7677 1000 Rd · Fredonia, KS 66736

$130,000

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,456 sqft · Manufactured public records · 2 Days on market

Built 2005 0.28 ac lot

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Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +12.5/30.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Appreciation +4.4/10.0
• DSCR +3.7/10.0
• 1% rule +3.6/10.0
• Livability +3.5/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Schools +2.0/10.0

Key facts

• 0.28 acre lot
• Garage
• Built 2005

Property features AI

Finance

• Financial info: Annual tax amount listed

Exterior

• Parking: Detached 1-car garage
• Utilities: Rural water
• Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property; One-level (ranch) design
• Construction: Vinyl siding; Composition roof; Built approximately 21–30 years ago
• Exterior features: Not located in a flood plain; 0.28-acre lot

Interior

• Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
• Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
• Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Electric cooling
• Interior features: Ranch floor plan; Crawl space basement

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $130k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $-19 ($-231/yr) — negative.
• To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $127k (2.1% below list).
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $111k (14.4% below list).
• Recommended offer: $111k (14.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 70/100 on livability (#155 in KS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime D+, amenities F, commute F.
• Fredonia (rural): math 19% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #147 of 169 in KS (top 87%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
• Zoned schools: Lincoln Elementary (math 27% / reading 32%, grade F, #463 of 684 statewide, top 73%, 286 students, 60% FRL); Fredonia Jr./Sr. High School (math 8% / reading 22%, grade F, #260 of 327 statewide, top 81%, 293 students, 54% FRL).
• Market conditions: 18 active listings in the ZIP; 16 units permitted in Wilson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-1.1%/yr); year-one equity from $899 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Wilson County population projected at -25% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

• Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $111,284 (14.4% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
4. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.86% ✗
• Cap rate: 6.12%
• Cash-on-cash: -0.63%
• DSCR: 0.97
• GRM: 9.7

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-1.11% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -7.4%
• Equity multiple: 0.68×
• Total profit: $-11,637
• Equity at exit: $30,700

10-year hold

• IRR: -0.5%
• Equity multiple: 0.95×
• Total profit: $-1,711
• Equity at exit: $31,661

Cash invested: $36,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Kansas: 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; moderate court pace.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 66736

• Home prices YoY: -0.7%
• Active inventory: 18
• Price-to-rent: 9.7×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,113 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$682
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$162 /mo · $1,950/yr
• Insurance: −$54
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$234
• Net cashflow: $-19

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,137

Max offer price $127,215

Occupancy floor 97%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $71	-5% $26	+0% $-19	+5% $-64	+10% $-109
Rent	-10% $-107	-5% $-63	+0% $-19	+5% $25	+10% $69
Rate	-1.0pp $46	-0.5pp $14	base $-19	+0.5pp $-53	+1.0pp $-87

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $32,500
• Closing costs: $3,900
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 12 events

1. 2026-06-13
   status $130,000 Pending 2 DOM
2. 2026-06-12
   statusdays on market $130,000 Active 2 DOM
3. 2026-06-09
   days on market $130,000 Coming Soon 14 DOM
4. 2026-06-08
   days on market $130,000 Coming Soon 13 DOM
5. 2026-06-07
   days on market $130,000 Coming Soon 12 DOM
6. 2026-06-05
   days on market $130,000 Coming Soon 10 DOM
7. 2026-06-04
   days on market $130,000 Coming Soon 8 DOM
8. 2026-06-02
   days on market $130,000 Coming Soon 7 DOM
9. 2026-06-01
   days on market $130,000 Coming Soon 6 DOM
10. 2026-05-31
    days on market $130,000 Coming Soon 5 DOM
11. 2026-05-31
    days on market $130,000 Coming Soon 4 DOM
12. 2026-05-27
    historical $130,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
• 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $13,354
• − Mortgage interest: −$7,282
• − Property taxes: −$1,950
• − Insurance: −$650
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,068
• − Management: −$1,068
• − Depreciation: −$3,782
• Taxable loss: −$2,446
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$587
• After-tax cash flow: $356/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Fredonia
• NCES district ID: 2006270
• Math proficiency: 19% ▲ 7.00%
• Reading proficiency: 30% ▲ 11.00%
• Median HH income: $36,652
• Composite: 20.33/100
• National rank: #8609
• State rank: #147 of 169 in KS

Livability — Fredonia

• Score: 70/100
• State rank: #155
• US rank: #7426

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Population (ZIP): 3,517

Population outlook (Wilson County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 7,872 people
• By 2030: 7,383 · -6.2%
• By 2040: 6,533 · -17.0%
• By 2050: 5,923 · -24.8%
• By 2075: 5,134 · -34.8%
• By 2100: 4,788 · -39.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (90%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 90% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 4%
• Common ancestry: Italian 2% Iranian 2% Slovak 2%
• Foreign-born: 2% · Canada
• Languages at home: 97% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Wilson

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+62.4) · D 18.0% · R 80.3% · Other 1.7%
• 2008→2024 swing: -21.6pp toward R · 2008: -40.8pp · 2024: -62.4pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+62.4 2020: R+61.5 2016: R+63.1 2012: R+54.0 2008: R+40.8

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -1.11%
• Current HPI: 153.1194
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: —
• F500 in state: 0

Price history

1 event — show timeline

• 2026-05-27 Coming Soon $130,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid