215 Woodard Ave · Cleburne, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.2/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +4.7/10.0
- 1% rule +3.8/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Schools +2.9/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.3/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$219,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Affordable brick home just waiting for you and your family. Three bedrooms, two bathrooms, master bedroom. Living room, den, and a nook that would be perfect for an office. This home has plenty of room for a growing family, and the possibilities are endless. Nice large backyard with a slab to use for an open patio, and a 2 car carport. Located in a nice neighborhood not far from schools, or town. Don't miss out on this gem! Buyer will have to get a survey. installing new central heat and air before closing and. new electrical panel.
Key facts
- 2 car carport
- Open patio
- Large backyard
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Accepts cash and conventional financing; No second mortgage
- HOA & community: No homeowners association
Exterior
- Parking: Attached carport; 2 covered parking spaces; 2 carport spaces
- Utilities: City water; City sewer; No municipal utility district
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Residential property
- Construction: Built in 1952; Brick and siding exterior; Composition roof; Slab foundation
- Exterior features: Chain link fencing; Few trees on the lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Gas range
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms (both on the main level)
- Flooring: Carpet; Laminate
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning (electric)
- Interior features: Two living areas; One dining area; Other interior features
- Laundry & utility: Utility room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $219k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $77 ($925/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $193k (11.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $193k (11.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.7% vs local median 3.6% in Cleburne — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#460 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Cleburne ISD (town): math 34% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #537 of 826 in TX (top 65%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Cooke El (math 39% / reading 31%, grade F, #1,965 of 4,322 statewide, top 46%, 630 students, 84% FRL); Ad Wheat Middle (math 31% / reading 29%, grade F, #1,056 of 1,662 statewide, top 65%, 703 students, 76% FRL); Cleburne H S (math 46% / reading 38%, grade F, #730 of 1,632 statewide, top 47%, 1,976 students, 67% FRL) — zoned schools average 76% FRL vs 56% district-wide (20 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.8%/yr); 665 active listings in the ZIP; 13 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 27d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 2,152 units permitted in Johnson County in 2024 (76 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($76k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Johnson County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 16 days — a 2% lower offer ($216k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1952 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1952 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.88% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.72%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.51%
- DSCR
- 1.07
- GRM
- 9.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $304,854
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1016 Sheridan Ln | 0.38mi | 3/2.0 | 2,070 (+1%) | 3mo | $264,999 | $128 | 74 |
| 1215 Poindexter Ave | 0.34mi | 3/2.0 | 1,937 (-5%) | 7mo | $195,000 | $101 | 65 |
| 422 W Wilson St | 0.34mi | 3/2.0 | 1,745 (-15%) | 4mo | $239,500 | $137 | 53 |
| 1419 Quail Creek Dr | 0.59mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,958 (-4%) | 5mo | $339,711 | $173 | 52 |
| 905 Mcanear St | 0.63mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,958 (-4%) | 4mo | $350,000 | $179 | 51 |
| 1102 Lena St | 0.51mi | 3/2.0 | 1,791 (-12%) | 4mo | $270,000 | $151 | 48 |
| 1410 Quail Creek Dr | 0.56mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,852 (-10%) | 3mo | $330,892 | $179 | 46 |
| 605 N Buffalo Ave | 0.58mi | 3/2.5 | 1,881 (-8%) | 10mo | $192,960 | $103 | 45 |
| 1400 Dry Creek Dr | 0.50mi | 3/2.0 | 1,784 (-13%) | 8mo | $335,861 | $188 | 45 |
| 109 Driftwood Dr | 0.54mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 2,208 (+8%) | 11mo | $329,990 | $149 | 42 |
| 114 S Field St | 0.72mi | 3/2.0 | 1,800 (-12%) | 1mo | $249,900 | $139 | 41 |
| 405 Odell St | 0.69mi | 3/2.0 | 1,765 (-14%) | 2mo | $179,900 | $102 | 39 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -17.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.41×
- Total profit
- $-36,252
- Equity at exit
- $32,654
- IRR
- -15.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.23×
- Total profit
- $-47,176
- Equity at exit
- $18,935
Cash invested: $61,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 76033
- Rents YoY
- -0.8%
- Active inventory
- 665
- Price-to-rent
- 9.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,933 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,148
- Tax from tax record
- −$210 /mo · $2,521/yr
- Insurance
- −$91
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$406
- Net cashflow
- $77
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $201 | -5% $139 | +0% $77 | +5% $15 | +10% $-47 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-76 | -5% $1 | +0% $77 | +5% $153 | +10% $230 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $187 | -0.5pp $133 | base $77 | +0.5pp $20 | +1.0pp $-37 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $54,750
