4900 Reisterstown Rd · Baltimore, MD
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $755 – $1,403
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 21.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +3.1/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$115,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
visibility corner property on busting Reisterstown road. Prime mixed-use property at 4900 Reisterstown Rd! Main level offers versatile commercial space for restaurant or convenience store. Upstairs features a spacious residential unit- perfect for owner occupancy or rental income.
Key facts
- Commercial space
- Residential unit
- Mixed-use property
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath townhouse listed at $115k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $656 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $115k).
- Recommended offer: $105k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 13.1% vs local median 6.0% in Baltimore — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#90 in MD, #3,396 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, crime F.
- Baltimore City Public Schools (urban): math 7% / reading 16% proficiency, ranked #24 of 24 in MD (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 79% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.4%/yr); 351 active listings in the ZIP; 20 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,273 units permitted in Baltimore city in 2024 (1,104 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 42% of the median local income ($52k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $795 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Baltimore County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.4% rent growth), your $32k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 112 days — a 9% lower offer ($105k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $30k; list at $115k implies a 283% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 112 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.56% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.14%
- Cash-on-cash
- 24.44%
- DSCR
- 2.09
- GRM
- 5.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $246,653
- List price
- $115,000
- Delta
- -53.38%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3223 Spaulding Ave | 0.37mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,500 (-1%) | 0mo | $219,900 | $147 | 73 |
| 5118 Nelson Ave | 0.20mi | 3/2.0 | 1,386 (-9%) | 3mo | $219,000 | $158 | 72 |
| 3716 Beehler Ave | 0.14mi | 4/4.0 (+1) | 1,445 (-5%) | 3mo | $265,000 | $183 | 68 |
| 4903 Chalgrove Ave | 0.65mi | 3/2.0 | 1,536 (+1%) | 2mo | $187,000 | $122 | 64 |
| 4912 Palmer Ave | 0.49mi | 3/2.0 | 1,400 (-8%) | 1mo | $60,000 | $43 | 61 |
| 3026 Virginia Ave | 0.59mi | 3/1.0 | 1,442 (-5%) | 3mo | $75,000 | $52 | 59 |
| 3951 Boarman Ave | 0.60mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,588 (+5%) | 2mo | $249,000 | $157 | 54 |
| 4911 Queensberry Ave | 0.61mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,390 (-8%) | 2mo | $155,000 | $112 | 50 |
| 3911 Bareva Rd | 0.67mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,620 (+7%) | 0mo | $112,100 | $69 | 50 |
| 5404 Crismer Ave | 0.70mi | 3/2.0 | 1,667 (+10%) | 1mo | $239,900 | $144 | 48 |
| 4041 W Cold Spring Ln | 0.65mi | 3/2.5 | 1,310 (-14%) | 1mo | $239,900 | $183 | 42 |
| 5424 Jonquil Ave | 0.63mi | 4/3.5 (+1) | 1,332 (-12%) | 2mo | $200,000 | $150 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.41% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 17.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.69×
- Total profit
- $22,087
- Equity at exit
- $17,147
- IRR
- 25.2%
- Equity multiple
- 3.14×
- Total profit
- $68,759
- Equity at exit
- $9,943
Cash invested: $32,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 12 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State Maryland
- 27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City Baltimore
- 12 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+58
ZIP-level market 21215
- Rents YoY
- 2.4%
- Active inventory
- 351
- Price-to-rent
- 5.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,792 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$603
- Tax from tax record
- −$109 /mo · $1,304/yr
- Insurance
- −$48
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$376
- Net cashflow
- $656
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $28,750
- Closing costs
- $3,450
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 20 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4828 Beaufort Ave Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1200 | $1,850 | $1.54 | 24d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 3784 Columbus Dr Baltimore, MD | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1250 | $2,200 | $1.76 | 24d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 5000 Litchfield Ave #1 Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,100 | $1.00 | 43d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 4010 Fernhill Ave Unit 2 Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,500 | $1.36 | 43d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 4704 Pimlico Rd Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.5 | 2006 | $1,800 | $0.90 | 24d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 4230 Towanda Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $1,800 | $1.29 | 18d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 5340 Maple Ave Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,950 | $1.62 | 43d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 5115 Pembridge Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1088 | $2,150 | $1.98 | 43d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 2915 Oakford Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1102 | $1,600 | $1.45 | 18d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 2619 Loyola Northway Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $1,995 | $1.43 | 24d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 3912 Mortimer Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1204 | $2,723 | $2.26 | 