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916 Franciscan St NE
D Composite 43.11
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +12.7/15.0
  • Cash flow +10.4/30.0
  • Schools +5.3/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.7/5.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • DSCR +3.0/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +1.8/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$250,000

916 Franciscan St NE · Albuquerque, NM 87102
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,289 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 224 Days on market
Built 1948 3,484 sqft lot $194/sqft · 14% below area Est $283k · 12% under ↓ 16% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Calling all investors!! Come see this amazing opportunity in the historic Martinez Town neighborhood! MX-L zoning! 3 adjoining properties just under 1/3 of an acre! In close proximity to Old Town, Downtown, hospitals, UNM and 1-40. The possibilities are endless.

Key facts

  • Mx-l zoning
  • 3,484 sq ft lot
  • Built 1948

Tags

HISTORIC MARTINEZ TOWNMX-L ZONING3 ADJOINING PROPERTIESCLOSE PROXIMITY TO OLD TOWNCLOSE PROXIMITY TO DOWNTOWNCLOSE PROXIMITY TO HOSPITALS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $250k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-199 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $215k (14.0% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $170k (31.8% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $170k (31.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.7% vs local median 3.7% in Albuquerque — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 72/100 on livability (#13 in NM) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools D-, crime F.
  • Albuquerque Public Schools (urban): math 51% / reading 75% proficiency, ranked #3 of 29 in NM (top 10%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; 60% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.9%/yr); 143 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,316 units permitted in Bernalillo County in 2024 (546 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $1,705/mo this rent would consume 48% of the median local household income ($43k/yr) (locally 1721% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 224 days — a 12% lower offer ($220k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $49k (16%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1948 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $170,484 (31.8% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 224 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 32% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1948 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  8. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  9. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  10. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  11. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  12. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.68%
Cap rate
5.66%
Cash-on-cash
-2.27%
DSCR
0.90
GRM
12.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$282,911
List price
$250,000
Delta
-11.63%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
916 Franciscan St NE 0.00mi 2/1.0 1,255 (-3%) 1mo $250,000 $199 95
1002 Walter St NE 0.11mi 2/1.0 1,308 (+2%) 1mo $270,000 $206 92
519 Slate Ave NE 0.11mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,296 (+0%) 10mo $232,000 $179 80
1208 3rd St NW 0.53mi 2/1.5 1,258 (-2%) 11mo $129,000 $103 60
510 Mountain Rd NW 0.68mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,242 (-4%) 3mo $325,000 $262 51
715 Kinley Ave NE 0.42mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,128 (-12%) 5mo $289,999 $257 49
1019 5th St NW 0.65mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,196 (-7%) 4mo $305,000 $255 46
520 San Ignacio Ct NE 0.45mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,095 (-15%) 2mo $300,000 $274 44

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.92% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-20.2%
Equity multiple
0.29×
Total profit
$-49,899
Equity at exit
$37,276
10-year hold
IRR
-10.0%
Equity multiple
0.35×
Total profit
$-45,776
Equity at exit
$21,615

Cash invested: $70,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
State New Mexico
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice but with cure rights; relocation assistance in some cities.

ZIP-level market 87102

Rents YoY
4.9%
Active inventory
143
Price-to-rent
12.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,705 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,311
Tax from tax record
$64 /mo · $767/yr
Insurance
$104
Flood insurance flood zone
−$66 /mo · $798/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$358
Net cashflow
$-199

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,956
Max offer price $214,891
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-57 -5% $-128 +0% $-199 +5% $-270 +10% $-340
Rent -10% $-333 -5% $-266 +0% $-199 +5% $-131 +10% $-64
Rate -1.0pp $-73 -0.5pp $-135 base $-199 +0.5pp $-264 +1.0pp $-329

