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2879 Two Lake Cir
D Composite 43.94
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +11.2/15.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • Cash flow +7.1/30.0
  • Schools +4.5/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.7/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.0/10.0
  • DSCR +1.3/10.0

$260,999

2879 Two Lake Cir · South Fulton, GA 30349
3 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,936 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 24 Days on market
Built 2006 4,456 sqft lot Est $285k · 8% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Discover the potential of this inviting Atlanta home located in a quiet residential community near South Fulton. Offering a practical layout with spacious living areas and abundant natural light, this property is ready for your personal touch. The home features comfortable gathering spaces ideal for entertaining or everyday living, along with a backyard that provides room to relax, garden, or enjoy outdoor activities. Conveniently situated near shopping, dining, Hartsfield-Jackson Atlanta International Airport, and major highways, this location offers easy access to everything metro Atlanta has to offer while still maintaining a neighborhood feel.

Key facts

  • Backyard
  • 4,456 sq ft lot
  • 2 garage spots

Tags

QUIET RESIDENTIAL COMMUNITYSPACIOUS LIVING AREASABUNDANT NATURAL LIGHTCOMFORTABLE GATHERING SPACESBACKYARD

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Two-car garage; Driveway parking; Open parking available
  • Utilities: Water: Other; Electric: Other; Sewer: Other; Utilities: Other
  • Home design: Two levels; Resale property
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Composition roof; Slab foundation; Built with resale condition
  • Exterior features: Asphalt road frontage on a city street

Interior

  • Kitchen: White cabinets; Eat-in kitchen; Solid surface countertops; Kitchen with view to the family room; Dishwasher; Gas range; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the upper level; Bedroom features: Other
  • Flooring: Hardwood floors
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; One half bathroom; Upper-level full bathrooms: 2; Master bathroom with separate tub and shower and a soaking tub
  • Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Natural gas heating
  • Interior features: One fireplace in the family room; Open great room; Other interior features
  • Laundry & utility: Dedicated laundry room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $261k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-369 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $196k (25.0% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $183k (29.8% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $183k (29.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Fulton County (suburban): math 49% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #12 of 174 in GA (top 7%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Bethune Elementary School (math 17% / reading 22%, grade F, #878 of 1,228 statewide, top 75%, 524 students, 100% FRL); Banneker High School (math 24% / reading 75%, grade D+, #28 of 424 statewide, top 7%, 1,610 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 41% district-wide (59 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 35% at this address vs 51% district-wide (-16 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Fulton County average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 656 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 11,565 units permitted in Fulton County in 2024 (8,159 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($67k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $28k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $26k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Fulton County population projected at +38% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$45k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 24 days — a 2% lower offer ($257k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 7 sale attempts since 16y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $182k; 43% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $183,173 (29.8% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.70%
Cap rate
4.60%
Cash-on-cash
-6.06%
DSCR
0.73
GRM
11.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$284,592
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2880 Two Lakes Circle Cir 0.03mi 3/2.5 1,888 (-2%) 9mo $215,000 $114 87
5636 One Way 0.05mi 3/2.5 1,936 (0%) 14mo $210,000 $108 86
5863 Three Lakes Dr 0.09mi 4/2.5 (+1) 1,912 (-1%) 4mo $304,000 $159 85
5400 Twin Lakes Dr 0.24mi 4/3.0 (+1) 2,021 (+4%) 8mo $250,000 $124 68
2816 Two Lake Cir 0.08mi 3/2.5 1,645 (-15%) 4mo $170,000 $103 68
5453 Baybrook Cir Lot 0020 0.46mi 3/2.5 1,749 (-10%) 3mo $364,990 $209 60
2950 Springfield Ct SW 0.54mi 3/2.0 2,050 (+6%) 6mo $200,000 $98 58
5602 Westhill Cir 0.31mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,850 (-4%) 17mo $290,000 $157 57
5623 Deerfield Ct 0.38mi 4/2.5 (+1) 2,004 (+4%) 18mo $245,000 $122 56
5435 Baybrook Cir 0.46mi 4/3.0 (+1) 2,147 (+11%) 0mo $402,000 $187 53
5337 Jerome Rd 0.70mi 4/3.5 (+1) 1,884 (-3%) 6mo $295,000 $157 49
5527 Jerome Rd 0.56mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,835 (-5%) 12mo $270,000 $147 49

