11208 Chicago Ave · Sugar Creek, MO
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,054 – $1,958
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.3/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +7.1/10.0
- 1% rule +5.3/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Schools +2.7/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$135,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This is a great investment property opportunity in the quiet downtown area of Sugar Creek. 1.5 story fixer upper! 3 bedroom, 1 bath. Approximately 1,250 square feet. Corporate Owned Selling As Is.
Key facts
- 0.4 acre lot
- Built 1910
- Listed 4 days
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Other parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residential; Bungalow style; Approximately 1,250 above-grade finished area; Property age: 101 years or more
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Composition roof
- Exterior features: 0.4-acre lot
Interior
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Electric cooling
- Interior features: Bungalow floor plan; Basement with stone/rock finish
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $135k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $223 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $135k).
- Cap rate 8.3% vs local median 5.2% in Sugar Creek — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#261 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A-, commute B; Watch: crime F, amenities F, employment F.
- Independence 30 (suburban): math 26% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #252 of 324 in MO (top 78%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Abraham Mallinson Elementary (math 20% / reading 34%, grade F, #850 of 1,115 statewide, top 78%, 272 students, 80% FRL); Van Horn High (math 13% / reading 27%, grade F, #472 of 521 statewide, top 91%, 1,047 students, 72% FRL) — zoned schools average 76% FRL vs 58% district-wide (18 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 24 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 17d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 4,002 units permitted in Jackson County in 2024 (2,271 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $933 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Jackson County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 4 sale attempts since 20y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.03% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.27%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.08%
- DSCR
- 1.31
- GRM
- 8.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $163,065
- List price
- $135,000
- Delta
- -17.21%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11208 Chicago Ave | 0.00mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,250 (-0%) | 0mo | $135,000 | $108 | 94 |
| 11225 Felton St | 0.34mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,300 (+4%) | 2mo | $299,000 | $230 | 68 |
| 911 N High St | 0.17mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,321 (+5%) | 12mo | $180,000 | $136 | 66 |
| 11407 Burton St | 0.24mi | 2/2.0 | 1,135 (-10%) | 10mo | $185,000 | $163 | 60 |
| 11534 Gill St | 0.38mi | 2/1.5 | 1,100 (-12%) | 3mo | $175,000 | $159 | 57 |
| 107 S Claremont Ave | 0.43mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,342 (+7%) | 3mo | $199,900 | $149 | 57 |
| 224 S Sterling Ave | 0.62mi | 2/2.0 | 1,240 (-1%) | 12mo | $205,000 | $165 | 55 |
| 10503 E Scarritt Ave | 0.54mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,190 (-5%) | 8mo | $79,900 | $67 | 55 |
| 11813 & 11815 E Scarritt Ave | 0.61mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,326 (+6%) | 1mo | $235,000 | $177 | 52 |
| 11800 Henry St | 0.64mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,214 (-3%) | 5mo | $175,000 | $144 | 51 |
| 11907 E Kentucky Ave | 0.69mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,350 (+8%) | 12mo | $310,000 | $230 | 36 |
| 511 S Hedges St | 0.75mi | 2/2.0 | 1,410 (+12%) | 19mo | $155,000 | $110 | 25 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -5.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.80×
- Total profit
- $-7,695
- Equity at exit
- $20,129
- IRR
- 4.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.30×
- Total profit
- $11,512
- Equity at exit
- $11,672
Cash invested: $37,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Missouri
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 64054
- Home prices YoY
- -4.4%
- Active inventory
- 24
- Price-to-rent
- 8.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,385 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$708
- Tax from tax record
- −$107 /mo · $1,289/yr
- Insurance
- −$56
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$291
- Net cashflow
- $223
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $33,750
- Closing costs
- $4,050
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 14 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11500 E Anderson St Independence, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,599 | $1.33 | 17d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 182 Novak St Sugar Creek, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1350 | $1,800 | $1.33 | 17d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 11323 E Thompson St Sugar Creek, MO | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1794 | $1,800 | $1.00 | 12d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 11601 E US Highway 24 Apt DA Independence, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,400 | $1.56 | 43d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 2522 N River Blvd Independence, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 910 | $1,495 | $1.64 | 4d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 1214 N Union St Independence, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 912 | $975 | $1.07 | 43d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 100 S Oxford Ave Independence, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1141 | $1,425 | $1.25 | 44d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 10522 E 10th St S Independence, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1020 | $1,099 | $1.08 | 23d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 1109 S Appleton Ave Independence, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,195 | $1.00 | 16d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 10104 E Golf Ave Independence, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1205 | $1,395 | $1.16 | 14d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 1207 N McCoy St Independence, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 972 | $1,295 | $1.33 | 7d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 576 S Oxford Ave Independence, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1098 | $1,400 | $1.28 | 43d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 600 S Glenwood Ave Unit G-2 Independence, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1600 | $1,650 | $1.03 | 21d | 1 | 1.48mi |
| 3407 N Pleasant St Independence, MO | 3.0 | 1.5 | 905 | $1,400 | $1.55 | 3d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-05-13status Pending 761-char remark
-
2026-05-09$135,000 Active 761-char remark
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2026-05-05historical $135,000 761-char remark
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2022-04-13price $1,195
-
2022-02-18soldstatus
-
2021-09-14soldstatus
-
2021-09-13soldstatus Closed 197-char remark
Show marketing remark (197 chars)
This is a great investment property opportunity in the quiet downtown area of Sugar Creek. 1.5 story fixer upper! 3 bedroom, 1 bath. Approximately 1,250 square feet. Corporate Owned Selling As Is.
