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9061 Michael Cir #2 🌊 Lakefront
D Composite 42.32
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +11.3/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.7/10.0
  • Schools +5.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.9/5.0
  • DSCR +3.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$330,000

9061 Michael Cir #2 · Lely Resort, FL 34113
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,450 sqft · Condo public records · 658 Days on market
Built 1996 $660/mo HOA · 19% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Enjoy fantastic lake views from the screened lanai of this comfortable 2 bedroom plus den condo located in the popular neighborhood of Peridot at Sunstone in the beautiful Lely Resort community. Also has a detached single car garage. Is a 2nd floor unit in a 2 story building so no one lives above you. Very quiet and peaceful. Living /dining room has cathedral ceilings. Also a wet bar. Spacious kitchen has an eat-in breakfast dining area. Comfortable master bedroom also offers views of the very large lake. Master bath offers a walk-in shower and a spa tub. Also has a walk-in closet and second closet. Ceiling fans throughout the unit. Neighborhood is very well maintained and peaceful. It ha

Key facts

  • Lake view
  • Condo
  • $660 HOA

Tags

LAKE VIEWCONDO

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Part of a complex with 124 units and 12 units in the building; Two units per floor and one floor in the building; Lot unit 502, section 33
  • HOA & community: Quarterly condo fee; Professional management; Community amenities include bike and jog path, community pool, golf course, internet access, private membership options, streetlights, and tennis; Maintenance covers insurance, irrigation water, lawn/land maintenance, legal/accounting, manager, exterior pest control, reserves, sewer, street lights, street maintenance, trash removal, and water; Total annual recurring fees: $7,920; One-time fees: $100

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached 1-car garage; Paved driveway; Guest parking
  • Security: Patrolled community
  • Utilities: Central water; Central sewer; Cable available; Electric service
  • Home design: Residential property in Lely Resort (Peridot at Sunstone); Low-rise building (1-3 stories); Single-story unit; Rear exposure faces northwest; Concrete block construction; Built in 1996
  • Construction: Concrete block construction; Stucco finish; Built-up or flat roof; Year built: 1996
  • Exterior features: Stucco exterior; Built-up or flat roof; Patrolled community security; Paved road access; Lake frontage; Golf course and lake views; Central irrigation

Interior

  • Kitchen: Pantry; Electric cooktop; Range; Microwave; Dishwasher; Disposal; Refrigerator/freezer
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms plus den; Split bedroom floor plan
  • Flooring: Carpet; Tile
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; Master bathroom with dual sinks, jetted tub, and separate tub and shower
  • Heating & cooling: Central electric heat; Central electric cooling; Ceiling fans (6)
  • Interior features: Bar; Cable prewire; Fire sprinkler system; High-speed internet available; Smoke detectors; Screened lanai/porch; Den (study); Dining (living) and eat-in kitchen
  • Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer in residence; Auto garage door

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $330k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-185 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $297k (9.9% below list).
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $330k).
  • Recommended offer: $290k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 61/100 on livability (#786 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A-; Watch: health & safety D, schools F, amenities F.
  • Collier (suburban): math 60% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #16 of 73 in FL (top 22%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.6%/yr); 597 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 3,520 units permitted in Collier County in 2024 (959 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $3,529/mo this rent would consume 52% of the median local household income ($82k/yr) (locally 954% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Collier County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 658 days — a 12% lower offer ($290k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 19y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $90k (21%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $145k; list at $330k implies a 128% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→29/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $290,400 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 658 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  4. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  5. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  6. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  7. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  8. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  9. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  10. This sits on a lake — are riparian / water-frontage rights deeded with the parcel? Any dock permits, shoreline easements, or HOA water-use restrictions?
  11. What's the documented flood / surge / shoreline-erosion history here (FEMA AND non-FEMA — e.g., storm surge, creek backup, septic-field saturation)?
  12. Any water-quality or seasonal algae-bloom issues that affect tenant satisfaction or short-term-rental demand?
  13. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  14. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  15. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.07%
Cap rate
5.86%
Cash-on-cash
-1.54%
DSCR
0.93
GRM
7.8

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.59% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-16.4%
Equity multiple
0.40×
Total profit
$-55,330
Equity at exit
$49,204
10-year hold
IRR
-2.9%
Equity multiple
0.78×
Total profit
$-20,568
Equity at exit
$28,532