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 0.95% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
19.4%
Equity multiple
2.57×
Total profit
$114,980
Equity at exit
$235,129
10-year hold
IRR
17.5%
Equity multiple
5.79×
Total profit
$350,245
Equity at exit
$507,064

Cash invested: $73,080 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Georgia
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 30349

Home prices YoY
4.6%
Rents YoY
0.9%
Active inventory
656
Price-to-rent
11.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,832 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,369
Tax from tax record
$339 /mo · $4,063/yr
Insurance
$109
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$385
Net cashflow
$-369

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,299
Max offer price $195,820
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-221 -5% $-295 +0% $-369 +5% $-443 +10% $-517
Rent -10% $-514 -5% $-441 +0% $-369 +5% $-297 +10% $-224
Rate -1.0pp $-238 -0.5pp $-303 base $-369 +0.5pp $-437 +1.0pp $-505

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$65,250
Closing costs
$7,830
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
5460 Hampton Ct Atlanta, GA 2.0 3.5 1554 $1,500 $0.97 45d 1 0.08mi
5410 Twin Lakes Dr Atlanta, GA 3.0 2.0 1277 $2,040 $1.60 45d 1 0.21mi
5645 Deerfield Trl Atlanta, GA 3.0 1.5 1496 $1,495 $1.00 23d 1 0.28mi
5712 Westhill Cir Atlanta, GA 4.0 2.0 1441 $1,710 $1.19 4d 1 0.30mi
2890 Jerome Rd Atlanta, GA 3.0 1.5 1229 $1,731 $1.41 0d 1 0.45mi
2500 Pleasant Hill Rd Atlanta, GA 2.0–3.0 1.5–2.5 1405 $1,449 $1.03 25d 2 0.54mi
5335 Willow Park Blvd Atlanta, GA 4.0 2.5 1716 $2,000 $1.17 45d 1 0.56mi
5370 Longmeadow Ln Atlanta, GA 3.0 2.0 1248 $1,600 $1.28 18d 1 0.57mi
6056 Carriage Ct Atlanta, GA 3.0 2.0 1400 $1,549 $1.11 0d 1 0.71mi
2555 Flat Shoals Rd #3005 Atlanta, GA 3.0 2.5 1724 $1,850 $1.07 6d 1 0.77mi
2555 Flat Shoals Rd #404 College Park, GA 3.0 2.5 1408 $1,700 $1.21 25d 1 0.77mi
2555 Flat Shoals Rd #401 Atlanta, GA 3.0 2.5 1550 $2,050 $1.32 45d 1 0.83mi
6120 Hemperly Rd Atlanta, GA 4.0 2.5 1770 $2,100 $1.19 5d 1 0.87mi
6120 Hemperly Rd Atlanta, GA 4.0 2.5 1770 $2,100 $1.19 25d 1 0.87mi
6230 Cedar Wood Dr Atlanta, GA 3.0 2.0 1238 $1,694 $1.37 45d 1 0.93mi
5194 Seaside Ct Atlanta, GA 4.0 2.5 1765 $2,135 $1.21 25d 1 0.93mi
2736 Live Oak Trl Atlanta, GA 4.0 3.0 2050 $1,650 $0.80 12d 1 0.94mi
5442 Scofield Rd Atlanta, GA 3.0 1.5 1368 $1,775 $1.30 45d 1 0.97mi
5750 Buffington Rd Atlanta, GA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1142 $1,642 $1.44 0d 18 1.04mi
320 Emerald Green Ct Atlanta, GA 3.0 2.0 1575 $2,050 $1.30 45d 1 1.05mi
395 Fox Trail Dr Atlanta, GA 3.0 2.0 1400 $1,980 $1.41 12d 1 1.05mi
3280 Sable Trl Atlanta, GA 3.0 3.0 2342 $1,650 $0.70 12d 1 1.07mi
3282 Sable Trl Unit 1 Atlanta, GA 3.0 3.0 2342 $1,795 $0.77 45d 1 1.07mi
2250 Sandgate Cir Atlanta, GA 4.0 3.0 1916 $2,100 $1.10 16d 1 1.11mi
2250 Sandgate Cir Atlanta, GA 4.0 3.0 1916 $2,050 $1.07 0d 1 1.11mi
6560 Emerald Pointe Cir Atlanta, GA 3.0 2.0 1309 $1,500 $1.15 23d 1 1.15mi
5247 Scofield Rd Atlanta, GA 3.0 2.0 1958 $2,000 $1.02 45d 1 1.15mi
6027 Oak Bend Ct Riverdale, GA 3.0 2.5 1530 $2,070 $1.35 6d 1 1.15mi
5071 Windsor Forrest Ln Atlanta, GA 3.0 2.5 1303 $1,881 $1.44 14d 1 1.16mi
5601 Sable Way Atlanta, GA 4.0 2.5 2495 $2,381 $0.95 25d 1 1.16mi
2817 Windsor Forrest Ct Atlanta, GA 3.0 2.5 1408 $1,697 $1.21 45d 1 1.17mi
2817 Windsor Forrest Ct Atlanta, GA 3.0 2.5 1408 $1,697 $1.21 0d 1 1.17mi
2835 Windsor Forrest Ct Atlanta, GA 3.0 2.5 1680 $1,881 $1.12 6d 1 1.17mi
3364 Estes Dr Atlanta, GA 3.0 2.5 1736 $1,889 $1.09 18d 1 1.20mi
6048 Oak Bend Ct Riverdale, GA 3.0 2.5 1500 $1,750 $1.17 0d 1 1.21mi
6048 Oak Bend Ct Riverdale, GA 3.0 2.5 1500 $1,750 $1.17 23d 1 1.21mi
5843 Summerglen Ln Atlanta, GA 3.0 2.5 2453 $1,795 $0.73 25d 1 1.21mi
5477 Denny Dr Atlanta, GA 4.0 3.0 1500 $1,650 $1.10 45d 1 1.22mi
5866 Summerglen Ln Atlanta, GA 3.0 2.0 1400 $1,450 $1.04 45d 1 1.25mi
855 Old Rocky Rd Atlanta, GA 3.0 2.0 1310 $1,710 $1.31 25d 1 1.25mi

