9148 Coventry Dr · Northfield, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Schools +6.6/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$230,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Tons of space in this house. Over 1700 sq. ft. with 5 bedrooms, and a large sunroom !! Huge great room with vaulted ceilings. Large master bedroom with tons of closet space, and one of the baths has a large jetted soaking tub. Newer vinyl windows, oversized 2 car garage, large fenced yard great for entertaining. Don’t miss out on this great opportunity!
Key facts
- Formal dining room
- Landscaped backyard
- Pergola
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage; Asphalt driveway; 2-car garage
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Two-story home; Slab foundation
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Asphalt/fiberglass roof; Built according to public records
- Exterior features: Covered patio/porch; Deck; Pergola; Full privacy fence; City lot; Has a view
Interior
- Kitchen: Range; Dishwasher; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Two main-level bedrooms; Additional bedrooms on second floor with laminate flooring
- Flooring: Laminate flooring in multiple rooms; Ceramic tile in kitchen; Stone flooring in sunroom
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms (two on main level)
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning; Has fireplace (wood burning, free-standing)
- Interior features: Beamed ceilings; Vaulted ceilings; Ceiling fan(s)
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Main-level laundry room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $230k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $4k ($43k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($7k rent vs $230k).
- Recommended offer: $216k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 24.8% vs local median 5.2% in Northfield — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 79/100 on livability (#143 in OH, #2,208 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: schools A+, crime A+, cost of living A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- Nordonia Hills City (suburban): math 72% / reading 79% proficiency, ranked #71 of 656 in OH (top 11%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 17% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: 69 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 1,114 units permitted in Summit County in 2024 (397 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $6,547/mo this rent would consume 88% of the median local household income ($89k/yr) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Summit County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $64k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 74 days — a 6% lower offer ($216k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 7 sale attempts since 36y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $73k; list at $230k implies a 215% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 74 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.85% ✓
- Cap rate
- 24.77%
- Cash-on-cash
- 66.00%
- DSCR
- 3.94
- GRM
- 2.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $281,556
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9148 Coventry Dr | 0.00mi | 5/2.0 (+1) | 1,738 (0%) | 1mo | $238,000 | $137 | 94 |
| 214 Heights Ave | 0.31mi | 4/2.0 | 1,802 (+4%) | 1mo | $225,000 | $125 | 78 |
| 9029 Cambridge Dr | 0.03mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,830 (+5%) | 9mo | $258,900 | $141 | 77 |
| 9097 Milford Dr | 0.14mi | 4/2.0 | 1,544 (-11%) | 8mo | $250,000 | $162 | 68 |
| 8794 Basswood Pl | 0.66mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,768 (+2%) | 2mo | $275,000 | $156 | 60 |
| 212 Ledge Rd | 0.32mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,888 (+9%) | 10mo | $360,000 | $191 | 57 |
| 73 Lowrie Blvd | 0.69mi | 4/1.0 | 1,800 (+4%) | 2mo | $215,000 | $119 | 56 |
| 220 Long Rd | 0.51mi | 3/3.5 (-1) | 1,834 (+6%) | 10mo | $369,000 | $201 | 47 |
| 22 Fell Ave | 0.53mi | 4/1.5 | 1,951 (+12%) | 8mo | $260,000 | $133 | 46 |
| 8712 Elmdale Trce | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,536 (-12%) | 2mo | $256,000 | $167 | 39 |
| 9766 Firestone Ln | 0.74mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,872 (+8%) | 10mo | $320,000 | $171 | 37 |
| 9798 Firestone Ln | 0.72mi | 4/3.0 | 1,916 (+10%) | 10mo | $450,000 | $235 | 37 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 65.3%
- Equity multiple
- 3.93×
- Total profit
- $188,460
- Equity at exit
- $34,294
- IRR
- 69.6%
- Equity multiple
- 8.07×
- Total profit
- $455,113
- Equity at exit
- $19,886
Cash invested: $64,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 44067
- Active inventory
- 69
- Price-to-rent
- 2.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $6,547 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,206
- Tax from tax record
- −$328 /mo · $3,935/yr
- Insurance
- −$96
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,375
- Net cashflow
- $3,542
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $57,500
- Closing costs
- $6,900
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 185 Heights Ave Unit 1496098P Northfield, OH | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1603 | $6,547 | $4.08 | 2d | 1 | 0.32mi |
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-05-20status Pending
-
2026-03-24historical Contingent
-
2026-03-22price $230,000
-
2026-03-15status Active
-
2026-03-05$239,000 Active
-
2014-10-16soldstatus $73,000 361-char remark
Show marketing remark (361 chars)
Tons of space in this house. Over 1700 sq. ft. with 5 bedrooms, and a large sunroom !! Huge great room with vaulted ceilings. Large master bedroom with tons of closet space, and one of the baths has a large jetted soaking tub. Newer vinyl windows, oversized 2 car garage, large fenced yard great for entertaining. Don’t miss out on this great opportunity!
