5419 Golfview Dr · Pike Creek Valley, DE
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $476 – $884
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.1/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +7.1/10.0
- 1% rule +4.9/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Schools +3.1/10.0
- Rent growth +3.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$189,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Charming Pike Creek Condo & acirc; & euro; & ldquo; Move-In Ready Welcome to easy, low-maintenance living in the highly sought-after Linden Green community in the heart of Pike Creek. This beautifully refreshed 2-bedroom, 2-bath second-floor condo offers a perfect blend of modern updates, comfort, and peaceful nature views. The home features an updated kitchen, fresh paint, and laminate flooring throughout. The bright living room is filled with natural light and opens to a private balcony overlooking serene views of the former Three Little Bakers Golf Course, offering rare privacy not found in units that back to New Linden Hill Road. The primary bedroom includes generous closet
Key facts
- Serene views
- Private balcony
- Updated kitchen
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $190k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $306 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $188k (0.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $187k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.2% vs local median 4.7% in Pike Creek Valley — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#26 in DE) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, employment A, cost of living B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety D-.
- Red Clay Consolidated School District (suburban): math 27% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #12 of 26 in DE (top 46%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.0%/yr); 126 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 2d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,367 units permitted in New Castle County in 2024 (201 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- New Castle County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 29 days — a 2% lower offer ($187k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $90k; list at $190k implies a 111% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.99% ✗
- Cap rate
- 8.23%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.90%
- DSCR
- 1.31
- GRM
- 8.4
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.02% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -6.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.75×
- Total profit
- $-13,186
- Equity at exit
- $28,315
- IRR
- 1.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.11×
- Total profit
- $5,988
- Equity at exit
- $16,419
Cash invested: $53,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 70 Landlord-Friendly
- State Delaware
- 70 Landlord-Friendly · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 19808
- Rents YoY
- 2.0%
- Active inventory
- 126
- Price-to-rent
- 8.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,885 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$996
- Tax from tax record
- −$108 /mo · $1,296/yr
- Insurance
- −$79
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$396
- Net cashflow
- $306
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $47,475
- Closing costs
- $5,697
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 11 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5501 Limeric Cir Wilmington, DE | 2.0 | 2.0 | 987 | $1,847 | $1.87 | 10d | 1 | 0.13mi |
| 5211 Birch Cir Unit 5211 Wilmington, DE | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,850 | $1.68 | 1d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 4807 Birch Cir Unit 142 Wilmington, DE | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,750 | $1.46 | 1d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 3611 Haley Ct Unit 1 Wilmington, DE | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $1,900 | $1.27 | 17d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 5404 Doral Dr Wilmington, DE | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1225 | $2,000 | $1.63 | 24d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 2112 Sheldon Dr Newark, DE | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 966 | $2,102 | $2.18 | 1d | 23 | 0.60mi |
| 4906 Catamaran Ct Wilmington, DE | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1250 | $1,895 | $1.52 | 44d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 2901 Crossfork Dr Wilmington, DE | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 832 | $2,500 | $3.00 | 2d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 5597 Heritage Court Dr Apt 2B Wilmington, DE | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 707 | $1,535 | $2.17 | 2d | 6 | 1.29mi |
| 5121 W Woodmill Dr Wilmington, DE | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1120 | $1,950 | $1.74 | 44d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 39 Abbey Ln Newark, DE | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 707 | $1,580 | $2.23 | 1d | 11 | 1.34mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $0 · $0/yr
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-16days on market $189,900 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $189,900 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $189,900 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $189,900 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $189,900 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $189,900 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $189,900 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $189,900 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $189,900 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $189,900 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $189,900 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $189,900 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-05-18$189,900 Active
-
2016-08-18soldstatus $90,000
-
2007-04-17soldstatus $130,000
-
2001-08-01soldstatus $63,000
-
1987-01-01soldstatus $51,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast DE · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,296 · $108/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,296 · $108/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,615
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,637
- − Property taxes
- −$1,296
- − Insurance
- −$950
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,809
- − Management
- −$1,809
- − Depreciation
- −$5,524
- Taxable income
- $589
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$141
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,528/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Red Clay Consolidated School District
- NCES district ID
- 1001300
- Math proficiency
- 27% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 42% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $64,298
- Composite
- 31.25/100
- National rank
- #6027
- State rank
- #12 of 26 in DE
Livability — Pike Creek Valley
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #26
- US rank
- #8511
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Pike Creek Valley, DE
- County
- New Castle County · 483,412 people
- Metro
- Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
- Population (ZIP)
- 39,082
- Household income
- $94,234
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 619.0
Population outlook (New Castle County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 594,686 people
- By 2030
- 609,164 · +2.4%
- By 2040
- 632,154 · +6.3%
- By 2050
- 649,068 · +9.1%
- By 2075
- 687,771 · +15.7%
- By 2100
- 694,961 · +16.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (66%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 66% Hispanic / Latino 14% Asian 8% Black 8% Two or more races 7%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7% Puerto Rican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 7% Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 14% · Canada, China, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 80% English-only · Spanish 12% Chinese 3% Other Indo-European 2%
Political lean MEDSL · New Castle
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+32.6) · D 65.5% · R 32.9% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -8.1pp toward R · 2008: 40.6pp · 2024: 32.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+32.6 2020: D+37.1 2016: D+29.6 2012: D+34.1 2008: D+40.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -252.43%
- Current HPI
- 239.0702
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.02%
- Metro
- Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
+272.4% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-18 Listed $189,900 FSBO.com
- 2016-08-18 Sold (Public Records) $90,000 Public Records
- 2007-04-17 Sold (Public Records) $130,000 Public Records
- 2001-08-01 Sold (Public Records) $63,000 Public Records
- 1987-01-01 Sold (Public Records) $51,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.5%/yrLatest (2015): $1,296 · +8.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…