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Kofa Plan 🏗️ New Construction
D Composite 43.17
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +10.4/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +7.0/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.1/10.0
  • DSCR +3.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.8/10.0

$141,999

Kofa Plan · San Antonio, TX 78264
2 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,013 sqft · SingleFamily · 492 Days on market
Good condition ↓ 35% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

The first floor of this two-story home opens into a shared living space between the kitchen and family room for easy entertaining, along with a convenient powder room. An owner's suite sprawls across the rear of the second floor and is comprised of an en-suite bathroom and walk-in closet. A versatile secondary bedroom and full-sized bathroom are also upstairs, ideal for household members or overnight guests.

Key facts

  • Garage
  • Listed 492 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
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🏗️ New construction. The $141,999 list price is a builder figure, so every metric below is computed on the value from comparable previous sales — $166,247.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $142k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-89 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $134k (5.5% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $125k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 5.7% vs local median 3.8% in San Antonio — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 80/100 on livability (#31 in TX, #1,616 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools C-, crime F.
  • Southside ISD (rural): math 16% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #771 of 826 in TX (top 93%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 76% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 328 active listings in the ZIP; 20 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 8,308 units permitted in Bexar County in 2024 (2,506 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $8k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $7k appreciation (3.9% local appreciation)).
  • Bexar County population projected at +50% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 492 days — a 12% lower offer ($125k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $124,959 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 492 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.81%
Cap rate
5.65%
Cash-on-cash
-2.29%
DSCR
0.90
GRM
10.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$166,247
List price
$141,999
Delta
-14.59%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2842 Carnelian Trl 0.07mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,033 (+2%) 10mo $184,999 $179 78
2826 Carnelian Trl 0.07mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,033 (+2%) 10mo $138,749 $134 78
2818 Carnelian Trl 0.07mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,033 (+2%) 10mo $152,399 $148 78
20337 Onyx Ring 0.04mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,033 (+2%) 13mo $153,899 $149 77
20454 Onyx Ring 0.08mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,033 (+2%) 11mo $166,999 $162 77
20329 Onyx Ring 0.05mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,033 (+2%) 15mo $154,499 $150 75
20333 Onyx Ring 0.04mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,033 (+2%) 15mo $136,999 $133 75
20325 Onyx Ring 0.06mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,033 (+2%) 15mo $144,499 $140 74
20322 Onyx Ring 0.08mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,033 (+2%) 14mo $146,339 $142 74
20342 Onyx Ring 0.06mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,033 (+2%) 16mo $152,999 $148 74
20402 Onyx Ring 0.05mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,033 (+2%) 19mo $147,999 $143 71
20407 Red Coral 0.07mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,129 (+12%) 20mo $181,999 $161 54

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

3.94% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
8.1%
Equity multiple
1.49×
Total profit
$22,851
Equity at exit
$83,757
10-year hold
IRR
10.3%
Equity multiple
2.70×
Total profit
$79,285
Equity at exit
$136,567

Cash invested: $46,549 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 78264

Home prices YoY
1.3%
Active inventory
328
Price-to-rent
8.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,342 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$872
Tax est. 1.5%
$208 /mo · $2,494/yr
Insurance
$69
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$282
Net cashflow
$-89

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,454
Max offer price $153,386
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $26 -5% $-31 +0% $-89 +5% $-146 +10% $-204
Rent -10% $-195 -5% $-142 +0% $-89 +5% $-36 +10% $17
Rate -1.0pp $-5 -0.5pp $-47 base $-89 +0.5pp $-132 +1.0pp $-176

