614 N Mason St · Bowie, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 10.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.2/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +9.5/10.0
- 1% rule +7.2/10.0
- Schools +3.2/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$114,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Investor Special! This 3 bed, 1 bath home offers over 1,500 sq ft of living space, a spacious lot, and is conveniently located within walking distance of Downtown Bowie. Being sold "AS-IS", requiring renovations and TLC, offering a blank slate to investors or buyers looking for a property with great potential! Cash or Conventional only.
Key facts
- Built 1955
- Listed 56 days
Property features AI
Exterior
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single family residence; Single-story
- Construction: Brick construction; Slab foundation
- Exterior features: Composition roof
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Gas cooktop; Gas oven; Refrigerator
- Flooring: Tile
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (natural gas); Central air; Window unit(s)
- Interior features: Dishwasher; Disposal; Gas cooktop; Gas oven; Refrigerator; Tile flooring; Basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $115k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $328 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $115k).
- Recommended offer: $111k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.7% vs local median 3.1% in Bowie — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#796 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Bowie ISD (town): math 34% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #469 of 826 in TX (top 57%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Bowie El (422 students, 65% FRL); Bowie J H (math 34% / reading 40%, grade F, #756 of 1,662 statewide, top 47%, 362 students, 53% FRL); Bowie H S (math 17% / reading 47%, grade F, #1,044 of 1,632 statewide, top 66%, 498 students, 44% FRL).
- Market conditions: 241 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 2d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 23 units permitted in Montague County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $794 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Montague County population projected at -15% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $32k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 56 days — a 3% lower offer ($111k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 56 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.22% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.72%
- Cash-on-cash
- 12.25%
- DSCR
- 1.55
- GRM
- 6.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $153,032
- List price
- $114,900
- Delta
- -24.92%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 406 W Nelson St | 0.20mi | 3/1.0 | 1,470 (-4%) | 2mo | $30,000 | $20 | 81 |
| 610 Cooper St | 0.15mi | 3/2.0 | 1,475 (-4%) | 3mo | $114,500 | $78 | 80 |
| 506 Orchard St | 0.27mi | 3/2.0 | 1,624 (+6%) | 1mo | $224,000 | $138 | 73 |
| 101 Mcwilliams Dr | 0.33mi | 3/2.0 | 1,684 (+10%) | 1mo | $299,000 | $178 | 64 |
| 421 Elba St | 0.34mi | 3/1.0 | 1,704 (+11%) | 7mo | $169,999 | $100 | 61 |
| 1411 Jefferson St | 0.57mi | 3/2.0 | 1,570 (+2%) | 7mo | $299,500 | $191 | 60 |
| 1403 Hulme St | 0.48mi | 3/2.0 | 1,685 (+10%) | 1mo | $279,000 | $166 | 57 |
| 1217 N Lamb St | 0.75mi | 3/2.0 | 1,464 (-5%) | 1mo | $140,000 | $96 | 52 |
| 1505 N Matthews St | 0.59mi | 3/2.0 | 1,358 (-12%) | 0mo | $189,577 | $140 | 49 |
| 307 Rock St | 0.58mi | 3/2.0 | 1,760 (+14%) | 0mo | $219,900 | $125 | 44 |
| 1408 Nugent St | 0.63mi | 3/2.0 | 1,760 (+14%) | 5mo | $240,000 | $136 | 38 |
| 702 Pillar St | 0.73mi | 3/2.0 | 1,741 (+13%) | 2mo | $349,000 | $200 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 1.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.07×
- Total profit
- $2,312
- Equity at exit
- $17,132
- IRR
- 11.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.90×
- Total profit
- $29,002
- Equity at exit
- $9,934
Cash invested: $32,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 76230
- Home prices YoY
- -27.1%
- Active inventory
- 241
- Price-to-rent
- 6.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,404 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$603
- Tax from tax record
- −$131 /mo · $1,567/yr
- Insurance
- −$48
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$295
- Net cashflow
- $328
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $393 | -5% $361 | +0% $328 | +5% $296 | +10% $263 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $217 | -5% $273 | +0% $328 | +5% $384 | +10% $439 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $386 | -0.5pp $358 | base $328 | +0.5pp $299 | +1.0pp $268 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $28,725
- Closing costs
- $3,447
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 418 Elba St Bowie, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,400 | $1.17 | 2d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 903 N Lamb St Bowie, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1269 | $1,450 | $1.14 | 2d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 911 U.S. 81 Unit D Bowie, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,350 | $1.12 | 2d | 1 | 0.70mi |
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $114,900 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $114,900 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $114,900 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $114,900 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $114,900 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $114,900 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-12pricedays on market $114,900 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $120,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $120,000 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $120,000 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $120,000 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $120,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $120,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $120,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $120,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-04-23$120,000 Active 348-char remark
-
2002-09-05soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,567 · $131/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,103 · $175/mo
- Expected delta
- +$535/yr (+$45/mo · 34.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 10% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,853
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,436
- − Property taxes
- −$1,567
- − Insurance
- −$574
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,348
- − Management
- −$1,348
- − Depreciation
- −$3,343
- Taxable income
- $2,236
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$537
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,405/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Bowie ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4810990
- Math proficiency
- 34% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 41% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $45,720
- Composite
- 31.99/100
- National rank
- #5836
- State rank
- #469 of 826 in TX
Livability — Bowie
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #796
- US rank
- #14499
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Bowie, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 9,885
Population outlook (Montague County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 18,216 people
- By 2030
- 17,603 · -3.4%
- By 2040
- 16,451 · -9.7%
- By 2050
- 15,424 · -15.3%
- By 2075
- 13,365 · -26.6%
- By 2100
- 10,998 · -39.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (83%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 83% Hispanic / Latino 12% Two or more races 7%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 12%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 2% Romanian 2% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 89% English-only · Spanish 10% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Montague
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+77.7) · D 10.9% · R 88.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -19.2pp toward R · 2008: -58.5pp · 2024: -77.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+77.7 2020: R+76.6 2016: R+77.2 2012: R+70.1 2008: R+58.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -75.69%
- Current HPI
- 204.0919
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
||
| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
|
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Price history
-4.2% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-12 Price Changed $114,900 WFAOR
- 2026-04-23 Listed $120,000 WFAOR
- 2002-09-05 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+3.4%/yrLatest (2025): $1,567 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…