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422 S Graham St
B+ Composite 77.9
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +7.7/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.8/10.0
  • Livability +2.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$57,900

422 S Graham St · Leeton, MO 64761
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,865 sqft · Other public records · 3 Days on market
Built 1920 0.65 ac lot $31/sqft · 76% below area ↓ 20% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Looking for an opportunity to renovate and create a home that reflects your own style and vision? This 1.5-story home offers 3 bedrooms, 1 bathroom, and is situated on an impressive four city lots, providing plenty of room to expand, garden, build, or simply enjoy the extra space. Located on the edge of town, this property offers a peaceful setting while still being conveniently close to local amenities. The large lot includes separate utility connections, presenting an excellent opportunity for a future garage, workshop, or additional outbuilding. Whether you're an investor, DIY enthusiast, or buyer searching for an affordable property with potential, this home is ready for a new owner to

Key facts

  • Future garage
  • Peaceful setting
  • Workshop

Tags

FOUR CITY LOTSPEACEFUL SETTINGSEPARATE UTILITY CONNECTIONSFUTURE GARAGEWORKSHOPADDITIONAL OUTBUILDING

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: No association fees

Exterior

  • Parking: Carport and off-street parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; 1.5-story home; Faces east; Located inside city limits
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Composition roof; Approximately 101+ years old
  • Exterior features: City lot on a corner; level; Paved public road access

Interior

  • Kitchen: Open kitchen/dining layout
  • Bedrooms: Three bedrooms — two on the main level and one on the upper level
  • Flooring: Laminate and wood flooring
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Electric cooling
  • Interior features: Kit/dining combo; Crawl space basement
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry located in bathroom

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $58k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $582 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $58k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 58/100 on livability (#587 in MO) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, crime F, amenities F.
  • Leeton R-X (rural): math 55% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #67 of 535 in MO (top 12%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Leeton Elem. (math 34% / reading 34%, grade F, #676 of 1,115 statewide, top 66%, 165 students, 46% FRL); Leeton High (math 24% / reading 75%, grade D+, #117 of 521 statewide, top 23%, 106 students, 47% FRL).
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 42% at this address vs 55% district-wide (-13 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Leeton R-X average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
  • Market conditions: 13 active listings in the ZIP; 80 units permitted in Johnson County in 2024 (27 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $3k of equity ($400 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (5.3% local appreciation)).
  • Johnson County population projected at +6% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (5.3% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $16k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 9, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 9 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $57,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.09%
Cap rate
18.36%
Cash-on-cash
43.09%
DSCR
2.92
GRM
4.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$181,047
List price
$57,900
Delta
-64.15%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

5.31% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
51.6%
Equity multiple
4.17×
Total profit
$51,468
Equity at exit
$33,923
10-year hold
IRR
49.1%
Equity multiple
8.59×
Total profit
$123,078
Equity at exit
$59,488

Cash invested: $16,212 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Missouri
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Generally landlord-friendly; St Louis has some habitability requirements.

ZIP-level market 64761

Home prices YoY
2.5%
Active inventory
13
Price-to-rent
4.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,211 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$304
Tax from tax record
$46 /mo · $558/yr
Insurance
$24
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$254
Net cashflow
$582

