🌊 Lakefront
9061 Michael Cir #2 · Lely Resort, FL
Flood risk 8/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.97%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 29 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +11.3/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.7/10.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- Rent growth +3.9/5.0
- DSCR +3.3/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$330,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Enjoy fantastic lake views from the screened lanai of this comfortable 2 bedroom plus den condo located in the popular neighborhood of Peridot at Sunstone in the beautiful Lely Resort community. Also has a detached single car garage. Is a 2nd floor unit in a 2 story building so no one lives above you. Very quiet and peaceful. Living /dining room has cathedral ceilings. Also a wet bar. Spacious kitchen has an eat-in breakfast dining area. Comfortable master bedroom also offers views of the very large lake. Master bath offers a walk-in shower and a spa tub. Also has a walk-in closet and second closet. Ceiling fans throughout the unit. Neighborhood is very well maintained and peaceful. It ha
Key facts
- Lake view
- Condo
- $660 HOA
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Part of a complex with 124 units and 12 units in the building; Two units per floor and one floor in the building; Lot unit 502, section 33
- HOA & community: Quarterly condo fee; Professional management; Community amenities include bike and jog path, community pool, golf course, internet access, private membership options, streetlights, and tennis; Maintenance covers insurance, irrigation water, lawn/land maintenance, legal/accounting, manager, exterior pest control, reserves, sewer, street lights, street maintenance, trash removal, and water; Total annual recurring fees: $7,920; One-time fees: $100
Exterior
- Parking: Detached 1-car garage; Paved driveway; Guest parking
- Security: Patrolled community
- Utilities: Central water; Central sewer; Cable available; Electric service
- Home design: Residential property in Lely Resort (Peridot at Sunstone); Low-rise building (1-3 stories); Single-story unit; Rear exposure faces northwest; Concrete block construction; Built in 1996
- Construction: Concrete block construction; Stucco finish; Built-up or flat roof; Year built: 1996
- Exterior features: Stucco exterior; Built-up or flat roof; Patrolled community security; Paved road access; Lake frontage; Golf course and lake views; Central irrigation
Interior
- Kitchen: Pantry; Electric cooktop; Range; Microwave; Dishwasher; Disposal; Refrigerator/freezer
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms plus den; Split bedroom floor plan
- Flooring: Carpet; Tile
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; Master bathroom with dual sinks, jetted tub, and separate tub and shower
- Heating & cooling: Central electric heat; Central electric cooling; Ceiling fans (6)
- Interior features: Bar; Cable prewire; Fire sprinkler system; High-speed internet available; Smoke detectors; Screened lanai/porch; Den (study); Dining (living) and eat-in kitchen
- Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer in residence; Auto garage door
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $330k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-185 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $297k (9.9% below list).
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $330k).
- Recommended offer: $290k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 61/100 on livability (#786 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A-; Watch: health & safety D, schools F, amenities F.
- Collier (suburban): math 60% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #16 of 73 in FL (top 22%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.6%/yr); 597 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 3,520 units permitted in Collier County in 2024 (959 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $3,529/mo this rent would consume 52% of the median local household income ($82k/yr) (locally 954% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Collier County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 658 days — a 12% lower offer ($290k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 19y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $90k (21%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $145k; list at $330k implies a 128% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→29/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 658 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- This sits on a lake — are riparian / water-frontage rights deeded with the parcel? Any dock permits, shoreline easements, or HOA water-use restrictions?
- What's the documented flood / surge / shoreline-erosion history here (FEMA AND non-FEMA — e.g., storm surge, creek backup, septic-field saturation)?
- Any water-quality or seasonal algae-bloom issues that affect tenant satisfaction or short-term-rental demand?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.07% ✓
- Cap rate
- 5.86%
- Cash-on-cash
- -1.54%
- DSCR
- 0.93
- GRM
- 7.8
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.59% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -16.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.40×
- Total profit
- $-55,330
- Equity at exit
- $49,204
- IRR
- -2.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.78×
- Total profit
- $-20,568
- Equity at exit
- $28,532
Cash invested: $92,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 34113
- Rents YoY
- 5.6%
- Active inventory
- 597
- Price-to-rent
- 7.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,529 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,731
- Tax from tax record
- −$378 /mo · $4,533/yr
- Insurance
- −$138
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$660
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$741
- Net cashflow
- $-185
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $82,500
- Closing costs
- $9,900
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9022 Michael Cir Unit 2-205 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1450 | $3,500 | $2.41 | 23d | 1 | 0.06mi |
| 9175 Michael Cir #4 Naples, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1639 | $3,195 | $1.95 | 14d | 1 | 0.09mi |
| 8540 Mystic Greens Way #305 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1710 | $4,995 | $2.92 | 14d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 8468 Indian Wells Way Naples, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1704 | $10,500 | $6.16 | 23d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 8432 Indian Wells Way Naples, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1746 | $3,495 | $2.00 | 14d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 8161 Twelve Oaks Cir #512 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1066 | $5,000 | $4.69 | 23d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 8036 Belmont Ct Unit 1073497P Naples, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1840 | $5,316 | $2.89 | 23d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 7100 Falcons Glen Blvd Naples, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1650 | $10,000 | $6.06 | 23d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 7112 Falcons Glen Blvd Naples, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1786 | $14,000 | $7.84 | 23d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 24 Cheyenne Trl Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 888 | $3,500 | $3.94 | 14d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 9165 Celeste Dr Unit 3-303 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $6,500 | $6.50 | 23d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 9175 Celeste Dr Unit 105 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $2,000 | $2.00 | 23d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 9187 Celeste Dr Unit 1073494P Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1399 | $2,979 | $2.13 | 14d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 9118 Chula Vista St #12002 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1531 | $4,200 | $2.74 | 23d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 9159 Delano St #9905 Naples, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1770 | $4,995 | $2.82 | 23d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 9102 Chula Vista St #11302 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1531 | $2,695 | $1.76 | 21d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 9155 Delano St Unit 1545913P Naples, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1797 | $3,871 | $2.15 | 14d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 6737 Bent Grass Dr Naples, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1745 | $12,000 | $6.88 | 23d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 9151 Delano St #9702 Naples, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1733 | $2,650 | $1.53 | 14d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 9092 Chula Vista St #11003 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1404 | $6,850 | $4.88 | 23d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 9088 Chula Vista St Unit 108-3 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1404 | $5,700 | $4.06 | 23d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 11496 Sumter Grove Cir Naples, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1067 | $2,134 | $2.00 | 14d | 14 | 0.84mi |
