328 Highland Est · Commerce, GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 13.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +9.1/15.0
- Cash flow +7.3/30.0
- Schools +4.1/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- DSCR +1.4/10.0
- Rent growth +1.4/5.0
- 1% rule +1.1/10.0
$299,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to this well-maintained 3-bedroom, 2-bath ranch located just outside of downtown Commerce. As you arrive, you'll be greeted by a charming rocking chair front porch-perfect for enjoying your morning coffee. Inside, rich, dark-stained LVP flooring flows throughout, immediately catching your eye. The split-bedroom floor plan offers ideal privacy, making it a great fit for families or a roommate setup. The eat-in kitchen opens directly to a covered back porch and a spacious, fully fenced backyard-perfect for entertaining, weekend BBQs, or relaxing while kids and pets play. Conveniently located just minutes from downtown Commerce, you'll have easy access to local shopping and dining, along with quick connectivity to Interstate 85 for a smooth commute. Don't miss the opportunity to make this one yours!
Key facts
- Covered back porch
- 0.37 acre lot
- Built 1997
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway parking; Open parking available
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; 110V and 220V electric; Cable available; Electricity available; Sewer available; Underground utilities; Water available
- Home design: One-level home; Resale property; Slab foundation; Facing/direction not provided
- Construction: Wood siding exterior; Composition roof; Built with slab foundation
- Exterior features: Awning(s); Private yard; Outdoor storage; Covered front and rear porches; Privacy backyard fencing; Back yard fencing
Interior
- Kitchen: White cabinets; Solid surface countertops; Dishwasher; Electric oven; Electric range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Three main-level bedrooms; Split bedroom floor plan
- Flooring: Luxury vinyl
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; Master bath with tub only
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Walk-in closets; No shared/common walls
- Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $299k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-405 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $228k (23.9% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $182k (39.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $182k (39.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 4.7% vs local median 3.3% in Commerce — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#271 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
- Commerce City (town): math 49% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #19 of 174 in GA (top 11%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Commerce Primary (486 students, 52% FRL); Commerce Middle School (math 44% / reading 51%, grade C-, #84 of 470 statewide, top 19%, 530 students, 56% FRL); Commerce High School (math 47% / reading 47%, grade D-, #37 of 424 statewide, top 9%, 493 students, 45% FRL) — zoned schools at 51% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents falling (-4.2%/yr); 151 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,167 units permitted in Jackson County in 2024 (59 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($62k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $32k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $30k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Jackson County population projected at +14% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$51k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 14 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 10 sale attempts since 25y ago; this cycle's ask is 11% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
- Current owner paid $105k; list at $299k implies a 185% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.61% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.67%
- Cash-on-cash
- -5.80%
- DSCR
- 0.74
- GRM
- 13.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $309,796
- List price
- $299,000
- Delta
- -3.48%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 248 Highland Est | 0.08mi | 3/2.0 | 1,350 (0%) | 1mo | $295,000 | $219 | 96 |
| 291 Highland Ests | 0.05mi | 3/2.0 | 1,320 (-2%) | 1mo | $225,000 | $170 | 93 |
| 235 Baugh St | 0.21mi | 3/2.0 | 1,408 (+4%) | 10mo | $283,500 | $201 | 74 |
| 178 Cole Court Dr | 0.54mi | 3/2.0 | 1,351 (+0%) | 3mo | $315,000 | $233 | 72 |
| 151 Baugh St | 0.24mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,458 (+8%) | 1mo | $266,500 | $183 | 69 |
| 285 Baugh St | 0.18mi | 3/2.0 | 1,497 (+11%) | 8mo | $329,000 | $220 | 67 |
| 73 Highland Estates Ests | 0.26mi | 3/2.0 | 1,536 (+14%) | 2mo | $250,000 | $163 | 64 |
| 397 Shankle | 0.61mi | 3/2.0 | 1,424 (+6%) | 1mo | $245,000 | $172 | 62 |
| 84 N Bowden St | 0.47mi | 3/1.0 | 1,380 (+2%) | 13mo | $76,000 | $55 | 60 |
| 182 Troy St | 0.71mi | 3/2.0 | 1,300 (-4%) | 10mo | $242,000 | $186 | 52 |
| 361 Elizabeth St | 0.50mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,201 (-11%) | 7mo | $298,000 | $248 | 48 |
| 51 Elizabeth St | 0.74mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,291 (-4%) | 14mo | $229,900 | $178 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 19.5%
- Equity multiple
- 2.57×
- Total profit
- $131,617
- Equity at exit
- $269,363
- IRR
- 17.4%
- Equity multiple
- 5.75×
- Total profit
- $398,084
- Equity at exit
- $580,891
Cash invested: $83,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 30529
- Home prices YoY
- 6.6%
- Rents YoY
- -4.2%
- Active inventory
- 151
- Price-to-rent
- 13.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,822 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,568
- Tax from tax record
- −$152 /mo · $1,819/yr
- Insurance
- −$125
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$383
- Net cashflow
- $-405
