1045 N Azusa #79 · Covina, CA
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Rent growth +5.0/5.0
- Schools +4.4/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$138,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
* * * Back in the market due to no fault of sellers * * * Beautiful and well kept mobile home in nice area of Covina. Spacious home with two bedrooms and two baths. Laundry inside unit. Walk to community gym/pool/spa. Enjoy views of the mountains from the living room or porch. Home is located near shops and restaurants. Convenient to public transportation.
Key facts
- Remodeled kitchen
- Refinished roof
- Pool
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Suburban community setting
- Financial info: Monthly land lease amount applies
- HOA & community: Land lease in place
Exterior
- Parking: Located in Starlite Mobile Estate
- Utilities: Public sewer; Public/district water; Sewer and water connected
- Home design: Single-story home; Entry on level 1; Mobile home on site (mobile home remains)
- Construction: Year built per assessor; Mobile dimensions approximately 50' x 20'
- Exterior features: Front porch; Private pool; Lot is level/flat; Property faces east
Interior
- Kitchen: Remodeled kitchen with island; Garbage disposal, Microwave, Refrigerator, Gas range, Dishwasher
- Bedrooms: Main floor primary bedroom; All bedrooms on the main floor
- Flooring: Laminate flooring
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; Upgraded, remodeled bathrooms with walk-in shower
- Heating & cooling: Energy Star heating; Wall/window cooling
- Interior features: Recessed lighting; Turnkey condition
- Laundry & utility: Inside laundry room; Washer and dryer included; Washer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $138k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($14k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $138k).
- Cap rate 16.6% vs local median 2.3% in Covina — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#181 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: schools C-, crime C-, health & safety C-.
- Covina-Valley Unified (suburban): math 39% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #462 of 1,400 in CA (top 33%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+12.9%/yr); 69 active listings in the ZIP; 32 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 19,697 units permitted in Los Angeles County in 2024 (9,426 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $954 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Los Angeles County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 5 sale attempts since 24y ago; this cycle's ask is 75% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
- Current owner paid $79k; list at $138k implies a 75% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.83% ✓
- Cap rate
- 16.57%
- Cash-on-cash
- 36.69%
- DSCR
- 2.63
- GRM
- 4.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $89,280
- Comps found
- 5
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1045 N Azusa #251 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 864 (-10%) | 0mo | $80,000 | $93 | 83 |
| 1045 N Azusa Ave #215 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 1,040 (+8%) | 5mo | $64,000 | $62 | 82 |
| 1045 N Azusa Ave #79 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 960 (0%) | 23mo | $79,000 | $82 | 81 |
| 1045 N Azusa Ave #175 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,040 (+8%) | 22mo | $110,000 | $106 | 62 |
| 1045 N Azusa Ave #26 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,100 (+15%) | 20mo | $135,000 | $123 | 54 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 37.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.71×
- Total profit
- $66,190
- Equity at exit
- $20,576
- IRR
- 46.6%
- Equity multiple
- 6.57×
- Total profit
- $215,101
- Equity at exit
- $11,932
Cash invested: $38,640 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 91722
- Rents YoY
- 12.9%
- Active inventory
- 69
- Price-to-rent
- 4.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,526 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$724
- Tax from tax record
- −$33 /mo · $395/yr
- Insurance
- −$58
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$530
- Net cashflow
- $1,182
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,260 | -5% $1,221 | +0% $1,182 | +5% $1,142 | +10% $1,103 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $982 | -5% $1,082 | +0% $1,182 | +5% $1,281 | +10% $1,381 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,251 | -0.5pp $1,217 | base $1,182 | +0.5pp $1,146 | +1.0pp $1,109 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $34,500
- Closing costs
- $4,140
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 32 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 777 W Covina Blvd Covina, CA | 2.0–3.0 | 1.5–2.0 | 1030 | $2,746 | $2.67 | 2d | 3 | 0.35mi |
| 1160 N Conwell Ave Covina, CA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1048 | $2,387 | $2.28 | 0d | 12 | 0.37mi |
| 4459 N Roxburgh Ave Covina, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1024 | $3,600 | $3.52 | 16d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 273 W Arrow Hwy Azusa, CA | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 725 | $2,495 | $3.44 | 6d | 4 | 0.63mi |
| 1130 W San Bernardino Rd Covina, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $1,695 | $2.83 | 45d | 6 | 0.69mi |
| 1130 W San Bernardino Rd Covina, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $1,695 | $2.83 | 4d | 2 | 0.69mi |
| 535 N Lark Ellen Ave Unit 01 Covina, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1008 | $2,795 | $2.77 | 3d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 800 S Azusa Ave Azusa, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $2,049 | $2.05 | 8d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 1375 W San Bernardino Rd Covina, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,695 | $2.26 | 0d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 1375 W San Bernardino Rd Covina, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,750 | $2.33 | 20d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 1163 W Badillo St Unit 3 Covina, CA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $2,695 | $2.45 | 44d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 1163 W Badillo St Unit 12 Covina, CA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $2,695 | $2.45 | 14d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 5246 N Gareloch Ave Unit B Azusa, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $2,200 | $2.75 | 44d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 745 S Lark Ellen Ave Unit ABCD Azusa, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $2,400 | $2.40 | 18d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 1831 E Grovecenter St West Covina, CA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 945 | $2,575 | $2.72 | 25d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 4930 N Vincent Ave Covina, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $3,200 | $3.20 | 23d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 808 N Azusa Ave West Covina, CA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1080 | $2,350 | $2.18 | 44d | 2 | 0.90mi |