43d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 2454 W Cold Spring Ln Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,650 | $1.38 | 24d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 3508 Grantley Rd Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1250 | $1,350 | $1.08 | 24d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 5807 Gist Ave Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.5 | 2100 | $1,395 | $0.66 | 24d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 2415 Loyola Southway Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1200 | $2,033 | $1.69 | 43d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 3204 Sequoia Ave Baltimore, MD | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1791 | $2,600 | $1.45 | 43d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 3914 Maine Ave Unit 3 Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2127 | $1,150 | $0.54 | 43d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 3822 Pall Mall Rd Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1320 | $1,875 | $1.42 | 43d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 3807 Bowers Ave Gwynn Oak, MD | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1152 | $2,200 | $1.91 | 43d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 4309 Norfolk Ave Unit 1st Floor Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1470 | $1,500 | $1.02 | 11d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $115,000 Active 112 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $115,000 Active 111 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $115,000 Active 110 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $115,000 Active 109 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $115,000 Active 107 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $115,000 Active 103 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $115,000 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $115,000 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $115,000 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $115,000 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $115,000 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $115,000 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $115,000 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-02-26$115,000 Active 281-char remark
Show marketing remark (281 chars)
visibility corner property on busting Reisterstown road. Prime mixed-use property at 4900 Reisterstown Rd! Main level offers versatile commercial space for restaurant or convenience store. Upstairs features a spacious residential unit- perfect for owner occupancy or rental income.
-
2001-04-12soldstatus $30,000
-
1989-08-14soldstatus $30,000
-
1985-04-09soldstatus $21,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MD · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,304 · $109/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,304 · $109/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 21% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,502
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,442
- − Property taxes
- −$1,304
- − Insurance
- −$575
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,720
- − Management
- −$1,720
- − Depreciation
- −$3,345
- Taxable income
- $6,395
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,535
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,336/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Baltimore City Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2400090
- Math proficiency
- 7% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 16% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,108
- Composite
- 10.08/100
- National rank
- #9805
- State rank
- #24 of 24 in MD
Livability — Baltimore
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #90
- US rank
- #3396
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Baltimore, MD
- County
- Baltimore City · 558,601 people
- City population
- 588,727
- Metro
- Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
- Population (ZIP)
- 52,229
- Household income
- $51,587
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 3644.0
Population outlook (Baltimore County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 624,249 people
- By 2030
- 621,541 · -0.4%
- By 2040
- 609,756 · -2.3%
- By 2050
- 597,249 · -4.3%
- By 2075
- 552,236 · -11.5%
- By 2100
- 513,934 · -17.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (73%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 73% White 17% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 4% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Scotch-Irish 2% Romanian 2% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 4% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Baltimore
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+73.0) · D 85.2% · R 12.2% · Other 2.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -2.5pp toward R · 2008: 75.5pp · 2024: 73.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+73.0 2020: D+76.6 2016: D+74.6 2012: D+76.4 2008: D+75.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -318.58%
- Current HPI
- 291.4926
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.41%
- Metro
- Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.97%
- F500 in state
- 12
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 1 | $71B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
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| Hotels | 1 | $24B |
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $7B |
|
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| Real Estate | 1 | $6B |
|
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| Chemicals | 1 | $2B |
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Price history
+447.6% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-26 Listed $115,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2001-04-12 Sold (Public Records) $30,000 Public Records
- 1989-08-14 Sold (Public Records) $30,000 Public Records
- 1985-04-09 Sold (Public Records) $21,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-1.7%/yrLatest (2025): $1,304 · +1.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…