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$62,500
Closing costs
$7,500
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
515 Marble Ave NE Albuquerque, NM 2.0 1.0 980 $1,750 $1.79 44d 1 0.01mi
315 Belvedere Ave SW Albuquerque, NM 2.0 2.0 1026 $1,595 $1.55 24d 1 0.46mi
205 Edith Blvd NE Albuquerque, NM 2.0 2.0 1300 $1,900 $1.46 4d 1 0.51mi
950 4th St NW Unit 310 Albuquerque, NM 2.0 2.0 1010 $1,560 $1.54 44d 1 0.55mi
505 Marble Ave NW Unit 1-F Albuquerque, NM 2.0 2.0 1000 $2,400 $2.40 24d 1 0.66mi
505 Marble Ave NW Albuquerque, NM 2.0 2.0 1000 $2,000 $2.00 44d 1 0.66mi
1501 Indian School Rd NE Albuquerque, NM 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 769 $1,450 $1.89 4d 26 0.76mi
219 Central Ave NW Unit 301 Albuquerque, NM 2.0 2.0 1543 $3,200 $2.07 44d 1 0.76mi
100 Gold Ave SW Albuquerque, NM 1.0 2.0 1100 $1,849 $1.68 4d 1 0.82mi
100 Gold Ave SW #303 Albuquerque, NM 1.0 1.0 1112 $2,000 $1.80 44d 1 0.82mi
706 Fruit Ave NW Apt A Albuquerque, NM 2.0 2.5 925 $1,399 $1.51 44d 1 0.85mi
423 Walter St SE Albuquerque, NM 3.0 2.0 1420 $2,599 $1.83 44d 1 0.87mi
720 Roma Ave NW Albuquerque, NM 2.0 2.0 985 $1,600 $1.62 24d 1 0.87mi
421 High St SE Albuquerque, NM 2.0 2.0 1398 $1,850 $1.32 44d 1 0.88mi
423 High St SE Albuquerque, NM 2.0 2.0 1398 $1,850 $1.32 44d 1 0.88mi
817 Slate Ave NW Albuquerque, NM 2.0 1.0 1200 $1,690 $1.41 24d 1 0.91mi
323 Platinum St SW Albuquerque, NM 2.0 1.5 1232 $1,800 $1.46 44d 1 0.92mi
343 Platinum St SW Unit B Albuquerque, NM 1.0 1.5 1033 $1,800 $1.74 44d 1 0.94mi
404 Prospect Ave NE Unit B Albuquerque, NM 2.0 1.0 900 $1,695 $1.88 15d 1 1.08mi
611 Lead Ave SW Albuquerque, NM 2.0 1.0–2.0 731 $1,699 $2.32 3d 31 1.11mi
1106 Arias Ave NW Albuquerque, NM 2.0 2.0 1296 $2,500 $1.93 44d 1 1.11mi
702 Broadway Blvd SE #8 Albuquerque, NM 2.0 1.5 1071 $1,825 $1.70 3d 1 1.12mi
301 Yale Blvd NE Unit PG3000412 Albuquerque, NM 3.0 1.0 960 $1,600 $1.67 24d 1 1.14mi
877 Silver Ave SW Albuquerque, NM 1.0 1.5 1011 $3,000 $2.97 44d 1 1.16mi
2406 Broadway Blvd NE Apt A Albuquerque, NM 3.0 3.0 1800 $2,150 $1.19 4d 1 1.16mi
1704 Lead Ave SE Unit Lead Ave SE unit 1704 Lead C Albuquerque, NM 2.0 2.0 1000 $1,450 $1.45 44d 1 1.17mi
1704 Lead Ave SE Unit Lead Ave SE unit 1704 Lead C Albuquerque, NM 2.0 2.0 1100 $1,450 $1.32 3d 1 1.17mi
2001 Gold Ave SE Albuquerque, NM 1.0 1.0 845 $1,725 $2.04 44d 3 1.20mi
2001 Gold Ave SE Unit 10 Albuquerque, NM 1.0 1.0 1050 $1,975 $1.88 24d 1 1.20mi
208 13th St NW Unit B Albuquerque, NM 1.0 1.0 1070 $1,350 $1.26 44d 1 1.23mi
815 John St SE Albuquerque, NM 2.0 1.0 930 $1,600 $1.72 44d 1 1.25mi
514 10th St SW Albuquerque, NM 1.0 1.0 1000 $1,200 $1.20 4d 1 1.29mi
1105 Silver Ave SW Unit B Albuquerque, NM 2.0 2.5 1300 $2,200 $1.69 44d 1 1.30mi
915 Iron Ave SW Albuquerque, NM 2.0 1.0 915 $2,000 $2.19 24d 1 1.34mi
601 Menaul Blvd NE Unit 4406 Albuquerque, NM 2.0 2.0 1347 $1,800 $1.34 3d 1 1.37mi
601 Menaul Blvd NE Albuquerque, NM 2.0 2.0 1332 $1,850 $1.39 15d 1 1.39mi
601 Menaul Blvd NE Albuquerque, NM 2.0 2.0 1340 $1,600 $1.19 44d 1 1.39mi
1503 Central Ave NW Unit 108D Albuquerque, NM 1.0 1.0 950 $1,990 $2.09 4d 1 1.40mi
1321 Lobo Pl NE Albuquerque, NM 3.0 2.0 1724 $2,250 $1.31 45d 1 1.41mi
2134 Coal Pl SE Unit PG3000411 Albuquerque, NM 3.0 1.0 1669 $1,750 $1.05 24d 1 1.45mi

Listing history 8 events

  1. 2026-05-10
    status Pending 262-char remark
    Show marketing remark (262 chars)

    Calling all investors!! Come see this amazing opportunity in the historic Martinez Town neighborhood! MX-L zoning! 3 adjoining properties just under 1/3 of an acre! In close proximity to Old Town, Downtown, hospitals, UNM and 1-40. The possibilities are endless.

