Duplex
206 Kirkland Rd · Rochester, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Rent growth +4.1/5.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Appreciation +3.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.9/10.0
- ARV discount +1.7/15.0
$169,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks MLS
Great 19th ward addition to add to your investment portfolio. This duplex gross's 18k yearly, has a new roof, vinyl siding, separate utilities, upgraded mechanicals, hardwood floors and freshly painted units. This is a corner lot with a big yard and plenty of off street parking.
Key facts
- Conveniently located
- Strong tenant appeal
- 4,356 sq ft lot
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Property is a 2-unit building with separate gas and electric meters (2 of each); Operating expenses: see remarks; Owner pays / Rent includes: see remarks
Exterior
- Parking: Paved parking
- Utilities: Public water (connected); Sewer connected; Circuit breaker electrical service
- Home design: 2-story property; Residential 2-unit zoning; Resale condition
- Construction: Wood siding; Copper plumbing; Asphalt roof; Block foundation; Existing (previously built)
- Exterior features: Rectangular residential lot; City street frontage; Lot dimensions approximately 45 x 100
Interior
- Flooring: Carpet; Hardwood; Linoleum; Vinyl; Varies
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Gas forced air heating
- Interior features: Leaded glass windows; Ceiling fan(s); Other interior features (see remarks)
- Laundry & utility: Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $170k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($16k/yr) — positive. Per door: $648/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $170k).
- Cap rate 15.4% vs local median 9.3% in Rochester — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#222 in NY, #3,482 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, crime F, employment F.
- Rochester City School District (urban): math 21% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #589 of 590 in NY (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 82% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.4%/yr); 78 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,169 units permitted in Monroe County in 2024 (591 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,981/mo this rent would consume 114% of the median local household income ($31k/yr) (locally 2168% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-2.9%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Monroe County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-2.9% appreciation + 6.4% rent growth), your $48k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 7 sale attempts since 16y ago; this cycle's ask is 13% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
- Current owner paid $86k; list at $170k implies a 96% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1880 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1880 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.75% ✓
- Cap rate
- 15.44%
- Cash-on-cash
- 32.67%
- DSCR
- 2.45
- GRM
- 4.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $150,484
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 149 Warwick Ave | 0.11mi | 5/3.0 (+1) | 2,293 (+4%) | 7mo | $110,000 | $48 | 74 |
| 286 Kenwood Ave | 0.27mi | 5/2.0 (+1) | 2,202 (-0%) | 10mo | $160,000 | $73 | 73 |
| 131 York St | 0.47mi | 5/3.0 (+1) | 2,246 (+2%) | 0mo | $156,000 | $69 | 66 |
| 22 Gardiner Ave | 0.49mi | 4/2.0 | 2,096 (-5%) | 4mo | $100,000 | $48 | 66 |
| 127-129 Thorndale Ter | 0.25mi | 5/2.0 (+1) | 2,147 (-3%) | 17mo | $161,000 | $75 | 64 |
| 30 Woodbine Ave | 0.18mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,000 (-10%) | 8mo | $140,000 | $70 | 64 |
| 231 Kenwood Ave | 0.19mi | 4/2.0 | 2,439 (+10%) | 14mo | $92,000 | $38 | 62 |
| 3-5 Ravenwood Ave | 0.60mi | 4/2.0 | 2,152 (-3%) | 8mo | $210,000 | $98 | 60 |
| 21 Arnett Blvd | 0.53mi | 5/2.0 (+1) | 2,322 (+5%) | 5mo | $79,777 | $34 | 58 |
| 40-42 Grover St | 0.53mi | 4/2.0 | 2,151 (-3%) | 22mo | $92,000 | $43 | 52 |
| 54 Turner St | 0.64mi | 4/2.0 | 2,472 (+12%) | 6mo | $167,500 | $68 | 46 |
| 367 Troup St | 0.61mi | 3/3.0 (-1) | 2,000 (-10%) | 17mo | $55,000 | $28 | 32 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-2.93% appreciation · 6.37% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 31.5%
- Equity multiple
- 2.38×
- Total profit
- $65,869
- Equity at exit
- $25,852
- IRR
- 40.3%
- Equity multiple
- 5.41×
- Total profit
- $209,843
- Equity at exit
- $15,584
Cash invested: $47,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 14611
- Home prices YoY
- -1.1%
- Rents YoY
- 6.4%
- Active inventory
- 78
- Price-to-rent
- 9.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,981 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$891
- Tax from tax record
- −$98 /mo · $1,177/yr
- Insurance
- −$71
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$626
- Net cashflow
- $1,295
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,391 | -5% $1,343 | +0% $1,295 | +5% $1,247 | +10% $1,199 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $1,060 | -5% $1,177 | +0% $1,295 | +5% $1,413 | +10% $1,531 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,381 | -0.5pp $1,338 | base $1,295 | +0.5pp $1,251 | +1.0pp $1,206 |
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 2 | 1 | $2,982 |
| #1 | 2 | 1 | $1,491 |
| #2 | 2 | 1 | $1,491 |
| Total (2 units) | $2,981 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $42,475
- Closing costs
- $5,097
