53 Victoria Pl · Gloucester City, NJ
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $526 – $976
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 40.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.7/30.0
- DSCR +9.2/10.0
- 1% rule +7.6/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$134,990
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Great investment opportunity, or looking to move in yourself. Home is currently tenant occupied. Home being sold as-is, but owner will provide CO through township.
Key facts
- Built 1900
- Listed 48 days
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Dirt driveway; Alley access
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Natural gas hot water
- Home design: Interior townhouse/rowhouse; Fee simple ownership; Year built estimated
- Construction: Frame construction; Block foundation; Above- and below-grade structures
- Exterior features: Lot dimensions approximately 14 x 41
Interior
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms on the main level
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (main level)
- Heating & cooling: 90% forced air heating; Natural gas heating; Central air conditioning (electric)
- Interior features: Estimated living area; Full basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath townhouse listed at $135k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $367 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $135k).
- Recommended offer: $131k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.6% vs local median 5.5% in Gloucester City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#215 in NJ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- Gloucester City Public School District (suburban): math 11% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #413 of 472 in NJ (top 88%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 92 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,018 units permitted in Camden County in 2024 (509 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($63k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $934 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Camden County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $38k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 48 days — a 3% lower offer ($131k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $85k; list at $135k implies a 59% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 40% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 48 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.26% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.55%
- Cash-on-cash
- 11.65%
- DSCR
- 1.52
- GRM
- 6.6
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 1.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.04×
- Total profit
- $1,540
- Equity at exit
- $20,127
- IRR
- 10.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.84×
- Total profit
- $31,630
- Equity at exit
- $11,671
Cash invested: $37,797 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 21 Tenant-Leaning
- State New Jersey
- 21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 08030
- Home prices YoY
- -27.9%
- Active inventory
- 92
- Price-to-rent
- 6.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,696 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$708
- Tax from tax record
- −$209 /mo · $2,504/yr
- Insurance
- −$56
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$356
- Net cashflow
- $367
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $443 | -5% $405 | +0% $367 | +5% $329 | +10% $290 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $233 | -5% $300 | +0% $367 | +5% $434 | +10% $501 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $435 | -0.5pp $401 | base $367 | +0.5pp $332 | +1.0pp $296 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $33,748
- Closing costs
- $4,050
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 9 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Meadow Ln Gloucester City, NJ | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 833 | $2,385 | $2.86 | 25d | 8 | 0.79mi |
| 3081 Alabama Rd Camden, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 672 | $1,650 | $2.46 | 3d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 1612 Independence Rd Camden, NJ | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 637 | $1,350 | $2.12 | 25d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 3255 Crescent Dr Unit 03-3220 Camden, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,350 | $1.93 | 25d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 3255 Crescent Dr Unit 16-1586 Camden, NJ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $1,085 | $1.67 | 25d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 3255 Crescent Dr Unit 02-3223 Camden, NJ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 675 | $1,085 | $1.61 | 12d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 3255 Crescent Dr Unit 08-1585 Camden, NJ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $1,200 | $1.85 | 25d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 50 Princeton Ave Bellmawr, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 720 | $2,000 | $2.78 | 2d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 36 Jefferson Ave Unit A Mt Ephraim, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 644 | $1,975 | $3.07 | 25d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 22 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $134,990 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $134,990 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $134,990 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $134,990 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $134,990 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $134,990 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $134,990 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $134,990 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $134,990 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $134,990 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $134,990 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $134,990 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $134,990 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $134,990 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-05-04$134,990 Active
-
2026-04-30historical
-
2026-04-10price $134,990
-
2025-11-24$150,000 Active
-
2022-07-01soldstatus $85,000
-
2022-05-23soldstatus $85,000 Closed 163-char remark
Show marketing remark (163 chars)
Great investment opportunity, or looking to move in yourself. Home is currently tenant occupied. Home being sold as-is, but owner will provide CO through township.
-
2022-03-04status Pending 163-char remark
Show marketing remark (163 chars)
Great investment opportunity, or looking to move in yourself. Home is currently tenant occupied. Home being sold as-is, but owner will provide CO through township.
-
2022-02-11$94,500 Active 163-char remark
Show marketing remark (163 chars)
Great investment opportunity, or looking to move in yourself. Home is currently tenant occupied. Home being sold as-is, but owner will provide CO through township.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NJ · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,504 · $209/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,932 · $244/mo
- Expected delta
- +$429/yr (+$36/mo · 17.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 40% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,349
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,562
- − Property taxes
- −$2,504
- − Insurance
- −$675
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,628
- − Management
- −$1,628
- − Depreciation
- −$3,927
- Taxable income
- $2,426
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$582
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,820/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Gloucester City Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 3406000
- Math proficiency
- 11% ▼ -21.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 34% ▼ -15.00%
- Median HH income
- $51,231
- Composite
- 20.01/100
- National rank
- #8664
- State rank
- #413 of 472 in NJ
Livability — Gloucester City
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #215
- US rank
- #5984
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Gloucester City, NJ
- County
- Camden County · 407,624 people
- City population
- 13,217
- Metro
- Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
- Population (ZIP)
- 13,217
- Household income
- $63,384
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 431.0
Population outlook (Camden County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 507,964 people
- By 2030
- 502,182 · -1.1%
- By 2040
- 485,602 · -4.4%
- By 2050
- 465,630 · -8.3%
- By 2075
- 419,986 · -17.3%
- By 2100
- 369,492 · -27.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (68%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 68% Hispanic / Latino 18% Black 7% Asian 5% Two or more races 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 10%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Lithuanian 3% Hispanic 2%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada, Jamaica, China
- Languages at home
- 81% English-only · Spanish 13% Other Indo-European 4% Arabic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Camden
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+27.4) · D 63.0% · R 35.5% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -8.8pp toward R · 2008: 36.2pp · 2024: 27.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+27.4 2020: D+33.5 2016: D+32.4 2012: D+36.6 2008: D+36.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -115.59%
- Current HPI
- 298.9139
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NJ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Consumer Goods | 3 | $31B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $153B |
|
||
| Technology | 2 | $21B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $20B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $19B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 1 | $70B |
|
||
Price history
+42.8% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-04 Listed $134,990 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-04-30 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-04-10 Price Changed $134,990 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-11-24 Listed $150,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2022-07-01 Sold (Public Records) $85,000 Public Records
- 2022-05-23 Sold (MLS) $85,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2022-03-04 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2022-02-11 Listed $94,500 BRIGHT MLS
Property tax history
+3.2%/yrLatest (2025): $2,504 · +5.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…