916 Franciscan St NE · Albuquerque, NM
Flood risk 7/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.76%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $706 – $1,312
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +12.7/15.0
- Cash flow +10.4/30.0
- Schools +5.3/10.0
- Rent growth +3.7/5.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- DSCR +3.0/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +1.8/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$250,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Calling all investors!! Come see this amazing opportunity in the historic Martinez Town neighborhood! MX-L zoning! 3 adjoining properties just under 1/3 of an acre! In close proximity to Old Town, Downtown, hospitals, UNM and 1-40. The possibilities are endless.
Key facts
- Mx-l zoning
- 3,484 sq ft lot
- Built 1948
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $250k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-199 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $215k (14.0% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $170k (31.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $170k (31.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.7% vs local median 3.7% in Albuquerque — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#13 in NM) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools D-, crime F.
- Albuquerque Public Schools (urban): math 51% / reading 75% proficiency, ranked #3 of 29 in NM (top 10%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; 60% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.9%/yr); 143 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,316 units permitted in Bernalillo County in 2024 (546 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,705/mo this rent would consume 48% of the median local household income ($43k/yr) (locally 1721% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 224 days — a 12% lower offer ($220k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $49k (16%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1948 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 224 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 32% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1948 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.68% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.66%
- Cash-on-cash
- -2.27%
- DSCR
- 0.90
- GRM
- 12.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $282,911
- List price
- $250,000
- Delta
- -11.63%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 916 Franciscan St NE | 0.00mi | 2/1.0 | 1,255 (-3%) | 1mo | $250,000 | $199 | 95 |
| 1002 Walter St NE | 0.11mi | 2/1.0 | 1,308 (+2%) | 1mo | $270,000 | $206 | 92 |
| 519 Slate Ave NE | 0.11mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,296 (+0%) | 10mo | $232,000 | $179 | 80 |
| 1208 3rd St NW | 0.53mi | 2/1.5 | 1,258 (-2%) | 11mo | $129,000 | $103 | 60 |
| 510 Mountain Rd NW | 0.68mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,242 (-4%) | 3mo | $325,000 | $262 | 51 |
| 715 Kinley Ave NE | 0.42mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,128 (-12%) | 5mo | $289,999 | $257 | 49 |
| 1019 5th St NW | 0.65mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,196 (-7%) | 4mo | $305,000 | $255 | 46 |
| 520 San Ignacio Ct NE | 0.45mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,095 (-15%) | 2mo | $300,000 | $274 | 44 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.92% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -20.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.29×
- Total profit
- $-49,899
- Equity at exit
- $37,276
- IRR
- -10.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.35×
- Total profit
- $-45,776
- Equity at exit
- $21,615
Cash invested: $70,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
- State New Mexico
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 87102
- Rents YoY
- 4.9%
- Active inventory
- 143
- Price-to-rent
- 12.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,705 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,311
- Tax from tax record
- −$64 /mo · $767/yr
- Insurance
- −$104
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$358
- Net cashflow
- $-199
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-57 | -5% $-128 | +0% $-199 | +5% $-270 | +10% $-340 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-333 | -5% $-266 | +0% $-199 | +5% $-131 | +10% $-64 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-73 | -0.5pp $-135 | base $-199 | +0.5pp $-264 | +1.0pp $-329 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $62,500
- Closing costs
- $7,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 515 Marble Ave NE Albuquerque, NM | 2.0 | 1.0 | 980 | $1,750 | $1.79 | 44d | 1 | 0.01mi |
| 315 Belvedere Ave SW Albuquerque, NM | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1026 | $1,595 | $1.55 | 24d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 205 Edith Blvd NE Albuquerque, NM | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $1,900 | $1.46 | 4d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 950 4th St NW Unit 310 Albuquerque, NM | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1010 | $1,560 | $1.54 | 44d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 505 Marble Ave NW Unit 1-F Albuquerque, NM | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $2,400 | $2.40 | 24d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 505 Marble Ave NW Albuquerque, NM | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $2,000 | $2.00 | 44d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 1501 Indian School Rd NE Albuquerque, NM | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 769 | $1,450 | $1.89 | 4d | 26 | 0.76mi |
