507 W Smith · Medina, OH
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.74%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +18.4/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Schools +6.3/10.0
- DSCR +5.8/10.0
- 1% rule +4.8/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +3.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$155,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to this darling Cape Code home that is close to Medina square and walking distance to Lagerheads and the Medina County Fairgrounds! A charming front porch to sit on and enjoy a cup of coffee. The dining room is the perfect spot for entertaining and has a lovely window seat with a large picture window to let in natural sunlight. Three nicely sized bedrooms to make your own. A large backyard with a nice deck to enjoy during those warm Ohio days!
Key facts
- Formal dining room
- Sun porch
- Original built ins
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $155k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $144 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $152k (2.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $152k (2.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.4% vs local median 2.9% in Medina — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#209 in OH, #3,302 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: schools A+, crime A+, cost of living A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Medina City SD (suburban): math 70% / reading 74% proficiency, ranked #115 of 656 in OH (top 18%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 16% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.2%/yr); 369 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 19d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 471 units permitted in Medina County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts since 22y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $128k; 21% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1915 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1915 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.98% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.40%
- Cash-on-cash
- 3.97%
- DSCR
- 1.18
- GRM
- 8.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $203,770
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 507 W Smith | 0.00mi | 3/1.0 | 994 (0%) | 1mo | $165,600 | $167 | 100 |
| 515 Bolivar | 0.25mi | 3/2.0 | 1,040 (+5%) | 0mo | $195,000 | $188 | 76 |
| 316 S Prospect St | 0.06mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 875 (-12%) | 1mo | $170,000 | $194 | 72 |
| 822 Oak St | 0.65mi | 3/1.0 | 968 (-3%) | 7mo | $198,000 | $205 | 59 |
| 522 Pine St | 0.59mi | 3/2.0 | 972 (-2%) | 7mo | $249,000 | $256 | 59 |
| 230 W Union St | 0.57mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 968 (-3%) | 9mo | $118,000 | $122 | 57 |
| 237 W Union St | 0.58mi | 3/1.0 | 1,056 (+6%) | 12mo | $115,000 | $109 | 53 |
| 528 Pine St | 0.60mi | 3/3.0 | 996 (+0%) | 14mo | $257,000 | $258 | 52 |
| 146 Bradway St | 0.66mi | 3/1.0 | 1,080 (+9%) | 4mo | $150,000 | $139 | 52 |
| 107 Circle Dr | 0.39mi | 3/1.5 | 864 (-13%) | 14mo | $226,000 | $262 | 47 |
| 723 Spruce St | 0.70mi | 3/2.0 | 1,056 (+6%) | 12mo | $265,000 | $251 | 43 |
| 320 E Friendship St | 0.67mi | 3/2.0 | 1,119 (+13%) | 11mo | $269,900 | $241 | 34 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.16% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -8.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.67×
- Total profit
- $-14,162
- Equity at exit
- $23,111
- IRR
- 2.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.16×
- Total profit
- $7,042
- Equity at exit
- $13,402
Cash invested: $43,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 44256
- Rents YoY
- 4.2%
- Active inventory
- 369
- Price-to-rent
- 8.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,520 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$813
- Tax from tax record
- −$179 /mo · $2,154/yr
- Insurance
- −$65
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$319
- Net cashflow
- $144
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $231 | -5% $187 | +0% $144 | +5% $100 | +10% $56 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $24 | -5% $84 | +0% $144 | +5% $204 | +10% $264 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $222 | -0.5pp $183 | base $144 | +0.5pp $103 | +1.0pp $63 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $38,750
- Closing costs
- $4,650
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 10 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 427 Lafayette Rd Medina, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 840 | $1,143 | $1.36 | 3d | 2 | 0.20mi |
| 227 N Broadway St Medina, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 823 | $1,295 | $1.57 | 17d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 221 N State Rd Medina, OH | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0 | 541 | $1,205 | $2.23 | 3d | 6 | 0.61mi |
| 699 N Huntington St Medina, OH | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 725 | $1,600 | $2.21 | 3d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 195 Highland Dr Medina, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1080 | $1,800 | $1.67 | 45d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 300 Northland Dr Medina, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1064 | $1,300 | $1.22 | 5d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 900 Dawn Ct Medina, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 864 | $1,053 | $1.22 | 18d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 985 Wadsworth Rd Medina, OH | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $1,250 | $1.14 | 45d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 956 W Liberty St Medina, OH | 2.0 | 1.5 | 960 | $1,495 | $1.56 | 25d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 987 Wadsworth Rd Medina, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,250 | $1.25 | 45d | 1 | 1.34mi |
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-04-27status Pending
-
2026-04-22$155,000 Active
-
2021-05-26soldstatus $128,000 Closed 455-char remark
Show marketing remark (455 chars)
Welcome to this darling Cape Code home that is close to Medina square and walking distance to Lagerheads and the Medina County Fairgrounds! A charming front porch to sit on and enjoy a cup of coffee. The dining room is the perfect spot for entertaining and has a lovely window seat with a large picture window to let in natural sunlight. Three nicely sized bedrooms to make your own. A large backyard with a nice deck to enjoy during those warm Ohio days!
