142 Country Garden Ln · Scott, LA
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.22%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,737 – $8,500
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,269 – $2,357
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +21.2/30.0
- ARV discount +14.1/15.0
- DSCR +6.7/10.0
- 1% rule +4.8/10.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$190,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
$3,000 towards closing costs or possible lease/purchase! You've been waiting for this....Duane Boudreaux quality at an affordable price. Luxurious home in peaceful country subdivision on a large lot. Slab granite countertops, full sized garage, crown molding,great master suite and closets, brand new subdivision.... come on out to visit.
Key facts
- 6,098 sq ft lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 2008
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached 2-car garage; Two covered parking spaces; Two total parking spaces
- Utilities: Gas service by Atmos; Community sewer; Electric service by SLEMCO
- Home design: Single family residence; Located on a cul-de-sac / dead-end road
- Construction: Brick veneer and frame construction; Composition roof
- Exterior features: Full wood fencing; Covered patio/porch
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Microwave; Granite counters
- Flooring: Tile; Vinyl plank
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: High ceilings; Crown molding; Varied ceiling heights; Walk-in closets; Granite counters; Other counter materials; One fireplace
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $190k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-153 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $163k (14.2% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $185k (2.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $163k (14.2% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
- Cap rate 8.0% vs local median 4.7% in Scott — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#116 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing B+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
- Lafayette Parish (urban): math 38% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #19 of 98 in LA (top 19%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Ossun Elementary School (math 35% / reading 38%, grade F, #269 of 646 statewide, top 42%, 519 students, 76% FRL); Carencro Middle School (math 18% / reading 28%, grade F, #145 of 218 statewide, top 69%, 665 students, 75% FRL); Carencro High School (math 30% / reading 29%, grade F, #127 of 265 statewide, top 49%, 1,096 students, 69% FRL) — zoned schools average 73% FRL vs 56% district-wide (17 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 30% at this address vs 42% district-wide (-12 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Lafayette Parish average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: 330 active listings in the ZIP; 13 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,585 units permitted in Lafayette Parish in 2024 (10 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lafayette County population projected at +34% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 19y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $160k; 19% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.98% ✗
- Cap rate
- 8.02%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.17%
- DSCR
- 1.27
- GRM
- 8.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $222,656
- List price
- $190,000
- Delta
- -14.67%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 106 Country Garden Ln | 0.18mi | 3/2.0 | 1,408 (+1%) | 2mo | $185,000 | $131 | 89 |
| 146 Country Garden Ln | 0.02mi | 3/2.0 | 1,471 (+5%) | 11mo | $189,000 | $128 | 81 |
| 139 Country Garden Ln | 0.04mi | 3/2.0 | 1,536 (+10%) | 5mo | $215,500 | $140 | 77 |
| 119 Horizon Ln | 0.15mi | 3/2.0 | 1,479 (+6%) | 9mo | $219,900 | $149 | 75 |
| 120 Horizon Ln | 0.17mi | 3/2.0 | 1,421 (+2%) | 21mo | $230,000 | $162 | 72 |
| 124 Roger Rd | 0.21mi | 3/2.0 | 1,578 (+13%) | 1mo | $250,000 | $158 | 68 |
| 216 Royalton Pkwy | 0.62mi | 3/2.0 | 1,300 (-7%) | 1mo | $205,000 | $158 | 59 |
| 1003 Malapart Rd Unit G | 0.69mi | 3/2.0 | 1,350 (-3%) | 19mo | $190,000 | $141 | 47 |
| 267 Roger Rd | 0.37mi | 3/1.0 | 1,594 (+14%) | 12mo | $180,000 | $113 | 45 |
| 215 Royalton Pkwy | 0.64mi | 3/2.0 | 1,202 (-14%) | 11mo | $180,000 | $150 | 38 |
| 406 Common Pointes Dr | 0.65mi | 3/2.0 | 1,219 (-13%) | 14mo | $184,900 | $152 | 37 |
| 125 Nyoka Cir | 0.56mi | 3/1.5 | 1,190 (-15%) | 17mo | $140,000 | $118 | 33 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -21.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.24×
- Total profit
- $-40,306
- Equity at exit
- $28,330
- IRR
- -15.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.12×
- Total profit
- $-46,757
- Equity at exit
- $16,428
Cash invested: $53,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Louisiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 70507
- Home prices YoY
- -20.6%
- Active inventory
- 330
- Price-to-rent
- 8.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,854 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$996
- Tax from tax record
- −$116 /mo · $1,389/yr
- Insurance
- −$79
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$389
- Net cashflow
- $-153
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-45 | -5% $-99 | +0% $-153 | +5% $-207 | +10% $-260 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-299 | -5% $-226 | +0% $-153 | +5% $-80 | +10% $-6 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-57 | -0.5pp $-105 | base $-153 | +0.5pp $-202 | +1.0pp $-252 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $47,500
- Closing costs
- $5,700