Listing history 35 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $260,999 Active 24 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $260,999 Active 21 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    price $260,999 Active 20 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $267,900 Active 20 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $267,900 Active 19 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $267,900 Active 18 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $267,900 Active 16 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $267,900 Active 12 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $267,900 Active 11 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $267,900 Active 10 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $267,900 Active 7 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $267,900 Active 6 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $267,900 Active 4 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $267,900 Active 3 DOM
  15. 2026-05-27
    listed $267,900 New 655-char remark
    Show marketing remark (655 chars)

    Discover the potential of this inviting Atlanta home located in a quiet residential community near South Fulton. Offering a practical layout with spacious living areas and abundant natural light, this property is ready for your personal touch. The home features comfortable gathering spaces ideal for entertaining or everyday living, along with a backyard that provides room to relax, garden, or enjoy outdoor activities. Conveniently situated near shopping, dining, Hartsfield-Jackson Atlanta International Airport, and major highways, this location offers easy access to everything metro Atlanta has to offer while still maintaining a neighborhood feel.

  16. 2026-05-27
    listed $267,900 Active
    Show marketing remark (655 chars)

    Discover the potential of this inviting Atlanta home located in a quiet residential community near South Fulton. Offering a practical layout with spacious living areas and abundant natural light, this property is ready for your personal touch. The home features comfortable gathering spaces ideal for entertaining or everyday living, along with a backyard that provides room to relax, garden, or enjoy outdoor activities. Conveniently situated near shopping, dining, Hartsfield-Jackson Atlanta International Airport, and major highways, this location offers easy access to everything metro Atlanta has to offer while still maintaining a neighborhood feel.

