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215 Woodard Ave
D+ Composite 49.81
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.2/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +4.7/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.8/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Schools +2.9/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.3/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$219,000

215 Woodard Ave · Cleburne, TX 76033
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 2,046 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 16 Days on market
Built 1952 10,803 sqft lot Est $305k · 28% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Affordable brick home just waiting for you and your family. Three bedrooms, two bathrooms, master bedroom. Living room, den, and a nook that would be perfect for an office. This home has plenty of room for a growing family, and the possibilities are endless. Nice large backyard with a slab to use for an open patio, and a 2 car carport. Located in a nice neighborhood not far from schools, or town. Don't miss out on this gem! Buyer will have to get a survey. installing new central heat and air before closing and. new electrical panel.

Key facts

  • 2 car carport
  • Open patio
  • Large backyard

Tags

BRICK HOMEEXTRA ROOMLARGE BACKYARDOPEN PATIO2 CAR CARPORTNICE NEIGHBORHOOD

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Accepts cash and conventional financing; No second mortgage
  • HOA & community: No homeowners association

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached carport; 2 covered parking spaces; 2 carport spaces
  • Utilities: City water; City sewer; No municipal utility district
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Residential property
  • Construction: Built in 1952; Brick and siding exterior; Composition roof; Slab foundation
  • Exterior features: Chain link fencing; Few trees on the lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Gas range
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms (both on the main level)
  • Flooring: Carpet; Laminate
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning (electric)
  • Interior features: Two living areas; One dining area; Other interior features
  • Laundry & utility: Utility room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $219k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $77 ($925/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $193k (11.7% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $193k (11.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.7% vs local median 3.6% in Cleburne — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 68/100 on livability (#460 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Cleburne ISD (town): math 34% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #537 of 826 in TX (top 65%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Cooke El (math 39% / reading 31%, grade F, #1,965 of 4,322 statewide, top 46%, 630 students, 84% FRL); Ad Wheat Middle (math 31% / reading 29%, grade F, #1,056 of 1,662 statewide, top 65%, 703 students, 76% FRL); Cleburne H S (math 46% / reading 38%, grade F, #730 of 1,632 statewide, top 47%, 1,976 students, 67% FRL) — zoned schools average 76% FRL vs 56% district-wide (20 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.8%/yr); 665 active listings in the ZIP; 13 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 27d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 2,152 units permitted in Johnson County in 2024 (76 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($76k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Johnson County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 16 days — a 2% lower offer ($216k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1952 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $193,280 (11.7% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1952 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.88%
Cap rate
6.72%
Cash-on-cash
1.51%
DSCR
1.07
GRM
9.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$304,854
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1016 Sheridan Ln 0.38mi 3/2.0 2,070 (+1%) 3mo $264,999 $128 74
1215 Poindexter Ave 0.34mi 3/2.0 1,937 (-5%) 7mo $195,000 $101 65
422 W Wilson St 0.34mi 3/2.0 1,745 (-15%) 4mo $239,500 $137 53
1419 Quail Creek Dr 0.59mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,958 (-4%) 5mo $339,711 $173 52
905 Mcanear St 0.63mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,958 (-4%) 4mo $350,000 $179 51
1102 Lena St 0.51mi 3/2.0 1,791 (-12%) 4mo $270,000 $151 48
1410 Quail Creek Dr 0.56mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,852 (-10%) 3mo $330,892 $179 46
605 N Buffalo Ave 0.58mi 3/2.5 1,881 (-8%) 10mo $192,960 $103 45
1400 Dry Creek Dr 0.50mi 3/2.0 1,784 (-13%) 8mo $335,861 $188 45
109 Driftwood Dr 0.54mi 4/2.5 (+1) 2,208 (+8%) 11mo $329,990 $149 42
114 S Field St 0.72mi 3/2.0 1,800 (-12%) 1mo $249,900 $139 41
405 Odell St 0.69mi 3/2.0 1,765 (-14%) 2mo $179,900 $102 39

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-17.2%
Equity multiple
0.41×
Total profit
$-36,252
Equity at exit
$32,654
10-year hold
IRR
-15.7%
Equity multiple
0.23×
Total profit
$-47,176
Equity at exit
$18,935

Cash invested: $61,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 76033

Rents YoY
-0.8%
Active inventory
665
Price-to-rent
9.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,933 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,148
Tax from tax record
$210 /mo · $2,521/yr
Insurance
$91
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$406
Net cashflow
$77

