3213 Sheridan Ave · Saginaw, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.9/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$75,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to 3213 Sheridan Ave. ! This move-in ready 3 bedroom, 1 bath home offers 864 square feet of comfortable living with the convenience of main-floor laundry. Enjoy a spacious yard with mature trees, a detached garage, and plenty of off-street parking. Whether you're looking for your first home, a rental investment, or a place to downsize, this affordable property offers great value and endless potential. Conveniently located near shopping, schools, and everyday amenities. Don't miss this opportunity!
Key facts
- Spacious yard
- Main-floor laundry
- Off-street parking
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage; One garage space
- Utilities: Public water
- Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property; Built in 1959
- Construction: Aluminum siding
- Exterior features: Shingle roof; Lot size about 0.21 acres; Public water
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen (8 x 18)
- Bedrooms: Primary bedroom (9 x 11); Bedroom 2 (9 x 11); Bedroom 3 (10 x 10)
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating
- Interior features: Seven total rooms; Slab basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $75k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $363 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $75k).
- Cap rate 12.1% vs local median 8.3% in Saginaw — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 63/100 on livability (#521 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
- Saginaw School District (urban): math 20% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #444 of 540 in MI (top 82%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 76% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 199 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 154 units permitted in Saginaw County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $519 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Saginaw County population projected at -25% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 11 sale attempts since 25y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $8k; list at $75k implies a 838% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1959 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1959 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.39% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.10%
- Cash-on-cash
- 20.74%
- DSCR
- 1.92
- GRM
- 6.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $39,744
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3133 Glenwood Ave | 0.14mi | 3/1.0 | 936 (+8%) | 6mo | $43,000 | $46 | 75 |
| 3212 Lowell Ave | 0.35mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 864 (0%) | 10mo | $13,000 | $15 | 70 |
| 2701 Sheridan Ave | 0.35mi | 3/1.0 | 924 (+7%) | 3mo | $74,272 | $80 | 70 |
| 3123 Glenwood Ave | 0.15mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 940 (+9%) | 11mo | $49,900 | $53 | 64 |
| 3353 Drexel Dr | 0.23mi | 3/1.0 | 975 (+13%) | 11mo | $11,250 | $12 | 59 |
| 2626 Hampshire St | 0.32mi | 3/1.0 | 975 (+13%) | 8mo | $35,000 | $36 | 57 |
| 2928 Walters Dr | 0.58mi | 3/1.0 | 936 (+8%) | 7mo | $36,000 | $38 | 53 |
| 2605 Lynnwood St | 0.47mi | 3/1.0 | 945 (+9%) | 13mo | $40,000 | $42 | 52 |
| 2411 Beechwood Ave | 0.60mi | 3/1.0 | 952 (+10%) | 8mo | $40,000 | $42 | 49 |
| 3213 Walters Dr | 0.54mi | 3/1.5 | 936 (+8%) | 20mo | $86,500 | $92 | 42 |
| 11 Woodward | 0.64mi | 3/1.0 | 988 (+14%) | 24mo | $125,000 | $127 | 26 |
| 2201 Robinwood Ave | 0.73mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 768 (-11%) | 20mo | $45,000 | $59 | 25 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 13.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.52×
- Total profit
- $10,946
- Equity at exit
- $11,183
- IRR
- 21.9%
- Equity multiple
- 2.87×
- Total profit
- $39,215
- Equity at exit
- $6,485
Cash invested: $21,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48601
- Home prices YoY
- -32.1%
- Active inventory
- 199
- Price-to-rent
- 6.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,039 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$393
- Tax from tax record
- −$33 /mo · $398/yr
- Insurance
- −$31
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$218
- Net cashflow
- $363
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $18,750
- Closing costs
- $2,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3328 Webber St Saginaw, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 878 | $1,250 | $1.42 | 43d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 113 Parkside Ct Saginaw, MI | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 808 | $900 | $1.11 | 43d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 2554 Apollo Dr Unit AP2554 Saginaw, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 960 | $883 | $0.92 | 43d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $75,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $75,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $75,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $75,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-15remarks 510-char remark
-
2026-06-15$75,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $398 · $33/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $777 · $65/mo
- Expected delta
- +$378/yr (+$32/mo · 95.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,467
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,201
- − Property taxes
- −$398
- − Insurance
- −$375
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$997
- − Management
- −$997
- − Depreciation
- −$2,182
- Taxable income
- $3,316
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$796
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,560/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Saginaw School District
- NCES district ID
- 2630390
- Math proficiency
- 20% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 29% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $28,940
- Composite
- 19.6/100
- National rank
- #8755
- State rank
- #444 of 540 in MI
Livability — Saginaw
- Score
- 63/100
- State rank
- #521
- US rank
- #15424
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Saginaw, MI
- City population
- 54,884
- Population (ZIP)
- 32,069
Population outlook (Saginaw County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 180,568 people
- By 2030
- 172,302 · -4.6%
- By 2040
- 153,919 · -14.8%
- By 2050
- 135,519 · -24.9%
- By 2075
- 97,199 · -46.2%
- By 2100
- 65,037 · -64.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 59% White 27% Hispanic / Latino 12% Two or more races 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 10%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Saginaw
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 47.7% · R 51.0% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.6pp toward R · 2008: 17.3pp · 2024: -3.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+3.3 2020: D+0.3 2016: R+1.1 2012: D+11.9 2008: D+17.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -93.46%
- Current HPI
- 197.3359
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
||
| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
|
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Price history
+215.1% since first listed22 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-14 Listed $75,000 SW Michigan MLS
- 2026-06-14 Listed $75,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-06-14 Listed $75,000 REALCOMP
- 2018-05-18 Sold (MLS) $8,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2018-02-20 Listed $10,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2006-10-16 Sold (Public Records) $26,832 Public Records
- 2006-10-12 Sold (MLS) $26,832 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2006-06-16 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2006-06-13 Listed $26,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2006-05-09 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2006-05-09 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2005-11-09 Listed $29,900 REALCOMP
- 2005-11-09 Listed $29,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2005-10-26 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2005-10-26 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2005-04-26 Listed $41,900 REALCOMP
- 2005-04-26 Listed $41,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2001-11-02 Sold (MLS) $24,500 REALCOMP
- 2001-11-02 Sold (MLS) $24,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2001-09-10 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2001-07-01 Listed $23,800 REALCOMP
- 2001-07-01 Listed $23,800 MiRealSource-MiMLS
Property tax history
-4.9%/yrLatest (2025): $398 · -22.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…