CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
15951 N 173rd Ave
D Composite 41.01
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +12.7/15.0
  • Cash flow +7.9/30.0
  • Appreciation +5.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Schools +3.3/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.4/5.0
  • DSCR +1.9/10.0
  • 1% rule +1.6/10.0

$367,500

15951 N 173rd Ave · Surprise, AZ 85388
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,699 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 163 Days on market
Built 2004 5,688 sqft lot $216/sqft · 11% below area Est $415k · 11% under $95/mo HOA · 4% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to this beautifully maintained 4-bedroom, 2-bath home located in a desirable Surprise neighborhood. Featuring vinyl flooring throughout, this home offers a clean, modern look with easy maintenance—perfect for busy households. The open living spaces provide comfortable flow for everyday living and entertaining. Step outside to a large backyard with plenty of room for kids, pets, or future outdoor upgrades like a patio or play area. Conveniently located near parks, schools, shopping, and dining, this home combines comfort, functionality, and location.

Key facts

  • Open living spaces
  • Near schools
  • Vinyl flooring

Tags

VINYL FLOORINGLARGE BACKYARDOPEN LIVING SPACESNEAR PARKSNEAR SCHOOLSNEAR SHOPPING

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $368k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-397 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $297k (19.1% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $241k (34.3% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $241k (34.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.0% vs local median 3.3% in Surprise — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#19 in AZ, #4,616 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+, employment A-; Watch: health & safety D+, amenities D-, commute F.
  • Dysart Unified District (4243) (suburban): math 34% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #73 of 249 in AZ (top 29%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Canyon Ridge School (math 53% / reading 60%, grade C+, #191 of 1,109 statewide, top 18%, 944 students, 33% FRL); Willow Canyon High School (math 36% / reading 44%, grade F, #70 of 381 statewide, top 18%, 1,787 students, 32% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.6%/yr); 389 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 36,011 units permitted in Maricopa County in 2024 (12,801 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $4k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $1k appreciation (0.3% local appreciation)).
  • Maricopa County population projected at +38% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 163 days — a 12% lower offer ($323k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 19y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $28k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $241,398 (34.3% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 163 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 34% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.66%
Cap rate
5.00%
Cash-on-cash
-4.63%
DSCR
0.79
GRM
12.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$415,090
List price
$367,500
Delta
-11.46%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
17145 W Ironwood St 0.19mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,670 (-2%) 1mo $389,000 $233 82
15518 N 170th Ln 0.38mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,631 (-4%) 1mo $380,000 $233 70
17746 W Desert Ln 0.56mi 4/2.0 1,767 (+4%) 3mo $417,500 $236 64
15219 N 174th Dr 0.51mi 4/2.0 1,805 (+6%) 3mo $379,000 $210 64
16873 W Statler St 0.57mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,603 (-6%) 3mo $367,000 $229 56
17709 W Statler Dr 0.55mi 4/3.0 1,818 (+7%) 3mo $370,000 $204 56
16149 N 171st Dr 0.25mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,948 (+15%) 3mo $360,000 $185 54
17160 W Young St 0.42mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,485 (-13%) 3mo $372,000 $251 52
17278 W Bridger St 0.43mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,945 (+14%) 1mo $440,000 $226 50
17085 W Young St 0.48mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,454 (-14%) 1mo $340,000 $234 48
15039 N 172nd Ln 0.60mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,502 (-12%) 0mo $388,000 $258 48
17752 W Tasha Dr 0.63mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,510 (-11%) 2mo $395,000 $262 46

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

0.28% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-7.9%
Equity multiple
0.63×
Total profit
$-38,266
Equity at exit
$111,964
10-year hold
IRR
-3.7%
Equity multiple
0.61×
Total profit
$-39,784
Equity at exit
$138,854

Cash invested: $102,900 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Arizona
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day pay-or-quit; AZ courts known for speed; no state rent control; cities preempted by state law.