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-235 | -5% $-320 | +0% $-405 | +5% $-489 | +10% $-574 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-549 | -5% $-477 | +0% $-405 | +5% $-333 | +10% $-261 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-254 | -0.5pp $-329 | base $-405 | +0.5pp $-482 | +1.0pp $-561 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $74,750
- Closing costs
- $8,970
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 9 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1736 N Broad St Unit 203 Commerce, GA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1190 | $1,850 | $1.55 | 44d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 1736 N Broad St Unit 202 Commerce, GA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1150 | $1,800 | $1.57 | 44d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 1642 S Broad St Commerce, GA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1613 | $2,200 | $1.36 | 14d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 1642 S Broad St Unit 21 Commerce, GA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1193 | $1,800 | $1.51 | 14d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 8938 University Dr Commerce, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $1,400 | $1.33 | 21d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 53 University Dr Commerce, GA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1050 | $1,400 | $1.33 | 21d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 100 Heritage Hills Dr Commerce, GA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1087 | $1,503 | $1.38 | 14d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 48 Leigh St Commerce, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1670 | $1,950 | $1.17 | 44d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 173 Madison St Commerce, GA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1727 | $2,200 | $1.27 | 14d | 1 | 1.37mi |
Listing history 38 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $299,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $299,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $299,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $299,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $299,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $299,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-12pricedays on market $299,000 Active 7 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $269,999 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $269,999 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-07pricedays on market $269,999 Active 2 DOM
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2026-06-05days on market $299,000 Active 77 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $299,000 Active 76 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $299,000 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $299,000 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $299,000 Active 73 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $299,000 Active 72 DOM
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2026-04-16status Active 851-char remark
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2026-04-15historical Active Under Contract 851-char remark
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2026-03-24price $299,000 821-char remark
Show marketing remark (821 chars)
Welcome to this well-maintained 3-bedroom, 2-bath ranch located just outside of downtown Commerce. As you arrive, you'll be greeted by a charming rocking chair front porch-perfect for enjoying your morning coffee. Inside, rich, dark-stained LVP flooring flows throughout, immediately catching your eye. The split-bedroom floor plan offers ideal privacy, making it a great fit for families or a roommate setup. The eat-in kitchen opens directly to a covered back porch and a spacious, fully fenced backyard-perfect for entertaining, weekend BBQs, or relaxing while kids and pets play. Conveniently located just minutes from downtown Commerce, you'll have easy access to local shopping and dining, along with quick connectivity to Interstate 85 for a smooth commute. Don't miss the opportunity to make this one yours!
-
2026-03-24price $299,000 851-char remark
Show marketing remark (821 chars)
Welcome to this well-maintained 3-bedroom, 2-bath ranch located just outside of downtown Commerce. As you arrive, you'll be greeted by a charming rocking chair front porch-perfect for enjoying your morning coffee. Inside, rich, dark-stained LVP flooring flows throughout, immediately catching your eye. The split-bedroom floor plan offers ideal privacy, making it a great fit for families or a roommate setup. The eat-in kitchen opens directly to a covered back porch and a spacious, fully fenced backyard-perfect for entertaining, weekend BBQs, or relaxing while kids and pets play. Conveniently located just minutes from downtown Commerce, you'll have easy access to local shopping and dining, along with quick connectivity to Interstate 85 for a smooth commute. Don't miss the opportunity to make this one yours!
-
2026-03-19$309,000 Active 851-char remark
Show marketing remark (821 chars)
Welcome to this well-maintained 3-bedroom, 2-bath ranch located just outside of downtown Commerce. As you arrive, you'll be greeted by a charming rocking chair front porch-perfect for enjoying your morning coffee. Inside, rich, dark-stained LVP flooring flows throughout, immediately catching your eye. The split-bedroom floor plan offers ideal privacy, making it a great fit for families or a roommate setup. The eat-in kitchen opens directly to a covered back porch and a spacious, fully fenced backyard-perfect for entertaining, weekend BBQs, or relaxing while kids and pets play. Conveniently located just minutes from downtown Commerce, you'll have easy access to local shopping and dining, along with quick connectivity to Interstate 85 for a smooth commute. Don't miss the opportunity to make this one yours!
