70 Railroad St · Gilberts, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.7/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +9.8/10.0
- 1% rule +8.0/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$210,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Swing by and check out this charming country retreat, bursting with potential! It's a fixer-upper, but fear not-the windows are brand spanking new. Boasting 4 bedrooms and 2 baths!
Key facts
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1923
- Listed 70 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $210k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $634 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $210k).
- Recommended offer: $197k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.9% vs local median 3.4% in Gilberts — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#151 in IL, #2,746 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: cost of living D, amenities F, commute F.
- CUSD 300 (suburban): math 24% / reading 27% proficiency, ranked #261 of 620 in IL (top 42%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 24 active listings in the ZIP; 1,944 units permitted in Kane County in 2024 (357 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $59k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 70 days — a 6% lower offer ($197k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $70k; list at $210k implies a 200% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1923 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 70 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1923 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.30% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.92%
- Cash-on-cash
- 12.94%
- DSCR
- 1.58
- GRM
- 6.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $344,314
- List price
- $210,000
- Delta
- -39.01%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 10 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 2.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.11×
- Total profit
- $6,446
- Equity at exit
- $31,312
- IRR
- 12.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.99×
- Total profit
- $57,982
- Equity at exit
- $18,157
Cash invested: $58,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 60136
- Home prices YoY
- -15.7%
- Active inventory
- 24
- Price-to-rent
- 6.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,740 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,101
- Tax from tax record
- −$342 /mo · $4,103/yr
- Insurance
- −$88
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$575
- Net cashflow
- $634
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $753 | -5% $694 | +0% $634 | +5% $575 | +10% $515 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $418 | -5% $526 | +0% $634 | +5% $742 | +10% $851 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $740 | -0.5pp $687 | base $634 | +0.5pp $580 | +1.0pp $524 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $52,500
- Closing costs
- $6,300
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 5 events
-
2026-06-02statusdays on market $210,000 Pending 70 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $210,000 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $210,000 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-05-07price $210,000 180-char remark
Show marketing remark (180 chars)
Swing by and check out this charming country retreat, bursting with potential! It's a fixer-upper, but fear not-the windows are brand spanking new. Boasting 4 bedrooms and 2 baths!
-
1991-07-10soldstatus $70,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $4,103 · $342/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,435 · $370/mo
- Expected delta
- +$332/yr (+$28/mo · 8.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $32,883
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,763
- − Property taxes
- −$4,103
- − Insurance
- −$1,050
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,631
- − Management
- −$2,631
- − Depreciation
- −$6,109
- Taxable income
- $4,596
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,103
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,506/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- CUSD 300
- NCES district ID
- 1708550
- Math proficiency
- 24% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 27% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $77,706
- Composite
- 25.12/100
- National rank
- #7524
- State rank
- #261 of 620 in IL
Livability — Gilberts
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #151
- US rank
- #2746
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Gilberts, IL
- City population
- 8,623
- Population (ZIP)
- 8,623
Population outlook (Kane County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 559,449 people
- By 2030
- 568,757 · +1.7%
- By 2040
- 575,969 · +3.0%
- By 2050
- 563,477 · +0.7%
- By 2075
- 492,321 · -12.0%
- By 2100
- 380,943 · -31.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (68%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 68% Hispanic / Latino 17% Two or more races 15% Asian 7%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 15%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 8% Serbian 3% Iranian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 13% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 77% English-only · Spanish 14% Other Indo-European 4% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Kane
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+9.4) · D 54.0% · R 44.6% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -2.4pp toward R · 2008: 11.8pp · 2024: 9.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+9.4 2020: D+14.4 2016: D+8.9 2012: D+0.9 2008: D+11.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -34.72%
- Current HPI
- 186.463
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
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| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
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| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
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Price history
+200.0% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-07 Price Changed $210,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1991-07-10 Sold (Public Records) $70,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.4%/yrLatest (2024): $4,103 · +5.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…