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26 St Georges Ave
D Composite 40.52
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +7.5/30.0
  • Schools +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.9/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • DSCR +1.6/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$349,900

26 St Georges Ave · Walton Park, NY 10950
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,387 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 149 Days on market
Built 1950 3,744 sqft lot $252/sqft · 24% below area Est $462k · 24% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to 26 St. Georges Avenue, a cozy and inviting 2-bedroom, 1-bath ranch-style home nestled in a quaint Monroe neighborhood. This well-laid-out home offers comfortable single-level living and is perfect for those seeking simplicity and convenience. Enjoy being just minutes from beautiful local lakes, ideal for outdoor recreation and relaxation. The surrounding neighborhood offers a peaceful, community-oriented feel while still being close to shopping, dining, and major roadways.

Key facts

  • Close to dining
  • Single-level living
  • Close to shopping

Tags

SINGLE-LEVEL LIVINGCLOSE TO SHOPPINGCLOSE TO DININGCLOSE TO MAJOR ROADWAYS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $350k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-443 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $272k (22.3% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $278k (20.4% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $272k (22.3% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
  • Cap rate 4.8% vs local median 3.3% in Walton Park — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 62/100 on livability (#830 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: schools D+, amenities F, commute F.
  • Monroe-Woodbury Central School District (suburban): math 50% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #250 of 590 in NY (top 42%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 15% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.5%/yr); 316 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,746 units permitted in Orange County in 2024 (1,265 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 42% of the median local income ($79k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 149 days — a 12% lower offer ($308k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $73k; list at $350k implies a 379% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $271,701 (22.3% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 149 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 22% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.80%
Cap rate
4.77%
Cash-on-cash
-5.42%
DSCR
0.76
GRM
10.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$461,985
List price
$349,900
Delta
-24.26%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
20 St Georges Ave 0.03mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,472 (+6%) 4mo $400,000 $272 76
108 Highland Ave 0.19mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,426 (+3%) 20mo $525,000 $368 63
19 Taurus Ave 0.22mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,288 (-7%) 11mo $389,000 $302 61
21 Sparrow St 0.40mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,342 (-3%) 15mo $440,000 $328 58
86 Cromwell Hill Rd 0.65mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,421 (+2%) 22mo $360,000 $253 43
92 Osseo Park Rd 0.43mi 3/2.5 (+1) 1,464 (+6%) 22mo $528,000 $361 41

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.5% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-27.4%
Equity multiple
0.09×
Total profit
$-88,853
Equity at exit
$52,171
10-year hold
IRR
-32.3%
Equity multiple
-0.32×
Total profit
$-129,431
Equity at exit
$30,253

Cash invested: $97,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 10950

Rents YoY
1.5%
Active inventory
316
Price-to-rent
10.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,784 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,835
Tax from tax record
$662 /mo · $7,939/yr
Insurance
$146
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$585
Net cashflow
$-443

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,345
Max offer price $271,701
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$87,475
Closing costs
$10,497
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 5 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
8 Lake Ave Monroe, NY 2.0 1.5 1196 $2,800 $2.34 13d 1 0.28mi
27 Chester St Monroe, NY 3.0 1.5 975 $2,450 $2.51 13d 1 0.28mi
24 Cromwell Hill Rd Monroe, NY 1.0 1.0 900 $1,750 $1.94 23d 1 0.42mi
98 Ludlam Rd Monroe, NY 3.0 2.0 1848 $3,350 $1.81 43d 1 1.04mi
408 Bull Mill Rd Unit 2 Chester, NY 3.0 2.0 1800 $3,600 $2.00 23d 1 1.21mi

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $349,900 Active 149 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $349,900 Active 148 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $349,900 Active 147 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $349,900 Active 146 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $349,900 Active 144 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $349,900 Active 141 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $349,900 Active 140 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $349,900 Active 139 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $349,900 Active 138 DOM
  10. 2026-06-05
    days on market $349,900 Active 135 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $349,900 Active 134 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $349,900 Active 133 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $349,900 Active 132 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $349,900 Active 131 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $349,900 Active 130 DOM
  16. 2026-01-20
    listed $349,900 Active 488-char remark
    Show marketing remark (488 chars)

    Welcome to 26 St. Georges Avenue, a cozy and inviting 2-bedroom, 1-bath ranch-style home nestled in a quaint Monroe neighborhood. This well-laid-out home offers comfortable single-level living and is perfect for those seeking simplicity and convenience. Enjoy being just minutes from beautiful local lakes, ideal for outdoor recreation and relaxation. The surrounding neighborhood offers a peaceful, community-oriented feel while still being close to shopping, dining, and major roadways.

  17. 1985-07-02
    soldstatus $73,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$7,939 · $662/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$7,939 · $662/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · -0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 18% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$33,413
− Mortgage interest
−$19,600
− Property taxes
−$7,939
− Insurance
−$1,750
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,673
− Management
−$2,673
− Depreciation
−$10,179
Taxable loss
−$11,401
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,736
After-tax cash flow
$-2,576/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Monroe-Woodbury Central School District
NCES district ID
3619650
Math proficiency
50% ▼ -17.00%
Reading proficiency
56% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$104,681
Composite
50.48/100
National rank
#1855
State rank
#250 of 590 in NY

Livability — Walton Park

Score
62/100
State rank
#830
US rank
#16105

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living F Crime A Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Walton Park, NY
County
Orange County · 267,004 people
Metro
Poughkeepsie-Newburgh-Middletown, NY
Population (ZIP)
68,136
Household income
$78,931
Rent vs Own
38.6% rent · 61.4% own
Severe rent burden
3149.0

Population outlook (Orange County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
379,830 people
By 2030
378,955 · -0.2%
By 2040
375,444 · -1.2%
By 2050
369,311 · -2.8%
By 2075
354,233 · -6.7%
By 2100
318,150 · -16.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (81%)
Race & ethnicity
White 81% Hispanic / Latino 12% Two or more races 6% Black 3% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 5% Dominican 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Scandinavian 2% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
11% · Canada, Dominican Republic
Languages at home
33% English-only · German/W. Germanic 52% Spanish 9% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Orange

2024 margin
Lean R (+8.4) · D 45.8% · R 54.2%
2008→2024 swing
-12.5pp toward R · 2008: 4.1pp · 2024: -8.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+8.4 2020: R+0.2 2016: R+6.5 2012: D+5.2 2008: D+4.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -309.81%
Current HPI
314.2081
Rent YoY
▲ 1.50%
Metro
Poughkeepsie-Newburgh-Middletown, NY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+379.3% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-01-20 Listed $349,900 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 1985-07-02 Sold (Public Records) $73,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+3.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $7,939 · +1.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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