33 Tarleton Way · Mableton, GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 24.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +3.8/10.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +3.4/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$79,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Please note that this property is being offered as an investment opportunity for investors seeking rental properties. The home is currently occupied by tenants under a one-year lease, providing an immediate stream of income for the new owner. The asking price is $79,000, or best offer. This is a fantastic opportunity for those looking to expand their portfolio or enter the rental property market. Below, youll find a detailed description of the property and its features: 3 Bedrooms 2 Full Baths Dishwasher Total Electric Front Deck Huge Walk-in Shower New Carpets Quiet & Safe Neighborhood Spacious Laundry Room Double Sink in Master Bath Kitchen Island Water, Sewage & Trash Inclu
Key facts
- Investment property
- Huge walk-in shower
- Kitchen island
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $79k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($12k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $79k).
- Recommended offer: $78k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 21.6% vs local median 4.0% in Mableton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#94 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, cost of living A-, crime B+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute D-.
- Cobb County (suburban): math 39% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #25 of 174 in GA (top 14%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.7%/yr); 405 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,625 units permitted in Cobb County in 2024 (389 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $546 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Cobb County population projected at +33% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.7% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 17 days — a 2% lower offer ($78k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.49% ✓
- Cap rate
- 21.62%
- Cash-on-cash
- 54.75%
- DSCR
- 3.44
- GRM
- 3.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $260,224
- Comps found
- 4
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 555 Cardell Cir SE | 0.50mi | 3/2.0 | 1,326 (+9%) | 2mo | $285,000 | $215 | 60 |
| 470 Hunnicutt Rd SE | 0.55mi | 3/2.0 | 1,250 (+3%) | 13mo | $249,900 | $200 | 59 |
| 614 Hunnicutt Rd SE | 0.61mi | 3/1.5 | 1,072 (-12%) | 15mo | $208,000 | $194 | 38 |
| 6851 Queen Mill Rd SE | 0.62mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,329 (+9%) | 13mo | $285,000 | $214 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.66% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 53.7%
- Equity multiple
- 3.39×
- Total profit
- $52,821
- Equity at exit
- $11,779
- IRR
- 59.2%
- Equity multiple
- 7.07×
- Total profit
- $134,355
- Equity at exit
- $6,830
Cash invested: $22,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 30126
- Rents YoY
- 3.7%
- Active inventory
- 405
- Price-to-rent
- 3.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,969 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$414
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$99 /mo · $1,185/yr
- Insurance
- −$33
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$413
- Net cashflow
- $1,009
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,064 | -5% $1,037 | +0% $1,009 | +5% $982 | +10% $955 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $854 | -5% $931 | +0% $1,009 | +5% $1,087 | +10% $1,165 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,049 | -0.5pp $1,029 | base $1,009 | +0.5pp $989 | +1.0pp $968 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $19,750
- Closing costs
- $2,370
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 8 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 100 Plantation Hill Rd SE Mableton, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1152 | $1,569 | $1.36 | 21d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 6508 Mountain Home Way SE Mableton, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1500 | $2,200 | $1.47 | 44d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 6412 Mountain Home Way SE Mableton, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1430 | $2,150 | $1.50 | 6d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 6412 Mountain Home Way SE Mableton, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1500 | $2,250 | $1.50 | 25d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 6850 Mableton Pkwy SE Mableton, GA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 873 | $1,565 | $1.79 | 0d | 12 | 1.03mi |
| 221 Clydesdale Ln SE Mableton, GA | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1442 | $2,050 | $1.42 | 6d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 26 Nellie Brook Dr SW Mableton, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1253 | $2,000 | $1.60 | 25d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 6660 Mableton Pkwy SE Mableton, GA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 900 | $1,638 | $1.82 | 0d | 8 | 1.46mi |
Listing history 12 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $79,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $79,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $79,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $79,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $79,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $79,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $79,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $79,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $79,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $79,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-04remarks 691-char remark
-
2026-06-04$79,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 24% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,623
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,425
- − Property taxes
- −$1,185
- − Insurance
- −$395
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,890
- − Management
- −$1,890
- − Depreciation
- −$2,298
- Taxable income
- $11,540
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,769
- After-tax cash flow
- $9,341/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This home is in good condition with recent updates, making it a solid investment opportunity for both resale and rental purposes.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint touch-ups — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
- Resale Replace countertops — Modern countertops improve the kitchen's appearance and functionality.
- Resale Install new flooring in bathrooms — New flooring in bathrooms enhances the home's overall appeal and value.
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Paint touch-ups — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics. ↑
- Resale Replace countertops — Modern countertops improve the kitchen's appearance and functionality. ↑
- Resale Install new flooring in bathrooms — New flooring in bathrooms enhances the home's overall appeal and value. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Cobb County
- NCES district ID
- 1301290
- Math proficiency
- 39% ▼ -15.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 45% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $68,845
- Composite
- 37.93/100
- National rank
- #4308
- State rank
- #25 of 174 in GA
Livability — Mableton
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #94
- US rank
- #7534
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Mableton, GA
- County
- Cobb County · 777,758 people
- City population
- 41,829
- Metro
- Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
- Population (ZIP)
- 41,829
- Household income
- $101,891
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1046.0
Population outlook (Cobb County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 868,385 people
- By 2030
- 929,614 · +7.1%
- By 2040
- 1,047,533 · +20.6%
- By 2050
- 1,155,537 · +33.1%
- By 2075
- 1,405,030 · +61.8%
- By 2100
- 1,555,058 · +79.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.69)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 42% White 30% Hispanic / Latino 20% Two or more races 8% Asian 4% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 11% Cuban 1%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 1% Italian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 16% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 77% English-only · Spanish 17% Other Indo-European 3% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Cobb
- 2024 margin
- D (+14.9) · D 56.9% · R 42.0% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +24.3pp toward D · 2008: -9.4pp · 2024: 14.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+14.9 2020: D+14.3 2016: D+2.1 2012: R+12.6 2008: R+9.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -239.35%
- Current HPI
- 230.378
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.66%
- Metro
- Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $160B |
|
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
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| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-06-04 Listed $79,000 ForSaleByOwner.com
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…