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 13 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 124 Yardley Ct Lafayette, LA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1786 | $1,945 | $1.09 | 22d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 417 Mango Dr Lafayette, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1613 | $2,015 | $1.25 | 15d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 116 Yardley Ct Lafayette, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1613 | $1,890 | $1.17 | 45d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 121 Yardley Ct Lafayette, LA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1786 | $1,965 | $1.10 | 15d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 117 ORTHELLO Ct Lafayette, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1613 | $1,890 | $1.17 | 22d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 117 ORTHELLO Ct Lafayette, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1613 | $1,890 | $1.17 | 45d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 122 SANTIAGO Ct Lafayette, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1613 | $1,890 | $1.17 | 22d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 102 Yardley Ct Lafayette, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1298 | $1,645 | $1.27 | 45d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 108 Santiago Ct Lafayette, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1613 | $1,890 | $1.17 | 22d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 108 Santiago Ct Lafayette, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1613 | $1,890 | $1.17 | 45d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 109 Santiago Ct Lafayette, LA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1786 | $1,965 | $1.10 | 15d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 101 Burrow Dr Scott, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1250 | $1,300 | $1.04 | 22d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 2308 W Gloria Switch Rd Carencro, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1567 | $1,600 | $1.02 | 45d | 1 | 1.27mi |
Listing history 5 events
-
2026-05-16status Pending 951-char remark
-
2026-05-15$190,000 Active 951-char remark
-
2008-11-12soldstatus $160,000 338-char remark
Show marketing remark (338 chars)
$3,000 towards closing costs or possible lease/purchase! You've been waiting for this....Duane Boudreaux quality at an affordable price. Luxurious home in peaceful country subdivision on a large lot. Slab granite countertops, full sized garage, crown molding,great master suite and closets, brand new subdivision.... come on out to visit.
-
2008-11-12soldstatus
Show marketing remark (338 chars)
$3,000 towards closing costs or possible lease/purchase! You've been waiting for this....Duane Boudreaux quality at an affordable price. Luxurious home in peaceful country subdivision on a large lot. Slab granite countertops, full sized garage, crown molding,great master suite and closets, brand new subdivision.... come on out to visit.
-
2007-10-03$167,900 338-char remark
Show marketing remark (338 chars)
$3,000 towards closing costs or possible lease/purchase! You've been waiting for this....Duane Boudreaux quality at an affordable price. Luxurious home in peaceful country subdivision on a large lot. Slab granite countertops, full sized garage, crown molding,great master suite and closets, brand new subdivision.... come on out to visit.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,389 · $116/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,389 · $116/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone AE · 22% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,253
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,643
- − Property taxes
- −$1,389
- − Insurance
- −$6,068
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,780
- − Management
- −$1,780
- − Depreciation
- −$5,527
- Taxable loss
- −$4,935
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,184
- After-tax cash flow
- $-650/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lafayette Parish
- NCES district ID
- 2200870
- Math proficiency
- 38% ▼ -32.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 46% ▼ -24.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,238
- Composite
- 36.15/100
- National rank
- #4741
- State rank
- #19 of 98 in LA
Livability — Scott
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #116
- US rank
- #11265
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Lafayette Parish · 207,544 people
- City population
- 8,670
- Metro
- Lafayette, LA
- Population (ZIP)
- 20,096
- Household income
- $64,049
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 503.0
Population outlook (Lafayette County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 280,930 people
- By 2030
- 301,092 · +7.2%
- By 2040
- 339,456 · +20.8%
- By 2050
- 375,156 · +33.5%
- By 2075
- 451,672 · +60.8%
- By 2100
- 497,203 · +77.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 47% White 45% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 15%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 4% Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Lafayette
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+31.4) · D 33.5% · R 64.8% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -0.1pp no change · 2008: -31.3pp · 2024: -31.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+31.4 2020: R+28.7 2016: R+33.6 2012: R+33.7 2008: R+31.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -40.84%
- Current HPI
- 156.889
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Lafayette, LA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Telecommunications | 2 | $23B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $12B |
|
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| Wholesale / Distribution | 1 | $5B |
|
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| Advertising | 1 | $2B |
|
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Price history
+13.2% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-16 Pending — AcadianaMLS
- 2026-05-15 Listed $190,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2008-11-12 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2008-11-12 Sold (MLS) $160,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2007-10-03 Listed $167,900 AcadianaMLS
Property tax history
+7.4%/yrLatest (2025): $1,389 · -1.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…