309 Summit St · Marshalltown, IA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $902 – $1,676
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.9/10.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$89,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
The plumbing and electrical has already been upgraded, modern breaker box. There are new toilets. The furnace & air conditioner are in excellent condition. New CA in 2025 & forced air runs installed to upper level. The chimney has a stainless steel cap that can easily be removed if you want to use the fireplace. Structurally & exterior cosmetics are great, just needs some interior cosmetics & decorating to make this a nice sound home. Main level laundry off kitchen. Since the derecho it does need some ceiling work in a couple of spots.
Key facts
- Modern breaker box
- New toilets
- Upgraded plumbing
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $90k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $400 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $90k).
- Recommended offer: $85k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 11.6% vs local median 4.5% in Marshalltown — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#133 in IA, #2,464 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, amenities F.
- Marshalltown Community School District (town): math 50% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #278 of 289 in IA (top 96%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; 60% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 161 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 35 units permitted in Marshall County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $622 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Marshall County population projected at +8% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 84 days — a 6% lower offer ($85k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 84 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.39% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.64%
- Cash-on-cash
- 19.08%
- DSCR
- 1.85
- GRM
- 6.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $124,203
- List price
- $89,900
- Delta
- -27.62%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 309 W State St | 0.16mi | 3/2.0 | 1,570 (-2%) | 2mo | $160,000 | $102 | 84 |
| 308 Summit St | 0.02mi | 3/2.0 | 1,476 (-8%) | 1mo | $105,500 | $71 | 81 |
| 305 N 2nd St | 0.16mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,520 (-5%) | 6mo | $159,900 | $105 | 70 |
| 9 S 4th St | 0.33mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,680 (+5%) | 4mo | $133,000 | $79 | 66 |
| 5 S 8th St | 0.48mi | 3/1.5 | 1,520 (-5%) | 4mo | $110,000 | $72 | 64 |
| 603 Fremont St | 0.20mi | 3/1.5 | 1,362 (-15%) | 6mo | $122,000 | $90 | 59 |
| 406 N 1st Ave | 0.40mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,764 (+10%) | 0mo | $76,000 | $43 | 59 |
| 912 W Church St | 0.63mi | 3/2.0 | 1,680 (+5%) | 1mo | $150,000 | $89 | 57 |
| 303 N 7th St | 0.27mi | 3/2.0 | 1,398 (-12%) | 7mo | $109,900 | $79 | 57 |
| 208 N Center St | 0.29mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,799 (+13%) | 6mo | $129,000 | $72 | 51 |
| 408 N 3rd Ave | 0.56mi | 3/2.0 | 1,428 (-11%) | 7mo | $85,000 | $60 | 47 |
| 406 Swayze St | 0.69mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,429 (-11%) | 2mo | $79,900 | $56 | 44 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 11.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.43×
- Total profit
- $10,927
- Equity at exit
- $13,404
- IRR
- 20.0%
- Equity multiple
- 2.68×
- Total profit
- $42,336
- Equity at exit
- $7,773
Cash invested: $25,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Iowa
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 50158
- Active inventory
- 161
- Price-to-rent
- 6.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,249 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$471
- Tax from tax record
- −$78 /mo · $934/yr
- Insurance
- −$37
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$262
- Net cashflow
- $400
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $451 | -5% $426 | +0% $400 | +5% $375 | +10% $349 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $302 | -5% $351 | +0% $400 | +5% $450 | +10% $499 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $446 | -0.5pp $423 | base $400 | +0.5pp $377 | +1.0pp $353 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $22,475
- Closing costs
- $2,697
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 511 W State St Unit 3 Marshalltown, IA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1580 | $1,150 | $0.73 | 44d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 1010 Washington St Marshalltown, IA | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1098 | $1,262 | $1.15 | 44d | 3 | 1.04mi |
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $89,900 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $89,900 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $89,900 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $89,900 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $89,900 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $89,900 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $89,900 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $89,900 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $89,900 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $89,900 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $89,900 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $89,900 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $89,900 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $89,900 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $89,900 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $89,900 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-04-15price $89,900 565-char remark
Show marketing remark (565 chars)
The plumbing and electrical has already been upgraded, modern breaker box. There are new toilets. The furnace & air conditioner are in excellent condition. New CA in 2025 & forced air runs installed to upper level. The chimney has a stainless steel cap that can easily be removed if you want to use the fireplace. Structurally & exterior cosmetics are great, just needs some interior cosmetics & decorating to make this a nice sound home. Main level laundry off kitchen. Since the derecho it does need some ceiling work in a couple of spots.
-
2026-03-27$98,500 Active 565-char remark
Show marketing remark (565 chars)
The plumbing and electrical has already been upgraded, modern breaker box. There are new toilets. The furnace & air conditioner are in excellent condition. New CA in 2025 & forced air runs installed to upper level. The chimney has a stainless steel cap that can easily be removed if you want to use the fireplace. Structurally & exterior cosmetics are great, just needs some interior cosmetics & decorating to make this a nice sound home. Main level laundry off kitchen. Since the derecho it does need some ceiling work in a couple of spots.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $934 · $78/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,173 · $98/mo
- Expected delta
- +$239/yr (+$20/mo · 25.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,993
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,036
- − Property taxes
- −$934
- − Insurance
- −$450
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,199
- − Management
- −$1,199
- − Depreciation
- −$2,615
- Taxable income
- $3,560
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$854
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,949/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Marshalltown Community School District
- NCES district ID
- 1918720
- Math proficiency
- 50% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 52% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $47,877
- Composite
- 43.41/100
- National rank
- #3015
- State rank
- #278 of 289 in IA
Livability — Marshalltown
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #133
- US rank
- #2464
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Marshalltown, IA
- County
- Marshall County · 31,396 people
- City population
- 31,396
- Metro
- Marshalltown, IA
- Population (ZIP)
- 31,396
- Household income
- $70,367
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 369.0
Population outlook (Marshall County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 41,166 people
- By 2030
- 41,477 · +0.8%
- By 2040
- 42,548 · +3.4%
- By 2050
- 44,472 · +8.0%
- By 2075
- 52,719 · +28.1%
- By 2100
- 60,912 · +48.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (60%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 60% Hispanic / Latino 30% Two or more races 14% Asian 5% Black 2% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 25%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 3% Italian 2% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 17% · Canada, Philippines, China
- Languages at home
- 71% English-only · Spanish 24% Other Asian/Pacific 4% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Marshall
- 2024 margin
- R (+15.6) · D 41.4% · R 57.0% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -24.9pp toward R · 2008: 9.3pp · 2024: -15.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+15.6 2020: R+7.7 2016: R+8.5 2012: D+8.9 2008: D+9.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -161.80%
- Current HPI
- 177.4692
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Marshalltown, IA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.48%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $16B |
|
||
| Retail / Convenience | 1 | $15B |
|
||
Price history
-8.7% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-15 Price Changed $89,900 IAR
- 2026-03-27 Listed $98,500 IAR
Property tax history
+1.3%/yrLatest (2025): $934 · -6.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…