-
2021-07-11status Pending 197-char remark
Show marketing remark (197 chars)
This is a great investment property opportunity in the quiet downtown area of Sugar Creek. 1.5 story fixer upper! 3 bedroom, 1 bath. Approximately 1,250 square feet. Corporate Owned Selling As Is.
-
2021-07-10$55,000 Active 197-char remark
Show marketing remark (197 chars)
This is a great investment property opportunity in the quiet downtown area of Sugar Creek. 1.5 story fixer upper! 3 bedroom, 1 bath. Approximately 1,250 square feet. Corporate Owned Selling As Is.
-
2012-03-23historical
Show marketing remark (110 chars)
Needs some repairs and updates. This is FannieMae HomePath property can be pruchased for as little as 3% down.
-
2012-01-10$29,900
Show marketing remark (110 chars)
Needs some repairs and updates. This is FannieMae HomePath property can be pruchased for as little as 3% down.
-
2010-09-01soldstatus
-
2006-12-29soldstatus
-
2006-10-11$34,900
-
1993-08-30soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,289 · $107/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,310 · $109/mo
- Expected delta
- +$21/yr (+$2/mo · 1.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,626
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,562
- − Property taxes
- −$1,289
- − Insurance
- −$675
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,330
- − Management
- −$1,330
- − Depreciation
- −$3,927
- Taxable income
- $512
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$123
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,552/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Independence 30
- NCES district ID
- 2915480
- Math proficiency
- 26% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 38% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,843
- Composite
- 27.04/100
- National rank
- #7054
- State rank
- #252 of 324 in MO
Livability — Sugar Creek
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #261
- US rank
- #12484
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Sugar Creek, MO
- County
- Jackson County · 687,798 people
- City population
- 3,547
- Metro
- Kansas City, MO-KS
- Population (ZIP)
- 3,547
- Household income
- $59,719
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 76.0
Population outlook (Jackson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 719,589 people
- By 2030
- 731,456 · +1.6%
- By 2040
- 746,689 · +3.8%
- By 2050
- 749,289 · +4.1%
- By 2075
- 736,227 · +2.3%
- By 2100
- 668,210 · -7.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (80%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 80% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 8% Black 4% Pacific Islander 3% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 7% Lithuanian 5% Slovak 3%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Jackson
- 2024 margin
- D (+19.3) · D 58.9% · R 39.5% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -6.1pp toward R · 2008: 25.4pp · 2024: 19.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+19.3 2020: D+22.0 2016: D+16.6 2012: D+19.0 2008: D+25.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -14.28%
- Current HPI
- 310.9216
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Kansas City, MO-KS
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.84%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $163B |
|
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| Insurance | 1 | $21B |
|
||
| Industrial Technology | 1 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $16B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $10B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
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Price history
+286.8% since first listed16 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-18 Sold (MLS) — Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-13 Pending — Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-09 Listed $135,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-05 Coming Soon $135,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-04-13 Price Changed $1,195 RENT.
- 2022-02-18 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2021-09-14 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2021-09-13 Sold (MLS) — Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-07-11 Pending — Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-07-10 Listed $55,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2012-03-23 Listing Removed — Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2012-01-10 Listed $29,900 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2010-09-01 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2006-12-29 Sold (MLS) — Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2006-10-11 Listed $34,900 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1993-08-30 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+3.8%/yrLatest (2025): $1,289 · -34.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…