-
2021-04-09status Pending 455-char remark
Show marketing remark (455 chars)
Welcome to this darling Cape Code home that is close to Medina square and walking distance to Lagerheads and the Medina County Fairgrounds! A charming front porch to sit on and enjoy a cup of coffee. The dining room is the perfect spot for entertaining and has a lovely window seat with a large picture window to let in natural sunlight. Three nicely sized bedrooms to make your own. A large backyard with a nice deck to enjoy during those warm Ohio days!
-
2021-04-05$119,900 Active 455-char remark
Show marketing remark (455 chars)
Welcome to this darling Cape Code home that is close to Medina square and walking distance to Lagerheads and the Medina County Fairgrounds! A charming front porch to sit on and enjoy a cup of coffee. The dining room is the perfect spot for entertaining and has a lovely window seat with a large picture window to let in natural sunlight. Three nicely sized bedrooms to make your own. A large backyard with a nice deck to enjoy during those warm Ohio days!
-
2004-05-28soldstatus $104,000
-
2004-05-26soldstatus $104,000 187-char remark
Show marketing remark (187 chars)
Recent Improvements Include Storm Windows, Roof, Air Conditioning, Furnace & Siding. First Floor Office. Great Front Porch. Warranty Provided. Minutes From Medina's Historic Square.
-
2004-03-31$108,000 187-char remark
Show marketing remark (187 chars)
Recent Improvements Include Storm Windows, Roof, Air Conditioning, Furnace & Siding. First Floor Office. Great Front Porch. Warranty Provided. Minutes From Medina's Historic Square.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,154 · $179/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,286 · $190/mo
- Expected delta
- +$132/yr (+$11/mo · 6.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 74% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,236
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,682
- − Property taxes
- −$2,154
- − Insurance
- −$775
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,459
- − Management
- −$1,459
- − Depreciation
- −$4,509
- Taxable loss
- −$802
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$193
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,916/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Medina City SD
- NCES district ID
- 3904438
- Math proficiency
- 70% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 74% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $69,725
- Composite
- 62.9/100
- National rank
- #661
- State rank
- #115 of 656 in OH
Livability — Medina
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #209
- US rank
- #3302
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Medina, OH
- County
- Medina County · 145,517 people
- City population
- 64,924
- Metro
- Cleveland-Elyria, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 64,924
- Household income
- $99,923
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 919.0
Population outlook (Medina County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 185,249 people
- By 2030
- 188,174 · +1.6%
- By 2040
- 190,350 · +2.8%
- By 2050
- 187,283 · +1.1%
- By 2075
- 177,108 · -4.4%
- By 2100
- 151,304 · -18.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (90%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 90% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 3% Black 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 9% Italian 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Medina
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+24.8) · D 37.2% · R 62.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -16.8pp toward R · 2008: -8.0pp · 2024: -24.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+24.8 2020: R+23.4 2016: R+24.9 2012: R+13.1 2008: R+8.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -191.25%
- Current HPI
- 257.2597
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.16%
- Metro
- Cleveland-Elyria, OH
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
||
| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
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Price history
+43.5% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-27 Pending — MLSNOW
- 2026-04-22 Listed $155,000 MLSNOW
- 2021-05-26 Sold (MLS) $128,000 MLSNOW
- 2021-04-09 Pending — MLSNOW
- 2021-04-05 Listed $119,900 MLSNOW
- 2004-05-28 Sold (Public Records) $104,000 Public Records
- 2004-05-26 Sold (MLS) $104,000 MLSNOW
- 2004-03-31 Listed $108,000 MLSNOW
Property tax history
+3.2%/yrLatest (2025): $2,154 · +8.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…