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186 County Road 161
C- Composite 51.99
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +22.6/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +7.3/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.4/10.0
  • Livability +2.1/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$135,000

186 County Road 161 · Loma Linda East, TX 78332
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,216 sqft · Manufactured public records · 311 Days on market
Built 2005 2.37 ac lot ↓ 7% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Escape to country living with this 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom manufactured home nestled on 2.37 private acres. Perfect for those seeking space, privacy, and room to grow. Step outside to enjoy the expansive yard with mature trees, open pasture space, and plenty of room for animals, equipment, or future expansion. Whether you're looking to settle into a peaceful rural lifestyle or invest in a property with great potential, this home has it all. Call to schedule your viewing today!

Key facts

  • 2.37 acre lot
  • Parking
  • Built 2005

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $135k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $231 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $135k).
  • Recommended offer: $119k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 43/100 on livability (#1,578 in TX) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A; Watch: health & safety C-, schools F, amenities F.
  • San Diego ISD (town): math 28% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #669 of 826 in TX (top 81%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 220 active listings in the ZIP; 6 units permitted in Jim Wells County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $933 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Jim Wells County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 311 days — a 12% lower offer ($119k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $118,800 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 311 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.00%
Cap rate
8.35%
Cash-on-cash
7.33%
DSCR
1.33
GRM
8.3

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-5.1%
Equity multiple
0.81×
Total profit
$-7,201
Equity at exit
$20,129
10-year hold
IRR
4.5%
Equity multiple
1.33×
Total profit
$12,523
Equity at exit
$11,672

Cash invested: $37,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 78332

Active inventory
220
Price-to-rent
8.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,355 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$708
Tax from tax record
$75 /mo · $905/yr
Insurance
$56
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$285
Net cashflow
$231

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,063
Max offer price $135,000
Occupancy floor 78%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$33,750
Closing costs
$4,050
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 22 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $135,000 Active 311 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $135,000 Active 310 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $135,000 Active 309 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $135,000 Active 308 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $135,000 Active 307 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $135,000 Active 306 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $135,000 Active 305 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $135,000 Active 302 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $135,000 Active 301 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $135,000 Active 300 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $135,000 Active 298 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $135,000 Active 296 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $135,000 Active 295 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $135,000 Active 294 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $135,000 Active 293 DOM
  16. 2025-12-04
    status Active 479-char remark
    Show marketing remark (479 chars)

    Escape to country living with this 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom manufactured home nestled on 2.37 private acres. Perfect for those seeking space, privacy, and room to grow. Step outside to enjoy the expansive yard with mature trees, open pasture space, and plenty of room for animals, equipment, or future expansion. Whether you're looking to settle into a peaceful rural lifestyle or invest in a property with great potential, this home has it all. Call to schedule your viewing today!

  17. 2025-12-01
    status Pending 479-char remark
    Show marketing remark (479 chars)

    Escape to country living with this 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom manufactured home nestled on 2.37 private acres. Perfect for those seeking space, privacy, and room to grow. Step outside to enjoy the expansive yard with mature trees, open pasture space, and plenty of room for animals, equipment, or future expansion. Whether you're looking to settle into a peaceful rural lifestyle or invest in a property with great potential, this home has it all. Call to schedule your viewing today!

  18. 2025-11-25
    historical 479-char remark
    Show marketing remark (479 chars)

    Escape to country living with this 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom manufactured home nestled on 2.37 private acres. Perfect for those seeking space, privacy, and room to grow. Step outside to enjoy the expansive yard with mature trees, open pasture space, and plenty of room for animals, equipment, or future expansion. Whether you're looking to settle into a peaceful rural lifestyle or invest in a property with great potential, this home has it all. Call to schedule your viewing today!

  19. 2025-10-08
    price $135,000 479-char remark
    Show marketing remark (479 chars)

    Escape to country living with this 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom manufactured home nestled on 2.37 private acres. Perfect for those seeking space, privacy, and room to grow. Step outside to enjoy the expansive yard with mature trees, open pasture space, and plenty of room for animals, equipment, or future expansion. Whether you're looking to settle into a peaceful rural lifestyle or invest in a property with great potential, this home has it all. Call to schedule your viewing today!

  20. 2025-07-24
    listed $145,000 Active 479-char remark
    Show marketing remark (479 chars)

    Escape to country living with this 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom manufactured home nestled on 2.37 private acres. Perfect for those seeking space, privacy, and room to grow. Step outside to enjoy the expansive yard with mature trees, open pasture space, and plenty of room for animals, equipment, or future expansion. Whether you're looking to settle into a peaceful rural lifestyle or invest in a property with great potential, this home has it all. Call to schedule your viewing today!

  21. 2017-09-01
    soldstatus
  22. 2009-11-16
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$905 · $75/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,470 · $206/mo
Expected delta
+$1,566/yr (+$130/mo · 173.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 7/10 Severe
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥112°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,262
− Mortgage interest
−$7,562
− Property taxes
−$905
− Insurance
−$675
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,301
− Management
−$1,301
− Depreciation
−$3,927
Taxable income
$591
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$142
After-tax cash flow
$2,630/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
San Diego ISD
NCES district ID
4838820
Math proficiency
28% ▼ -1.00%
Reading proficiency
30% ▲ 1.00%
Median HH income
$34,931
Composite
23.94/100
National rank
#7782
State rank
#669 of 826 in TX

Livability — Loma Linda East

Score
43/100
State rank
#1578
US rank
#26942

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment F Housing F Health & safety C- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Loma Linda East, TX
Population (ZIP)
27,281

Population outlook (Jim Wells County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
43,325 people
By 2030
44,156 · +1.9%
By 2040
45,790 · +5.7%
By 2050
47,455 · +9.5%
By 2075
51,800 · +19.6%
By 2100
52,006 · +20.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Hispanic (84%)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 84% White 14% Two or more races 14%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 76%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
50% English-only · Spanish 49%

Political lean MEDSL · Jim Wells

2024 margin
R (+15.5) · D 42.0% · R 57.5%
2008→2024 swing
-31.6pp toward R · 2008: 16.1pp · 2024: -15.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+15.5 2020: R+9.8 2016: D+10.3 2012: D+17.0 2008: D+16.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -123.86%
Current HPI
77.6253
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-6.9% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2025-12-04 Relisted CBMLS
  • 2025-12-01 Pending CBMLS
  • 2025-11-25 Delisted CBMLS
  • 2025-10-08 Price Changed $135,000 CBMLS
  • 2025-07-24 Listed $145,000 CBMLS
  • 2017-09-01 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2009-11-16 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+12.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $905 · +3.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…