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 11 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 48 Thorndale Ter Rochester, NY | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1700 | $1,400 | $0.82 | 15d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 161 Fillmore St Rochester, NY | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1612 | $1,400 | $0.87 | 15d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 478 Tremont St Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1424 | $1,500 | $1.05 | 44d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 385 Ames St Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1738 | $1,500 | $0.86 | 22d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 249 1/2 Columbia Ave #249 Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1600 | $1,300 | $0.81 | 15d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 485 Sawyer St Unit 1 Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1400 | $1,900 | $1.36 | 44d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 485 Sawyer St Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1400 | $1,900 | $1.36 | 3d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 649 Jay St Rochester, NY | 5.0 | 2.0 | 2144 | $2,000 | $0.93 | 4d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 79 Evangeline St Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1876 | $2,500 | $1.33 | 3d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 793 Woodbine Ave Rochester, NY | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1700 | $2,200 | $1.29 | 3d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 102 Virginia Ave Rochester, NY | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1453 | $2,150 | $1.48 | 3d | 1 | 1.27mi |
Listing history 10 events
-
2026-06-21pricedays on market $169,900 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $149,900 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $149,900 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $149,900 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $149,900 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $149,900 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $149,900 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $149,900 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-09remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-09$149,900 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,177 · $98/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,024 · $169/mo
- Expected delta
- +$847/yr (+$71/mo · 72.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $35,772
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,517
- − Property taxes
- −$1,177
- − Insurance
- −$850
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,862
- − Management
- −$2,862
- − Depreciation
- −$4,943
- Taxable income
- $13,562
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,255
- After-tax cash flow
- $12,287/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Rochester City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3624750
- Math proficiency
- 21% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 26% ▲ 4.00%
- Median HH income
- $30,923
- Composite
- 18.98/100
- National rank
- #8850
- State rank
- #589 of 590 in NY
Livability — Rochester
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #222
- US rank
- #3482
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Rochester, NY
- County
- Monroe County · 674,131 people
- City population
- 432,803
- Metro
- Rochester, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 17,145
- Household income
- $31,376
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2168.0
Population outlook (Monroe County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 759,460 people
- By 2030
- 757,154 · -0.3%
- By 2040
- 740,644 · -2.5%
- By 2050
- 714,443 · -5.9%
- By 2075
- 645,883 · -15.0%
- By 2100
- 547,084 · -28.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 55% White 22% Hispanic / Latino 18% Two or more races 13% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 14% Dominican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 1% Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 85% English-only · Spanish 12% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Monroe
- 2024 margin
- D (+19.1) · D 59.5% · R 40.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +1.4pp toward D · 2008: 17.7pp · 2024: 19.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+19.1 2020: D+21.0 2016: D+14.1 2012: D+17.4 2008: D+17.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -2.93%
- Current HPI
- 262.1549
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.37%
- Metro
- Rochester, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
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Price history
+233.1% since first listed18 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-08 Listed $149,900 UNYREIS
- 2022-03-09 Price Changed $850 RENT.
- 2020-03-06 Sold (Public Records) $86,500 Public Records
- 2020-03-06 Sold (MLS) $86,500 UNYREIS
- 2019-12-21 Pending — UNYREIS
- 2019-12-02 Listed $84,900 UNYREIS
- 2016-09-27 Sold (Public Records) $40,000 Public Records
- 2016-09-27 Sold (MLS) $40,000 UNYREIS
- 2016-07-22 Pending — UNYREIS
- 2016-06-28 Listed $47,900 UNYREIS
- 2016-06-17 Listing Removed — UNYREIS
- 2016-02-16 Listed $47,900 UNYREIS
- 2015-07-17 Listed $49,900 UNYREIS
- 2015-06-25 Listing Removed — UNYREIS
- 2015-06-11 Listed $57,900 UNYREIS
- 2010-09-22 Sold (MLS) $19,000 UNYREIS
- 2010-07-14 Listed $17,500 UNYREIS
- 2007-05-22 Sold (Public Records) $45,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.5%/yrLatest (2025): $1,177 · +1.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…