340 Gold St · Buffalo, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 92°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +12.9/30.0
- ARV discount +12.3/15.0
- Appreciation +9.0/10.0
- DSCR +3.9/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- 1% rule +3.7/10.0
- Schools +3.3/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$179,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Great investment property or owner occupy in the desirable Lovejoy area in Buffalo! This home features 5 spacious bedrooms with 1 full bath, living room, family room, formal dining room, kitchen and first floor laundry. All rooms are very generous room sizes. The full basement with newer furnace and hot water tank, and attic provide plenty of space for storage. The exterior features a covered porch and shed. Don’t miss out on this great opportunity to make this yours!
Key facts
- Covered porch
- Hot water tank
- Attic
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $180k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-12 ($-138/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $178k (0.9% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $156k (13.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $156k (13.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.2% vs local median 8.0% in Buffalo — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#195 in NY, #3,011 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
- Buffalo City School District (urban): math 41% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #535 of 590 in NY (top 91%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 169 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 20d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,244 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (563 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($50k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $16k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $14k appreciation (8.1% local appreciation)).
- At projected returns (8.1% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $50k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$39k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 94 days — a 9% lower offer ($164k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 94 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 13% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.87% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.22%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.27%
- DSCR
- 0.99
- GRM
- 9.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $201,555
- List price
- $179,900
- Delta
- -10.74%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 433 Benzinger St | 0.18mi | 5/1.5 (+1) | 1,476 (-4%) | 6mo | $170,000 | $115 | 75 |
| 441 Schiller St | 0.29mi | 4/2.0 | 1,478 (-4%) | 5mo | $145,000 | $98 | 74 |
| 138 Wagner Ave | 0.35mi | 4/2.0 | 1,487 (-3%) | 7mo | $220,000 | $148 | 70 |
| 307 Benzinger St | 0.07mi | 3/3.0 (-1) | 1,363 (-11%) | 2mo | $247,000 | $181 | 65 |
| 107 Stanley St | 0.28mi | 4/1.0 | 1,401 (-9%) | 7mo | $190,000 | $136 | 64 |
| 365 Atlantic Ave | 0.48mi | 4/1.0 | 1,701 (+11%) | 0mo | $146,250 | $86 | 57 |
| 16 Regent St | 0.46mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,604 (+5%) | 8mo | $115,000 | $72 | 57 |
| 129 Schiller St | 0.45mi | 4/1.0 | 1,328 (-13%) | 7mo | $179,900 | $135 | 49 |
| 57 N Ogden St | 0.56mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,350 (-12%) | 1mo | $120,000 | $89 | 46 |
| 42 Hennepin St | 0.56mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,733 (+13%) | 3mo | $220,000 | $127 | 43 |
| 43 Ludington St | 0.62mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,364 (-11%) | 8mo | $90,000 | $66 | 39 |
| 133 Halstead Ave Ave | 0.58mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,320 (-14%) | 5mo | $235,000 | $178 | 39 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
8.06% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 19.9%
- Equity multiple
- 2.47×
- Total profit
- $74,070
- Equity at exit
- $137,390
- IRR
- 18.5%
- Equity multiple
- 5.28×
- Total profit
- $215,524
- Equity at exit
- $273,402
Cash invested: $50,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 14206
- Home prices YoY
- 1.8%
- Active inventory
- 169
- Price-to-rent
- 9.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,559 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$943
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$225 /mo · $2,698/yr
- Insurance
- −$75
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$327
- Net cashflow
- $-12
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $113 | -5% $51 | +0% $-12 | +5% $-74 | +10% $-136 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-135 | -5% $-73 | +0% $-12 | +5% $50 | +10% $112 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $79 | -0.5pp $34 | base $-12 | +0.5pp $-58 | +1.0pp $-106 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $44,975
- Closing costs
- $5,397
