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3211 7th St
D+ Composite 48.89
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +20.5/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +6.5/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$110,000

3211 7th St · Rockford, IL 61109
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 920 sqft · SingleFamily · 7 Days on market
Built 1940 6,098 sqft lot $120/sqft · 57% above area

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Fully updated 2-bedroom, 1-bath ranch offering 920 sq ft of move-in ready living space-perfect for a first-time homebuyer or rental investment opportunity! This home features fresh paint throughout, all new laminate flooring, and a completely updated kitchen. Major improvements completed in 2026 include new windows, siding, A/C, and garage door opener, providing low-maintenance living and peace of mind for years to come. Enjoy the fenced-in yard, ideal for pets, play, or outdoor entertaining. Turnkey and ready for immediate occupancy-don't miss this opportunity to own an affordable, fully refreshed home!

Key facts

  • 6,098 sq ft lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1940

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Annual property tax: $1,248

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached 2-car garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single family residence; Residential property
  • Exterior features: Shingle roof; 0.14-acre lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Gas cooktop; Refrigerator
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (main level)
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Gas cooktop; Refrigerator; Gas water heater; Crawl space basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $110k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $145 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $110k).
  • Cap rate 7.9% vs local median 6.1% in Rockford — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 62/100 on livability (#876 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Rockford SD 205 (urban): math 12% / reading 16% proficiency, ranked #533 of 620 in IL (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 73% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Riverdahl Elem School (math 2% / reading 2%, grade F, #1,927 of 2,056 statewide, top 100%, 561 students, 0% FRL); Rockford Envrnmntl Science Acad (math 0% / reading 7%, grade F, #652 of 665 statewide, top 98%, 1,051 students, 0% FRL); Jefferson High School (math 3% / reading 9%, grade F, #608 of 693 statewide, top 88%, 2,114 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 73% district-wide (73 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: 84 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 78% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 285 units permitted in Winnebago County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $761 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Winnebago County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $110,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.00%
Cap rate
7.88%
Cash-on-cash
5.66%
DSCR
1.25
GRM
8.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$70,263
List price
$110,000
Delta
56.55%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3211 7th St 0.00mi 2/1.0 920 (0%) 0mo $114,000 $124 100
614 Kennon Rd 0.34mi 2/1.0 960 (+4%) 9mo $115,000 $120 69
3016 7th St 0.19mi 3/1.0 (+1) 836 (-9%) 4mo $128,000 $153 68
826 Barnum Rd 0.18mi 3/1.0 (+1) 989 (+8%) 8mo $185,000 $187 67
827 Sawyer Rd 0.12mi 2/1.0 786 (-15%) 5mo $73,000 $93 66
3126 8th St 0.13mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,000 (+9%) 10mo $95,000 $95 66
820 Brooke Rd 0.32mi 3/2.0 (+1) 950 (+3%) 11mo $60,000 $63 62
2817 9th St 0.53mi 3/2.0 (+1) 874 (-5%) 1mo $149,900 $172 57
2930 11th St 0.58mi 2/1.0 832 (-10%) 1mo $120,000 $144 56
1729 Johnson Ave 0.69mi 2/1.0 887 (-4%) 9mo $118,000 $133 54
412 Brooke Rd 0.63mi 2/1.0 973 (+6%) 11mo $95,000 $98 52
2837 10th St 0.55mi 2/1.0 816 (-11%) 5mo $30,000 $37 51

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-7.5%
Equity multiple
0.72×
Total profit
$-8,575
Equity at exit
$16,401
10-year hold
IRR
2.0%
Equity multiple
1.14×
Total profit
$4,433
Equity at exit
$9,511

Cash invested: $30,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 61109

Home prices YoY
-19.7%
Active inventory
84
Price-to-rent
8.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,104 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$577
Tax from tax record
$104 /mo · $1,248/yr
Insurance
$46
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$232
Net cashflow
$145

Break-even live

Break-even rent $920
Max offer price $110,000
Occupancy floor 82%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$27,500
Closing costs
$3,300
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 9 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2846 Lapey St Rockford, IL 1.0 1.0 700 $800 $1.14 44d 1 0.56mi
1213 39th Ave Rockford, IL 1.0 1.0 800 $900 $1.12 21d 1 1.06mi
1418 22nd Ave Rockford, IL 2.0 1.0 950 $1,200 $1.26 44d 1 1.14mi
1209 21st Pl Rockford, IL 2.0 1.0 1040 $1,350 $1.30 44d 1 1.14mi
1420 22nd Ave Rockford, IL 2.0 1.0 950 $1,200 $1.26 44d 1 1.14mi
1211 21st Pl Rockford, IL 2.0 1.0 1040 $1,350 $1.30 44d 1 1.14mi
2010 Kishwaukee St Unit 20102-N Rockford, IL 1.0 1.0 1000 $875 $0.88 44d 1 1.37mi
2208 Christina St Rockford, IL 2.0 1.0 700 $1,300 $1.86 21d 1 1.44mi
914 18th Ave Rockford, IL 2.0 1.0 1123 $900 $0.80 44d 1 1.45mi

