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435 Southview Rd
B Composite 74.06
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$70,000

435 Southview Rd · Oak Grove, AL 35150
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 762 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 63 Days on market
Built 1941 2.11 ac lot $92/sqft · at area comps Est $123k · 43% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Check out this lovely property located in Sylacauga with 2 beds, 2 bath!! Granite Counters, LVT Flooring ! Septic tank and H-vac installed in 2020!!

Key facts

  • 2.11 acre lot
  • Built 1941
  • Listed 63 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $70k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $317 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($949 rent vs $70k).
  • Recommended offer: $66k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 61/100 on livability (#274 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, crime D+, schools F.
  • Talladega County (rural): math 15% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #75 of 129 in AL (top 58%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 134 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 189 units permitted in Talladega County in 2024 (6 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $484 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Talladega County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 63 days — a 6% lower offer ($66k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1941 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; major wind risk, 40% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $65,800 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 63 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1941 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.36%
Cap rate
11.73%
Cash-on-cash
19.42%
DSCR
1.86
GRM
6.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$123,499
List price
$70,000
Delta
-43.32%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
18 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
11.4%
Equity multiple
1.45×
Total profit
$8,843
Equity at exit
$10,437
10-year hold
IRR
20.4%
Equity multiple
2.72×
Total profit
$33,645
Equity at exit
$6,052

Cash invested: $19,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 35150

Home prices YoY
-7.9%
Active inventory
134
Price-to-rent
6.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$949 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$367
Tax from tax record
$36 /mo · $435/yr
Insurance
$29
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$199
Net cashflow
$317

Break-even live

Break-even rent $547
Max offer price $70,000
Occupancy floor 62%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $357 -5% $337 +0% $317 +5% $297 +10% $278
Rent -10% $242 -5% $280 +0% $317 +5% $355 +10% $392
Rate -1.0pp $352 -0.5pp $335 base $317 +0.5pp $299 +1.0pp $281

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$17,500
Closing costs
$2,100
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
125 Landing Way Sylacauga, AL 1.0–2.0 1.0 875 $949 $1.08 44d 1 1.20mi

Listing history 25 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    status $70,000 Pending 63 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $70,000 Active 63 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $70,000 Active 62 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $70,000 Active 61 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $70,000 Active 60 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $70,000 Active 58 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $70,000 Active 57 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $70,000 Active 55 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $70,000 Active 54 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $70,000 Active 53 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $70,000 Active 52 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $70,000 Active 49 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $70,000 Active 48 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $70,000 Active 47 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $70,000 Active 46 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $70,000 Active 45 DOM
  17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $70,000 Active 44 DOM
  18. 2026-05-11
    status Active 148-char remark
    Show marketing remark (148 chars)

    Check out this lovely property located in Sylacauga with 2 beds, 2 bath!! Granite Counters, LVT Flooring ! Septic tank and H-vac installed in 2020!!

  19. 2026-05-01
    historical Contingent 148-char remark
    Show marketing remark (148 chars)

    Check out this lovely property located in Sylacauga with 2 beds, 2 bath!! Granite Counters, LVT Flooring ! Septic tank and H-vac installed in 2020!!

  20. 2026-04-16
    listed $70,000 Active 148-char remark
    Show marketing remark (148 chars)

    Check out this lovely property located in Sylacauga with 2 beds, 2 bath!! Granite Counters, LVT Flooring ! Septic tank and H-vac installed in 2020!!

  21. 2020-10-15
    soldstatus $113,500
  22. 2020-08-03
    soldstatus $87,000
  23. 2020-07-30
    soldstatus $87,000 100-char remark
    Show marketing remark (100 chars)

    Amazing house in Sylacauga with 2 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms. Fully finished built with strong blocks.

  24. 2020-05-28
    listed $87,000 100-char remark
    Show marketing remark (100 chars)

    Amazing house in Sylacauga with 2 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms. Fully finished built with strong blocks.

  25. 1997-09-30
    soldstatus $7,497

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$435 · $36/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$435 · $36/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · -0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 69% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 40% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,388
− Mortgage interest
−$3,921
− Property taxes
−$435
− Insurance
−$350
− Repairs & maintenance
−$911
− Management
−$911
− Depreciation
−$2,036
Taxable income
$2,823
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$678
After-tax cash flow
$3,129/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Talladega County
NCES district ID
0103180
Math proficiency
15% ▼ -24.00%
Reading proficiency
44% ▲ 3.00%
Median HH income
$37,715
Composite
24.5/100
National rank
#7650
State rank
#75 of 129 in AL

Livability — Oak Grove

Score
61/100
State rank
#274
US rank
#18330

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
17,118

Population outlook (Talladega County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
78,905 people
By 2030
77,160 · -2.2%
By 2040
72,937 · -7.6%
By 2050
68,279 · -13.5%
By 2075
57,884 · -26.6%
By 2100
47,220 · -40.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (62%)
Race & ethnicity
White 62% Black 32% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Slovak 1% Hispanic 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Talladega

2024 margin
Solid R (+33.8) · D 32.9% · R 66.6%
2008→2024 swing
-15.3pp toward R · 2008: -18.5pp · 2024: -33.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+33.8 2020: R+25.5 2016: R+25.6 2012: R+16.0 2008: R+18.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -20.65%
Current HPI
240.527
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+833.7% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-11 Relisted Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2026-05-01 Contingent Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2026-04-16 Listed $70,000 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2020-10-15 Sold (Public Records) $113,500 Public Records
  • 2020-08-03 Sold (Public Records) $87,000 Public Records
  • 2020-07-30 Sold (MLS) $87,000 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2020-05-28 Listed $87,000 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 1997-09-30 Sold (Public Records) $7,497 Public Records

Property tax history

+8.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $435 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…