| 219 Central Ave NW Unit 301 Albuquerque, NM | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1543 | $3,200 | $2.07 | 44d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 100 Gold Ave SW Albuquerque, NM | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,849 | $1.68 | 4d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 100 Gold Ave SW #303 Albuquerque, NM | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1112 | $2,000 | $1.80 | 44d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 706 Fruit Ave NW Apt A Albuquerque, NM | 2.0 | 2.5 | 925 | $1,399 | $1.51 | 44d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 423 Walter St SE Albuquerque, NM | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1420 | $2,599 | $1.83 | 44d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 720 Roma Ave NW Albuquerque, NM | 2.0 | 2.0 | 985 | $1,600 | $1.62 | 24d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 421 High St SE Albuquerque, NM | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1398 | $1,850 | $1.32 | 44d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 423 High St SE Albuquerque, NM | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1398 | $1,850 | $1.32 | 44d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 817 Slate Ave NW Albuquerque, NM | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,690 | $1.41 | 24d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 323 Platinum St SW Albuquerque, NM | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1232 | $1,800 | $1.46 | 44d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 343 Platinum St SW Unit B Albuquerque, NM | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1033 | $1,800 | $1.74 | 44d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 404 Prospect Ave NE Unit B Albuquerque, NM | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,695 | $1.88 | 15d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 611 Lead Ave SW Albuquerque, NM | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 731 | $1,699 | $2.32 | 3d | 31 | 1.11mi |
| 1106 Arias Ave NW Albuquerque, NM | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1296 | $2,500 | $1.93 | 44d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 702 Broadway Blvd SE #8 Albuquerque, NM | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1071 | $1,825 | $1.70 | 3d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 301 Yale Blvd NE Unit PG3000412 Albuquerque, NM | 3.0 | 1.0 | 960 | $1,600 | $1.67 | 24d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 877 Silver Ave SW Albuquerque, NM | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1011 | $3,000 | $2.97 | 44d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 2406 Broadway Blvd NE Apt A Albuquerque, NM | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1800 | $2,150 | $1.19 | 4d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 1704 Lead Ave SE Unit Lead Ave SE unit 1704 Lead C Albuquerque, NM | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,450 | $1.45 | 44d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 1704 Lead Ave SE Unit Lead Ave SE unit 1704 Lead C Albuquerque, NM | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,450 | $1.32 | 3d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 2001 Gold Ave SE Albuquerque, NM | 1.0 | 1.0 | 845 | $1,725 | $2.04 | 44d | 3 | 1.20mi |
| 2001 Gold Ave SE Unit 10 Albuquerque, NM | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $1,975 | $1.88 | 24d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 208 13th St NW Unit B Albuquerque, NM | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1070 | $1,350 | $1.26 | 44d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 815 John St SE Albuquerque, NM | 2.0 | 1.0 | 930 | $1,600 | $1.72 | 44d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 514 10th St SW Albuquerque, NM | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,200 | $1.20 | 4d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 1105 Silver Ave SW Unit B Albuquerque, NM | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1300 | $2,200 | $1.69 | 44d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 915 Iron Ave SW Albuquerque, NM | 2.0 | 1.0 | 915 | $2,000 | $2.19 | 24d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 601 Menaul Blvd NE Unit 4406 Albuquerque, NM | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1347 | $1,800 | $1.34 | 3d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 601 Menaul Blvd NE Albuquerque, NM | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1332 | $1,850 | $1.39 | 15d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 601 Menaul Blvd NE Albuquerque, NM | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1340 | $1,600 | $1.19 | 44d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 1503 Central Ave NW Unit 108D Albuquerque, NM | 1.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,990 | $2.09 | 4d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 1321 Lobo Pl NE Albuquerque, NM | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1724 | $2,250 | $1.31 | 45d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 2134 Coal Pl SE Unit PG3000411 Albuquerque, NM | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1669 | $1,750 | $1.05 | 24d | 1 | 1.45mi |
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-05-10status Pending 262-char remark
Show marketing remark (262 chars)
Calling all investors!! Come see this amazing opportunity in the historic Martinez Town neighborhood! MX-L zoning! 3 adjoining properties just under 1/3 of an acre! In close proximity to Old Town, Downtown, hospitals, UNM and 1-40. The possibilities are endless.
