CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
No image
🏗️ New Construction
B- Composite 69.33
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.5/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.0/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$89,900

Kendall 48' Plan · North Fort Myers, FL 33903
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,286 sqft · Manufactured · 390 Days on market

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Key facts

  • Master suite
  • Private backyard
  • Modern kitchen

Tags

OPEN-CONCEPT LIVING SPACEMODERN KITCHENMASTER SUITEPRIVATE BACKYARDPRIME LOCATION

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: List price: $89,900

Exterior

  • Home design: Single-family plan home; Active listing
  • Construction: New construction plan (Kendall 48')
  • Exterior features: Located on N Tamiami Trail, Fort Myers, FL

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Interior features: Plan: Kendall 48' (new construction plan)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏗️ New construction. The $89,900 list price is a builder figure, so every metric below is computed on the value from comparable previous sales — $131,172.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $90k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $593 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $90k).
  • Recommended offer: $79k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 11.7% vs local median 3.6% in North Fort Myers — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#269 in FL, #4,409 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Lee (suburban): math 47% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #42 of 73 in FL (top 58%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.9%/yr); 472 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 15,411 units permitted in Lee County in 2024 (4,686 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($57k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $907 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Lee County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $37k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 390 days — a 12% lower offer ($79k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $79,112 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 390 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.45%
Cap rate
11.71%
Cash-on-cash
19.36%
DSCR
1.86
GRM
5.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$131,172
Comps found
4
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
16042 Citron Way 0.57mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,288 (+0%) 4mo $132,000 $102 64
1091 Laurel Dr 0.74mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,194 (-7%) 14mo $79,000 $66 37
3167 Pluto Cir 0.73mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,150 (-11%) 15mo $126,000 $110 30
3500 Celestial Way 0.56mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,100 (-14%) 24mo $85,000 $77 25

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
7.9%
Equity multiple
1.30×
Total profit
$10,956
Equity at exit
$19,558
10-year hold
IRR
14.4%
Equity multiple
2.00×
Total profit
$36,767
Equity at exit
$11,341

Cash invested: $36,728 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 33903

Rents YoY
-1.9%
Active inventory
472
Price-to-rent
3.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,898 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$688
Tax est. 1.5%
$164 /mo · $1,968/yr
Insurance
$55
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$399
Net cashflow
$593

