205 Maxine · East Prairie, MO
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,054 – $1,958
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 6.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +2.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.1/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$29,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This 3-bedroom, 1-bathroom home is ready for new owners. A covered, screened-in front porch and a covered back porch. Landscaping rocks included are perfect for a small flower bed to be added. A small, detached shed is included. The contents of the home are included with the sale. More pictures to be added soon.
Key facts
- Landscaping rocks
- Detached shed
- Covered back porch
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $30k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $665 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $30k).
- Recommended offer: $27k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 56/100 on livability (#708 in MO) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A, housing A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
- East Prairie R-II (town): math 19% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #287 of 324 in MO (top 89%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: East Prairie Elem (math 32% / reading 32%, grade F, #761 of 1,115 statewide, top 72%, 410 students, 99% FRL); East Prairie Middle (math 15% / reading 29%, grade F, #332 of 391 statewide, top 86%, 314 students, 99% FRL); East Prairie High (math 12% / reading 47%, grade F, #382 of 521 statewide, top 78%, 312 students, 99% FRL) — zoned schools average 99% FRL vs 56% district-wide (43 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 22 active listings in the ZIP; 7 units permitted in Mississippi County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $207 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $897 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Mississippi County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $8k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 98 days — a 9% lower offer ($27k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 98 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 3.64% ✓
- Cap rate
- 32.97%
- Cash-on-cash
- 95.28%
- DSCR
- 5.24
- GRM
- 2.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $113,570
- List price
- $29,900
- Delta
- -73.67%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 96.2%
- Equity multiple
- 5.48×
- Total profit
- $37,504
- Equity at exit
- $4,458
- IRR
- 98.9%
- Equity multiple
- 11.42×
- Total profit
- $87,216
- Equity at exit
- $2,585
Cash invested: $8,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Missouri
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 63845
- Home prices YoY
- -20.4%
- Active inventory
- 22
- Price-to-rent
- 2.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,089 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$157
- Tax from tax record
- −$26 /mo · $318/yr
- Insurance
- −$12
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$229
- Net cashflow
- $665
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $682 | -5% $673 | +0% $665 | +5% $656 | +10% $648 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $579 | -5% $622 | +0% $665 | +5% $708 | +10% $751 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $680 | -0.5pp $672 | base $665 | +0.5pp $657 | +1.0pp $649 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $7,475
- Closing costs
- $897
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-22days on market $29,900 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $29,900 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $29,900 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $29,900 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $29,900 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $29,900 Active 92 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $29,900 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $29,900 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $29,900 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $29,900 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $29,900 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $29,900 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $29,900 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-06-04pricedays on market $29,900 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $34,900 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $34,900 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $34,900 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-05-05price $34,900 318-char remark
Show marketing remark (318 chars)
This 3-bedroom, 1-bathroom home is ready for new owners. A covered, screened-in front porch and a covered back porch. Landscaping rocks included are perfect for a small flower bed to be added. A small, detached shed is included. The contents of the home are included with the sale. More pictures to be added soon.
-
2026-03-16$39,900 Active 318-char remark
Show marketing remark (318 chars)
This 3-bedroom, 1-bathroom home is ready for new owners. A covered, screened-in front porch and a covered back porch. Landscaping rocks included are perfect for a small flower bed to be added. A small, detached shed is included. The contents of the home are included with the sale. More pictures to be added soon.
-
2017-05-10soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $318 · $26/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $318 · $26/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 6% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,071
- − Mortgage interest
- −$1,675
- − Property taxes
- −$318
- − Insurance
- −$150
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,046
- − Management
- −$1,046
- − Depreciation
- −$870
- Taxable income
- $7,968
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,912
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,065/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- East Prairie R-II
- NCES district ID
- 2911220
- Math proficiency
- 19% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 33% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $32,370
- Composite
- 21.15/100
- National rank
- #8427
- State rank
- #287 of 324 in MO
Livability — East Prairie
- Score
- 56/100
- State rank
- #708
- US rank
- #22883
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- East Prairie, MO
- Population (ZIP)
- 5,378
Population outlook (Mississippi County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 13,403 people
- By 2030
- 13,101 · -2.3%
- By 2040
- 12,626 · -5.8%
- By 2050
- 12,233 · -8.7%
- By 2075
- 10,704 · -20.1%
- By 2100
- 8,345 · -37.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (93%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 93% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 6% Iranian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Mississippi
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+53.7) · D 22.8% · R 76.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -39.0pp toward R · 2008: -14.7pp · 2024: -53.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+53.7 2020: R+49.6 2016: R+41.5 2012: R+23.2 2008: R+14.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -43.12%
- Current HPI
- 168.4612
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.84%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $163B |
|
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| Insurance | 1 | $21B |
|
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| Industrial Technology | 1 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $16B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $10B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
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Price history
-12.5% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-05 Price Changed $34,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-16 Listed $39,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-05-10 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+2.4%/yrLatest (2025): $318 · +3.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…