Duplex
1815 W Avenue K · San Angelo, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 14.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +19.1/30.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +6.0/10.0
- 1% rule +5.6/10.0
- Rent growth +3.9/5.0
- ARV discount +3.8/15.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Schools +2.6/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$199,250
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks
Duplex in Santa Rita neighborhood. Each side is 2/1. Each has separate back yard & covered parking. 1 side is leased for 950.00 per month, and the other side is currently being marketed.
Key facts
- Separate back yard
- Covered parking
- Duplex
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Carport; Detached carport; Off-street parking; 2 carport spaces
- Security: Smoke detector(s)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity connected; Water connected; Sewer connected
- Home design: Duplex (residential income); One level
- Construction: Composition roof
- Exterior features: Chain link and privacy fencing; Paved city street frontage; Public maintained road
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric range; Refrigerator
- Flooring: Hardwood; Other
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air; Ceiling fan(s)
- Interior features: Laminate counters; Ceiling fans; Smoke detector(s)
- Laundry & utility: In-unit laundry; Electric water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 2-bed/1-bath units multifamily listed at $199k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $212 ($3k/yr) — positive. Per door: $106/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $199k).
- Recommended offer: $196k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.6% vs local median 3.8% in San Angelo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#199 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
- San Angelo ISD (urban): math 27% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #627 of 826 in TX (top 76%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Santa Rita El (math 67% / reading 57%, grade B, #321 of 4,322 statewide, top 8%, 371 students, 40% FRL); Lone Star Middle (math 28% / reading 32%, grade F, #1,056 of 1,662 statewide, top 65%, 903 students, 63% FRL); Central H S (math 22% / reading 43%, grade F, #1,029 of 1,632 statewide, top 64%, 3,065 students, 48% FRL) — zoned schools at 50% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.8%/yr); 331 active listings in the ZIP; 21 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 62% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 233 units permitted in Tom Green County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($69k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $21k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $20k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Tom Green County population projected at +35% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 5.8% rent growth), your $56k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 18 days — a 2% lower offer ($196k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1948 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1948 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.06% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.57%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.56%
- DSCR
- 1.20
- GRM
- 7.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $184,032
- Comps found
- 2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1532 W Ave D | 0.39mi | —/— | 1,440 (+13%) | 12mo | $208,000 | $144 | 51 |
| 121 N Van Buren St | 0.73mi | —/— | 1,430 (+12%) | 10mo | $185,000 | $129 | 37 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 5.78% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 28.7%
- Equity multiple
- 3.30×
- Total profit
- $128,206
- Equity at exit
- $179,500
- IRR
- 25.9%
- Equity multiple
- 7.83×
- Total profit
- $380,927
- Equity at exit
- $387,099
Cash invested: $55,790 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 76901
- Home prices YoY
- 6.4%
- Rents YoY
- 5.8%
- Active inventory
- 331
- Price-to-rent
- 15.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,120 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,045
- Tax from tax record
- −$335 /mo · $4,017/yr
- Insurance
- −$83
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$445
- Net cashflow
- $212
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $325 | -5% $269 | +0% $212 | +5% $156 | +10% $99 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $45 | -5% $128 | +0% $212 | +5% $296 | +10% $380 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $312 | -0.5pp $263 | base $212 | +0.5pp $160 | +1.0pp $108 |
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 2 | 1 | $2,120 |
| #1 | 2 | 1 | $1,060 |
| #2 | 2 | 1 | $1,060 |
| Total (2 units) | $2,120 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $49,812
- Closing costs
- $5,978
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 21 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1725 West Avenue M Unit M San Angelo, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1202 | $1,350 | $1.12 | 22d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 2505 W Harris Ave San Angelo, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1582 | $1,300 | $0.82 | 45d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 2013 Rosemont Dr San Angelo, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $2,100 | $1.50 | 22d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 2430 Rio Grande St San Angelo, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,395 | $1.16 | 45d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 210 N Jefferson St #210 San Angelo, TX | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1706 | $1,600 | $0.94 | 22d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 1222 S Abe St Unit CK-03 San Angelo, TX | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1007 | $1,425 | $1.42 | 45d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 1835 Willow St San Angelo, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1267 | $1,750 | $1.38 | 45d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 2756 Sac Ave San Angelo, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1461 | $1,650 | $1.13 | 45d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 711 N Monroe St San Angelo, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1345 | $1,500 | $1.12 | 45d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 3344 Trinity Ave San Angelo, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1545 | $1,900 | $1.23 | 22d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 3207 Trinity Ave San Angelo, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1536 | $1,995 | $1.30 | 45d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 902 Shiloh St Unit RE-908-C San Angelo, TX | 2.0 | 1.5 | 925 | $1,175 | $1.27 | 45d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 902 Shiloh St Unit RE-908-16 San Angelo, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 875 | $1,125 | $1.29 | 45d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 209 West Avenue C Unit A San Angelo, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,400 | $1.27 | 45d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 2630 Waco St San Angelo, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1024 | $1,600 | $1.56 | 22d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 2548 A and M Ave San Angelo, TX | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1092 | $1,500 | $1.37 | 22d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 2102 Webster St San Angelo, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1233 | $1,750 | $1.42 | 45d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 2804 Abilene St San Angelo, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1304 | $1,550 | $1.19 | 45d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 66 West Avenue U Unit G San Angelo, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1156 | $1,900 | $1.64 | 45d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 2431 College Hills Blvd San Angelo, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1025 | $1,254 | $1.22 | 22d | 17 | 1.49mi |
| 1320 Orient St San Angelo, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1298 | $1,595 | $1.23 | 22d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 14 events
-
2026-06-17status $199,250 Pending 18 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $199,250 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $199,250 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $199,250 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $199,250 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $199,250 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $199,250 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $199,250 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $199,250 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $199,250 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $199,250 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $199,250 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-05-31remarks 188-char remark
-
2026-05-31$199,250 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $4,017 · $335/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,017 · $335/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 14% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $25,440
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,161
- − Property taxes
- −$4,017
- − Insurance
- −$996
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,035
- − Management
- −$2,035
- − Depreciation
- −$5,796
- Taxable loss
- −$601
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$144
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,690/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- San Angelo ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4838700
- Math proficiency
- 27% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 33% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,501
- Composite
- 25.56/100
- National rank
- #7427
- State rank
- #627 of 826 in TX
Livability — San Angelo
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #199
- US rank
- #5030
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- San Angelo, TX
- County
- Tom Green County · 113,188 people
- City population
- 81,357
- Metro
- San Angelo, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 31,831
- Household income
- $69,450
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1034.0
Population outlook (Tom Green County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 135,110 people
- By 2030
- 144,090 · +6.6%
- By 2040
- 162,561 · +20.3%
- By 2050
- 182,158 · +34.8%
- By 2075
- 232,274 · +71.9%
- By 2100
- 268,218 · +98.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (55%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 55% Hispanic / Latino 41% Two or more races 17% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 38%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Slovak 3% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 77% English-only · Spanish 21% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Tom Green
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+48.0) · D 25.5% · R 73.5% · Other 1.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -6.3pp toward R · 2008: -41.7pp · 2024: -48.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+48.0 2020: R+44.4 2016: R+47.9 2012: R+47.9 2008: R+41.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 47.96%
- Current HPI
- 798.58
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.78%
- Metro
- San Angelo, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
||
| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
|
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Price history
3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-31 Listed $199,250 SAAR TX
- 2014-04-17 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2006-12-22 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+4.8%/yrLatest (2025): $4,017 · +14.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…