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20 S Osceola St
D+ Composite 49.79
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +20.9/30.0
  • DSCR +6.7/10.0
  • ARV discount +5.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +4.4/10.0
  • Schools +4.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$143,800

20 S Osceola St · Beverly Hills, FL 34465
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 936 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 39 Days on market
Built 1970 9,148 sqft lot Est $138k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Lovely and spacious Beverly model home with terrazzo floors, Florida room, screened room. Beautifully landscaped backyard. Great condition. Walk to clubhouse and community pool.

Key facts

  • Screened lanai
  • Conveniently located
  • Inside laundry

Tags

SCREENED LANAIINSIDE LAUNDRYCONVENIENTLY LOCATED

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Zoning: MDR

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached carport; Driveway; Concrete parking surfaces; 1 total parking space
  • Security: Smoke detector(s)
  • Utilities: Public water; Septic tank sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One story
  • Construction: Stucco exterior; Asphalt shingle roof; Block and slab foundation; Built as a single-family residence
  • Exterior features: Rectangular lot; Paved road frontage on a city street; Publicly maintained road

Interior

  • Kitchen: Microwave; Oven; Range; Range hood; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Master downstairs
  • Flooring: Terrazzo
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Laminate counters; Open floor plan; Master bedroom on the ground floor; Smoke detector(s); Solar energy generation
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $144k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $201 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $135k (6.1% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $135k (6.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 8.0% vs local median 5.8% in Beverly Hills — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 64/100 on livability (#666 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
  • Citrus (rural): math 49% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #44 of 73 in FL (top 60%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Forest Ridge Elementary School (math 55% / reading 59%, grade C+, #781 of 2,144 statewide, top 38%, 708 students, 67% FRL); Citrus Springs Middle School (math 55% / reading 54%, grade B-, #183 of 571 statewide, top 34%, 821 students, 59% FRL); Lecanto High School (math 46% / reading 53%, grade D, #179 of 667 statewide, top 29%, 1,630 students, 46% FRL) — zoned schools at 57% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: 401 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,443 units permitted in Citrus County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $994 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Citrus County population projected to shrink 10% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 39 days — a 3% lower offer ($139k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 25y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $77k; list at $144k implies a 86% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $134,974 (6.1% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 39 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.94%
Cap rate
7.97%
Cash-on-cash
5.99%
DSCR
1.27
GRM
8.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$137,592
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
20 S Osceola St 0.00mi 2/1.0 936 (0%) 0mo $150,000 $160 100
75 Rose Ave 0.10mi 2/1.0 864 (-8%) 2mo $170,000 $197 81
18 S Harrison St 0.44mi 2/1.0 900 (-4%) 2mo $120,000 $133 71
8 N Fillmore St 0.39mi 2/1.0 992 (+6%) 1mo $142,000 $143 71
8 S Columbus St 0.10mi 2/2.0 1,045 (+12%) 2mo $165,000 $158 70
49 S Lee St 0.30mi 2/1.0 840 (-10%) 1mo $172,000 $205 68
27 E Lemon St 0.72mi 2/1.0 950 (+2%) 1mo $94,000 $99 63
3826 N Parkside Village Ter 0.34mi 1/1.0 (-1) 854 (-9%) 2mo $85,000 $100 63
579 W Cherry Laurel Ct 0.38mi 1/1.0 (-1) 857 (-8%) 2mo $120,500 $141 61
8 N Monroe St 0.59mi 2/1.0 1,032 (+10%) 1mo $148,325 $144 55
27 N Davis St 0.37mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,055 (+13%) 1mo $155,000 $147 53
4 New North Ct 0.74mi 2/1.0 840 (-10%) 1mo $145,000 $173 47

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-7.1%
Equity multiple
0.74×
Total profit
$-10,554
Equity at exit
$21,441
10-year hold
IRR
2.5%
Equity multiple
1.18×
Total profit
$7,061
Equity at exit
$12,433

Cash invested: $40,264 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 34465

Home prices YoY
-33.1%
Active inventory
401
Price-to-rent
8.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,350 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$754
Tax from tax record
$51 /mo · $614/yr
Insurance
$60
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$283
Net cashflow
$201

