-16historical $3,100
-
2026-03-16$3,100
-
2026-03-02historical $3,100
-
2026-02-11$495,000 Active
-
2026-02-02price $3,100
-
2026-01-31$2,950
-
2025-03-26historical $3,200
-
2025-02-19$3,200
-
2025-01-20historical $3,200
-
2025-01-08historical $3,200
-
2025-01-07$3,200
-
2024-12-29$3,200
-
2024-12-01historical $3,400
-
2024-10-29historical $3,400
-
2024-10-23$3,400
-
2024-10-02price $3,600
-
2024-08-22$4,000
-
2024-05-23historical $3,300
-
2024-04-24$3,300
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 98% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $80,386
- − Mortgage interest
- −$24,367
- − Property taxes
- −$6,525
- − Insurance
- −$2,972
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$6,431
- − Management
- −$6,431
- − HOA
- −$24,696
- − Depreciation
- −$12,655
- Taxable loss
- −$3,691
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$886
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,823/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Indian River
- NCES district ID
- 1200930
- Math proficiency
- 48% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 52% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,597
- Composite
- 42.45/100
- National rank
- #3218
- State rank
- #35 of 73 in FL
Livability — Indian River Shores
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #517
- US rank
- #9512
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Indian River Shores, FL
- County
- Indian River County · 143,738 people
- City population
- 15,008
- Metro
- Sebastian-Vero Beach, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 15,008
- Household income
- $149,923
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 119.0
Population outlook (Indian River County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 165,104 people
- By 2030
- 172,869 · +4.7%
- By 2040
- 185,640 · +12.4%
- By 2050
- 194,465 · +17.8%
- By 2075
- 211,115 · +27.9%
- By 2100
- 211,781 · +28.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (92%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 92% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 5% Lithuanian 4% Italian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Indian River
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+27.4) · D 36.0% · R 63.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -12.5pp toward R · 2008: -14.8pp · 2024: -27.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+27.4 2020: R+21.6 2016: R+24.5 2012: R+22.3 2008: R+14.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -180.47%
- Current HPI
- 312.0326
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 11.04%
- Metro
- Sebastian-Vero Beach, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
||
Price history
-6.1% since first listed20 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-04 Listed for Rent $3,100 TURBOTENANT
- 2026-04-16 Rental Removed $3,100 TURBOTENANT
- 2026-03-16 Listed for Rent $3,100 TURBOTENANT
- 2026-03-02 Rental Removed $3,100 TURBOTENANT
- 2026-02-11 Listed $495,000 RAIRCMLS
- 2026-02-02 Price Changed $3,100 TURBOTENANT
- 2026-01-31 Listed for Rent $2,950 TURBOTENANT
- 2025-03-26 Rental Removed $3,200 TURBOTENANT
- 2025-02-19 Listed for Rent $3,200 TURBOTENANT
- 2025-01-20 Rental Removed $3,200 TURBOTENANT
- 2025-01-08 Rental Removed $3,200 RAIRCMLS
- 2025-01-07 Listed for Rent $3,200 TURBOTENANT
- 2024-12-29 Listed for Rent $3,200 RAIRCMLS
- 2024-12-01 Rental Removed $3,400 RAIRCMLS
- 2024-10-29 Rental Removed $3,400 TURBOTENANT
- 2024-10-23 Listed for Rent $3,400 RAIRCMLS
- 2024-10-02 Price Changed $3,600 TURBOTENANT
- 2024-08-22 Listed for Rent $4,000 TURBOTENANT
- 2024-05-23 Rental Removed $3,300 TURBOTENANT
- 2024-04-24 Listed for Rent $3,300 TURBOTENANT
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…