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$41,562
Closing costs
$4,987
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 20 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3008 Carnelian Trl San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.5 1189 $1,195 $1.01 3d 1 0.04mi
2906 Carnelian Trl San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 1360 $1,550 $1.14 44d 1 0.04mi
20447 Red Coral San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 1230 $1,320 $1.07 24d 1 0.05mi
20356 Andalusite Way San Antonio, TX 2.0 2.5 1013 $1,199 $1.18 18d 1 0.06mi
20448 Red Coral San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 1129 $1,500 $1.33 24d 1 0.08mi
20310 Andalusite Way San Antonio, TX 2.0 2.0 741 $1,300 $1.75 44d 1 0.08mi
20305 Andalusite Way San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.5 1207 $1,400 $1.16 17d 1 0.11mi
20305 Andalusite Way San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.5 1207 $1,350 $1.12 44d 1 0.11mi
20618 Andalusite Way San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 1179 $1,450 $1.23 5d 1 0.12mi
20642 Andalusite Way San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.5 1189 $1,450 $1.22 22d 1 0.13mi
20511 Andalusite Way San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.5 1189 $1,450 $1.22 18d 1 0.14mi
2807 Ruby Xing San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 1276 $1,400 $1.10 24d 1 0.15mi
3230 S Loop 1604 E Unit B1 San Antonio, TX 2.0 1.0 768 $895 $1.17 3d 1 0.43mi
20335 Campbellton Rd San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 1393 $1,450 $1.04 44d 1 0.49mi
3230 South Loop 1604 E Unit B03 San Antonio, TX 2.0 2.0 896 $950 $1.06 24d 1 0.52mi
3230 South Loop 1604 E Unit A08 San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 1216 $995 $0.82 24d 1 0.52mi
3230 South Loop 1604 E Unit A08 San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 1216 $995 $0.82 3d 1 0.52mi
3230 South Loop 1604 E Unit B03 San Antonio, TX 2.0 2.0 896 $950 $1.06 3d 1 0.52mi
20823 Pinon Grv San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 1403 $1,650 $1.18 44d 1 1.02mi
19230 FM 1937 #4 San Antonio, TX 2.0 2.0 1316 $1,450 $1.10 24d 1 1.12mi

Listing history 24 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $141,999 Active 492 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $141,999 Active 491 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $141,999 Active 490 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $141,999 Active 489 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $141,999 Active 487 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $141,999 Active 486 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    price $141,999 Active 483 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $142,999 Active 483 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $142,999 Active 482 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $142,999 Active 481 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $142,999 Active 478 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $142,999 Active 477 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $142,999 Active 476 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $142,999 Active 475 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $142,999 Active 474 DOM
  16. 2025-12-08
    price $142,999 411-char remark
    Show marketing remark (411 chars)

    The first floor of this two-story home opens into a shared living space between the kitchen and family room for easy entertaining, along with a convenient powder room. An owner's suite sprawls across the rear of the second floor and is comprised of an en-suite bathroom and walk-in closet. A versatile secondary bedroom and full-sized bathroom are also upstairs, ideal for household members or overnight guests.

  17. 2025-12-04
    price $144,999 411-char remark
    Show marketing remark (411 chars)

    The first floor of this two-story home opens into a shared living space between the kitchen and family room for easy entertaining, along with a convenient powder room. An owner's suite sprawls across the rear of the second floor and is comprised of an en-suite bathroom and walk-in closet. A versatile secondary bedroom and full-sized bathroom are also upstairs, ideal for household members or overnight guests.

  18. 2025-11-23
    price $149,999 411-char remark
    Show marketing remark (411 chars)

    The first floor of this two-story home opens into a shared living space between the kitchen and family room for easy entertaining, along with a convenient powder room. An owner's suite sprawls across the rear of the second floor and is comprised of an en-suite bathroom and walk-in closet. A versatile secondary bedroom and full-sized bathroom are also upstairs, ideal for household members or overnight guests.

  19. 2025-11-16
    price $153,999 411-char remark
    Show marketing remark (411 chars)

    The first floor of this two-story home opens into a shared living space between the kitchen and family room for easy entertaining, along with a convenient powder room. An owner's suite sprawls across the rear of the second floor and is comprised of an en-suite bathroom and walk-in closet. A versatile secondary bedroom and full-sized bathroom are also upstairs, ideal for household members or overnight guests.

  20. 2025-10-23
    price $156,999 411-char remark
    Show marketing remark (411 chars)

    The first floor of this two-story home opens into a shared living space between the kitchen and family room for easy entertaining, along with a convenient powder room. An owner's suite sprawls across the rear of the second floor and is comprised of an en-suite bathroom and walk-in closet. A versatile secondary bedroom and full-sized bathroom are also upstairs, ideal for household members or overnight guests.