| 744 N Azusa Ave West Covina, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 756 | $1,895 | $2.51 | 25d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 731 N Azusa Ave West Covina, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,950 | $2.44 | 21d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 731 N Azusa Ave West Covina, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 770 | $2,050 | $2.66 | 2d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 1151 W Arrow Hwy Azusa, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 862 | $2,195 | $2.54 | 44d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 850 S Vincent Ave Azusa, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 750 | $2,145 | $2.86 | 44d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 18421 E Cypress St Covina, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $2,500 | $3.12 | 44d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 707 N Park Ave Covina, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 900 | $2,900 | $3.22 | 44d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 136 W Orange St Covina, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $2,200 | $3.38 | 25d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 328 S Azusa Ave Azusa, CA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 978 | $2,900 | $2.97 | 20d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 777 S Citrus Ave #107 Azusa, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 994 | $2,650 | $2.67 | 25d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 777 S Citrus Ave Azusa, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 709 | $2,200 | $3.10 | 13d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 18537 E Arrow Hwy Covina, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 937 | $2,650 | $2.83 | 5d | 7 | 1.39mi |
| 230 S Azusa Ave Unit 2 Azusa, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $2,000 | $2.22 | 44d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 18615 E Arrow Hwy Covina, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 619 | $1,976 | $3.19 | 11d | 2 | 1.45mi |
| 18645 E Arrow Hwy Covina, CA | 2.0 | — | 919 | $2,129 | $2.32 | 14d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $138,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-18statusdays on market $138,000 Active 1 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $138,000 Coming Soon 6 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $138,000 Coming Soon 5 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $138,000 Coming Soon 4 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $138,000 Coming Soon 3 DOM
-
2026-06-13remarks 699-char remark
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2026-06-13$138,000 Coming Soon 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $395 · $33/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,049 · $87/mo
- Expected delta
- +$654/yr (+$55/mo · 165.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $30,313
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,730
- − Property taxes
- −$395
- − Insurance
- −$690
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,425
- − Management
- −$2,425
- − Depreciation
- −$4,015
- Taxable income
- $12,633
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,032
- After-tax cash flow
- $11,146/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Covina-Valley Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0610050
- Math proficiency
- 39% ▲ 2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 55% ▲ 2.00%
- Median HH income
- $65,808
- Composite
- 43.91/100
- National rank
- #6290
- State rank
- #462 of 1400 in CA
Livability — Covina
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #181
- US rank
- #5811
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Covina, CA
- County
- Los Angeles County · 9,444,647 people
- City population
- 81,184
- Metro
- Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 35,099
- Household income
- $102,062
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 553.0
Population outlook (Los Angeles County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 10,940,515 people
- By 2030
- 11,256,481 · +2.9%
- By 2040
- 11,729,929 · +7.2%
- By 2050
- 11,948,407 · +9.2%
- By 2075
- 11,818,114 · +8.0%
- By 2100
- 10,842,928 · -0.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority Hispanic (64%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 64% Two or more races 23% Asian 15% White 14% Black 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 54%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 1% Iranian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 31% · Canada, China, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 45% English-only · Spanish 42% Chinese 6% Tagalog/Filipino 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Los Angeles
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+32.9) · D 64.8% · R 31.9% · Other 3.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.4pp toward R · 2008: 40.4pp · 2024: 32.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+32.9 2020: D+44.2 2016: D+48.0 2012: D+40.0 2008: D+40.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -889.26%
- Current HPI
- 403.5337
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 12.93%
- Metro
- Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
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| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
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| Retail | 3 | $44B |
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| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
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Price history
+590.0% since first listed13 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-13 Coming Soon $138,000 CRMLS
- 2024-08-02 Sold (MLS) $79,000 CRMLS
- 2024-07-22 Pending — CRMLS
- 2024-06-29 Relisted — CRMLS
- 2024-05-24 Contingent — CRMLS
- 2024-04-15 Listed $79,000 CRMLS
- 2009-07-15 Listing Removed — CRMLS
- 2009-05-27 Price Changed $24,500 CRMLS
- 2009-05-26 Relisted — CRMLS
- 2009-05-23 Listing Removed — CRMLS
- 2009-02-22 Listed $34,500 CRMLS
- 2003-06-27 Listing Removed — CRMLS
- 2002-12-28 Listed $20,000 CRMLS
Property tax history
+101.8%/yrLatest (2025): $395 · +101.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…