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 10 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1777 Broadway Unit 2 Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $1,200 | $0.92 | 44d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 1150 Bailey Ave Buffalo, NY | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $1,200 | $1.09 | 24d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 979 Walden Ave Buffalo, NY | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1793 | $2,000 | $1.12 | 2d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 14 Rutland Ave Buffalo, NY | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1430 | $2,200 | $1.54 | 11d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 96 Academy Rd Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2247 | $1,400 | $0.62 | 24d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 24 Euclid Ave Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1150 | $1,700 | $1.48 | 44d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 1202 Walden Ave Unit 3 Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1500 | $1,400 | $0.93 | 17d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 517 Goodyear Ave Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1559 | $1,800 | $1.15 | 19d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 143 Reo Ave Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1143 | $1,600 | $1.40 | 12d | 1 | 1.48mi |
| 65 Domedion Ave Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1632 | $1,500 | $0.92 | 2d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 26 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $179,900 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $179,900 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $179,900 Active 92 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $179,900 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $179,900 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $179,900 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $179,900 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $179,900 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $179,900 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $179,900 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $179,900 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $179,900 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $179,900 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $179,900 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-03-16$179,900 Active 478-char remark
Show marketing remark (478 chars)
Great investment property or owner occupy in the desirable Lovejoy area in Buffalo! This home features 5 spacious bedrooms with 1 full bath, living room, family room, formal dining room, kitchen and first floor laundry. All rooms are very generous room sizes. The full basement with newer furnace and hot water tank, and attic provide plenty of space for storage. The exterior features a covered porch and shed. Don’t miss out on this great opportunity to make this yours!
-
2026-01-31historical
-
2025-07-15$169,000 Active
-
2025-07-13historical
-
2025-02-16price $169,000
-
2025-01-13$170,000 Active
-
2025-01-13historical
-
2024-11-08price $170,000
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2024-10-07price $175,000
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2024-10-07price $174,000
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2024-09-17price $178,000
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2024-08-05$179,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,710
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,077
- − Property taxes
- −$2,698
- − Insurance
- −$900
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,497
- − Management
- −$1,497
- − Depreciation
- −$5,233
- Taxable loss
- −$3,193
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$766
- After-tax cash flow
- $628/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Buffalo City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3605850
- Math proficiency
- 41% ▲ 11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 40% ▲ 7.00%
- Median HH income
- $31,665
- Composite
- 33.17/100
- National rank
- #5544
- State rank
- #535 of 590 in NY
Livability — Buffalo
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #195
- US rank
- #3011
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Buffalo, NY
- County
- Erie County · 714,559 people
- City population
- 440,021
- Metro
- Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 21,631
- Household income
- $50,450
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 841.0
Population outlook (Erie County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 933,037 people
- By 2030
- 935,181 · +0.2%
- By 2040
- 928,531 · -0.5%
- By 2050
- 905,725 · -2.9%
- By 2075
- 834,037 · -10.6%
- By 2100
- 708,033 · -24.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (65%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 65% Hispanic / Latino 13% Black 12% Two or more races 8% Asian 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 10%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 25% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Indo-European 3% Arabic 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Erie
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+9.7) · D 54.8% · R 45.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.9pp toward R · 2008: 17.5pp · 2024: 9.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+9.7 2020: D+14.7 2016: D+4.8 2012: D+15.6 2008: D+17.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 8.06%
- Current HPI
- 457.3935
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
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Price history
+0.5% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-16 Listed $179,900 WNYREIS
- 2026-01-31 Listing Removed — WNYREIS
- 2025-07-15 Listed $169,000 WNYREIS
- 2025-07-13 Listing Removed — WNYREIS
- 2025-02-16 Price Changed $169,000 WNYREIS
- 2025-01-13 Listing Removed — WNYREIS
- 2025-01-13 Listed $170,000 WNYREIS
- 2024-11-08 Price Changed $170,000 WNYREIS
- 2024-10-07 Price Changed $175,000 WNYREIS
- 2024-10-07 Price Changed $174,000 WNYREIS
- 2024-09-17 Price Changed $178,000 WNYREIS
- 2024-08-05 Listed $179,000 WNYREIS
Property tax history
+1.9%/yrLatest (2025): $319 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…