-
2014-10-01historical 361-char remark
Show marketing remark (361 chars)
Tons of space in this house. Over 1700 sq. ft. with 5 bedrooms, and a large sunroom !! Huge great room with vaulted ceilings. Large master bedroom with tons of closet space, and one of the baths has a large jetted soaking tub. Newer vinyl windows, oversized 2 car garage, large fenced yard great for entertaining. Don’t miss out on this great opportunity!
-
2014-06-25historical
-
2014-06-24$69,900 361-char remark
Show marketing remark (361 chars)
Tons of space in this house. Over 1700 sq. ft. with 5 bedrooms, and a large sunroom !! Huge great room with vaulted ceilings. Large master bedroom with tons of closet space, and one of the baths has a large jetted soaking tub. Newer vinyl windows, oversized 2 car garage, large fenced yard great for entertaining. Don’t miss out on this great opportunity!
-
2014-06-11$85,900
-
2014-06-09historical
-
2014-03-11$85,900
-
2007-05-08soldstatus $146,000
-
2007-05-08soldstatus $146,000
-
2006-12-04$149,876
-
1991-04-18historical
-
1991-01-29soldstatus $66,000
-
1990-10-18$67,900
-
1987-09-11soldstatus $39,900
-
1987-06-09soldstatus $30,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,935 · $328/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,935 · $328/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $78,564
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,884
- − Property taxes
- −$3,935
- − Insurance
- −$1,150
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$6,285
- − Management
- −$6,285
- − Depreciation
- −$6,691
- Taxable income
- $41,334
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$9,920
- After-tax cash flow
- $32,586/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Nordonia Hills City
- NCES district ID
- 3905004
- Math proficiency
- 72% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 79% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $74,658
- Composite
- 66.26/100
- National rank
- #428
- State rank
- #71 of 656 in OH
Livability — Northfield
- Score
- 79/100
- State rank
- #143
- US rank
- #2208
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Northfield, OH
- County
- Summit · 539,389 people
- Metro
- Akron, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 19,917
- Household income
- $89,082
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 13.4
Population outlook (Summit County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 546,583 people
- By 2030
- 544,028 · -0.5%
- By 2040
- 531,363 · -2.8%
- By 2050
- 514,923 · -5.8%
- By 2075
- 481,765 · -11.9%
- By 2100
- 432,265 · -20.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (85%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 85% Black 6% Two or more races 4% Asian 3% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 14% Slovak 3% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Other Indo-European 2% Chinese 1% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Summit
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+7.0) · D 53.0% · R 46.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -9.6pp toward R · 2008: 16.6pp · 2024: 7.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+7.0 2020: D+9.6 2016: D+8.2 2012: D+14.8 2008: D+16.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -112.75%
- Current HPI
- 198.7729
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
||
| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
|
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Price history
+666.7% since first listed20 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-20 Pending — MLSNOW
- 2026-03-24 Contingent — MLSNOW
- 2026-03-22 Price Changed $230,000 MLSNOW
- 2026-03-15 Relisted — MLSNOW
- 2026-03-05 Listed $239,000 MLSNOW
- 2014-10-16 Sold (MLS) $73,000 MLSNOW
- 2014-10-01 Listing Removed — MLSNOW
- 2014-06-25 Listing Removed — MLSNOW
- 2014-06-24 Listed $69,900 MLSNOW
- 2014-06-11 Listed $85,900 MLSNOW
- 2014-06-09 Listing Removed — MLSNOW
- 2014-03-11 Listed $85,900 MLSNOW
- 2007-05-08 Sold (Public Records) $146,000 Public Records
- 2007-05-08 Sold (MLS) $146,000 MLSNOW
- 2006-12-04 Listed $149,876 MLSNOW
- 1991-04-18 Listing Removed — MLSNOW
- 1991-01-29 Sold (Public Records) $66,000 Public Records
- 1990-10-18 Listed $67,900 MLSNOW
- 1987-09-11 Sold (Public Records) $39,900 Public Records
- 1987-06-09 Sold (Public Records) $30,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.9%/yrLatest (2025): $3,935 · +15.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…