Cash invested: $92,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 34113

Rents YoY
5.6%
Active inventory
597
Price-to-rent
7.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,529 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,731
Tax from tax record
$378 /mo · $4,533/yr
Insurance
$138
Flood insurance flood zone
−$66 /mo · $798/yr
HOA
$660
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$741
Net cashflow
$-185

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,762
Max offer price $297,364
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$82,500
Closing costs
$9,900
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
9022 Michael Cir Unit 2-205 Naples, FL 2.0 2.0 1450 $3,500 $2.41 23d 1 0.06mi
9175 Michael Cir #4 Naples, FL 3.0 2.0 1639 $3,195 $1.95 14d 1 0.09mi
8540 Mystic Greens Way #305 Naples, FL 2.0 2.0 1710 $4,995 $2.92 14d 1 0.16mi
8468 Indian Wells Way Naples, FL 3.0 2.0 1704 $10,500 $6.16 23d 1 0.31mi
8432 Indian Wells Way Naples, FL 3.0 2.0 1746 $3,495 $2.00 14d 1 0.39mi
8161 Twelve Oaks Cir #512 Naples, FL 2.0 2.0 1066 $5,000 $4.69 23d 1 0.43mi
8036 Belmont Ct Unit 1073497P Naples, FL 3.0 2.0 1840 $5,316 $2.89 23d 1 0.56mi
7100 Falcons Glen Blvd Naples, FL 3.0 2.0 1650 $10,000 $6.06 23d 1 0.59mi
7112 Falcons Glen Blvd Naples, FL 3.0 2.0 1786 $14,000 $7.84 23d 1 0.63mi
24 Cheyenne Trl Naples, FL 2.0 2.0 888 $3,500 $3.94 14d 1 0.67mi
9165 Celeste Dr Unit 3-303 Naples, FL 2.0 2.0 1000 $6,500 $6.50 23d 1 0.72mi
9175 Celeste Dr Unit 105 Naples, FL 2.0 2.0 1000 $2,000 $2.00 23d 1 0.73mi
9187 Celeste Dr Unit 1073494P Naples, FL 2.0 2.0 1399 $2,979 $2.13 14d 1 0.74mi
9118 Chula Vista St #12002 Naples, FL 2.0 2.5 1531 $4,200 $2.74 23d 1 0.79mi
9159 Delano St #9905 Naples, FL 3.0 2.0 1770 $4,995 $2.82 23d 1 0.80mi
9102 Chula Vista St #11302 Naples, FL 2.0 2.5 1531 $2,695 $1.76 21d 1 0.80mi
9155 Delano St Unit 1545913P Naples, FL 3.0 2.0 1797 $3,871 $2.15 14d 1 0.80mi
6737 Bent Grass Dr Naples, FL 3.0 2.0 1745 $12,000 $6.88 23d 1 0.81mi
9151 Delano St #9702 Naples, FL 3.0 2.5 1733 $2,650 $1.53 14d 1 0.81mi
9092 Chula Vista St #11003 Naples, FL 2.0 2.0 1404 $6,850 $4.88 23d 1 0.81mi
9088 Chula Vista St Unit 108-3 Naples, FL 2.0 2.0 1404 $5,700 $4.06 23d 1 0.81mi
11496 Sumter Grove Cir Naples, FL 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 1067 $2,134 $2.00 14d 14 0.84mi
9109 Yuba Ln Unit 80 Naples, FL 3.0 2.5 1729 $3,900 $2.26 23d 1 0.85mi
9115 Capistrano St S #8207 Naples, FL 2.0 2.5 1494 $6,000 $4.02 23d 1 0.86mi
6757 Bent Grass Dr Naples, FL 3.0 2.0 1719 $3,650 $2.12 23d 1 0.86mi
9076 Rialto St Unit 62 Naples, FL 3.0 2.5 1624 $7,500 $4.62 23d 1 0.88mi
6769 Bent Grass Dr Naples, FL 2.0 2.0 1719 $10,500 $6.11 23d 1 0.88mi
9111 Capistrano St S #8303 Naples, FL 2.0 2.5 1432 $7,500 $5.24 23d 1 0.88mi
9072 Rialto St #6302 Naples, FL 3.0 2.0 1771 $8,250 $4.66 21d 1 0.89mi
9102 Capistrano St S Unit 72-3 Naples, FL 2.0 2.5 1520 $6,500 $4.28 23d 1 0.91mi
22 Cypress View Dr Unit B22 Naples, FL 2.0 2.0 1534 $7,000 $4.56 23d 1 0.91mi
9073 Rialto St #6002 Naples, FL 3.0 2.0 1771 $7,500 $4.23 23d 1 0.92mi
7955 Mahogany Run Ln #515 Naples, FL 2.0 2.0 1244 $8,925 $7.17 23d 1 0.93mi
7955 Mahogany Run Ln Unit 1504173P Naples, FL 3.0 2.0 1442 $5,840 $4.05 14d 1 0.93mi
9081 Albion Ln S #6505 Naples, FL 2.0 2.0 1225 $7,500 $6.12 23d 1 0.94mi
6719 Crowned Eagle Ln Naples, FL 3.0 2.0 1745 $3,850 $2.21 23d 1 0.95mi
6590 Beach Resort Dr Unit 305 Naples, FL 2.0 2.0 1351 $4,500 $3.33 14d 1 0.95mi
9082 Capistrano St N Unit 48-5 Naples, FL 2.0 2.0 1227 $6,500 $5.30 23d 1 0.98mi
9071 Albion Ln N #5706 Naples, FL 2.0 2.5 1441 $2,200 $1.53 23d 1 0.99mi
7940 Mahogany Run Ln #623 Naples, FL 2.0 2.0 1389 $8,000 $5.76 23d 1 0.99mi