ZIP-level market 85388

Home prices YoY
0.1%
Rents YoY
-0.6%
Active inventory
389
Price-to-rent
12.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,414 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,927
Tax from tax record
$129 /mo · $1,542/yr
Insurance
$153
HOA
$95
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$507
Net cashflow
$-397

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,916
Max offer price $297,406
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-189 -5% $-293 +0% $-397 +5% $-501 +10% $-605
Rent -10% $-587 -5% $-492 +0% $-397 +5% $-301 +10% $-206
Rate -1.0pp $-212 -0.5pp $-303 base $-397 +0.5pp $-492 +1.0pp $-589

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$91,875
Closing costs
$11,025
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
17272 W Marshall Ln Surprise, AZ 3.0 2.5 2004 $2,085 $1.04 45d 1 0.06mi
15927 N 171st Dr Surprise, AZ 3.0 2.0 1670 $3,200 $1.92 45d 1 0.23mi
16166 N 170th Ln Surprise, AZ 3.0 2.0 1366 $1,775 $1.30 26d 1 0.28mi
17190 W Desert Ln Surprise, AZ 3.0 2.0 1506 $1,699 $1.13 25d 1 0.28mi
15512 N 174th Ln Surprise, AZ 3.0 2.0 2147 $3,000 $1.40 45d 1 0.37mi
17009 W Marconi Ave Surprise, AZ 3.0 2.0 1419 $1,862 $1.31 45d 1 0.39mi
17610 W Ironwood St Surprise, AZ 4.0 2.0 2149 $2,150 $1.00 6d 1 0.39mi
17440 W Caribbean Ln Surprise, AZ 4.0 2.5 2159 $2,300 $1.07 4d 1 0.46mi
17714 W Marshall Ln Surprise, AZ 3.0 2.0 1407 $1,485 $1.06 20d 1 0.52mi
17210 W Elm St Surprise, AZ 3.0 2.0 1746 $2,900 $1.66 45d 1 0.53mi
17722 W Marshall Ln Surprise, AZ 4.0 2.0 1756 $2,185 $1.24 3d 1 0.53mi
17259 W Smokey Dr Surprise, AZ 4.0 2.5 2190 $2,150 $0.98 7d 1 0.55mi
17218 W Country Gables Dr Surprise, AZ 3.0 2.0 1502 $1,800 $1.20 13d 1 0.58mi
17794 W Rimrock St Surprise, AZ 3.0 2.0 1407 $1,800 $1.28 45d 1 0.63mi
15164 N 173rd Ln Surprise, AZ 4.0 2.5 2048 $2,495 $1.22 25d 1 0.65mi
14945 N 172nd Ln Surprise, AZ 4.0 2.0 1699 $2,099 $1.24 7d 1 0.67mi
17395 W Langer Ln Surprise, AZ 4.0 3.0 1902 $1,995 $1.05 26d 1 0.68mi
16829 W Cottonwood St Surprise, AZ 3.0 2.0 1534 $1,850 $1.21 26d 1 0.69mi
17867 W Westpark Blvd Surprise, AZ 4.0 2.0 1767 $3,500 $1.98 45d 1 0.76mi
16663 W Rimrock St Surprise, AZ 4.0 2.5 2192 $2,195 $1.00 0d 1 0.80mi
17818 W Acapulco Ln Surprise, AZ 4.0 2.0 1930 $2,045 $1.06 45d 1 0.81mi
17862 W Caribbean Ln Surprise, AZ 3.0 2.0 1766 $2,600 $1.47 20d 1 0.84mi
17785 W Bell Rd Surprise, AZ 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1024 $2,068 $2.02 0d 41 0.85mi
17057 W Manchester Dr Surprise, AZ 3.0 2.0 1681 $1,695 $1.01 12d 1 0.88mi
14916 N 177th Ave Surprise, AZ 3.0 2.0 1298 $1,849 $1.42 6d 1 0.88mi
17724 W Woodrow Ln Surprise, AZ 3.0 2.0 1298 $1,825 $1.41 0d 1 0.89mi
17912 W Port au Prince Ln Surprise, AZ 4.0 2.0 2151 $2,155 $1.00 19d 1 0.90mi
16612 W Cottonwood St Surprise, AZ 3.0 2.0 1603 $1,749 $1.09 0d 1 0.91mi
16612 W Cottonwood St Surprise, AZ 3.0 2.0 1603 $1,749 $1.09 20d 1 0.91mi
17618 W Mandalay Ln Surprise, AZ 3.0 2.0 1578 $1,795 $1.14 45d 1 0.93mi
17923 W Port au Prince Ln Surprise, AZ 3.0 2.0 1610 $1,900 $1.18 45d 1 0.93mi
17730 W Banff Ln Surprise, AZ 3.0 2.5 1839 $2,495 $1.36 26d 1 0.95mi
17475 W Spring Ln Surprise, AZ 3.0 2.0 1885 $3,288 $1.74 45d 1 0.95mi
17746 W Banff Ln Surprise, AZ 3.0 2.5 1495 $1,785 $1.19 45d 1 0.97mi
16559 W Post Dr Surprise, AZ 3.0 2.0 1603 $1,789 $1.12 23d 1 0.97mi
17716 W Mandalay Ln Surprise, AZ 3.0 2.5 1566 $1,795 $1.15 0d 1 1.01mi
17938 W Port Royale Ln Surprise, AZ 3.0 2.0 1775 $2,050 $1.15 0d 1 1.04mi
16523 W Saguaro Ln Surprise, AZ 3.0 2.0 1621 $2,175 $1.34 3d 1 1.07mi
18188 W Paradise Ln Surprise, AZ 4.0 2.0 1941 $2,200 $1.13 45d 1 1.14mi
18184 W Saguaro Ln Surprise, AZ 3.0 2.0 1682 $1,895 $1.13 26d 1 1.16mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$95 · $1,140/yr