  17. 2023-01-26
    historical
  18. 2022-10-07
    listed $275,000 New
  19. 2021-04-26
    soldstatus $182,500 Sold
  20. 2021-04-26
    soldstatus $182,500
  21. 2021-03-30
    status Under Contract
  22. 2021-03-27
    listed $175,000 New
  23. 2018-01-12
    soldstatus $116,500
  24. 2018-01-08
    soldstatus $116,500 Sold
  25. 2017-12-01
    status Pending
  26. 2017-11-25
    historical Contingent - Due Diligence
  27. 2017-11-16
    status Active
  28. 2017-10-07
    status Pending
  29. 2017-09-26
    historical Contingent - Due Diligence
  30. 2017-09-25
    listed $109,900 Active
  31. 2011-03-29
    historical
  32. 2011-03-21
    soldstatus $52,000 Sold
  33. 2011-02-23
    status Pending
  34. 2011-02-07
    status Pending Existing Lender Approval
  35. 2010-12-24
    listed $56,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$4,063 · $339/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,063 · $339/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,981
− Mortgage interest
−$14,620
− Property taxes
−$4,063
− Insurance
−$1,305
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,758
− Management
−$1,758
− Depreciation
−$7,593
Taxable loss
−$9,117
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,188
After-tax cash flow
$-2,240/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Fulton County
NCES district ID
1302280
Math proficiency
49% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
53% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$68,035
Composite
45.33/100
National rank
#2640
State rank
#12 of 174 in GA

Livability — South Fulton

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
South Fulton, GA
County
Fulton County · 1,094,430 people
City population
127,674
Metro
Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
Population (ZIP)
79,872
Household income
$67,023
Rent vs Own
41.2% rent · 58.8% own
Severe rent burden
4258.0

Population outlook (Fulton County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,203,707 people
By 2030
1,299,706 · +8.0%
By 2040
1,488,256 · +23.6%
By 2050
1,664,580 · +38.3%
By 2075
2,036,072 · +69.2%
By 2100
2,222,402 · +84.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (89%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 89% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 4% White 3%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada
Languages at home
88% English-only · Spanish 6% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Fulton

2024 margin
Solid D (+44.9) · D 71.9% · R 27.0% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
+9.8pp toward D · 2008: 35.0pp · 2024: 44.9pp
All cycles
2024: D+44.9 2020: D+46.4 2016: D+42.1 2012: D+29.6 2008: D+35.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 18.01%
Current HPI
407.99
Rent YoY
▲ 0.95%
Metro
Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.66%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+378.4% since first listed
21 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-27 Listed $267,900 FMLS
  • 2026-05-27 Listed $267,900 GAMLS
  • 2023-01-26 Listing Removed GAMLS
  • 2022-10-07 Listed $275,000 GAMLS
  • 2021-04-26 Sold (Public Records) $182,500 Public Records
  • 2021-04-26 Sold (MLS) $182,500 GAMLS
  • 2021-03-30 Pending GAMLS
  • 2021-03-27 Listed $175,000 GAMLS
  • 2018-01-12 Sold (Public Records) $116,500 Public Records
  • 2018-01-08 Sold (MLS) $116,500 FMLS
  • 2017-12-01 Pending FMLS
  • 2017-11-25 Contingent FMLS
  • 2017-11-16 Relisted FMLS
  • 2017-10-07 Pending FMLS
  • 2017-09-26 Contingent FMLS
  • 2017-09-25 Listed $109,900 FMLS
  • 2011-03-29 Listing Removed FMLS
  • 2011-03-21 Sold (MLS) $52,000 FMLS
  • 2011-02-23 Pending FMLS
  • 2011-02-07 Pending FMLS
  • 2010-12-24 Listed $56,000 FMLS

Property tax history

+7.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $4,063 · -0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…