4556 Riverbend Dr SW · Walker, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +16.2/30.0
- ARV discount +9.8/15.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Schools +4.8/10.0
- Rent growth +4.5/5.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- 1% rule +3.6/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$269,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Wonderful home with updated kitchen and bathroom. Spacious and practical layout with large dining/sitting area. Perfect size at half an acre - space without too much maintenance. Convenient location provides easy access to Lake Michigan Dr and 196. House needs paint and fixtures to really make it shine, but windows and carpet are replaced, expensive rooms are set, and mechanicals have a lot of life left. (Furnace 2017) Check out this rare opportunity for Grandville schools under 300k!Seller has directed listing agent to review offers on Saturday, 4/18, at 5:00 PM.
Key facts
- Replaced windows
- Updated kitchen
- Updated bathroom
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $270k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $144 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $231k (14.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $231k (14.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.9% vs local median 4.1% in Walker — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#188 in MI, #4,765 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, employment B+; Watch: amenities F, health & safety F.
- Grandville Public Schools (suburban): math 49% / reading 61% proficiency, ranked #70 of 540 in MI (top 13%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Grandville Middle School (math 44% / reading 69%, grade B, #70 of 493 statewide, top 14%, 830 students, 36% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.9%/yr); 111 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 2,253 units permitted in Kent County in 2024 (969 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($82k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Kent County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1956 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1956 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.86% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.93%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2.28%
- DSCR
- 1.10
- GRM
- 9.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $284,680
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4556 Riverbend Dr SW | 0.00mi | 3/1.0 | 1,294 (0%) | 0mo | $285,000 | $220 | 100 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 7.87% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -7.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.70×
- Total profit
- $-22,754
- Equity at exit
- $40,243
- IRR
- 6.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.60×
- Total profit
- $45,676
- Equity at exit
- $23,336
Cash invested: $75,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 49534
- Home prices YoY
- -28.4%
- Rents YoY
- 7.9%
- Active inventory
- 111
- Price-to-rent
- 9.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,315 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,415
- Tax from tax record
- −$157 /mo · $1,882/yr
- Insurance
- −$112
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$486
- Net cashflow
- $144
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $297 | -5% $220 | +0% $144 | +5% $67 | +10% $-9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-39 | -5% $52 | +0% $144 | +5% $235 | +10% $327 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $280 | -0.5pp $212 | base $144 | +0.5pp $74 | +1.0pp $3 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $67,475
- Closing costs
- $8,097
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-06-13$269,900 Pending 8 DOM
-
2026-04-19status Pending 570-char remark
Show marketing remark (570 chars)
Wonderful home with updated kitchen and bathroom. Spacious and practical layout with large dining/sitting area. Perfect size at half an acre - space without too much maintenance. Convenient location provides easy access to Lake Michigan Dr and 196. House needs paint and fixtures to really make it shine, but windows and carpet are replaced, expensive rooms are set, and mechanicals have a lot of life left. (Furnace 2017) Check out this rare opportunity for Grandville schools under 300k!Seller has directed listing agent to review offers on Saturday, 4/18, at 5:00 PM.
-
2026-04-19status Pending 570-char remark
Show marketing remark (570 chars)
Wonderful home with updated kitchen and bathroom. Spacious and practical layout with large dining/sitting area. Perfect size at half an acre - space without too much maintenance. Convenient location provides easy access to Lake Michigan Dr and 196. House needs paint and fixtures to really make it shine, but windows and carpet are replaced, expensive rooms are set, and mechanicals have a lot of life left. (Furnace 2017) Check out this rare opportunity for Grandville schools under 300k!Seller has directed listing agent to review offers on Saturday, 4/18, at 5:00 PM.