Break-even live

Break-even rent $474
Max offer price $57,900
Occupancy floor 47%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$14,475
Closing costs
$1,737
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 44 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $57,900 Active 3 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $57,900 Active 2 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    remarks 699-char remark
  4. 2026-06-17
    pricedays on marketlisting id $57,900 Active 1 DOM
  5. 2026-06-08
    days on market $64,900 Active 82 DOM
  6. 2026-06-07
    days on market $64,900 Active 81 DOM
  7. 2026-06-05
    days on market $64,900 Active 78 DOM
  8. 2026-06-03
    days on market $64,900 Active 77 DOM
  9. 2026-06-02
    days on market $64,900 Active 76 DOM
  10. 2026-06-01
    days on market $64,900 Active 75 DOM
  11. 2026-05-31
    days on market $64,900 Active 74 DOM
  12. 2026-05-30
    days on market $64,900 Active 73 DOM
  13. 2026-03-10
    listed $64,900 Active 536-char remark
  14. 2026-01-31
    historical
  15. 2025-12-12
    price $64,900
  16. 2025-12-12
    price $64,900
  17. 2025-11-10
    status Active
  18. 2025-11-08
    historical
  19. 2025-10-21
    price $69,900
  20. 2025-10-21
    price $69,900
  21. 2025-09-09
    price $82,900
  22. 2025-09-09
    price $82,900
  23. 2025-07-31
    price $88,900
  24. 2025-07-31
    price $88,900
  25. 2025-06-14
    listed $69,900 Active
  26. 2025-06-13
    listed $93,900 Active
  27. 2025-06-13
    listed $93,900 Active
  28. 2023-08-17
    soldstatus Closed
  29. 2023-08-17
    soldstatus
  30. 2023-06-29
    status Pending
  31. 2023-06-20
    price $104,500
  32. 2023-05-17
    price $110,000
  33. 2023-04-18
    price $116,000
  34. 2023-03-17
    listed $120,000 Active
  35. 2022-06-17
    historical
  36. 2022-05-01
    price $11,900
  37. 2022-03-17
    listed $14,900 Active
  38. 2019-10-30
    soldstatus Sold
  39. 2019-10-30
    soldstatus
  40. 2019-09-13
    status Pending
  41. 2019-09-06
    listed $72,500 Active
  42. 1988-04-01
    soldstatus
  43. 1980-09-01
    soldstatus
  44. 1980-05-01
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$558 · $46/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$562 · $47/mo
Expected delta
+$4/yr ($0/mo · 0.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,526
− Mortgage interest
−$3,243
− Property taxes
−$558
− Insurance
−$290
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,162
− Management
−$1,162
− Depreciation
−$1,684
Taxable income
$6,428
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,543
After-tax cash flow
$5,443/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Leeton R-X
NCES district ID
2918360
Math proficiency
55% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
55% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$46,506
Composite
48.41/100
National rank
#4662
State rank
#67 of 535 in MO

Livability — Leeton

Score
58/100
State rank
#587
US rank
#20850

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Leeton, MO
Population (ZIP)
1,555

Population outlook (Johnson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
55,794 people
By 2030
56,861 · +1.9%
By 2040
58,239 · +4.4%
By 2050
59,168 · +6.0%
By 2075
62,222 · +11.5%
By 2100
60,118 · +7.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (93%)
Race & ethnicity
White 93% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 1%
Common ancestry
Serbian 7% Romanian 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
0%

Political lean MEDSL · Johnson

2024 margin
Solid R (+39.6) · D 29.5% · R 69.1% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-27.3pp toward R · 2008: -12.2pp · 2024: -39.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+39.6 2020: R+36.8 2016: R+36.9 2012: R+24.2 2008: R+12.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 5.31%
Current HPI
220.482
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.84%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-20.1% since first listed
33 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-16 Listed $57,900 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-10 Listed $64,900 WCAR
  • 2026-01-31 Listing Removed Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-12-12 Price Changed $64,900 WCAR
  • 2025-12-12 Price Changed $64,900 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-11-10 Relisted Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-11-08 Listing Removed Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-10-21 Price Changed $69,900 WCAR
  • 2025-10-21 Price Changed $69,900 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-09-09 Price Changed $82,900 WCAR
  • 2025-09-09 Price Changed $82,900 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-07-31 Price Changed $88,900 WCAR
  • 2025-07-31 Price Changed $88,900 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-06-14 Listed $69,900 WCAR
  • 2025-06-13 Listed $93,900 WCAR
  • 2025-06-13 Listed $93,900 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-08-17 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2023-08-17 Sold (MLS) Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-06-29 Pending Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-06-20 Price Changed $104,500 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-05-17 Price Changed $110,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-04-18 Price Changed $116,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-03-17 Listed $120,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-06-17 Listing Removed Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-05-01 Price Changed $11,900 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-03-17 Listed $14,900 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2019-10-30 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2019-10-30 Sold (MLS) Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2019-09-13 Pending Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2019-09-06 Listed $72,500 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 1988-04-01 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 1980-09-01 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 1980-05-01 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+1.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $558 · +2.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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