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,835
Max offer price $219,000
Occupancy floor 91%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $201 -5% $139 +0% $77 +5% $15 +10% $-47
Rent -10% $-76 -5% $1 +0% $77 +5% $153 +10% $230
Rate -1.0pp $187 -0.5pp $133 base $77 +0.5pp $20 +1.0pp $-37

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$54,750
Closing costs
$6,570
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 13 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
405 Madison St Unit Na Cleburne, TX 3.0 2.0 1645 $1,975 $1.20 45d 1 0.07mi
805 N Douglas Ave Cleburne, TX 3.0 2.0 1460 $1,999 $1.37 45d 1 0.15mi
413 Shaw St Cleburne, TX 4.0 2.0 1713 $2,100 $1.23 45d 1 0.37mi
1434 Trail Creek Dr Cleburne, TX 3.0–4.0 2.0 2129 $2,350 $1.10 24d 1 0.63mi
1202 Spell Ave Cleburne, TX 3.0 2.0 1482 $1,850 $1.25 14d 1 0.76mi
110 E Wilson St Unit B Cleburne, TX 3.0 2.5 1400 $1,900 $1.36 26d 1 0.78mi
1311 Manor Dr Cleburne, TX 3.0 2.0 1492 $1,825 $1.22 26d 1 0.79mi
226 Seclusion Dr Cleburne, TX 3.0–4.0 2.0 1641 $2,205 $1.34 0d 1 0.80mi
114 Scurlock Ave Cleburne, TX 4.0 2.0 1457 $1,770 $1.21 45d 1 0.82mi
414 Rose Ave Cleburne, TX 4.0 2.0 1763 $2,214 $1.26 4d 1 0.83mi
404 Rose Ave Cleburne, TX 4.0 2.0 1763 $2,225 $1.26 1d 1 0.84mi
704 S Anglin St Cleburne, TX 4.0 3.0 2000 $2,110 $1.05 26d 1 1.20mi
1409 Courtney Pl Unit C Cleburne, TX 3.0 1.5 1400 $1,300 $0.93 26d 1 1.34mi

Listing history 12 events

  1. 2026-06-22
    remarks 538-char remark
  2. 2026-06-22
    pricestatus $219,000 Active 16 DOM
  3. 2026-06-21
    days on market $194,900 Active Option Contract 16 DOM
  4. 2026-06-18
    days on market $194,900 Active Option Contract 13 DOM
  5. 2026-06-17
    days on market $194,900 Active Option Contract 12 DOM
  6. 2026-06-16
    days on market $194,900 Active Option Contract 11 DOM
  7. 2026-06-15
    days on market $194,900 Active Option Contract 10 DOM
  8. 2026-06-13
    statusdays on market $194,900 Active Option Contract 8 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $194,900 Active 4 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $194,900 Active 3 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    remarks 523-char remark
  12. 2026-06-07
    listed $194,900 Active 2 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,521 · $210/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,008 · $334/mo
Expected delta
+$1,486/yr (+$124/mo · 58.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$23,194
− Mortgage interest
−$12,267
− Property taxes
−$2,521
− Insurance
−$1,095
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,855
− Management
−$1,855
− Depreciation
−$6,371
Taxable loss
−$2,772
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$665
After-tax cash flow
$1,590/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Cleburne ISD
NCES district ID
4814310
Math proficiency
34% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
33% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$48,788
Composite
29.0/100
National rank
#6618
State rank
#537 of 826 in TX

Livability — Cleburne

Score
68/100
State rank
#460
US rank
#9292

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B- Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Cleburne, TX
County
Johnson County · 147,987 people
City population
29,538
Metro
Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
Population (ZIP)
29,538
Household income
$76,292
Rent vs Own
37.4% rent · 62.6% own
Severe rent burden
927.0

Population outlook (Johnson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
179,678 people
By 2030
189,208 · +5.3%
By 2040
207,261 · +15.4%
By 2050
223,064 · +24.1%
By 2075
259,979 · +44.7%
By 2100
275,395 · +53.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (64%)
Race & ethnicity
White 64% Hispanic / Latino 26% Two or more races 15% Black 4% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 23%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Italian 2% Portuguese 1%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada, Guatemala, Vietnam
Languages at home
81% English-only · Spanish 17% Other Asian/Pacific 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Johnson

2024 margin
Solid R (+51.4) · D 23.9% · R 75.3%
2008→2024 swing
-3.9pp toward R · 2008: -47.5pp · 2024: -51.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+51.4 2020: R+53.0 2016: R+58.3 2012: R+55.6 2008: R+47.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -202.75%
Current HPI
246.0029
Rent YoY
▼ -0.83%
Metro
Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-06-05 Listed $194,900 NTREIS

Property tax history

+4.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,521 · +1.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…