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,147
Max offer price $131,172
Occupancy floor 64%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$32,793
Closing costs
$3,935
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
266 Mongoose Ln #266 North Fort Myers, FL 3.0 2.0 1372 $1,499 $1.09 3d 1 0.32mi
3153 Cozumel Ct Cape Coral, FL 3.0 2.0 1747 $2,000 $1.14 14d 1 0.48mi
2864 Star Coral Dr Unit Na North Fort Myers, FL 3.0 2.0 1614 $1,999 $1.24 23d 1 0.50mi
3187 Cozumel Ct Cape Coral, FL 3.0 2.0 1747 $2,000 $1.14 2d 1 0.55mi
3404 Rainbow Ln North Fort Myers, FL 2.0 2.0 1056 $1,800 $1.70 3d 1 0.56mi
574 Leopard Ln #574 North Fort Myers, FL 4.0 2.0 1459 $1,599 $1.10 13d 1 0.58mi
3358 Sabal Springs Blvd North Fort Myers, FL 3.0 2.0 1621 $2,200 $1.36 23d 1 0.58mi
2774 Wedgewood Dr North Fort Myers, FL 2.0 2.0 880 $1,300 $1.48 23d 1 0.59mi
2497 Ciales Ct Cape Coral, FL 3.0 2.0 1747 $1,850 $1.06 15d 1 0.60mi
535 Zebra Dr #535 North Fort Myers, FL 3.0 2.0 1352 $1,499 $1.11 14d 1 0.69mi
2729 Foralesca Ct Cape Coral, FL 4.0 2.0 1828 $2,300 $1.26 23d 1 0.71mi
2729 Foralesca Ct Cape Coral, FL 4.0 2.0 1828 $2,300 $1.26 3d 1 0.71mi
17244 Cantu Ct North Fort Myers, FL 4.0 2.0 1824 $2,200 $1.21 14d 1 0.74mi
17225 Cantu Ct North Fort Myers, FL 4.0 2.0 1824 $2,200 $1.21 23d 1 0.79mi
4120 Pine Drop Ln North Fort Myers, FL 3.0 2.0 957 $1,895 $1.98 23d 1 0.79mi
3957 Pomodoro Cir #301 Cape Coral, FL 2.0 2.0 1270 $1,450 $1.14 15d 1 0.82mi
3961 Pomodoro Cir #204 Cape Coral, FL 2.0 2.0 1270 $1,450 $1.14 23d 1 0.84mi
3961 Pomodoro Cir #204 Cape Coral, FL 2.0 2.0 1270 $1,450 $1.14 15d 1 0.84mi
3953 Pomodoro Cir Cape Coral, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1044 $1,624 $1.56 14d 9 0.84mi
3420 Cancun Ct Cape Coral, FL 3.0 2.0 1747 $1,895 $1.08 14d 1 0.85mi
28 Nyborg Ave North Fort Myers, FL 3.0 2.0 1042 $1,299 $1.25 14d 1 0.87mi
3440 Cancun Ct Cape Coral, FL 3.0 2.0 1747 $1,950 $1.12 23d 1 0.88mi
4106 San Felice Ln North Fort Myers, FL 4.0 2.5 1874 $2,400 $1.28 23d 1 0.89mi
4106 Lattuca Ln North Fort Myers, FL 4.0 2.5 1874 $2,200 $1.17 23d 1 0.91mi
3944 Pomodoro Cir #202 Cape Coral, FL 3.0 2.0 1411 $2,200 $1.56 23d 1 0.92mi
3968 Pomodoro Cir #202 Cape Coral, FL 2.0 2.0 1469 $1,475 $1.00 14d 1 0.93mi
2904 Tuscan Dr #303 Cape Coral, FL 2.0 2.0 1460 $1,450 $0.99 23d 1 0.93mi
3973 Pomodoro Cir Cape Coral, FL 2.0 2.0 1534 $1,575 $1.03 2d 3 0.94mi
3973 Pomodoro Cir Cape Coral, FL 2.0 2.0 1469 $1,498 $1.02 23d 2 0.94mi
4106 Granita Ct North Fort Myers, FL 4.0 2.5 1812 $2,300 $1.27 23d 1 0.94mi
3940 Pomodoro Cir Cape Coral, FL 2.0 2.0 1270 $1,475 $1.16 3d 2 0.95mi
2913 Tuscan Dr #102 Cape Coral, FL 2.0 2.0 1469 $1,450 $0.99 23d 1 0.96mi
2909 Tuscan Dr Cape Coral, FL 2.0 2.0 1469 $1,475 $1.00 23d 2 0.96mi
3940 Villa Del Mar CIR Cape Coral, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1051 $2,739 $2.60 1d 21 0.96mi
17669 Paradiso Way North Fort Myers, FL 3.0 2.0 1551 $1,999 $1.29 23d 1 1.02mi
17669 Paradiso Way North Fort Myers, FL 3.0 2.0 1551 $1,999 $1.29 3d 1 1.02mi
17920 Antherium Ln North Fort Myers, FL 2.0 2.0 1693 $2,400 $1.42 23d 1 1.07mi
17499 Monte Isola Way Unit 17499 North Fort Myers, FL 3.0 2.5 1405 $1,800 $1.28 13d 1 1.16mi
17489 Monte Isola Way North Fort Myers, FL 3.0 2.5 1347 $1,800 $1.34 14d 1 1.17mi
8791 Littleton Rd North Fort Myers, FL 2.0 2.0 1074 $1,549 $1.44 23d 1 1.19mi

Listing history 8 events

  1. 2026-06-17
    days on market $89,900 Active 390 DOM
  2. 2026-06-16
    days on market $89,900 Active 389 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $89,900 Active 388 DOM
  4. 2026-06-13
    days on market $89,900 Active 386 DOM
  5. 2026-06-09
    days on market $89,900 Active 382 DOM
  6. 2026-06-07
    days on market $89,900 Active 380 DOM
  7. 2026-06-01
    days on market $89,900 Active 374 DOM
  8. 2026-06-01
    days on market $89,900 Active 373 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,771
− Mortgage interest
−$7,348
− Property taxes
−$1,968
− Insurance
−$656
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,822
− Management
−$1,822
− Depreciation
−$3,816
Taxable income
$5,341
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,282
After-tax cash flow
$5,830/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Lee
NCES district ID
1201080
Math proficiency
47% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
50% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$49,518
Composite
41.49/100
National rank
#3458
State rank
#42 of 73 in FL

Livability — North Fort Myers

Score
74/100
State rank
#269
US rank
#4409

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
North Fort Myers, FL
County
Lee County · 788,662 people
City population
57,035
Metro
Cape Coral-Fort Myers, FL
Population (ZIP)
23,655
Household income
$56,993
Rent vs Own
17.6% rent · 82.4% own
Severe rent burden
468.0

Population outlook (Lee County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
871,946 people
By 2030
955,468 · +9.6%
By 2040
1,113,587 · +27.7%
By 2050
1,256,891 · +44.1%
By 2075
1,560,270 · +78.9%
By 2100
1,726,848 · +98.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (81%)
Race & ethnicity
White 81% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 8% Black 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 3% Cuban 3%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 4% Romanian 4% Italian 3%
Foreign-born
11% · Canada
Languages at home
88% English-only · Spanish 9% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lee

2024 margin
Strong R (+28.4) · D 35.5% · R 63.9%
2008→2024 swing
-18.0pp toward R · 2008: -10.4pp · 2024: -28.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+28.4 2020: R+19.2 2016: R+20.4 2012: R+16.6 2008: R+10.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -172.26%
Current HPI
256.773
Rent YoY
▼ -1.94%
Metro
Cape Coral-Fort Myers, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…