| 9109 Yuba Ln Unit 80 Naples, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1729 | $3,900 | $2.26 | 23d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 9115 Capistrano St S #8207 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1494 | $6,000 | $4.02 | 23d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 6757 Bent Grass Dr Naples, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1719 | $3,650 | $2.12 | 23d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 9076 Rialto St Unit 62 Naples, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1624 | $7,500 | $4.62 | 23d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 6769 Bent Grass Dr Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1719 | $10,500 | $6.11 | 23d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 9111 Capistrano St S #8303 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1432 | $7,500 | $5.24 | 23d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 9072 Rialto St #6302 Naples, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1771 | $8,250 | $4.66 | 21d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 9102 Capistrano St S Unit 72-3 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1520 | $6,500 | $4.28 | 23d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 22 Cypress View Dr Unit B22 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1534 | $7,000 | $4.56 | 23d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 9073 Rialto St #6002 Naples, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1771 | $7,500 | $4.23 | 23d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 7955 Mahogany Run Ln #515 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1244 | $8,925 | $7.17 | 23d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 7955 Mahogany Run Ln Unit 1504173P Naples, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1442 | $5,840 | $4.05 | 14d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 9081 Albion Ln S #6505 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1225 | $7,500 | $6.12 | 23d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 6719 Crowned Eagle Ln Naples, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1745 | $3,850 | $2.21 | 23d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 6590 Beach Resort Dr Unit 305 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1351 | $4,500 | $3.33 | 14d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 9082 Capistrano St N Unit 48-5 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1227 | $6,500 | $5.30 | 23d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 9071 Albion Ln N #5706 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1441 | $2,200 | $1.53 | 23d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 7940 Mahogany Run Ln #623 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1389 | $8,000 | $5.76 | 23d | 1 | 0.99mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $660 · $7,920/yr
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 10 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $330,000 Active 658 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $330,000 Active 657 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $330,000 Active 656 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $330,000 Active 655 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $330,000 Active 650 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $330,000 Active 649 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $330,000 Active 648 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $330,000 Active 647 DOM
-
2026-06-03remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-03$330,000 Active 642 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $4,533 · $378/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,533 · $378/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (shaded) · 97% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 29 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $42,342
- − Mortgage interest
- −$18,485
- − Property taxes
- −$4,533
- − Insurance
- −$2,448
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,387
- − Management
- −$3,387
- − HOA
- −$7,920
- − Depreciation
- −$9,600
- Taxable loss
- −$7,418
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,780
- After-tax cash flow
- $-437/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Collier
- NCES district ID
- 1200330
- Math proficiency
- 60% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 56% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $58,275
- Composite
- 50.23/100
- National rank
- #1892
- State rank
- #16 of 73 in FL
Livability — Lely Resort
- Score
- 61/100
- State rank
- #786
- US rank
- #17981
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Lely Resort, FL
- County
- Collier County · 396,295 people
- Metro
- Naples-Marco Island, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 26,056
- Household income
- $81,674
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 954.0
Population outlook (Collier County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 420,858 people
- By 2030
- 450,054 · +6.9%
- By 2040
- 502,232 · +19.3%
- By 2050
- 544,932 · +29.5%
- By 2075
- 627,203 · +49.0%
- By 2100
- 659,015 · +56.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 56% Hispanic / Latino 28% Black 12% Two or more races 11% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 17% Puerto Rican 3% Cuban 2%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 10% Romanian 3% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 26% · Canada, Jamaica, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 63% English-only · Spanish 24% French/Haitian/Cajun 9% Other Indo-European 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Collier
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+33.1) · D 33.1% · R 66.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -10.6pp toward R · 2008: -22.5pp · 2024: -33.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+33.1 2020: R+24.7 2016: R+26.0 2012: R+30.1 2008: R+22.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -194.86%
- Current HPI
- 279.4232
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.59%
- Metro
- Naples-Marco Island, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
||
Price history
+31.0% since first listed13 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-24 Relisted — NAPLESMLS
- 2026-02-21 Pending — NAPLESMLS
- 2026-02-17 Price Changed $330,000 NAPLESMLS
- 2025-07-30 Price Changed $385,000 NAPLESMLS
- 2025-01-27 Price Changed $399,000 NAPLESMLS
- 2024-10-01 Price Changed $409,500 NAPLESMLS
- 2024-06-28 Listed $419,500 NAPLESMLS
- 2012-04-11 Sold (Public Records) $145,000 Public Records
- 2007-05-11 Listed $329,900 MIML
- 2007-03-20 Sold (Public Records) $315,000 Public Records
- 2001-09-05 Sold (Public Records) $155,000 Public Records
- 1996-11-25 Sold (Public Records) $123,800 Public Records
- 1996-03-29 Sold (Public Records) $252,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+12.5%/yrLatest (2025): $4,533 · +6.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…