- Closing costs
- $6,570
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 13 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 405 Madison St Unit Na Cleburne, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1645 | $1,975 | $1.20 | 45d | 1 | 0.07mi |
| 805 N Douglas Ave Cleburne, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1460 | $1,999 | $1.37 | 45d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 413 Shaw St Cleburne, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1713 | $2,100 | $1.23 | 45d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 1434 Trail Creek Dr Cleburne, TX | 3.0–4.0 | 2.0 | 2129 | $2,350 | $1.10 | 24d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 1202 Spell Ave Cleburne, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1482 | $1,850 | $1.25 | 14d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 110 E Wilson St Unit B Cleburne, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1400 | $1,900 | $1.36 | 26d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 1311 Manor Dr Cleburne, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1492 | $1,825 | $1.22 | 26d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 226 Seclusion Dr Cleburne, TX | 3.0–4.0 | 2.0 | 1641 | $2,205 | $1.34 | 0d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 114 Scurlock Ave Cleburne, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1457 | $1,770 | $1.21 | 45d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 414 Rose Ave Cleburne, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1763 | $2,214 | $1.26 | 4d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 404 Rose Ave Cleburne, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1763 | $2,225 | $1.26 | 1d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 704 S Anglin St Cleburne, TX | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2000 | $2,110 | $1.05 | 26d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 1409 Courtney Pl Unit C Cleburne, TX | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1400 | $1,300 | $0.93 | 26d | 1 | 1.34mi |
Listing history 12 events
-
2026-06-22remarks 538-char remark
-
2026-06-22pricestatus $219,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $194,900 Active Option Contract 16 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $194,900 Active Option Contract 13 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $194,900 Active Option Contract 12 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $194,900 Active Option Contract 11 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $194,900 Active Option Contract 10 DOM
-
2026-06-13statusdays on market $194,900 Active Option Contract 8 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $194,900 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $194,900 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-07remarks 523-char remark
-
2026-06-07$194,900 Active 2 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,521 · $210/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,008 · $334/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,486/yr (+$124/mo · 58.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,194
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,267
- − Property taxes
- −$2,521
- − Insurance
- −$1,095
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,855
- − Management
- −$1,855
- − Depreciation
- −$6,371
- Taxable loss
- −$2,772
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$665
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,590/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Cleburne ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4814310
- Math proficiency
- 34% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 33% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,788
- Composite
- 29.0/100
- National rank
- #6618
- State rank
- #537 of 826 in TX
Livability — Cleburne
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #460
- US rank
- #9292
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Cleburne, TX
- County
- Johnson County · 147,987 people
- City population
- 29,538
- Metro
- Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 29,538
- Household income
- $76,292
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 927.0
Population outlook (Johnson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 179,678 people
- By 2030
- 189,208 · +5.3%
- By 2040
- 207,261 · +15.4%
- By 2050
- 223,064 · +24.1%
- By 2075
- 259,979 · +44.7%
- By 2100
- 275,395 · +53.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (64%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 64% Hispanic / Latino 26% Two or more races 15% Black 4% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 23%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Italian 2% Portuguese 1%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada, Guatemala, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 81% English-only · Spanish 17% Other Asian/Pacific 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Johnson
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+51.4) · D 23.9% · R 75.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.9pp toward R · 2008: -47.5pp · 2024: -51.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+51.4 2020: R+53.0 2016: R+58.3 2012: R+55.6 2008: R+47.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -202.75%
- Current HPI
- 246.0029
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.83%
- Metro
- Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
||
| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
||
| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
|
||
Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-06-05 Listed $194,900 NTREIS
Property tax history
+4.2%/yrLatest (2025): $2,521 · +1.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…