1684 Old Highway 80 · Forest, MS
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,241 – $2,305
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Appreciation +8.9/10.0
- Cash flow +7.7/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- DSCR +1.8/10.0
- Schools +1.8/10.0
- 1% rule +1.1/10.0
$190,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Take a look at this beautiful three bedroom and two and a half bathroom brick home now available. It is located just four minutes from Raytheon right outside the city limits of Forest, sitting on two acres of land with a large backyard with endless possibilities. This home has a two car carport, a covered patio, front porch, two outdoor sheds, RV Hookup, gas log fireplace, large laundry and pantry area, new stove, built-in oven (so 2 ovens), new dishwasher, new large kitchen sink w/new faucet, new countertops, a bonus area that can be used for an office or play area, high-speed internet available, a huge living room area and plenty of storage throughout the whole house! This is AGENT OWNED so call your Real Estate Agent for information and showing appointments.
Key facts
- Front and back yard
- 2.1 acre lot
- 2 garage spots
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached carport with direct access; 2 garage spaces
- Utilities: Public water; Septic tank; Electricity connected; Propane connected; Sewer connected; Water connected
- Home design: Single-family residence (house); One story; Move-in ready
- Construction: Brick construction; Shingle roof; Slab foundation; Built (year per public records)
- Exterior features: Porch and rear porch; Private yard; Few trees; Front yard; Level lot; Portable building and shed(s)
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric range; Range hood; Refrigerator; Electric water heater
- Flooring: Combination flooring
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 half bathroom (3 total)
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (propane); Central air; Ceiling fans; Electric cooling
- Interior features: Gas log fireplace; Aluminum-framed windows; Insulated doors with storm doors; Private entrance
- Laundry & utility: Laundry room; Electric dryer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $190k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-218 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $152k (20.2% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $115k (39.5% below list).
- Recommended offer: $115k (39.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#55 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D, crime F, amenities F.
- Forest Municipal School District (town): math 25% / reading 19% proficiency, ranked #88 of 130 in MS (top 68%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 88% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Forest Elementary School (math 28% / reading 18%, grade F, #230 of 375 statewide, top 61%, 707 students, 100% FRL); Hawkins Middle School (math 23% / reading 19%, grade F, #112 of 179 statewide, top 64%, 474 students, 100% FRL).
- Market conditions: 61 active listings in the ZIP; 19 units permitted in Scott County in 2024 (5 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $16k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $15k appreciation (7.8% local appreciation)).
- Scott County population projected at -10% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$40k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.61% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.92%
- Cash-on-cash
- -4.91%
- DSCR
- 0.78
- GRM
- 13.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $190,145
- List price
- $190,000
- Delta
- -0.08%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 2 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1684 Old Highway 80 | 0.00mi | 3/2.5 | 1,600 (-12%) | 0mo | $190,000 | $119 | 75 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
7.77% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 15.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.16×
- Total profit
- $61,501
- Equity at exit
- $141,367
- IRR
- 15.3%
- Equity multiple
- 4.54×
- Total profit
- $188,479
- Equity at exit
- $277,816
Cash invested: $53,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Mississippi
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 39074
- Home prices YoY
- 4.8%
- Active inventory
- 61
- Price-to-rent
- 13.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,150 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$996
- Tax from tax record
- −$51 /mo · $609/yr
- Insurance
- −$79
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$242
- Net cashflow
- $-218
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $47,500
- Closing costs
- $5,700
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-05-18status Pending 360-char remark
-
2026-05-14$190,000 Active 360-char remark
-
2022-09-26soldstatus
-
2022-09-21soldstatus Closed 772-char remark
Show marketing remark (772 chars)
Take a look at this beautiful three bedroom and two and a half bathroom brick home now available. It is located just four minutes from Raytheon right outside the city limits of Forest, sitting on two acres of land with a large backyard with endless possibilities. This home has a two car carport, a covered patio, front porch, two outdoor sheds, RV Hookup, gas log fireplace, large laundry and pantry area, new stove, built-in oven (so 2 ovens), new dishwasher, new large kitchen sink w/new faucet, new countertops, a bonus area that can be used for an office or play area, high-speed internet available, a huge living room area and plenty of storage throughout the whole house! This is AGENT OWNED so call your Real Estate Agent for information and showing appointments.
-
2022-07-18status Pending 772-char remark
Show marketing remark (772 chars)
Take a look at this beautiful three bedroom and two and a half bathroom brick home now available. It is located just four minutes from Raytheon right outside the city limits of Forest, sitting on two acres of land with a large backyard with endless possibilities. This home has a two car carport, a covered patio, front porch, two outdoor sheds, RV Hookup, gas log fireplace, large laundry and pantry area, new stove, built-in oven (so 2 ovens), new dishwasher, new large kitchen sink w/new faucet, new countertops, a bonus area that can be used for an office or play area, high-speed internet available, a huge living room area and plenty of storage throughout the whole house! This is AGENT OWNED so call your Real Estate Agent for information and showing appointments.
-
2022-07-11$169,000 Active 772-char remark
Show marketing remark (772 chars)
Take a look at this beautiful three bedroom and two and a half bathroom brick home now available. It is located just four minutes from Raytheon right outside the city limits of Forest, sitting on two acres of land with a large backyard with endless possibilities. This home has a two car carport, a covered patio, front porch, two outdoor sheds, RV Hookup, gas log fireplace, large laundry and pantry area, new stove, built-in oven (so 2 ovens), new dishwasher, new large kitchen sink w/new faucet, new countertops, a bonus area that can be used for an office or play area, high-speed internet available, a huge living room area and plenty of storage throughout the whole house! This is AGENT OWNED so call your Real Estate Agent for information and showing appointments.
-
2019-03-20soldstatus
-
2019-03-20soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $609 · $51/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,501 · $125/mo
- Expected delta
- +$892/yr (+$74/mo · 146.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,801
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,643
- − Property taxes
- −$609
- − Insurance
- −$950
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,104
- − Management
- −$1,104
- − Depreciation
- −$5,527
- Taxable loss
- −$6,137
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,473
- After-tax cash flow
- $-1,140/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Forest Municipal School District
- NCES district ID
- 2801470
- Math proficiency
- 25% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 19% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $34,190
- Composite
- 18.09/100
- National rank
- #8973
- State rank
- #88 of 130 in MS
Livability — Forest
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #55
- US rank
- #8727
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 14,423
Population outlook (Scott County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 28,200 people
- By 2030
- 27,923 · -1.0%
- By 2040
- 26,898 · -4.6%
- By 2050
- 25,341 · -10.1%
- By 2075
- 20,244 · -28.2%
- By 2100
- 13,845 · -50.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.66)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 41% White 39% Hispanic / Latino 15% Two or more races 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · Spanish 11% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Scott
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+23.9) · D 37.7% · R 61.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -10.6pp toward R · 2008: -13.3pp · 2024: -23.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+23.9 2020: R+18.2 2016: R+17.7 2012: R+9.0 2008: R+13.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 7.77%
- Current HPI
- 169.2022
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
+12.4% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-16 Sold (MLS) — MLSU
- 2026-05-18 Pending — MLSU
- 2026-05-14 Listed $190,000 MLSU
- 2022-09-26 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2022-09-21 Sold (MLS) — MLSU
- 2022-07-18 Pending — MLSU
- 2022-07-11 Listed $169,000 MLSU
- 2019-03-20 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2019-03-20 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+11.2%/yrLatest (2025): $609 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…