HOA detail condo

Monthly dues
$660 · $7,920/yr
Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 10 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $330,000 Active 658 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $330,000 Active 657 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $330,000 Active 656 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $330,000 Active 655 DOM
  5. 2026-06-10
    days on market $330,000 Active 650 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $330,000 Active 649 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $330,000 Active 648 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $330,000 Active 647 DOM
  9. 2026-06-03
    remarks 699-char remark
  10. 2026-06-03
    listed $330,000 Active 642 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$4,533 · $378/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,533 · $378/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (shaded) · 97% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 29 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$42,342
− Mortgage interest
−$18,485
− Property taxes
−$4,533
− Insurance
−$2,448
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,387
− Management
−$3,387
− HOA
−$7,920
− Depreciation
−$9,600
Taxable loss
−$7,418
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,780
After-tax cash flow
$-437/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Collier
NCES district ID
1200330
Math proficiency
60% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
56% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$58,275
Composite
50.23/100
National rank
#1892
State rank
#16 of 73 in FL

Livability — Lely Resort

Score
61/100
State rank
#786
US rank
#17981

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living F Crime A+ Employment A- Housing D- Health & safety D User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Lely Resort, FL
County
Collier County · 396,295 people
Metro
Naples-Marco Island, FL
Population (ZIP)
26,056
Household income
$81,674
Rent vs Own
26.7% rent · 73.3% own
Severe rent burden
954.0

Population outlook (Collier County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
420,858 people
By 2030
450,054 · +6.9%
By 2040
502,232 · +19.3%
By 2050
544,932 · +29.5%
By 2075
627,203 · +49.0%
By 2100
659,015 · +56.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
Race & ethnicity
White 56% Hispanic / Latino 28% Black 12% Two or more races 11% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 17% Puerto Rican 3% Cuban 2%
Common ancestry
Hispanic 10% Romanian 3% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
26% · Canada, Jamaica, Vietnam
Languages at home
63% English-only · Spanish 24% French/Haitian/Cajun 9% Other Indo-European 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Collier

2024 margin
Solid R (+33.1) · D 33.1% · R 66.2%
2008→2024 swing
-10.6pp toward R · 2008: -22.5pp · 2024: -33.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+33.1 2020: R+24.7 2016: R+26.0 2012: R+30.1 2008: R+22.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -194.86%
Current HPI
279.4232
Rent YoY
▲ 5.59%
Metro
Naples-Marco Island, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+31.0% since first listed
13 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-24 Relisted NAPLESMLS
  • 2026-02-21 Pending NAPLESMLS
  • 2026-02-17 Price Changed $330,000 NAPLESMLS
  • 2025-07-30 Price Changed $385,000 NAPLESMLS
  • 2025-01-27 Price Changed $399,000 NAPLESMLS
  • 2024-10-01 Price Changed $409,500 NAPLESMLS
  • 2024-06-28 Listed $419,500 NAPLESMLS
  • 2012-04-11 Sold (Public Records) $145,000 Public Records
  • 2007-05-11 Listed $329,900 MIML
  • 2007-03-20 Sold (Public Records) $315,000 Public Records
  • 2001-09-05 Sold (Public Records) $155,000 Public Records
  • 1996-11-25 Sold (Public Records) $123,800 Public Records
  • 1996-03-29 Sold (Public Records) $252,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+12.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $4,533 · +6.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…