Listing history 36 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    statusdays on market $367,500 Pending 163 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $367,500 Active 161 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $367,500 Active 160 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $367,500 Active 159 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $367,500 Active 158 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $367,500 Active 156 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $367,500 Active 152 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $367,500 Active 151 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $367,500 Active 150 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $367,500 Active 147 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $367,500 Active 146 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $367,500 Active 145 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $367,500 Active 144 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $367,500 Active 143 DOM
  15. 2026-04-27
    price $372,500 569-char remark
    Show marketing remark (569 chars)

    Welcome to this beautifully maintained 4-bedroom, 2-bath home located in a desirable Surprise neighborhood. Featuring vinyl flooring throughout, this home offers a clean, modern look with easy maintenance—perfect for busy households. The open living spaces provide comfortable flow for everyday living and entertaining. Step outside to a large backyard with plenty of room for kids, pets, or future outdoor upgrades like a patio or play area. Conveniently located near parks, schools, shopping, and dining, this home combines comfort, functionality, and location.

  16. 2026-04-24
    soldstatus $1,220,390
  17. 2026-03-20
    price $375,000 569-char remark
    Show marketing remark (569 chars)

    Welcome to this beautifully maintained 4-bedroom, 2-bath home located in a desirable Surprise neighborhood. Featuring vinyl flooring throughout, this home offers a clean, modern look with easy maintenance—perfect for busy households. The open living spaces provide comfortable flow for everyday living and entertaining. Step outside to a large backyard with plenty of room for kids, pets, or future outdoor upgrades like a patio or play area. Conveniently located near parks, schools, shopping, and dining, this home combines comfort, functionality, and location.

