11325 Ash Rd · Northport, AL 35475

$149,900

4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,414 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 10 Days on market

Built 1978 0.45 ac lot Est $257k · 42% under

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Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• ARV discount +15.0/15.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• 1% rule +8.5/10.0
• Livability +3.9/5.0
• Schools +2.9/10.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

Fixer-upper opportunity in Northport priced at $149,900. This 4BR/2BA home offers a chance to renovate and add value with your own updates and improvements. The property includes several outbuildings that will remain, providing additional storage or workspace options. Most personal property will remain with the home, with a small list of exclusions to be provided by the seller in writing. Located in the Northport/Huntington Elementary, Echols Middle, and Tuscaloosa County High school zones. Convenient access to Northport and Tuscaloosa. Property sold as-is. Buyer to verify all information.

Key facts

• Convenient access
• Several outbuildings
• School zones

Tags

• FIXER-UPPER OPPORTUNITY
• SEVERAL OUTBUILDINGS
• CONVENIENT ACCESS
• SCHOOL ZONES

Property features AI

Finance

• HOA & community: Located in the Smoke Rise subdivision

Exterior

• Parking: Concrete driveway; no garage
• Utilities: Cable available; Septic tank
• Home design: Single-family residence; One level
• Construction: Brick and wood siding exterior; Metal roof
• Exterior features: Paved road access; Outbuilding on the property; No pool

Interior

• Kitchen: Electric oven; Electric range; Microwave
• Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
• Heating & cooling: Has heating; Ceiling fans for cooling
• Interior features: Ceiling fans throughout; Electric fireplace in the great room/living room
• Laundry & utility: Laundry room with inside washer/dryer access; Water heater

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $565 ($7k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
• Cap rate 10.8% vs local median 4.2% in Northport — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 78/100 on livability (#8 in AL, #2,686 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: commute F.
• Tuscaloosa County (suburban): math 21% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #47 of 129 in AL (top 36%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Zoned schools: Huntington Place Elementary School (math 42% / reading 67%, grade C, #87 of 627 statewide, top 15%, 350 students, 33% FRL); Echols Middle School (math 13% / reading 48%, grade F, #119 of 257 statewide, top 46%, 878 students, 64% FRL); Tuscaloosa County High School (math 26% / reading 30%, grade F, #87 of 305 statewide, top 29%, 1,545 students, 55% FRL).
• Market conditions: 241 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 622 units permitted in Tuscaloosa County in 2024 (69 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Tuscaloosa County population projected at +26% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
• 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 50% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $149,900

Questions for the listing agent

1. Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.35% ✓
• Cap rate: 10.81%
• Cash-on-cash: 16.15%
• DSCR: 1.72
• GRM: 6.2

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $257,348
• Comps found: 5

Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
11325 Ash Rd	0.00mi	4/2.0	1,414 (0%)	1mo	$99,000	$70	100
11297 Ash Rd	0.07mi	4/2.0	1,500 (+6%)	10mo	$105,000	$70	78
11291 Kindling Dr	0.09mi	3/2.0 (-1)	1,300 (-8%)	6mo	$274,900	$211	73
4511 Goldenrod Way	0.59mi	4/2.0	1,497 (+6%)	19mo	$272,400	$182	47
4519 Goldenrod Way	0.59mi	3/2.0 (-1)	1,272 (-10%)	20mo	$270,400	$213	34

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 7.1%
• Equity multiple: 1.28×
• Total profit: $11,707
• Equity at exit: $22,351

10-year hold

• IRR: 16.5%
• Equity multiple: 2.35×
• Total profit: $56,631
• Equity at exit: $12,961

Cash invested: $41,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Alabama: 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 35475

• Home prices YoY: -20.8%
• Active inventory: 241
• Price-to-rent: 6.2×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $2,026 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$786
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$187 /mo · $2,248/yr
• Insurance: −$62
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$425
• Net cashflow: $565

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,311

Max offer price $149,900

Occupancy floor 67%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $668	-5% $617	+0% $565	+5% $513	+10% $461
Rent	-10% $405	-5% $485	+0% $565	+5% $645	+10% $725
Rate	-1.0pp $640	-0.5pp $603	base $565	+0.5pp $526	+1.0pp $486

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $37,475
• Closing costs: $4,497
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 4 events

1. 2026-05-30
   status $149,900 Pending 10 DOM
2. 2026-05-20
   status Active
3. 2026-04-21
   status Pending
4. 2026-04-20
   listed $149,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
• 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 50% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $24,313
• − Mortgage interest: −$8,397
• − Property taxes: −$2,248
• − Insurance: −$750
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,945
• − Management: −$1,945
• − Depreciation: −$4,361
• Taxable income: $4,668
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$1,120
• After-tax cash flow: $5,656/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Tuscaloosa County
• NCES district ID: 0103390
• Math proficiency: 21% ▼ -24.00%
• Reading proficiency: 45% ▲ 2.00%
• Median HH income: $53,000
• Composite: 28.88/100
• National rank: #6641
• State rank: #47 of 129 in AL

Livability — Northport

• Score: 78/100
• State rank: #8
• US rank: #2686

Category grades

Amenities A- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B Employment B- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings C-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• County: Tuscaloosa County · 206,491 people
• City population: 47,464
• Metro: Tuscaloosa, AL
• Population (ZIP): 20,745
• Household income: $108,559
• Rent vs Own: 7.1% rent · 92.9% own
• Severe rent burden: 49.0

Population outlook (Tuscaloosa County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 228,293 people
• By 2030: 240,551 · +5.4%
• By 2040: 263,856 · +15.6%
• By 2050: 286,491 · +25.5%
• By 2075: 335,783 · +47.1%
• By 2100: 370,520 · +62.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (94%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 94% Black 3% Hispanic / Latino 2% Two or more races 2%
• Common ancestry: Italian 5% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1%
• Foreign-born: 2% · Canada
• Languages at home: 98% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Tuscaloosa

• 2024 margin: Strong R (+20.4) · D 39.4% · R 59.8%
• 2008→2024 swing: -4.4pp toward R · 2008: -16.0pp · 2024: -20.4pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+20.4 2020: R+14.8 2016: R+19.5 2012: R+17.4 2008: R+16.0

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -59.83%
• Current HPI: 228.4417
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: Tuscaloosa, AL
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 2.94%
• F500 in state: 4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Financial Services	1	$8B
▸Healthcare	1	$5B

Price history

3 events — show timeline

• 2026-05-20 Relisted — WAMLS
• 2026-04-21 Pending — WAMLS
• 2026-04-20 Listed $149,900 WAMLS

Property tax history

+1.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $202 · +6.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.