-
2026-04-03status Active 262-char remark
Show marketing remark (262 chars)
Calling all investors!! Come see this amazing opportunity in the historic Martinez Town neighborhood! MX-L zoning! 3 adjoining properties just under 1/3 of an acre! In close proximity to Old Town, Downtown, hospitals, UNM and 1-40. The possibilities are endless.
-
2026-04-03price $250,000 262-char remark
Show marketing remark (262 chars)
Calling all investors!! Come see this amazing opportunity in the historic Martinez Town neighborhood! MX-L zoning! 3 adjoining properties just under 1/3 of an acre! In close proximity to Old Town, Downtown, hospitals, UNM and 1-40. The possibilities are endless.
-
2026-03-27status Pending 262-char remark
Show marketing remark (262 chars)
Calling all investors!! Come see this amazing opportunity in the historic Martinez Town neighborhood! MX-L zoning! 3 adjoining properties just under 1/3 of an acre! In close proximity to Old Town, Downtown, hospitals, UNM and 1-40. The possibilities are endless.
-
2026-02-04price $260,000 262-char remark
Show marketing remark (262 chars)
Calling all investors!! Come see this amazing opportunity in the historic Martinez Town neighborhood! MX-L zoning! 3 adjoining properties just under 1/3 of an acre! In close proximity to Old Town, Downtown, hospitals, UNM and 1-40. The possibilities are endless.
-
2025-05-12price $300,000
-
2024-10-01price $320,000
-
2024-08-22$299,000 Active 262-char remark
Show marketing remark (262 chars)
Calling all investors!! Come see this amazing opportunity in the historic Martinez Town neighborhood! MX-L zoning! 3 adjoining properties just under 1/3 of an acre! In close proximity to Old Town, Downtown, hospitals, UNM and 1-40. The possibilities are endless.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NM · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $767 · $64/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,000 · $167/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,233/yr (+$103/mo · 160.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 76% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,458
- − Mortgage interest
- −$14,004
- − Property taxes
- −$767
- − Insurance
- −$2,048
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,637
- − Management
- −$1,637
- − Depreciation
- −$7,273
- Taxable loss
- −$6,906
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,658
- After-tax cash flow
- $-727/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Albuquerque Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3500060
- Math proficiency
- 51% ▲ 30.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 75% ▲ 45.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,151
- Composite
- 53.29/100
- National rank
- #1487
- State rank
- #3 of 29 in NM
Livability — Albuquerque
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #13
- US rank
- #6219
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Albuquerque, NM
- County
- Bernalillo County · 647,165 people
- City population
- 647,165
- Metro
- Albuquerque, NM
- Population (ZIP)
- 20,123
- Household income
- $42,990
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1721.0
Population outlook (Bernalillo County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 704,528 people
- By 2030
- 711,723 · +1.0%
- By 2040
- 714,522 · +1.4%
- By 2050
- 709,274 · +0.7%
- By 2075
- 680,015 · -3.5%
- By 2100
- 619,879 · -12.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 57% Two or more races 30% White 29% Native American 6% Black 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 35% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 12% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 64% English-only · Spanish 30% Korean 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Bernalillo
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+21.0) · D 59.2% · R 38.2% · Other 2.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -0.3pp no change · 2008: 21.4pp · 2024: 21.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+21.0 2020: D+24.4 2016: D+17.8 2012: D+16.2 2008: D+21.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -208.71%
- Current HPI
- 253.8398
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.92%
- Metro
- Albuquerque, NM
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
-16.4% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-10 Pending — Southwest MLS
- 2026-04-03 Relisted — Southwest MLS
- 2026-04-03 Price Changed $250,000 Southwest MLS
- 2026-03-27 Pending — Southwest MLS
- 2026-02-04 Price Changed $260,000 Southwest MLS
- 2025-05-12 Price Changed $300,000 Southwest MLS
- 2024-10-01 Price Changed $320,000 Southwest MLS
- 2024-08-22 Listed $299,000 Southwest MLS
Property tax history
-1.9%/yrLatest (2025): $767 · -24.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…