  2. 2026-04-03
    status Active 262-char remark
    Show marketing remark (262 chars)

    Calling all investors!! Come see this amazing opportunity in the historic Martinez Town neighborhood! MX-L zoning! 3 adjoining properties just under 1/3 of an acre! In close proximity to Old Town, Downtown, hospitals, UNM and 1-40. The possibilities are endless.

  3. 2026-04-03
    price $250,000 262-char remark
    Show marketing remark (262 chars)

    Calling all investors!! Come see this amazing opportunity in the historic Martinez Town neighborhood! MX-L zoning! 3 adjoining properties just under 1/3 of an acre! In close proximity to Old Town, Downtown, hospitals, UNM and 1-40. The possibilities are endless.

  4. 2026-03-27
    status Pending 262-char remark
    Show marketing remark (262 chars)

    Calling all investors!! Come see this amazing opportunity in the historic Martinez Town neighborhood! MX-L zoning! 3 adjoining properties just under 1/3 of an acre! In close proximity to Old Town, Downtown, hospitals, UNM and 1-40. The possibilities are endless.

  5. 2026-02-04
    price $260,000 262-char remark
    Show marketing remark (262 chars)

    Calling all investors!! Come see this amazing opportunity in the historic Martinez Town neighborhood! MX-L zoning! 3 adjoining properties just under 1/3 of an acre! In close proximity to Old Town, Downtown, hospitals, UNM and 1-40. The possibilities are endless.

  6. 2025-05-12
    price $300,000
  7. 2024-10-01
    price $320,000
  8. 2024-08-22
    listed $299,000 Active 262-char remark
    Show marketing remark (262 chars)

    Calling all investors!! Come see this amazing opportunity in the historic Martinez Town neighborhood! MX-L zoning! 3 adjoining properties just under 1/3 of an acre! In close proximity to Old Town, Downtown, hospitals, UNM and 1-40. The possibilities are endless.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NM · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$767 · $64/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,000 · $167/mo
Expected delta
+$1,233/yr (+$103/mo · 160.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 76% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,458
− Mortgage interest
−$14,004
− Property taxes
−$767
− Insurance
−$2,048
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,637
− Management
−$1,637
− Depreciation
−$7,273
Taxable loss
−$6,906
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,658
After-tax cash flow
$-727/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Albuquerque Public Schools
NCES district ID
3500060
Math proficiency
51% ▲ 30.00%
Reading proficiency
75% ▲ 45.00%
Median HH income
$48,151
Composite
53.29/100
National rank
#1487
State rank
#3 of 29 in NM

Livability — Albuquerque

Score
72/100
State rank
#13
US rank
#6219

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety B+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Albuquerque, NM
County
Bernalillo County · 647,165 people
City population
647,165
Metro
Albuquerque, NM
Population (ZIP)
20,123
Household income
$42,990
Rent vs Own
64.6% rent · 35.4% own
Severe rent burden
1721.0

Population outlook (Bernalillo County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
704,528 people
By 2030
711,723 · +1.0%
By 2040
714,522 · +1.4%
By 2050
709,274 · +0.7%
By 2075
680,015 · -3.5%
By 2100
619,879 · -12.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 57% Two or more races 30% White 29% Native American 6% Black 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 35% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
12% · Canada
Languages at home
64% English-only · Spanish 30% Korean 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Bernalillo

2024 margin
Strong D (+21.0) · D 59.2% · R 38.2% · Other 2.6%
2008→2024 swing
-0.3pp no change · 2008: 21.4pp · 2024: 21.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+21.0 2020: D+24.4 2016: D+17.8 2012: D+16.2 2008: D+21.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -208.71%
Current HPI
253.8398
Rent YoY
▲ 4.92%
Metro
Albuquerque, NM
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

-16.4% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-10 Pending Southwest MLS
  • 2026-04-03 Relisted Southwest MLS
  • 2026-04-03 Price Changed $250,000 Southwest MLS
  • 2026-03-27 Pending Southwest MLS
  • 2026-02-04 Price Changed $260,000 Southwest MLS
  • 2025-05-12 Price Changed $300,000 Southwest MLS
  • 2024-10-01 Price Changed $320,000 Southwest MLS
  • 2024-08-22 Listed $299,000 Southwest MLS

Property tax history

-1.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $767 · -24.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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