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,095
Max offer price $143,800
Occupancy floor 80%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $282 -5% $242 +0% $201 +5% $160 +10% $120
Rent -10% $94 -5% $148 +0% $201 +5% $254 +10% $308
Rate -1.0pp $273 -0.5pp $238 base $201 +0.5pp $164 +1.0pp $126

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$35,950
Closing costs
$4,314
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 9 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
17 N Davis St Beverly Hills, FL 2.0 1.0 1108 $1,000 $0.90 22d 1 0.30mi
45 S Jackson St Beverly Hills, FL 2.0 1.0 1108 $1,275 $1.15 22d 1 0.50mi
41 S Monroe St Beverly Hills, FL 2.0 1.0 932 $1,300 $1.39 22d 1 0.54mi
95 S Fillmore St Beverly Hills, FL 2.0 1.0 1056 $1,300 $1.23 22d 1 0.65mi
11 S Barbour St Beverly Hills, FL 2.0 1.0 808 $1,349 $1.67 22d 1 0.68mi
31 S Barbour St Beverly Hills, FL 2.0 1.0 1027 $1,525 $1.48 22d 1 0.68mi
5 New North Ct Beverly Hills, FL 1.0 1.0 864 $1,100 $1.27 22d 1 0.73mi
13 S Washington St Beverly Hills, FL 3.0 1.0 1062 $1,350 $1.27 22d 1 0.79mi
7 Donna Ct Beverly Hills, FL 1.0 1.0 675 $1,225 $1.81 22d 1 1.02mi

Listing history 5 events

  1. 2026-04-16
    listed $143,800 Active
  2. 2019-04-30
    soldstatus $77,143
  3. 2001-12-06
    soldstatus $39,000 177-char remark
    Show marketing remark (177 chars)

    Lovely and spacious Beverly model home with terrazzo floors, Florida room, screened room. Beautifully landscaped backyard. Great condition. Walk to clubhouse and community pool.

  4. 2001-08-03
    listed $41,900 177-char remark
    Show marketing remark (177 chars)

    Lovely and spacious Beverly model home with terrazzo floors, Florida room, screened room. Beautifully landscaped backyard. Great condition. Walk to clubhouse and community pool.

  5. 1974-08-01
    soldstatus $22,100

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$614 · $51/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,194 · $99/mo
Expected delta
+$579/yr (+$48/mo · 94.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,197
− Mortgage interest
−$8,055
− Property taxes
−$614
− Insurance
−$719
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,296
− Management
−$1,296
− Depreciation
−$4,183
Taxable income
$34
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$8
After-tax cash flow
$2,405/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Citrus
NCES district ID
1200270
Math proficiency
49% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
50% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$38,618
Composite
41.28/100
National rank
#3519
State rank
#44 of 73 in FL

Livability — Beverly Hills

Score
64/100
State rank
#666
US rank
#13671

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Beverly Hills, FL
County
Citrus County · 111,314 people
City population
18,879
Metro
Homosassa Springs, FL
Population (ZIP)
18,879
Household income
$54,869
Rent vs Own
18.4% rent · 81.6% own
Severe rent burden
334.0

Population outlook (Citrus County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
138,622 people
By 2030
136,886 · -1.3%
By 2040
132,009 · -4.8%
By 2050
125,196 · -9.7%
By 2075
108,570 · -21.7%
By 2100
84,454 · -39.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (82%)
Race & ethnicity
White 82% Hispanic / Latino 8% Black 4% Two or more races 3% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada, Vietnam, Dominican Republic
Languages at home
93% English-only · Spanish 4% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Citrus

2024 margin
Solid R (+45.9) · D 26.8% · R 72.6%
2008→2024 swing
-29.8pp toward R · 2008: -16.1pp · 2024: -45.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+45.9 2020: R+41.0 2016: R+39.7 2012: R+21.9 2008: R+16.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -138.62%
Current HPI
279.7183
Rent YoY
Metro
Homosassa Springs, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+550.7% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-16 Listed $143,800 RACC
  • 2019-04-30 Sold (Public Records) $77,143 Public Records
  • 2001-12-06 Sold (MLS) $39,000 RACC
  • 2001-08-03 Listed $41,900 RACC
  • 1974-08-01 Sold (Public Records) $22,100 Public Records

Property tax history

+1.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $614 · +10.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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