987 7th Ave · Graceville, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +23.8/30.0
- DSCR +7.7/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +7.1/10.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$89,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Great Investment Opportunity in the heart of Graceville! Located at 987 7th Avenue, this charming 3-bedroom, 3-bath home, originally built in 1945, offers character, space, and plenty of potential. Situated in town for convenient access to local amenities, the property features a 2-car carport and a flexible floor plan that includes an additional living space which could easily be converted into a fourth bedroom, home office, or bonus room. With some TLC and vision, this historic home could be restored to its former glory and transformed into a wonderful residence or income-producing investment. Whether you're looking to renovate, rent, or personalize, this property presents a great opportu
Key facts
- 0.26 acre lot
- Built 1945
- Listed 105 days
Property features AI
Exterior
- Utilities: Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family style property
- Construction: Metal roof; Wood siding construction; Mobile dimensions listed in feet
- Exterior features: Covered porch; Chain link fencing; Paved lot; City street frontage; Publicly maintained road access
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric range
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms (sizes: 13.3 x 13.3; 13.3 x 13.5; 13 x 13.5)
- Bathrooms: 3 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Window unit cooling
- Interior features: Total of 7 rooms
- Laundry & utility: Laundry room (9.2 x 7.3)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $90k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $173 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $90k).
- Recommended offer: $82k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#528 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D, amenities F, commute F.
- Jackson (rural): math 47% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #39 of 73 in FL (top 53%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 62 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 153 units permitted in Jackson County in 2024 (40 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $622 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Jackson County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 106 days — a 9% lower offer ($82k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1945 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 106 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1945 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.21% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.60%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.23%
- DSCR
- 1.37
- GRM
- 6.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $196,323
- Comps found
- 6
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1021 8th Ave | 0.17mi | 3/2.0 | 2,023 (-4%) | 1mo | $220,000 | $109 | 84 |
| 5358 Webb St | 0.25mi | 3/3.0 | 2,056 (-3%) | 1mo | $105,000 | $51 | 79 |
| 5367 Cotton St | 0.19mi | 3/2.0 | 1,852 (-12%) | 2mo | $130,000 | $70 | 69 |
| 5299 Cotton St | 0.23mi | 3/2.0 | 1,935 (-8%) | 14mo | $180,000 | $93 | 64 |
| 1102 1st Ave | 0.72mi | 3/2.0 | 1,901 (-10%) | 14mo | $168,000 | $88 | 38 |
| 5370 Cherry St | 0.71mi | 2/2.5 (-1) | 2,406 (+14%) | 2mo | $287,500 | $119 | 35 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -3.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.86×
- Total profit
- $-3,511
- Equity at exit
- $13,404
- IRR
- 6.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.45×
- Total profit
- $11,338
- Equity at exit
- $7,773
Cash invested: $25,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32440
- Home prices YoY
- -19.4%
- Active inventory
- 62
- Price-to-rent
- 6.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,089 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$471
- Tax from tax record
- −$179 /mo · $2,145/yr
- Insurance
- −$37
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$229
- Net cashflow
- $173
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $224 | -5% $198 | +0% $173 | +5% $147 | +10% $122 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $87 | -5% $130 | +0% $173 | +5% $216 | +10% $259 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $218 | -0.5pp $196 | base $173 | +0.5pp $149 | +1.0pp $126 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $22,475
- Closing costs
- $2,697
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5487 Pelham Ct Graceville, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1478 | $1,089 | $0.74 | 21d | 1 | 0.80mi |
Listing history 27 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $89,900 Active 106 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $89,900 Active 105 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $89,900 Active 104 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $89,900 Active 103 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $89,900 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $89,900 Active 100 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $89,900 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $89,900 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $89,900 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $89,900 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $89,900 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $89,900 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $89,900 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $89,900 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-05-06price $89,900
-
2026-04-01status Active
-
2026-03-09status Pending
-
2026-02-10$99,900 Active
-
2025-09-18historical
-
2025-09-17status Active
-
2025-09-17historical
-
2025-04-29price $114,900
-
2025-03-01price $119,900
-
2024-12-04price $125,000
-
2024-11-10$130,000 Active
-
2024-11-04soldstatus $85,000
-
1979-05-01soldstatus $21,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,145 · $179/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,145 · $179/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,068
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,036
- − Property taxes
- −$2,145
- − Insurance
- −$450
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,045
- − Management
- −$1,045
- − Depreciation
- −$2,615
- Taxable income
- $732
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$176
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,897/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Jackson
- NCES district ID
- 1200960
- Math proficiency
- 47% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 54% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $36,824
- Composite
- 41.92/100
- National rank
- #3358
- State rank
- #39 of 73 in FL
Livability — Graceville
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #528
- US rank
- #9865
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Graceville, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 8,048
Population outlook (Jackson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 46,095 people
- By 2030
- 44,432 · -3.6%
- By 2040
- 41,077 · -10.9%
- By 2050
- 37,587 · -18.5%
- By 2075
- 28,921 · -37.3%
- By 2100
- 19,332 · -58.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (71%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 71% Black 21% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 1% Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Asian/Pacific 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Jackson
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+46.1) · D 26.7% · R 72.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -18.0pp toward R · 2008: -28.0pp · 2024: -46.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+46.1 2020: R+38.9 2016: R+37.4 2012: R+29.0 2008: R+28.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -37.19%
- Current HPI
- 154.1728
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
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Price history
+328.1% since first listed13 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-06 Price Changed $89,900 CPARMLS
- 2026-04-01 Relisted — CPARMLS
- 2026-03-09 Pending — CPARMLS
- 2026-02-10 Listed $99,900 CPARMLS
- 2025-09-18 Listing Removed — CPARMLS
- 2025-09-17 Relisted — CPARMLS
- 2025-09-17 Listing Removed — CPARMLS
- 2025-04-29 Price Changed $114,900 CPARMLS
- 2025-03-01 Price Changed $119,900 CPARMLS
- 2024-12-04 Price Changed $125,000 CPARMLS
- 2024-11-10 Listed $130,000 CPARMLS
- 2024-11-04 Sold (Public Records) $85,000 Public Records
- 1979-05-01 Sold (Public Records) $21,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+12.8%/yrLatest (2025): $2,145 · +282.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…