Listing history 4 events

  1. 2026-05-07
    status Pending 611-char remark
    Show marketing remark (611 chars)

    Fully updated 2-bedroom, 1-bath ranch offering 920 sq ft of move-in ready living space-perfect for a first-time homebuyer or rental investment opportunity! This home features fresh paint throughout, all new laminate flooring, and a completely updated kitchen. Major improvements completed in 2026 include new windows, siding, A/C, and garage door opener, providing low-maintenance living and peace of mind for years to come. Enjoy the fenced-in yard, ideal for pets, play, or outdoor entertaining. Turnkey and ready for immediate occupancy-don't miss this opportunity to own an affordable, fully refreshed home!

  2. 2026-05-07
    status Pending 629-char remark
    Show marketing remark (611 chars)

    Fully updated 2-bedroom, 1-bath ranch offering 920 sq ft of move-in ready living space-perfect for a first-time homebuyer or rental investment opportunity! This home features fresh paint throughout, all new laminate flooring, and a completely updated kitchen. Major improvements completed in 2026 include new windows, siding, A/C, and garage door opener, providing low-maintenance living and peace of mind for years to come. Enjoy the fenced-in yard, ideal for pets, play, or outdoor entertaining. Turnkey and ready for immediate occupancy-don't miss this opportunity to own an affordable, fully refreshed home!

  3. 2026-04-30
    listed $110,000 Active 611-char remark
    Show marketing remark (611 chars)

    Fully updated 2-bedroom, 1-bath ranch offering 920 sq ft of move-in ready living space-perfect for a first-time homebuyer or rental investment opportunity! This home features fresh paint throughout, all new laminate flooring, and a completely updated kitchen. Major improvements completed in 2026 include new windows, siding, A/C, and garage door opener, providing low-maintenance living and peace of mind for years to come. Enjoy the fenced-in yard, ideal for pets, play, or outdoor entertaining. Turnkey and ready for immediate occupancy-don't miss this opportunity to own an affordable, fully refreshed home!

  4. 2026-04-30
    listed $110,000 Active 629-char remark
    Show marketing remark (611 chars)

    Fully updated 2-bedroom, 1-bath ranch offering 920 sq ft of move-in ready living space-perfect for a first-time homebuyer or rental investment opportunity! This home features fresh paint throughout, all new laminate flooring, and a completely updated kitchen. Major improvements completed in 2026 include new windows, siding, A/C, and garage door opener, providing low-maintenance living and peace of mind for years to come. Enjoy the fenced-in yard, ideal for pets, play, or outdoor entertaining. Turnkey and ready for immediate occupancy-don't miss this opportunity to own an affordable, fully refreshed home!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,248 · $104/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,873 · $156/mo
Expected delta
+$624/yr (+$52/mo · 50.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,246
− Mortgage interest
−$6,162
− Property taxes
−$1,248
− Insurance
−$550
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,060
− Management
−$1,060
− Depreciation
−$3,200
Taxable loss
−$34
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$8
After-tax cash flow
$1,752/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Rockford SD 205
NCES district ID
1734510
Math proficiency
12% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
16% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$42,533
Composite
12.21/100
National rank
#9649
State rank
#533 of 620 in IL

Livability — Rockford

Score
62/100
State rank
#876
US rank
#17035

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Rockford, IL
County
Winnebago County · 147,297 people
City population
147,297
Metro
Rockford, IL
Population (ZIP)
26,768
Household income
$62,973
Rent vs Own
35.8% rent · 64.2% own
Severe rent burden
941.0

Population outlook (Winnebago County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
271,080 people
By 2030
260,684 · -3.8%
By 2040
238,405 · -12.1%
By 2050
216,129 · -20.3%
By 2075
172,882 · -36.2%
By 2100
135,336 · -50.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
Race & ethnicity
White 57% Hispanic / Latino 21% Black 13% Two or more races 11% Asian 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 17% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Slovak 2% Portuguese 2%
Foreign-born
13% · Canada, Philippines, China
Languages at home
79% English-only · Spanish 16% Other Asian/Pacific 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Winnebago

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 49.5% · R 49.0% · Other 1.5%
2008→2024 swing
-12.2pp toward R · 2008: 12.8pp · 2024: 0.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+0.6 2020: D+2.5 2016: R+1.2 2012: D+5.7 2008: D+12.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -72.42%
Current HPI
296.0019
Rent YoY
Metro
Rockford, IL
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+3.6% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-09 Sold (MLS) $114,000 NWIAR
  • 2026-06-09 Sold (MLS) $114,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-07 Pending MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-07 Pending NWIAR
  • 2026-04-30 Listed $110,000 NWIAR
  • 2026-04-30 Listed $110,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+1.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,248 · +12.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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