-
2026-03-19$309,000 New 821-char remark
Show marketing remark (821 chars)
Welcome to this well-maintained 3-bedroom, 2-bath ranch located just outside of downtown Commerce. As you arrive, you'll be greeted by a charming rocking chair front porch-perfect for enjoying your morning coffee. Inside, rich, dark-stained LVP flooring flows throughout, immediately catching your eye. The split-bedroom floor plan offers ideal privacy, making it a great fit for families or a roommate setup. The eat-in kitchen opens directly to a covered back porch and a spacious, fully fenced backyard-perfect for entertaining, weekend BBQs, or relaxing while kids and pets play. Conveniently located just minutes from downtown Commerce, you'll have easy access to local shopping and dining, along with quick connectivity to Interstate 85 for a smooth commute. Don't miss the opportunity to make this one yours!
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2016-03-31soldstatus $105,000
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2016-03-25soldstatus $105,000 Sold
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2016-03-25soldstatus $105,000
-
2016-03-15status Under Contract
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2015-06-17$105,000 New
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2015-06-11$105,000
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2008-07-07soldstatus $99,000
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2008-07-01soldstatus $99,000
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2008-05-13$92,900
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2008-02-15soldstatus $64,000
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2008-01-31$66,900
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2004-11-30soldstatus $94,900
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2004-08-20$89,900
-
2001-12-06soldstatus $80,000
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2001-12-06soldstatus $80,000
-
2001-11-30$80,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,819 · $152/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,751 · $229/mo
- Expected delta
- +$932/yr (+$78/mo · 51.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 13% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,865
- − Mortgage interest
- −$16,749
- − Property taxes
- −$1,819
- − Insurance
- −$1,495
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,749
- − Management
- −$1,749
- − Depreciation
- −$8,698
- Taxable loss
- −$10,394
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,495
- After-tax cash flow
- $-2,362/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Commerce City
- NCES district ID
- 1301440
- Math proficiency
- 49% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 49% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $40,945
- Composite
- 41.1/100
- National rank
- #3567
- State rank
- #19 of 174 in GA
Livability — Commerce
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #271
- US rank
- #14693
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Commerce, GA
- County
- Jackson County · 50,436 people
- City population
- 12,874
- Metro
- Jefferson, GA
- Population (ZIP)
- 12,874
- Household income
- $62,168
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 297.0
Population outlook (Jackson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 68,403 people
- By 2030
- 70,771 · +3.5%
- By 2040
- 75,050 · +9.7%
- By 2050
- 78,022 · +14.1%
- By 2075
- 82,646 · +20.8%
- By 2100
- 80,701 · +18.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (72%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 72% Hispanic / Latino 14% Black 11% Two or more races 9% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 8% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 89% English-only · Spanish 10% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Jackson
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+55.1) · D 22.2% · R 77.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +0.8pp no change · 2008: -55.9pp · 2024: -55.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+55.1 2020: R+58.0 2016: R+63.9 2012: R+62.9 2008: R+55.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 28.53%
- Current HPI
- 458.5304
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -4.25%
- Metro
- Jefferson, GA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $160B |
|
||
| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
||
| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
||
Price history
+273.8% since first listed25 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-09 Price Changed $299,000 FMLS
- 2026-06-05 Listing Removed — FMLS
- 2026-06-01 Listed $269,999 FMLS
- 2026-04-16 Relisted — FMLS
- 2026-04-15 Contingent — FMLS
- 2026-03-24 Price Changed $299,000 GAMLS
- 2026-03-24 Price Changed $299,000 FMLS
- 2026-03-19 Listed $309,000 GAMLS
- 2026-03-19 Listed $309,000 FMLS
- 2016-03-31 Sold (Public Records) $105,000 Public Records
- 2016-03-25 Sold (MLS) $105,000 GAMLS
- 2016-03-25 Sold (MLS) $105,000 Hive MLS
- 2016-03-15 Pending — GAMLS
- 2015-06-17 Listed $105,000 GAMLS
- 2015-06-11 Listed $105,000 Hive MLS
- 2008-07-07 Sold (Public Records) $99,000 Public Records
- 2008-07-01 Sold (MLS) $99,000 Hive MLS
- 2008-05-13 Listed $92,900 Hive MLS
- 2008-02-15 Sold (MLS) $64,000 Hive MLS
- 2008-01-31 Listed $66,900 Hive MLS
- 2004-11-30 Sold (MLS) $94,900 Hive MLS
- 2004-08-20 Listed $89,900 Hive MLS
- 2001-12-06 Sold (Public Records) $80,000 Public Records
- 2001-12-06 Sold (MLS) $80,000 Hive MLS
- 2001-11-30 Listed $80,000 Hive MLS
Property tax history
+6.8%/yrLatest (2025): $1,819 · +9.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…