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1815 W Avenue K Duplex
C Composite 57.22
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +19.1/30.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +6.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.9/5.0
  • ARV discount +3.8/15.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Schools +2.6/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$199,250

1815 W Avenue K · San Angelo, TX 76901
None bd · None ba · 1,278 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 18 Days on market
Built 1948 7,492 sqft lot Est $184k · 8% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks

Duplex in Santa Rita neighborhood. Each side is 2/1. Each has separate back yard & covered parking. 1 side is leased for 950.00 per month, and the other side is currently being marketed.

Key facts

  • Separate back yard
  • Covered parking
  • Duplex

Tags

DUPLEXSEPARATE BACK YARDCOVERED PARKING

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Carport; Detached carport; Off-street parking; 2 carport spaces
  • Security: Smoke detector(s)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity connected; Water connected; Sewer connected
  • Home design: Duplex (residential income); One level
  • Construction: Composition roof
  • Exterior features: Chain link and privacy fencing; Paved city street frontage; Public maintained road

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric range; Refrigerator
  • Flooring: Hardwood; Other
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air; Ceiling fan(s)
  • Interior features: Laminate counters; Ceiling fans; Smoke detector(s)
  • Laundry & utility: In-unit laundry; Electric water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2 × 2-bed/1-bath units multifamily listed at $199k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $212 ($3k/yr) — positive. Per door: $106/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $199k).
  • Recommended offer: $196k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 7.6% vs local median 3.8% in San Angelo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#199 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • San Angelo ISD (urban): math 27% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #627 of 826 in TX (top 76%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Santa Rita El (math 67% / reading 57%, grade B, #321 of 4,322 statewide, top 8%, 371 students, 40% FRL); Lone Star Middle (math 28% / reading 32%, grade F, #1,056 of 1,662 statewide, top 65%, 903 students, 63% FRL); Central H S (math 22% / reading 43%, grade F, #1,029 of 1,632 statewide, top 64%, 3,065 students, 48% FRL) — zoned schools at 50% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.8%/yr); 331 active listings in the ZIP; 21 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 62% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 233 units permitted in Tom Green County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($69k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $21k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $20k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Tom Green County population projected at +35% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 5.8% rent growth), your $56k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 18 days — a 2% lower offer ($196k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1948 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $196,261 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  2. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  3. Built in 1948 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.06%
Cap rate
7.57%
Cash-on-cash
4.56%
DSCR
1.20
GRM
7.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$184,032
Comps found
2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1532 W Ave D 0.39mi —/— 1,440 (+13%) 12mo $208,000 $144 51
121 N Van Buren St 0.73mi —/— 1,430 (+12%) 10mo $185,000 $129 37

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 5.78% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
28.7%
Equity multiple
3.30×
Total profit
$128,206
Equity at exit
$179,500
10-year hold
IRR
25.9%
Equity multiple
7.83×
Total profit
$380,927
Equity at exit
$387,099

Cash invested: $55,790 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 76901

Home prices YoY
6.4%
Rents YoY
5.8%
Active inventory
331
Price-to-rent
15.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,120 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,045
Tax from tax record
$335 /mo · $4,017/yr
Insurance
$83
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$445
Net cashflow
$212

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,852
Max offer price $199,250
Occupancy floor 85%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $325 -5% $269 +0% $212 +5% $156 +10% $99
Rent -10% $45 -5% $128 +0% $212 +5% $296 +10% $380
Rate -1.0pp $312 -0.5pp $263 base $212 +0.5pp $160 +1.0pp $108