-
2026-04-19status Pending
Show marketing remark (570 chars)
Wonderful home with updated kitchen and bathroom. Spacious and practical layout with large dining/sitting area. Perfect size at half an acre - space without too much maintenance. Convenient location provides easy access to Lake Michigan Dr and 196. House needs paint and fixtures to really make it shine, but windows and carpet are replaced, expensive rooms are set, and mechanicals have a lot of life left. (Furnace 2017) Check out this rare opportunity for Grandville schools under 300k!Seller has directed listing agent to review offers on Saturday, 4/18, at 5:00 PM.
-
2026-04-13$269,900 Active 570-char remark
Show marketing remark (570 chars)
Wonderful home with updated kitchen and bathroom. Spacious and practical layout with large dining/sitting area. Perfect size at half an acre - space without too much maintenance. Convenient location provides easy access to Lake Michigan Dr and 196. House needs paint and fixtures to really make it shine, but windows and carpet are replaced, expensive rooms are set, and mechanicals have a lot of life left. (Furnace 2017) Check out this rare opportunity for Grandville schools under 300k!Seller has directed listing agent to review offers on Saturday, 4/18, at 5:00 PM.
-
2026-04-13$269,900 Active
Show marketing remark (570 chars)
Wonderful home with updated kitchen and bathroom. Spacious and practical layout with large dining/sitting area. Perfect size at half an acre - space without too much maintenance. Convenient location provides easy access to Lake Michigan Dr and 196. House needs paint and fixtures to really make it shine, but windows and carpet are replaced, expensive rooms are set, and mechanicals have a lot of life left. (Furnace 2017) Check out this rare opportunity for Grandville schools under 300k!Seller has directed listing agent to review offers on Saturday, 4/18, at 5:00 PM.
-
2026-04-13$269,900 Active 570-char remark
Show marketing remark (570 chars)
Wonderful home with updated kitchen and bathroom. Spacious and practical layout with large dining/sitting area. Perfect size at half an acre - space without too much maintenance. Convenient location provides easy access to Lake Michigan Dr and 196. House needs paint and fixtures to really make it shine, but windows and carpet are replaced, expensive rooms are set, and mechanicals have a lot of life left. (Furnace 2017) Check out this rare opportunity for Grandville schools under 300k!Seller has directed listing agent to review offers on Saturday, 4/18, at 5:00 PM.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,882 · $157/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,019 · $252/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,137/yr (+$95/mo · 60.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $27,774
- − Mortgage interest
- −$15,119
- − Property taxes
- −$1,882
- − Insurance
- −$1,350
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,222
- − Management
- −$2,222
- − Depreciation
- −$7,852
- Taxable loss
- −$2,871
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$689
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,415/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Grandville Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2616470
- Math proficiency
- 49% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 61% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $58,935
- Composite
- 47.74/100
- National rank
- #2234
- State rank
- #70 of 540 in MI
Livability — Walker
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #188
- US rank
- #4765
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Walker, MI
- County
- Kent County · 533,805 people
- City population
- 33,350
- Metro
- Grand Rapids-Kentwood, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 23,719
- Household income
- $81,657
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 415.0
Population outlook (Kent County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 712,484 people
- By 2030
- 748,618 · +5.1%
- By 2040
- 814,777 · +14.4%
- By 2050
- 868,556 · +21.9%
- By 2075
- 966,487 · +35.7%
- By 2100
- 967,975 · +35.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (87%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 87% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 4% Black 2% Asian 2%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 20% Romanian 12% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 1% Other Indo-European 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Kent
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+5.4) · D 51.8% · R 46.5% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +4.8pp toward D · 2008: 0.5pp · 2024: 5.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+5.4 2020: D+6.1 2016: R+3.1 2012: R+7.9 2008: D+0.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -107.59%
- Current HPI
- 270.866
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 7.87%
- Metro
- Grand Rapids-Kentwood, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
+0.0% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-19 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2026-04-19 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-04-19 Pending — SW Michigan MLS
- 2026-04-13 Listed $269,900 SW Michigan MLS
- 2026-04-13 Listed $269,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-04-13 Listed $269,900 REALCOMP
Property tax history
+2.4%/yrLatest (2025): $1,882 · -8.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…