  21. 2025-09-01
    price $160,999 411-char remark
    Show marketing remark (411 chars)

    The first floor of this two-story home opens into a shared living space between the kitchen and family room for easy entertaining, along with a convenient powder room. An owner's suite sprawls across the rear of the second floor and is comprised of an en-suite bathroom and walk-in closet. A versatile secondary bedroom and full-sized bathroom are also upstairs, ideal for household members or overnight guests.

  22. 2025-08-23
    price $165,999 411-char remark
    Show marketing remark (411 chars)

    The first floor of this two-story home opens into a shared living space between the kitchen and family room for easy entertaining, along with a convenient powder room. An owner's suite sprawls across the rear of the second floor and is comprised of an en-suite bathroom and walk-in closet. A versatile secondary bedroom and full-sized bathroom are also upstairs, ideal for household members or overnight guests.

  23. 2025-04-04
    price $185,999 411-char remark
    Show marketing remark (411 chars)

    The first floor of this two-story home opens into a shared living space between the kitchen and family room for easy entertaining, along with a convenient powder room. An owner's suite sprawls across the rear of the second floor and is comprised of an en-suite bathroom and walk-in closet. A versatile secondary bedroom and full-sized bathroom are also upstairs, ideal for household members or overnight guests.

  24. 2025-02-11
    listed $220,999 Active 411-char remark
    Show marketing remark (411 chars)

    The first floor of this two-story home opens into a shared living space between the kitchen and family room for easy entertaining, along with a convenient powder room. An owner's suite sprawls across the rear of the second floor and is comprised of an en-suite bathroom and walk-in closet. A versatile secondary bedroom and full-sized bathroom are also upstairs, ideal for household members or overnight guests.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,101
− Mortgage interest
−$9,312
− Property taxes
−$2,494
− Insurance
−$831
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,288
− Management
−$1,288
− Depreciation
−$4,836
Taxable loss
−$3,948
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$948
After-tax cash flow
$-119/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 80/100 Cosmetic rehab

This two-story home is in good condition with modern finishes and a well-maintained exterior. It offers a good balance of style and functionality, making it an attractive option for both resale and rental.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Painting exterior and interior walls — Enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and adds value
  • Resale New flooring in bathrooms — Modernizes the space and improves functionality

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Painting exterior and interior walls — Enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and adds value
  • Resale New flooring in bathrooms — Modernizes the space and improves functionality

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Southside ISD
NCES district ID
4840920
Math proficiency
16% ▼ -15.00%
Reading proficiency
25% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$43,526
Composite
17.68/100
National rank
#9027
State rank
#771 of 826 in TX

Livability — San Antonio

Score
80/100
State rank
#31
US rank
#1616

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

City population
1,806,925
Population (ZIP)
11,702

Population outlook (Bexar County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,336,851 people
By 2030
2,560,728 · +9.6%
By 2040
3,020,569 · +29.3%
By 2050
3,493,522 · +49.5%
By 2075
4,668,459 · +99.8%
By 2100
5,533,242 · +136.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Hispanic (80%)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 80% Two or more races 35% White 17% Black 2% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 73%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 1% Serbian 1% Greek 1%
Foreign-born
14% · Canada
Languages at home
48% English-only · Spanish 51% Tagalog/Filipino 0%

Political lean MEDSL · Bexar

2024 margin
Lean D (+9.8) · D 54.3% · R 44.6% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
+4.2pp toward D · 2008: 5.6pp · 2024: 9.8pp
All cycles
2024: D+9.8 2020: D+18.2 2016: D+13.5 2012: D+4.6 2008: D+5.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 3.94%
Current HPI
298.8446
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-35.3% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2025-12-08 Price Changed $142,999 Zillow
  • 2025-12-04 Price Changed $144,999 Zillow
  • 2025-11-23 Price Changed $149,999 Zillow
  • 2025-11-16 Price Changed $153,999 Zillow
  • 2025-10-23 Price Changed $156,999 Zillow
  • 2025-09-01 Price Changed $160,999 Zillow
  • 2025-08-23 Price Changed $165,999 Zillow
  • 2025-04-04 Price Changed $185,999 Zillow
  • 2025-02-11 Listed $220,999 Zillow

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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