49 Adsit St · Hornell, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 92°F)
- 8 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.1/10.0
- Appreciation +7.0/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Schools +3.4/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +1.1/15.0
$139,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Four bedroom, bath and a half spacious brick home in the ciity! The kitchen, with ash wood cabinetry, is open to the dining room. The cabinetry has "lazy susans" and solid ash pull-out shelves. There is also a very large living room, an extra office/den room, and a half bath on the main floor. ALL vinyl replacement windows!! The second floor has 4 bedrooms, a full bath, and a walk-up attic. Great for easy access storage. FA furnace, 40-gallon hot water tank, and 200 amp circuit breakers. There is a passive solar design system. .. "structures whose design, placement or materials optimize the use of heat or light directly from the sun" (Environmental and Energy Study Ins
Key facts
- Ash wood cabinetry
- Walk-up attic
- Lazy susans
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage with electricity and workshop area; Garage door opener; 1.5 garage spaces
- Utilities: Photovoltaic (solar) panels; Cable available; High-speed internet available; Public water connected; Sewer connected; Circuit breaker electrical system
- Home design: 2-story home; Resale property; Shingle roof
- Construction: Brick and vinyl siding exterior; Attic/crawl hatchway(s) insulated; Spray foam insulation; Block and stone foundation; Existing (previously built) property
- Exterior features: Partial fencing; Covered and open porch; Patio; Gravel driveway; Residential, rectangular lot (approx. 49 x 148); City street frontage
Interior
- Kitchen: Free-standing range; Gas oven and gas range; Oven; Dishwasher; Refrigerator; Freezer; Disposal
- Bedrooms: Includes laundry, office and den among room types
- Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl; Varied flooring
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom; One main-level bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Gas forced-air heating
- Interior features: Leaded glass windows; Breakfast bar; Ceiling fan(s); Den; Separate/formal dining room; Home office; Partial basement
- Laundry & utility: Laundry located in basement; Dryer; Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $140k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $623 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $140k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#451 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities C-, schools D, crime F.
- Hornell City School District (town): math 33% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #519 of 590 in NY (top 88%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 61 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 196 units permitted in Steuben County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 41% of the median local income ($58k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $6k of equity ($967 loan paydown + $6k appreciation (4.0% local appreciation)).
- Steuben County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (4.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 11 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.41% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.63%
- Cash-on-cash
- 19.08%
- DSCR
- 1.85
- GRM
- 5.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $122,461
- List price
- $139,900
- Delta
- 14.24%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 137 Thacher St | 0.23mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,640 (+1%) | 6mo | $130,000 | $79 | 77 |
| 62 Adsit St | 0.05mi | 4/2.0 | 1,476 (-9%) | 11mo | $116,000 | $79 | 72 |
| 16 Washington St | 0.35mi | 4/1.5 | 1,512 (-7%) | 2mo | $111,000 | $73 | 70 |
| 78 State St | 0.29mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,666 (+3%) | 9mo | $140,000 | $84 | 70 |
| 105 N Church St | 0.46mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,684 (+4%) | 4mo | $190,000 | $113 | 62 |
| 67 N Main St | 0.32mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,770 (+9%) | 3mo | $157,000 | $89 | 61 |
| 90 N Main St | 0.32mi | 4/1.5 | 1,488 (-8%) | 15mo | $66,000 | $44 | 58 |
| 6 Sheldon Ct | 0.51mi | 4/2.0 | 1,516 (-6%) | 17mo | $150,000 | $99 | 49 |
| 73 Platt St | 0.61mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,750 (+8%) | 8mo | $102,000 | $58 | 47 |
| 41 Fulton St | 0.40mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,440 (-11%) | 14mo | $75,000 | $52 | 44 |
| 161 Dennis Ave | 0.70mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,740 (+7%) | 15mo | $179,000 | $103 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.95% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 27.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.63×
- Total profit
- $63,673
- Equity at exit
- $70,505
- IRR
- 27.1%
- Equity multiple
- 5.15×
- Total profit
- $162,639
- Equity at exit
- $114,977
Cash invested: $39,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 14843
- Home prices YoY
- 1.9%
- Active inventory
- 61
- Price-to-rent
- 5.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,975 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$734
- Tax from tax record
- −$146 /mo · $1,747/yr
- Insurance
- −$58
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$415
- Net cashflow
- $623
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $702 | -5% $662 | +0% $623 | +5% $583 | +10% $544 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $467 | -5% $545 | +0% $623 | +5% $701 | +10% $779 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $693 | -0.5pp $658 | base $623 | +0.5pp $587 | +1.0pp $550 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $34,975
- Closing costs
- $4,197
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Willow Pl Hornell, NY | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1726 | $2,000 | $1.16 | 45d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 15 Hakes Ave Unit 102 Hornell, NY | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2000 | $2,195 | $1.10 | 45d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 58 Elm St Hornell, NY | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1600 | $2,495 | $1.56 | 45d | 1 | 0.93mi |
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-05-06status Pending 898-char remark
-
2026-04-30price $139,900 898-char remark
-
2026-04-25$149,900 Active 898-char remark
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,747 · $146/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,056 · $171/mo
- Expected delta
- +$309/yr (+$26/mo · 17.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 8 d/yr ≥92°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,701
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,837
- − Property taxes
- −$1,747
- − Insurance
- −$700
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,896
- − Management
- −$1,896
- − Depreciation
- −$4,070
- Taxable income
- $5,556
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,333
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,140/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Hornell City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3614820
- Math proficiency
- 33% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 49% ▲ 6.00%
- Median HH income
- $40,251
- Composite
- 34.33/100
- National rank
- #5234
- State rank
- #519 of 590 in NY
Livability — Hornell
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #451
- US rank
- #7888
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Hornell, NY
- County
- Steuben County · 41,193 people
- City population
- 12,383
- Metro
- Corning, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 12,383
- Household income
- $57,874
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 415.0
Population outlook (Steuben County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 93,062 people
- By 2030
- 89,793 · -3.5%
- By 2040
- 82,353 · -11.5%
- By 2050
- 74,286 · -20.2%
- By 2075
- 55,589 · -40.3%
- By 2100
- 37,587 · -59.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (92%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 92% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 3% Black 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Romanian 2% Iranian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Arabic 1% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Steuben
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+31.8) · D 34.1% · R 65.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -15.0pp toward R · 2008: -16.8pp · 2024: -31.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+31.8 2020: R+29.6 2016: R+36.2 2012: R+16.4 2008: R+16.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- Current HPI
- 210.1986
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Corning, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
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Price history
-6.7% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-06 Pending — UNYREIS
- 2026-04-30 Price Changed $139,900 UNYREIS
- 2026-04-25 Listed $149,900 UNYREIS
Property tax history
+3.8%/yrLatest (2025): $1,747 · -0.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…