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2211 W 48th Pl 🏷️ Likely Rental
D Composite 41.27
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$6,499

2211 W 48th Pl · Ross, IN 46408
2 bd · None ba · 1,552 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 101 Days on market
Built 1946 7,667 sqft lot ↓ 34% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

INVESTOR SPECIAL 1,552 sqft cinderblock home in Gary. 2-bed layout with huge potential. Sold AS-IS structural repair needed for a missing block portion. Perfect shell for a flip or rental. Cash only. Grab this deal before it's gone

Key facts

  • 7,667 sq ft lot
  • Built 1946
  • Listed 100 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Vacant occupancy

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-story home; Built in 1946
  • Exterior features: Tree/woods view

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen
  • Bedrooms: Primary bedroom; Second bedroom
  • Heating & cooling: No heating; No cooling
  • Interior features: Five total rooms; Living room; Dining room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $6,499 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$116,400) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/?-bath single-family listed at $6k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $6k).
  • Recommended offer: $6k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Lake Ridge New Tech Schools (suburban): math 11% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #287 of 301 in IN (top 95%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 79% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 104 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 3d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,642 units permitted in Lake County in 2024 (14 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($47k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $45 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $195 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Lake County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $2k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 101 days — a 9% lower offer ($6k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 4.8% of price; built in 1946 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $5,914 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 101 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1946 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
21.67%
Cap rate
200.16%
Cash-on-cash
692.40%
DSCR
31.81
GRM
0.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$116,400
Comps found
7
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
4960 Cleveland St 0.17mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,427 (-8%) 4mo $51,000 $36 70
5397 Cleveland St 0.68mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,538 (-1%) 2mo $249,000 $162 61
4660 Hayes St 0.41mi 2/1.0 1,470 (-5%) 20mo $33,000 $22 55
4441 Marshall St 0.63mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,494 (-4%) 10mo $145,000 $97 51
5005 Chase St 0.61mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,442 (-7%) 8mo $69,000 $48 48
1710 W 50th Ave 0.35mi 3/2.5 (+1) 1,751 (+13%) 14mo $212,000 $121 46
3050 W 47th Ave 0.63mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,624 (+5%) 23mo $121,000 $75 38

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
37.19×
Total profit
$65,852
Equity at exit
$969
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
79.90×
Total profit
$143,584
Equity at exit
$562

Cash invested: $1,820 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Indiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day pay-or-quit; landlord-favorable; preempted.

ZIP-level market 46408

Home prices YoY
-31.6%
Active inventory
104
Price-to-rent
0.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,408 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$34
Tax from tax record
$26 /mo · $310/yr
Insurance
$3
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$296
Net cashflow
$1,050

Break-even live

Break-even rent $79
Max offer price $6,499
Occupancy floor 20%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,072 -5% $1,070 +0% $1,050 +5% $1,048 +10% $1,046
Rent -10% $939 -5% $994 +0% $1,050 +5% $1,106 +10% $1,161
Rate -1.0pp $1,053 -0.5pp $1,052 base $1,050 +0.5pp $1,048 +1.0pp $1,047

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$1,625
Closing costs
$195
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 9 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
5005 Chase St Gary, IN 3.0 2.0 1142 $1,400 $1.23 0d 1 0.62mi
4767 Harrison St Gary, IN 3.0 1.0 1664 $1,500 $0.90 3d 1 0.91mi
4748 Monroe St Gary, IN 3.0 1.0 1074 $1,695 $1.58 0d 1 1.07mi
4854 Jefferson St Gary, IN 3.0 1.0 2116 $1,395 $0.66 11d 1 1.19mi
4854 Jefferson St Gary, IN 3.0 1.0 2116 $1,395 $0.66 0d 1 1.19mi
4772 Jefferson St Gary, IN 3.0 2.0 1956 $1,595 $0.82 20d 1 1.19mi
4208 Jackson St Gary, IN 3.0 1.0 1411 $1,350 $0.96 45d 1 1.29mi
3788 Lincoln St Gary, IN 3.0 2.0 1398 $1,400 $1.00 11d 1 1.44mi
4430 Broadway Gary, IN 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,250 $1.04 0d 1 1.47mi

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $6,499 Active 101 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $6,499 Active 98 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $6,499 Active 97 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $6,499 Active 96 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $6,499 Active 95 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $6,499 Active 93 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $6,499 Active 92 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $6,499 Active 89 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $6,499 Active 88 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $6,499 Active 87 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $6,499 Active 84 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $6,499 Active 83 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $6,499 Active 82 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $6,499 Active 81 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $6,499 Active 80 DOM
  16. 2026-04-28
    price $6,499
  17. 2026-04-21
    price $7,999
  18. 2026-04-07
    price $9,400
  19. 2026-03-12
    listed $9,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$310 · $26/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$310 · $26/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,900
− Mortgage interest
−$364
− Property taxes
−$310
− Insurance
−$32
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,352
− Management
−$1,352
− Depreciation
−$189
Taxable income
$13,301
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$3,192
After-tax cash flow
$9,408/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Lake Ridge New Tech Schools
NCES district ID
1805460
Math proficiency
11% ▼ -18.00%
Reading proficiency
20% ▼ -9.00%
Median HH income
$34,568
Composite
12.67/100
National rank
#9607
State rank
#287 of 301 in IN

Livability — Ross

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
Ross, IN
County
Lake County · 422,878 people
City population
15,571
Metro
Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
Population (ZIP)
15,747
Household income
$47,453
Rent vs Own
41.2% rent · 58.8% own
Severe rent burden
619.0

Population outlook (Lake County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
484,026 people
By 2030
478,091 · -1.2%
By 2040
462,974 · -4.3%
By 2050
449,894 · -7.1%
By 2075
436,169 · -9.9%
By 2100
426,607 · -11.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
Race & ethnicity
Black 41% White 32% Hispanic / Latino 22% Two or more races 12%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 14% Puerto Rican 7%
Common ancestry
Romanian 5% Iranian 1% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada, China
Languages at home
87% English-only · Spanish 12% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lake

2024 margin
Lean D (+5.6) · D 52.1% · R 46.5% · Other 1.5%
2008→2024 swing
-28.6pp toward R · 2008: 34.3pp · 2024: 5.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+5.6 2020: D+15.1 2016: D+20.6 2012: D+31.0 2008: D+34.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -72.08%
Current HPI
155.6238
Rent YoY
Metro
Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.90%
F500 in state
18

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-34.4% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-28 Price Changed $6,499 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-21 Price Changed $7,999 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-07 Price Changed $9,400 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-12 Listed $9,900 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

-3.5%/yr

Latest (2024): $310 · +2.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…