538 Huddle Rd Lot 20 · Napoleon, OH
Flood risk 3/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.18%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +14.7/15.0
- Schools +5.6/10.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$20,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
NICE UPDATED 2 BEDROOM 1 BATH. MUST GET PARK APPROVAL TO PURCHASE. MUST FILL OUT THE REQUIRED PAPERWORK. HOME IS MOVE-IN READY. LOT RENT IS $450/MO. SET YOUR APPOINTMENT UP TODAY.
Key facts
- 2 parking spots
- Built 1986
- Listed 202 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $20k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $174 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($965 rent vs $20k).
- Recommended offer: $18k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 16.7% vs local median 3.8% in Napoleon — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#484 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, schools B+; Watch: employment D+, amenities F, commute F.
- Napoleon Area City (town): math 62% / reading 69% proficiency, ranked #208 of 656 in OH (top 32%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 46 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 18 units permitted in Henry County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent is only 15% of the median local income ($78k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $138 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $600 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Henry County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $6k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 202 days — a 12% lower offer ($18k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 47% of rent.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 202 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 4.83% ✓
- Cap rate
- 16.74%
- Cash-on-cash
- 37.31%
- DSCR
- 2.66
- GRM
- 1.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $23,833
- List price
- $20,000
- Delta
- -16.08%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 1 within 2.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 34.1%
- Equity multiple
- 2.45×
- Total profit
- $8,141
- Equity at exit
- $2,982
- IRR
- 41.3%
- Equity multiple
- 5.03×
- Total profit
- $22,553
- Equity at exit
- $1,729
Cash invested: $5,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 43545
- Home prices YoY
- -19.6%
- Active inventory
- 46
- Price-to-rent
- 1.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $965 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$105
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$25 /mo · $300/yr
- Insurance
- −$8
- HOA
- −$450
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$203
- Net cashflow
- $174
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $188 | -5% $181 | +0% $174 | +5% $167 | +10% $160 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $98 | -5% $136 | +0% $174 | +5% $212 | +10% $250 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $184 | -0.5pp $179 | base $174 | +0.5pp $169 | +1.0pp $164 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $5,000
- Closing costs
- $600
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 780 Sheffield Ave Napoleon, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $965 | $1.38 | 45d | 1 | 0.85mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $450 · $5,400/yr
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $20,000 Active 202 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $20,000 Active 201 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $20,000 Active 199 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $20,000 Active 198 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $20,000 Active 197 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $20,000 Active 196 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $20,000 Active 194 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $20,000 Active 193 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $20,000 Active 190 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $20,000 Active 189 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $20,000 Active 188 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $20,000 Active 187 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $20,000 Active 184 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $20,000 Active 183 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $20,000 Active 182 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $20,000 Active 181 DOM
-
2026-01-16status Active 184-char remark
Show marketing remark (184 chars)
NICE UPDATED 2 BEDROOM 1 BATH. MUST GET PARK APPROVAL TO PURCHASE. MUST FILL OUT THE REQUIRED PAPERWORK. HOME IS MOVE-IN READY. LOT RENT IS $450/MO. SET YOUR APPOINTMENT UP TODAY.
-
2025-12-09historical Contingent 184-char remark
Show marketing remark (184 chars)
NICE UPDATED 2 BEDROOM 1 BATH. MUST GET PARK APPROVAL TO PURCHASE. MUST FILL OUT THE REQUIRED PAPERWORK. HOME IS MOVE-IN READY. LOT RENT IS $450/MO. SET YOUR APPOINTMENT UP TODAY.
-
2025-12-01$20,000 Active 184-char remark
Show marketing remark (184 chars)
NICE UPDATED 2 BEDROOM 1 BATH. MUST GET PARK APPROVAL TO PURCHASE. MUST FILL OUT THE REQUIRED PAPERWORK. HOME IS MOVE-IN READY. LOT RENT IS $450/MO. SET YOUR APPOINTMENT UP TODAY.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X · 18% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,580
- − Mortgage interest
- −$1,120
- − Property taxes
- −$300
- − Insurance
- −$100
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$926
- − Management
- −$926
- − HOA
- −$5,400
- − Depreciation
- −$582
- Taxable income
- $2,225
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$534
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,556/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This manufactured home is move-in ready with cosmetic updates needed to enhance its curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
Repairs flagged
- Minor exterior siding — slight wear
- Minor interior paint — wear
- Minor landscaping — bare yard with debris
Value-add opportunities
- Both paint interior walls — enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
- Both landscaping — improves curb appeal and enhances property value
- Both replace worn flooring — improves living space and enhances property value
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| exterior siding · slight wear | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| interior paint · wear | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| landscaping · bare yard with debris | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 3 items | $1,500–9,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Both paint interior walls — enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics ↑
- Both landscaping — improves curb appeal and enhances property value ↑
- Both replace worn flooring — improves living space and enhances property value ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Napoleon Area City
- NCES district ID
- 3904443
- Math proficiency
- 62% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 69% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,144
- Composite
- 55.53/100
- National rank
- #1243
- State rank
- #208 of 656 in OH
Livability — Napoleon
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #484
- US rank
- #8082
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Napoleon, OH
- County
- Henry · 27,211 people
- City population
- 14,388
- Population (ZIP)
- 14,388
- Household income
- $78,165
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 4.0
Population outlook (Henry County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 27,204 people
- By 2030
- 26,657 · -2.0%
- By 2040
- 25,149 · -7.6%
- By 2050
- 23,361 · -14.1%
- By 2075
- 20,409 · -25.0%
- By 2100
- 18,199 · -33.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (88%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 88% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 3% German/W. Germanic 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Henry
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+46.7) · D 26.2% · R 72.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -33.8pp toward R · 2008: -12.9pp · 2024: -46.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+46.7 2020: R+43.5 2016: R+39.8 2012: R+18.6 2008: R+12.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -51.90%
- Current HPI
- 212.3599
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
||
| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
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Price history
3 events — show timeline
- 2026-01-16 Relisted — NORIS
- 2025-12-09 Contingent — NORIS
- 2025-12-01 Listed $20,000 NORIS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…