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D+ Composite 47.01
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +4.8/10.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.6/10.0

$9,950

None · Okolona, MS 38860
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,704 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 784 Days on market
Built 1940 $6/sqft · 89% below area

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Property is being sold for land value only. No value given to home site.

Key facts

  • Built 1940
  • Listed 783 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $10k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $751 ($9k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $10k).
  • Recommended offer: $9k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 61/100 on livability (#191 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Okolona Separate School District (rural): math 24% / reading 17% proficiency, ranked #93 of 130 in MS (top 72%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 92% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 25 active listings in the ZIP; 7 units permitted in Chickasaw County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $32 of equity ($68 loan paydown + $-36 appreciation (-0.4% local appreciation)).
  • Chickasaw County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-0.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $3k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 784 days — a 12% lower offer ($9k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask is 1709% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $125/mo; built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone A (mandatory federal flood insurance); major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $8,756 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 784 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
12.08%
Cap rate
111.97%
Cash-on-cash
377.41%
DSCR
17.79
GRM
0.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$94,954
List price
$9,950
Delta
-89.52%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
2 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-0.36% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
18.04×
Total profit
$47,470
Equity at exit
$2,709
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
38.49×
Total profit
$104,442
Equity at exit
$3,116

Cash invested: $2,786 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Mississippi
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; very landlord-favorable; no rent control.

ZIP-level market 38860

Home prices YoY
-0.3%
Active inventory
25
Price-to-rent
0.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,202 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$52
Tax from tax record
$17 /mo · $201/yr
Insurance
$4
Flood insurance flood zone
−$125 /mo · $1,502/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$252
Net cashflow
$751

Break-even live

Break-even rent $251
Max offer price $9,950
Occupancy floor 32%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $757 -5% $754 +0% $751 +5% $748 +10% $745
Rent -10% $656 -5% $704 +0% $751 +5% $798 +10% $846
Rate -1.0pp $756 -0.5pp $754 base $751 +0.5pp $748 +1.0pp $746

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$2,488
Closing costs
$298
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 24 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $9,950 Active 784 DOM
  2. 2026-06-21
    days on market $9,950 Active 783 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $9,950 Active 781 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $9,950 Active 780 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $9,950 Active 779 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $9,950 Active 778 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $9,950 Active 776 DOM
  8. 2026-06-12
    days on market $9,950 Active 775 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $9,950 Active 772 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $9,950 Active 771 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $9,950 Active 770 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $9,950 Active 768 DOM
  13. 2026-06-04
    days on market $9,950 Active 766 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $9,950 Active 765 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $9,950 Active 764 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $9,950 Active 763 DOM
  17. 2025-11-17
    soldstatus Closed 72-char remark
    Show marketing remark (72 chars)

    Property is being sold for land value only. No value given to home site.

  18. 2025-09-24
    price $5,950 72-char remark
    Show marketing remark (72 chars)

    Property is being sold for land value only. No value given to home site.

  19. 2025-09-23
    listed $550 Active 72-char remark
    Show marketing remark (72 chars)

    Property is being sold for land value only. No value given to home site.

  20. 2025-06-20
    price $5,950
  21. 2025-05-20
    status Active
  22. 2025-02-12
    listed $6,950 Active
  23. 2024-07-29
    price $9,950
  24. 2024-04-04
    listed $14,950 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$201 · $17/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$201 · $17/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone A · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,420
− Mortgage interest
−$557
− Property taxes
−$201
− Insurance
−$1,552
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,154
− Management
−$1,154
− Depreciation
−$289
Taxable income
$9,512
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,283
After-tax cash flow
$6,729/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Okolona Separate School District
NCES district ID
2803390
Math proficiency
24% ▼ -13.00%
Reading proficiency
17% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$29,703
Composite
16.42/100
National rank
#9191
State rank
#93 of 130 in MS

Livability — Okolona

Score
61/100
State rank
#191
US rank
#17576

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Okolona, MS
Population (ZIP)
6,313

Population outlook (Chickasaw County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
17,070 people
By 2030
16,849 · -1.3%
By 2040
16,419 · -3.8%
By 2050
15,899 · -6.9%
By 2075
14,445 · -15.4%
By 2100
12,062 · -29.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority Black (55%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 55% White 45%
Common ancestry
Italian 2%
Foreign-born
0%

Political lean MEDSL · Chickasaw

2024 margin
R (+13.7) · D 42.7% · R 56.4%
2008→2024 swing
-15.8pp toward R · 2008: 2.1pp · 2024: -13.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+13.7 2020: R+4.5 2016: R+6.1 2012: D+4.1 2008: D+2.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -0.36%
Current HPI
128.2516
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

-60.2% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2025-11-17 Sold (MLS) NEMSBD
  • 2025-09-24 Price Changed $5,950 NEMSBD
  • 2025-09-23 Listed $550 NEMSBD
  • 2025-06-20 Price Changed $5,950 NEMSBD
  • 2025-05-20 Relisted NEMSBD
  • 2025-02-12 Listed $6,950 NEMSBD
  • 2024-07-29 Price Changed $9,950 GBOR
  • 2024-04-04 Listed $14,950 GBOR

Property tax history

-1.6%/yr

Latest (2024): $201 · +0.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…