Duplex
133 Denison St · Baltimore, MD
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $755 – $1,403
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 24.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +9.3/15.0
- Rent growth +3.8/5.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$175,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks MLS
REAL ESTATE AUCTION ON SITE WED. MAY 17, 2017 AT 11:45 AM. List price is suggested opening bid only. $2,500 cashier's check deposit required to bid. Please contact listing broker's office for full terms, bidder pre-registration form and property details.
Key facts
- Built 1942
- Listed 22 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Located within city limits (Baltimore City)
- Financial info: Improvement assessed by assessor; Land assessed separately
- HOA & community: Ground rent paid annually
Exterior
- Parking: On-street parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Interior townhouse/rowhouse; Fee simple ownership; Property in very good condition; Built year per assessor
- Construction: Brick/mortar foundation
- Exterior features: Brick construction; Above grade and below grade structures
Interior
- Bedrooms: Two 2-bedroom units
- Heating & cooling: Heating system: Other; Natural gas heating; Natural gas hot water
- Interior features: Full basement; Main-level ramp for accessibility
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 2-bed/1-bath units multifamily listed at $175k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive. Per door: $548/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $175k).
- Recommended offer: $172k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 13.8% vs local median 6.0% in Baltimore — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#90 in MD, #3,396 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, crime F.
- Baltimore City Public Schools (urban): math 7% / reading 16% proficiency, ranked #24 of 24 in MD (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 79% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.4%/yr); 252 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 42% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,273 units permitted in Baltimore city in 2024 (1,104 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,985/mo this rent would consume 60% of the median local household income ($60k/yr) (locally 2776% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Baltimore County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.4% rent growth), your $49k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 22 days — a 2% lower offer ($172k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 9y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1942 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 24% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1942 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.71% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.80%
- Cash-on-cash
- 26.83%
- DSCR
- 2.19
- GRM
- 4.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $182,400
- Comps found
- 2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3711 W Franklin St | 0.28mi | 4/— | 1,470 (-3%) | 8mo | $175,000 | $119 | 75 |
| 3708 W Franklin St | 0.30mi | 4/2.0 | 1,540 (+1%) | 15mo | $185,000 | $120 | 72 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.38% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 23.5%
- Equity multiple
- 2.00×
- Total profit
- $48,804
- Equity at exit
- $26,093
- IRR
- 32.9%
- Equity multiple
- 4.35×
- Total profit
- $164,177
- Equity at exit
- $15,131
Cash invested: $49,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 12 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State Maryland
- 27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City Baltimore
- 12 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+58
ZIP-level market 21229
- Rents YoY
- 5.4%
- Active inventory
- 252
- Price-to-rent
- 9.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,985 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$918
- Tax from tax record
- −$272 /mo · $3,266/yr
- Insurance
- −$73
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$627
- Net cashflow
- $1,095
Break-even live
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 2 | 1 | $2,984 |
| #1 | 2 | 1 | $1,492 |
| #2 | 2 | 1 | $1,492 |
| Total (2 units) | $2,985 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $43,750
- Closing costs
- $5,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3607 W Lexington St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1050 | $1,895 | $1.80 | 4d | 1 | 0.10mi |
| 202 N Edgewood St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1710 | $2,250 | $1.32 | 23d | 1 | 0.10mi |
| 41 N Kossuth St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1216 | $1,800 | $1.48 | 23d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 405 N Edgewood St Baltimore, MD | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1408 | $2,950 | $2.10 | 4d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 3336 W Caton Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1236 | $1,625 | $1.31 | 23d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 3507 Edmondson Ave Baltimore, MD | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1428 | $2,300 | $1.61 | 43d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 3619 Edmondson Ave Baltimore, MD | 4.0 | 3.5 | 1962 | $2,800 | $1.43 | 43d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 409 Normandy Ave Baltimore, MD | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1640 | $1,500 | $0.91 | 23d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 623 N Grantley St Baltimore, MD | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1250 | $2,000 | $1.60 | 23d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 730 Linnard St Unit 1 Baltimore, MD | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1360 | $1,750 | $1.29 | 23d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 117 Collins Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1617 | $2,350 | $1.45 | 43d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 3712 Gelston Dr Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1250 | $2,500 | $2.00 | 23d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 212 S Loudon Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1310 | $1,550 | $1.18 | 43d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 4018 Massachusetts Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $1,400 | $1.33 | 23d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 780 Linnard St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1224 | $1,590 | $1.30 | 43d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 787 N Grantley St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1116 | $1,575 | $1.41 | 23d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 798 N Grantley St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1360 | $2,295 | $1.69 | 23d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 3700 Woodridge Rd Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1955 | $1,950 | $1.00 | 43d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 4020 Gelston Dr Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1270 | $1,875 | $1.48 | 43d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 715 N Rosedale St Baltimore, MD | 5.0 | 3.0 | 1542 | $2,550 | $1.65 | 43d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 2922 Edmondson Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1620 | $1,900 | $1.17 | 43d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 3015 Rayner Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1152 | $1,350 | $1.17 | 43d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 3130 Stafford St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,500 | $1.25 | 20d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 111 Upmanor Rd Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1224 | $2,163 | $1.77 | 43d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 3238 Westmont Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1280 | $1,600 | $1.25 | 43d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 917 Kevin Rd Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1151 | $1,795 | $1.56 | 2d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 2636 Lauretta Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1232 | $1,900 | $1.54 | 43d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 4113 Mountwood Rd Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1520 | $1,795 | $1.18 | 43d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 2609 Lauretta Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1286 | $1,675 | $1.30 | 23d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 2537 Hollins St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,450 | $1.21 | 23d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 2744 W Mosher St Baltimore, MD | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1412 | $2,100 | $1.49 | 23d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 2806 Riggs Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1412 | $1,900 | $1.35 | 3d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 2516 Hollins St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,700 | $1.55 | 43d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 19 S Tremont Rd Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1350 | $1,850 | $1.37 | 43d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 2 S Tremont Rd Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1450 | $1,800 | $1.24 | 10d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 2 S Tremont Rd Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1450 | $1,800 | $1.24 | 23d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 2540 Frederick Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1075 | $1,400 | $1.30 | 23d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 3309 Brighton St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1134 | $1,700 | $1.50 | 43d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 2728 Winchester St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1260 | $1,800 | $1.43 | 3d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 1513 N Ellamont St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1700 | $1,700 | $1.00 | 23d | 1 | 1.13mi |
Listing history 23 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $175,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $175,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $175,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $175,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $175,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $175,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $175,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $175,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $175,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $175,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $175,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $175,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $175,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-05-27$175,000 Active
-
2024-11-22soldstatus $295,000
-
2019-01-10soldstatus $125,000
-
2018-11-15soldstatus $355,000
-
2018-11-04historical
-
2018-11-04$125,000
-
2018-11-01soldstatus $125,000
-
2017-05-17status Contract 254-char remark
Show marketing remark (254 chars)
REAL ESTATE AUCTION ON SITE WED. MAY 17, 2017 AT 11:45 AM. List price is suggested opening bid only. $2,500 cashier's check deposit required to bid. Please contact listing broker's office for full terms, bidder pre-registration form and property details.
-
2017-05-17soldstatus $32,000 Sold 254-char remark
Show marketing remark (254 chars)
REAL ESTATE AUCTION ON SITE WED. MAY 17, 2017 AT 11:45 AM. List price is suggested opening bid only. $2,500 cashier's check deposit required to bid. Please contact listing broker's office for full terms, bidder pre-registration form and property details.
-
2017-04-20$2,500 Active 254-char remark
Show marketing remark (254 chars)
REAL ESTATE AUCTION ON SITE WED. MAY 17, 2017 AT 11:45 AM. List price is suggested opening bid only. $2,500 cashier's check deposit required to bid. Please contact listing broker's office for full terms, bidder pre-registration form and property details.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MD · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,266 · $272/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,266 · $272/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 5/10 Major 24% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $35,820
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,803
- − Property taxes
- −$3,266
- − Insurance
- −$875
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,866
- − Management
- −$2,866
- − Depreciation
- −$5,091
- Taxable income
- $11,055
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,653
- After-tax cash flow
- $10,492/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Baltimore City Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2400090
- Math proficiency
- 7% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 16% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,108
- Composite
- 10.08/100
- National rank
- #9805
- State rank
- #24 of 24 in MD
Livability — Baltimore
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #90
- US rank
- #3396
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Baltimore, MD
- County
- Baltimore City · 558,601 people
- City population
- 588,727
- Metro
- Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
- Population (ZIP)
- 46,679
- Household income
- $60,047
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2776.0
Population outlook (Baltimore County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 624,249 people
- By 2030
- 621,541 · -0.4%
- By 2040
- 609,756 · -2.3%
- By 2050
- 597,249 · -4.3%
- By 2075
- 552,236 · -11.5%
- By 2100
- 513,934 · -17.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (73%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 73% White 15% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 4% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 1% Romanian 1% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, Philippines
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 2% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Baltimore
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+73.0) · D 85.2% · R 12.2% · Other 2.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -2.5pp toward R · 2008: 75.5pp · 2024: 73.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+73.0 2020: D+76.6 2016: D+74.6 2012: D+76.4 2008: D+75.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -259.07%
- Current HPI
- 226.896
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.38%
- Metro
- Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.97%
- F500 in state
- 12
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 1 | $71B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
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| Hotels | 1 | $24B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $7B |
|
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| Real Estate | 1 | $6B |
|
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| Chemicals | 1 | $2B |
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Price history
+6900.0% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-27 Listed $175,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2024-11-22 Sold (Public Records) $295,000 Public Records
- 2019-01-10 Sold (Public Records) $125,000 Public Records
- 2018-11-15 Sold (Public Records) $355,000 Public Records
- 2018-11-04 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2018-11-04 Listed $125,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2018-11-01 Sold (MLS) $125,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2017-05-17 Pending — MRIS
- 2017-05-17 Sold (MLS) $32,000 MRIS
- 2017-04-20 Listed $2,500 MRIS
Property tax history
+1.3%/yrLatest (2025): $3,266 · +8.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…