  18. 2026-02-27
    price $382,500 569-char remark
    Show marketing remark (569 chars)

    Welcome to this beautifully maintained 4-bedroom, 2-bath home located in a desirable Surprise neighborhood. Featuring vinyl flooring throughout, this home offers a clean, modern look with easy maintenance—perfect for busy households. The open living spaces provide comfortable flow for everyday living and entertaining. Step outside to a large backyard with plenty of room for kids, pets, or future outdoor upgrades like a patio or play area. Conveniently located near parks, schools, shopping, and dining, this home combines comfort, functionality, and location.

  19. 2026-01-23
    price $390,000 569-char remark
    Show marketing remark (569 chars)

    Welcome to this beautifully maintained 4-bedroom, 2-bath home located in a desirable Surprise neighborhood. Featuring vinyl flooring throughout, this home offers a clean, modern look with easy maintenance—perfect for busy households. The open living spaces provide comfortable flow for everyday living and entertaining. Step outside to a large backyard with plenty of room for kids, pets, or future outdoor upgrades like a patio or play area. Conveniently located near parks, schools, shopping, and dining, this home combines comfort, functionality, and location.

  20. 2026-01-08
    listed $395,000 Active 569-char remark
    Show marketing remark (569 chars)

    Welcome to this beautifully maintained 4-bedroom, 2-bath home located in a desirable Surprise neighborhood. Featuring vinyl flooring throughout, this home offers a clean, modern look with easy maintenance—perfect for busy households. The open living spaces provide comfortable flow for everyday living and entertaining. Step outside to a large backyard with plenty of room for kids, pets, or future outdoor upgrades like a patio or play area. Conveniently located near parks, schools, shopping, and dining, this home combines comfort, functionality, and location.

  21. 2025-10-24
    historical $2,005
  22. 2025-10-04
    price $2,005
  23. 2025-09-22
    listed $2,105
  24. 2025-09-21
    historical $2,105
  25. 2025-09-17
    listed $2,105
  26. 2022-08-05
    price $2,100
  27. 2022-03-02
    soldstatus $1,600,500
  28. 2021-07-08
    soldstatus $320,000
  29. 2021-05-28
    soldstatus $260,000
  30. 2013-02-19
    soldstatus $135,000
  31. 2009-03-25
    soldstatus $114,900 360-char remark
    Show marketing remark (360 chars)

    BANK OWNED, QUICK ANSWERS, BEAUTIFULLY MAINTAINED AND UPGRADED HOME TILE IN ALL THE RIGHT PLACES ALL APPLIANCES IN KITCHEN, NO REAPIRS NEEDED THIS IS MOVE IN READY. GREAT INVESTMENT OR FIRST TIME HOME. CEILING FANS THROUGHT OUT. GREAT LOCATION. DON'T WAIT CAUSE YOUR COMPETITION IS ALREADY SHOWING THIS GREAT HOME, BUYER TO VERIFY ALL FACTS PERTINENT TO BUYER.

  32. 2009-02-19
    historical 360-char remark
    Show marketing remark (360 chars)

    BANK OWNED, QUICK ANSWERS, BEAUTIFULLY MAINTAINED AND UPGRADED HOME TILE IN ALL THE RIGHT PLACES ALL APPLIANCES IN KITCHEN, NO REAPIRS NEEDED THIS IS MOVE IN READY. GREAT INVESTMENT OR FIRST TIME HOME. CEILING FANS THROUGHT OUT. GREAT LOCATION. DON'T WAIT CAUSE YOUR COMPETITION IS ALREADY SHOWING THIS GREAT HOME, BUYER TO VERIFY ALL FACTS PERTINENT TO BUYER.

  33. 2009-01-15
    listed $114,900 360-char remark
    Show marketing remark (360 chars)

    BANK OWNED, QUICK ANSWERS, BEAUTIFULLY MAINTAINED AND UPGRADED HOME TILE IN ALL THE RIGHT PLACES ALL APPLIANCES IN KITCHEN, NO REAPIRS NEEDED THIS IS MOVE IN READY. GREAT INVESTMENT OR FIRST TIME HOME. CEILING FANS THROUGHT OUT. GREAT LOCATION. DON'T WAIT CAUSE YOUR COMPETITION IS ALREADY SHOWING THIS GREAT HOME, BUYER TO VERIFY ALL FACTS PERTINENT TO BUYER.

