1832 Dumais St · Cape Girardeau, MO 63701

$50,000

2 bd · 1.0 ba · 692 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 9 Days on market

Built 1940 Est $91k · 45% under

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Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• ARV discount +15.0/15.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• Rent growth +3.3/5.0
• Livability +3.2/5.0
• Schools +3.1/10.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

Very solid house just need a lot of cosmetic work. This could be a great investment for someone looking to flip or Airbnb. Never had the time to do it myself or I would. This house has lot of potential.

Key facts

• Built 1940
• Listed 8 days

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $50k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $473 ($6k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $50k).
• Cap rate 17.6% vs local median 3.9% in Cape Girardeau — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 64/100 on livability (#297 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, employment D+, crime F.
• Cape Girardeau 63 (urban): math 33% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #188 of 324 in MO (top 58%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 60% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.3%/yr); 330 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 81 units permitted in Cape Girardeau County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $346 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Cape Girardeau County population projected at +17% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.3% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
• Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $50,000

Questions for the listing agent

1. Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
3. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 2.07% ✓
• Cap rate: 17.65%
• Cash-on-cash: 40.56%
• DSCR: 2.80
• GRM: 4.0

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $91,344
• Comps found: 5

Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
510 Johnson St	0.67mi	2/1.0	714 (+3%)	2mo	$124,900	$175	61
233 Oconnell St	0.38mi	2/1.0	750 (+8%)	11mo	$99,000	$132	59
1419 N Spanish St	0.74mi	2/1.0	652 (-6%)	12mo	$59,900	$92	46
430 Johnson St	0.67mi	1/2.0 (-1)	618 (-11%)	7mo	$60,000	$97	36
1601 N Main St	0.55mi	2/1.0	792 (+14%)	19mo	$120,000	$152	35

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.27% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 37.3%
• Equity multiple: 2.60×
• Total profit: $22,331
• Equity at exit: $7,455

10-year hold

• IRR: 44.0%
• Equity multiple: 5.25×
• Total profit: $59,478
• Equity at exit: $4,323

Cash invested: $14,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Missouri: 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

Generally landlord-friendly; St Louis has some habitability requirements.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 63701

• Rents YoY: 3.3%
• Active inventory: 330
• Price-to-rent: 4.0×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,036 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$262
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$62 /mo · $750/yr
• Insurance: −$21
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$218
• Net cashflow: $473

Break-even live

Break-even rent $437

Max offer price $50,000

Occupancy floor 49%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $508	-5% $490	+0% $473	+5% $456	+10% $439
Rent	-10% $391	-5% $432	+0% $473	+5% $514	+10% $555
Rate	-1.0pp $498	-0.5pp $486	base $473	+0.5pp $460	+1.0pp $447

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $12,500
• Closing costs: $1,500
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 1 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
2070 N Sprigg St Cape Girardeau, MO	1.0–4.0	1.0–4.0	979	$1,040	$1.06	44d	1	0.65mi

Listing history 8 events

1. 2026-06-21
   days on market $50,000 Active 9 DOM
2. 2026-06-19
   days on market $50,000 Active 7 DOM
3. 2026-06-18
   days on market $50,000 Active 6 DOM
4. 2026-06-17
   days on market $50,000 Active 5 DOM
5. 2026-06-16
   days on market $50,000 Active 4 DOM
6. 2026-06-15
   days on market $50,000 Active 3 DOM
7. 2026-06-13
   remarks 202-char remark
8. 2026-06-13
   listed $50,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $12,436
• − Mortgage interest: −$2,801
• − Property taxes: −$750
• − Insurance: −$250
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$995
• − Management: −$995
• − Depreciation: −$1,455
• Taxable income: $5,191
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$1,246
• After-tax cash flow: $4,432/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Cape Girardeau 63
• NCES district ID: 2907120
• Math proficiency: 33% ▼ -6.00%
• Reading proficiency: 42% ▼ -7.00%
• Median HH income: $40,543
• Composite: 31.49/100
• National rank: #5974
• State rank: #188 of 324 in MO

Livability — Cape Girardeau

• Score: 64/100
• State rank: #297
• US rank: #13759

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Cape Girardeau, MO
• County: Cape Girardeau County · 75,175 people
• City population: 47,546
• Metro: Cape Girardeau, MO-IL
• Population (ZIP): 39,345
• Household income: $66,654
• Rent vs Own: 39.0% rent · 61.0% own
• Severe rent burden: 1300.0

Population outlook (Cape Girardeau County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 84,807 people
• By 2030: 88,016 · +3.8%
• By 2040: 93,914 · +10.7%
• By 2050: 99,541 · +17.4%
• By 2075: 114,527 · +35.0%
• By 2100: 121,718 · +43.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (79%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 79% Black 12% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 3%
• Common ancestry: Italian 2% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2%
• Foreign-born: 3% · China, Canada
• Languages at home: 95% English-only · Spanish 1% Other Indo-European 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Cape Girardeau

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+46.5) · D 26.2% · R 72.7% · Other 1.1%
• 2008→2024 swing: -12.9pp toward R · 2008: -33.6pp · 2024: -46.5pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+46.5 2020: R+45.0 2016: R+50.1 2012: R+43.8 2008: R+33.6

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -177.04%
• Current HPI: 156.0433
• Rent YoY: ▲ 3.27%
• Metro: Cape Girardeau, MO-IL
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 1.84%
• F500 in state: 20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Healthcare	1	$163B
▸Insurance	1	$21B
▸Industrial Technology	1	$17B
▸Retail	1	$16B
▸Industrial Distribution	1	$10B
▸Utilities	1	$9B

Price history

2 events — show timeline

• 2026-06-12 Listed $50,000 FSBO.com
• 2018-04-24 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records

Property tax history

-11.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $43 · +5.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.