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $2,120

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$49,812
Closing costs
$5,978
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 21 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1725 West Avenue M Unit M San Angelo, TX 2.0 1.0 1202 $1,350 $1.12 22d 1 0.16mi
2505 W Harris Ave San Angelo, TX 2.0 2.0 1582 $1,300 $0.82 45d 1 0.67mi
2013 Rosemont Dr San Angelo, TX 3.0 2.0 1400 $2,100 $1.50 22d 1 0.77mi
2430 Rio Grande St San Angelo, TX 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,395 $1.16 45d 1 0.80mi
210 N Jefferson St #210 San Angelo, TX 3.0 3.0 1706 $1,600 $0.94 22d 1 0.90mi
1222 S Abe St Unit CK-03 San Angelo, TX 2.0 1.5 1007 $1,425 $1.42 45d 1 0.98mi
1835 Willow St San Angelo, TX 3.0 1.0 1267 $1,750 $1.38 45d 1 1.04mi
2756 Sac Ave San Angelo, TX 3.0 1.0 1461 $1,650 $1.13 45d 1 1.07mi
711 N Monroe St San Angelo, TX 3.0 1.0 1345 $1,500 $1.12 45d 1 1.14mi
3344 Trinity Ave San Angelo, TX 3.0 2.0 1545 $1,900 $1.23 22d 1 1.17mi
3207 Trinity Ave San Angelo, TX 3.0 2.0 1536 $1,995 $1.30 45d 1 1.21mi
902 Shiloh St Unit RE-908-C San Angelo, TX 2.0 1.5 925 $1,175 $1.27 45d 1 1.30mi
902 Shiloh St Unit RE-908-16 San Angelo, TX 2.0 1.0 875 $1,125 $1.29 45d 1 1.30mi
209 West Avenue C Unit A San Angelo, TX 2.0 2.0 1100 $1,400 $1.27 45d 1 1.31mi
2630 Waco St San Angelo, TX 3.0 2.0 1024 $1,600 $1.56 22d 1 1.32mi
2548 A and M Ave San Angelo, TX 3.0 1.5 1092 $1,500 $1.37 22d 1 1.34mi
2102 Webster St San Angelo, TX 3.0 1.0 1233 $1,750 $1.42 45d 1 1.42mi
2804 Abilene St San Angelo, TX 3.0 2.0 1304 $1,550 $1.19 45d 1 1.44mi
66 West Avenue U Unit G San Angelo, TX 2.0 2.0 1156 $1,900 $1.64 45d 1 1.46mi
2431 College Hills Blvd San Angelo, TX 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1025 $1,254 $1.22 22d 17 1.49mi
1320 Orient St San Angelo, TX 3.0 2.0 1298 $1,595 $1.23 22d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 14 events

  1. 2026-06-17
    status $199,250 Pending 18 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $199,250 Active 18 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $199,250 Active 17 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $199,250 Active 16 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $199,250 Active 14 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $199,250 Active 13 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $199,250 Active 11 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $199,250 Active 10 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $199,250 Active 9 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $199,250 Active 8 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $199,250 Active 3 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $199,250 Active 2 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    remarks 188-char remark
  14. 2026-05-31
    listed $199,250 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$4,017 · $335/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,017 · $335/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 14% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$25,440
− Mortgage interest
−$11,161
− Property taxes
−$4,017
− Insurance
−$996
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,035
− Management
−$2,035
− Depreciation
−$5,796
Taxable loss
−$601
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$144
After-tax cash flow
$2,690/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
San Angelo ISD
NCES district ID
4838700
Math proficiency
27% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
33% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$43,501
Composite
25.56/100
National rank
#7427
State rank
#627 of 826 in TX

Livability — San Angelo

Score
73/100
State rank
#199
US rank
#5030

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C+ Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
San Angelo, TX
County
Tom Green County · 113,188 people
City population
81,357
Metro
San Angelo, TX
Population (ZIP)
31,831
Household income
$69,450
Rent vs Own
29.0% rent · 71.0% own
Severe rent burden
1034.0

Population outlook (Tom Green County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
135,110 people
By 2030
144,090 · +6.6%
By 2040
162,561 · +20.3%
By 2050
182,158 · +34.8%
By 2075
232,274 · +71.9%
By 2100
268,218 · +98.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (55%)
Race & ethnicity
White 55% Hispanic / Latino 41% Two or more races 17% Black 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 38%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 3% Slovak 3% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada
Languages at home
77% English-only · Spanish 21% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Tom Green

2024 margin
Solid R (+48.0) · D 25.5% · R 73.5% · Other 1.0%
2008→2024 swing
-6.3pp toward R · 2008: -41.7pp · 2024: -48.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+48.0 2020: R+44.4 2016: R+47.9 2012: R+47.9 2008: R+41.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 47.96%
Current HPI
798.58
Rent YoY
▲ 5.78%
Metro
San Angelo, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-31 Listed $199,250 SAAR TX
  • 2014-04-17 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2006-12-22 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+4.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $4,017 · +14.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…