108 Fifth St · Tompkinsville, KY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $839 – $1,559
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 6.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Schools +3.4/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$79,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Nice 3 bedroom, 1 bath house in the city limits of Tompkinsville. Close to several businesses, and sitting on a nice level lot with mature shade trees. 1 bedroom on the main floor, and 2 bedrooms upstairs. Would make a good rental property or starter home.
Key facts
- Level lot
- Mature shade trees
- 0.6 acre lot
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Asphalt parking
- Utilities: Public water; Natural gas available
- Home design: Single family residence; Residential property
- Construction: Frame construction with vinyl siding; Metal roof
- Exterior features: Corner, level lot; Storage structure
Interior
- Kitchen: Refrigerator
- Flooring: Carpet; Concrete; Hardwood; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (main level)
- Heating & cooling: Window air conditioning units
- Interior features: Storm windows; Covered patio
- Laundry & utility: Laundry room; Electric water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $79k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $520 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $79k).
- Recommended offer: $78k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 14.2% vs local median 4.3% in Tompkinsville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#116 in KY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Monroe County (rural): math 36% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #28 of 165 in KY (top 17%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Tompkinsville Elem (math 57% / reading 62%, grade B-, #35 of 676 statewide, top 6%, 371 students, 69% FRL); Monroe Co Middle (math 22% / reading 39%, grade F, #143 of 217 statewide, top 67%, 382 students, 72% FRL); Monroe Co High (math 22% / reading 32%, grade F, #158 of 254 statewide, top 68%, 517 students, 63% FRL).
- Market conditions: 29 active listings in the ZIP.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $546 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Monroe County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 26 days — a 2% lower offer ($78k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $44k; list at $79k implies a 80% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.63% ✓
- Cap rate
- 14.19%
- Cash-on-cash
- 28.20%
- DSCR
- 2.25
- GRM
- 5.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $128,101
- List price
- $79,000
- Delta
- -38.33%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 737 Columbia Ave | 0.18mi | 2/1.0 | 1,296 (-9%) | 15mo | $120,000 | $93 | 64 |
| 103 7th St | 0.20mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,244 (-12%) | 2mo | $123,000 | $99 | 64 |
| 515 White St | 0.16mi | 2/1.0 | 1,212 (-15%) | 9mo | $132,000 | $109 | 61 |
| 707 Monroe Dr | 0.23mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,520 (+7%) | 13mo | $135,000 | $89 | 60 |
| 413 1/2 W 5th St | 0.33mi | 2/2.0 | 1,275 (-10%) | 4mo | $145,500 | $114 | 60 |
| 210 W Third St | 0.33mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,395 (-2%) | 20mo | $55,000 | $39 | 60 |
| 608 Monroe Dr | 0.27mi | 2/2.0 | 1,311 (-8%) | 18mo | $131,000 | $100 | 55 |
| 50 Dowell Dr | 0.49mi | 2/1.0 | 1,219 (-14%) | 0mo | $155,000 | $127 | 53 |
| 607 Lake St | 0.26mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,586 (+12%) | 16mo | $135,000 | $85 | 46 |
| 203 S Main St | 0.63mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,520 (+7%) | 21mo | $120,000 | $79 | 32 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 22.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.92×
- Total profit
- $20,294
- Equity at exit
- $11,779
- IRR
- 30.4%
- Equity multiple
- 3.72×
- Total profit
- $60,259
- Equity at exit
- $6,830
Cash invested: $22,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Kentucky
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 42167
- Home prices YoY
- -10.6%
- Active inventory
- 29
- Price-to-rent
- 5.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,288 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$414
- Tax from tax record
- −$51 /mo · $610/yr
- Insurance
- −$33
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$271
- Net cashflow
- $520
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $565 | -5% $542 | +0% $520 | +5% $497 | +10% $475 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $418 | -5% $469 | +0% $520 | +5% $571 | +10% $622 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $560 | -0.5pp $540 | base $520 | +0.5pp $499 | +1.0pp $478 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $19,750
- Closing costs
- $2,370
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $79,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $79,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $79,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $79,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $79,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $79,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $79,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $79,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-09statusdays on market $79,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-05-04$79,000 Active 256-char remark
-
2022-08-12$69,000 Active
-
2022-08-10$69,000 Active
-
2019-06-13soldstatus $44,000
-
2018-11-26soldstatus $29,000
-
2018-11-26soldstatus $29,000
-
2011-07-01soldstatus $28,355
-
2002-08-01soldstatus $59,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast KY · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $610 · $51/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $679 · $57/mo
- Expected delta
- +$69/yr (+$6/mo · 11.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 6% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,460
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,425
- − Property taxes
- −$610
- − Insurance
- −$395
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,237
- − Management
- −$1,237
- − Depreciation
- −$2,298
- Taxable income
- $5,258
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,262
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,975/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Monroe County
- NCES district ID
- 2104200
- Math proficiency
- 36% ▼ -23.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 48% ▼ -16.00%
- Median HH income
- $31,073
- Composite
- 34.3/100
- National rank
- #5241
- State rank
- #28 of 165 in KY
Livability — Tompkinsville
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #116
- US rank
- #5249
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Tompkinsville, KY
- Population (ZIP)
- 8,393
Population outlook (Monroe County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 10,011 people
- By 2030
- 9,596 · -4.1%
- By 2040
- 8,766 · -12.4%
- By 2050
- 7,971 · -20.4%
- By 2075
- 6,249 · -37.6%
- By 2100
- 4,466 · -55.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (89%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 89% Hispanic / Latino 6% Black 3% Two or more races 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada, Guatemala, China
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Monroe
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+77.3) · D 10.8% · R 88.2% · Other 1.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -24.3pp toward R · 2008: -53.0pp · 2024: -77.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+77.3 2020: R+74.5 2016: R+73.7 2012: R+59.5 2008: R+53.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -27.73%
- Current HPI
- 234.7064
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.81%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $118B |
|
||
| Food / Beverage | 1 | $7B |
|
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Price history
+32.8% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-08 Relisted — SCKMLSKY
- 2026-05-04 Listed $79,000 SCKMLSKY
- 2022-08-12 Listed $69,000 SCKMLSKY
- 2022-08-10 Listed $69,000 RASKMLS
- 2019-06-13 Sold (Public Records) $44,000 Public Records
- 2018-11-26 Sold (Public Records) $29,000 Public Records
- 2018-11-26 Sold (MLS) $29,000 SCKMLSKY
- 2011-07-01 Sold (Public Records) $28,355 Public Records
- 2002-08-01 Sold (Public Records) $59,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+17.3%/yrLatest (2025): $610 · +53.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…