  34. 2008-02-24
    historical
  35. 2007-11-14
    listed $170,000
  36. 2005-12-29
    soldstatus $277,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AZ · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,542 · $129/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,426 · $202/mo
Expected delta
+$883/yr (+$74/mo · 57.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥112°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$28,968
− Mortgage interest
−$20,586
− Property taxes
−$1,542
− Insurance
−$1,838
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,317
− Management
−$2,317
− HOA
−$1,140
− Depreciation
−$10,691
Taxable loss
−$11,463
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,751
After-tax cash flow
$-2,010/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Dysart Unified District (4243)
NCES district ID
0402690
Math proficiency
34% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
40% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$58,033
Composite
32.76/100
National rank
#5634
State rank
#73 of 249 in AZ

Livability — Surprise

Score
74/100
State rank
#19
US rank
#4616

Category grades

Amenities D- Commute F Cost of living C Crime A+ Employment A- Housing A+ Health & safety D+ User ratings C+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Surprise, AZ
County
Maricopa County · 4,537,380 people
City population
160,031
Metro
Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
Population (ZIP)
35,369
Household income
$112,164
Rent vs Own
18.1% rent · 81.9% own
Severe rent burden
224.0

Population outlook (Maricopa County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
4,979,203 people
By 2030
5,378,229 · +8.0%
By 2040
6,156,598 · +23.6%
By 2050
6,872,376 · +38.0%
By 2075
8,401,270 · +68.7%
By 2100
9,247,439 · +85.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
Race & ethnicity
White 61% Hispanic / Latino 22% Two or more races 12% Black 6% Asian 2% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 16%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Italian 3% Portuguese 2%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada
Languages at home
88% English-only · Spanish 7% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Maricopa

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 47.7% · R 51.2% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
+7.1pp toward D · 2008: -10.6pp · 2024: -3.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+3.5 2020: D+2.2 2016: R+3.5 2012: R+12.0 2008: R+10.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 0.28%
Current HPI
272.9859
Rent YoY
▼ -0.57%
Metro
Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.54%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AZ)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+34.5% since first listed
22 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-27 Price Changed $372,500 ARMLS
  • 2026-04-24 Sold (Public Records) $1,220,390 Public Records
  • 2026-03-20 Price Changed $375,000 ARMLS
  • 2026-02-27 Price Changed $382,500 ARMLS
  • 2026-01-23 Price Changed $390,000 ARMLS
  • 2026-01-08 Listed $395,000 ARMLS
  • 2025-10-24 Rental Removed $2,005 RENTLY
  • 2025-10-04 Price Changed $2,005 RENTLY
  • 2025-09-22 Listed for Rent $2,105 RENTLY
  • 2025-09-21 Rental Removed $2,105 RENTLY
  • 2025-09-17 Listed for Rent $2,105 RENTLY
  • 2022-08-05 Price Changed $2,100 RENTLY
  • 2022-03-02 Sold (Public Records) $1,600,500 Public Records
  • 2021-07-08 Sold (Public Records) $320,000 Public Records
  • 2021-05-28 Sold (Public Records) $260,000 Public Records
  • 2013-02-19 Sold (Public Records) $135,000 Public Records
  • 2009-03-25 Sold (MLS) $114,900 ARMLS
  • 2009-02-19 Listing Removed ARMLS
  • 2009-01-15 Listed $114,900 ARMLS
  • 2008-02-24 Listing Removed ARMLS
  • 2007-11-14 Listed $170,000 ARMLS
  • 2005-12-29 Sold (Public Records) $277,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+0.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,542 · +9.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…