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70 Railroad St
B Composite 71.92
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +27.7/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +9.8/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$210,000

70 Railroad St · Gilberts, IL 60136
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,440 sqft · SingleFamily · 70 Days on market
Built 1923 $146/sqft · 39% below area Est $344k · 39% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Swing by and check out this charming country retreat, bursting with potential! It's a fixer-upper, but fear not-the windows are brand spanking new. Boasting 4 bedrooms and 2 baths!

Key facts

  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1923
  • Listed 70 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $210k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $634 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $210k).
  • Recommended offer: $197k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.9% vs local median 3.4% in Gilberts — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 78/100 on livability (#151 in IL, #2,746 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: cost of living D, amenities F, commute F.
  • CUSD 300 (suburban): math 24% / reading 27% proficiency, ranked #261 of 620 in IL (top 42%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 24 active listings in the ZIP; 1,944 units permitted in Kane County in 2024 (357 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $59k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 70 days — a 6% lower offer ($197k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $70k; list at $210k implies a 200% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1923 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $197,400 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 70 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1923 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.30%
Cap rate
9.92%
Cash-on-cash
12.94%
DSCR
1.58
GRM
6.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$344,314
List price
$210,000
Delta
-39.01%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
10 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
2.8%
Equity multiple
1.11×
Total profit
$6,446
Equity at exit
$31,312
10-year hold
IRR
12.4%
Equity multiple
1.99×
Total profit
$57,982
Equity at exit
$18,157

Cash invested: $58,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 60136

Home prices YoY
-15.7%
Active inventory
24
Price-to-rent
6.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,740 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,101
Tax from tax record
$342 /mo · $4,103/yr
Insurance
$88
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$575
Net cashflow
$634

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,938
Max offer price $210,000
Occupancy floor 72%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $753 -5% $694 +0% $634 +5% $575 +10% $515
Rent -10% $418 -5% $526 +0% $634 +5% $742 +10% $851
Rate -1.0pp $740 -0.5pp $687 base $634 +0.5pp $580 +1.0pp $524

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$52,500
Closing costs
$6,300
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 5 events

  1. 2026-06-02
    statusdays on market $210,000 Pending 70 DOM
  2. 2026-06-01
    days on market $210,000 Active 69 DOM
  3. 2026-05-31
    days on market $210,000 Active 68 DOM
  4. 2026-05-07
    price $210,000 180-char remark
    Show marketing remark (180 chars)

    Swing by and check out this charming country retreat, bursting with potential! It's a fixer-upper, but fear not-the windows are brand spanking new. Boasting 4 bedrooms and 2 baths!

  5. 1991-07-10
    soldstatus $70,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$4,103 · $342/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,435 · $370/mo
Expected delta
+$332/yr (+$28/mo · 8.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$32,883
− Mortgage interest
−$11,763
− Property taxes
−$4,103
− Insurance
−$1,050
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,631
− Management
−$2,631
− Depreciation
−$6,109
Taxable income
$4,596
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,103
After-tax cash flow
$6,506/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
CUSD 300
NCES district ID
1708550
Math proficiency
24% ▼ -12.00%
Reading proficiency
27% ▼ -11.00%
Median HH income
$77,706
Composite
25.12/100
National rank
#7524
State rank
#261 of 620 in IL

Livability — Gilberts

Score
78/100
State rank
#151
US rank
#2746

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living D Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Gilberts, IL
City population
8,623
Population (ZIP)
8,623

Population outlook (Kane County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
559,449 people
By 2030
568,757 · +1.7%
By 2040
575,969 · +3.0%
By 2050
563,477 · +0.7%
By 2075
492,321 · -12.0%
By 2100
380,943 · -31.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (68%)
Race & ethnicity
White 68% Hispanic / Latino 17% Two or more races 15% Asian 7%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 15%
Common ancestry
Romanian 8% Serbian 3% Iranian 3%
Foreign-born
13% · Canada, South Korea
Languages at home
77% English-only · Spanish 14% Other Indo-European 4% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Kane

2024 margin
Lean D (+9.4) · D 54.0% · R 44.6% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-2.4pp toward R · 2008: 11.8pp · 2024: 9.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+9.4 2020: D+14.4 2016: D+8.9 2012: D+0.9 2008: D+11.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -34.72%
Current HPI
186.463
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+200.0% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-07 Price Changed $210,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 1991-07-10 Sold (Public Records) $70,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+4.4%/yr

Latest (2024): $4,103 · +5.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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