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49 Adsit St
B- Composite 69.12
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.1/10.0
  • Appreciation +7.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Schools +3.4/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +1.1/15.0

$139,900

49 Adsit St · Hornell, NY 14843
4 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,622 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 11 Days on market
Built 1900 7,375 sqft lot $86/sqft · 14% above area Est $122k · 14% over ↓ 7% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Four bedroom, bath and a half spacious brick home in the ciity! The kitchen, with ash wood cabinetry, is open to the dining room. The cabinetry has "lazy susans" and solid ash pull-out shelves. There is also a very large living room, an extra office/den room, and a half bath on the main floor. ALL vinyl replacement windows!! The second floor has 4 bedrooms, a full bath, and a walk-up attic. Great for easy access storage. FA furnace, 40-gallon hot water tank, and 200 amp circuit breakers. There is a passive solar design system. .. "structures whose design, placement or materials optimize the use of heat or light directly from the sun" (Environmental and Energy Study Ins

Key facts

  • Ash wood cabinetry
  • Walk-up attic
  • Lazy susans

Tags

ASH WOOD CABINETRYLAZY SUSANSSOLID ASH PULL-OUT SHELVESVINYL REPLACEMENT WINDOWSWALK-UP ATTICPASSIVE SOLAR DESIGN SYSTEM

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached garage with electricity and workshop area; Garage door opener; 1.5 garage spaces
  • Utilities: Photovoltaic (solar) panels; Cable available; High-speed internet available; Public water connected; Sewer connected; Circuit breaker electrical system
  • Home design: 2-story home; Resale property; Shingle roof
  • Construction: Brick and vinyl siding exterior; Attic/crawl hatchway(s) insulated; Spray foam insulation; Block and stone foundation; Existing (previously built) property
  • Exterior features: Partial fencing; Covered and open porch; Patio; Gravel driveway; Residential, rectangular lot (approx. 49 x 148); City street frontage

Interior

  • Kitchen: Free-standing range; Gas oven and gas range; Oven; Dishwasher; Refrigerator; Freezer; Disposal
  • Bedrooms: Includes laundry, office and den among room types
  • Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl; Varied flooring
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom; One main-level bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Gas forced-air heating
  • Interior features: Leaded glass windows; Breakfast bar; Ceiling fan(s); Den; Separate/formal dining room; Home office; Partial basement
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry located in basement; Dryer; Gas water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $140k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $623 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $140k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 70/100 on livability (#451 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities C-, schools D, crime F.
  • Hornell City School District (town): math 33% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #519 of 590 in NY (top 88%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 61 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 196 units permitted in Steuben County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 41% of the median local income ($58k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $6k of equity ($967 loan paydown + $6k appreciation (4.0% local appreciation)).
  • Steuben County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (4.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 11 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $139,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.41%
Cap rate
11.63%
Cash-on-cash
19.08%
DSCR
1.85
GRM
5.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$122,461
List price
$139,900
Delta
14.24%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
137 Thacher St 0.23mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,640 (+1%) 6mo $130,000 $79 77
62 Adsit St 0.05mi 4/2.0 1,476 (-9%) 11mo $116,000 $79 72
16 Washington St 0.35mi 4/1.5 1,512 (-7%) 2mo $111,000 $73 70
78 State St 0.29mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,666 (+3%) 9mo $140,000 $84 70
105 N Church St 0.46mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,684 (+4%) 4mo $190,000 $113 62
67 N Main St 0.32mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,770 (+9%) 3mo $157,000 $89 61
90 N Main St 0.32mi 4/1.5 1,488 (-8%) 15mo $66,000 $44 58
6 Sheldon Ct 0.51mi 4/2.0 1,516 (-6%) 17mo $150,000 $99 49
73 Platt St 0.61mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,750 (+8%) 8mo $102,000 $58 47
41 Fulton St 0.40mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,440 (-11%) 14mo $75,000 $52 44
161 Dennis Ave 0.70mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,740 (+7%) 15mo $179,000 $103 36

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

3.95% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
27.4%
Equity multiple
2.63×
Total profit
$63,673
Equity at exit
$70,505
10-year hold
IRR
27.1%
Equity multiple
5.15×
Total profit
$162,639
Equity at exit
$114,977

Cash invested: $39,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 14843

Home prices YoY
1.9%
Active inventory
61
Price-to-rent
5.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,975 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$734
Tax from tax record
$146 /mo · $1,747/yr
Insurance
$58
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$415
Net cashflow
$623

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,187
Max offer price $139,900
Occupancy floor 63%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $702 -5% $662 +0% $623 +5% $583 +10% $544
Rent -10% $467 -5% $545 +0% $623 +5% $701 +10% $779
Rate -1.0pp $693 -0.5pp $658 base $623 +0.5pp $587 +1.0pp $550

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$34,975
Closing costs
$4,197
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
14 Willow Pl Hornell, NY 4.0 2.0 1726 $2,000 $1.16 45d 1 0.43mi
15 Hakes Ave Unit 102 Hornell, NY 4.0 2.0 2000 $2,195 $1.10 45d 1 0.71mi
58 Elm St Hornell, NY 4.0 2.0 1600 $2,495 $1.56 45d 1 0.93mi

Listing history 3 events

  1. 2026-05-06
    status Pending 898-char remark
  2. 2026-04-30
    price $139,900 898-char remark
  3. 2026-04-25
    listed $149,900 Active 898-char remark

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,747 · $146/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,056 · $171/mo
Expected delta
+$309/yr (+$26/mo · 17.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 8 d/yr ≥92°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$23,701
− Mortgage interest
−$7,837
− Property taxes
−$1,747
− Insurance
−$700
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,896
− Management
−$1,896
− Depreciation
−$4,070
Taxable income
$5,556
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,333
After-tax cash flow
$6,140/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Hornell City School District
NCES district ID
3614820
Math proficiency
33% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
49% ▲ 6.00%
Median HH income
$40,251
Composite
34.33/100
National rank
#5234
State rank
#519 of 590 in NY

Livability — Hornell

Score
70/100
State rank
#451
US rank
#7888

Category grades

Amenities C- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Hornell, NY
County
Steuben County · 41,193 people
City population
12,383
Metro
Corning, NY
Population (ZIP)
12,383
Household income
$57,874
Rent vs Own
39.4% rent · 60.6% own
Severe rent burden
415.0

Population outlook (Steuben County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
93,062 people
By 2030
89,793 · -3.5%
By 2040
82,353 · -11.5%
By 2050
74,286 · -20.2%
By 2075
55,589 · -40.3%
By 2100
37,587 · -59.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (92%)
Race & ethnicity
White 92% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 3% Black 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 3% Romanian 2% Iranian 2%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Arabic 1% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Steuben

2024 margin
Solid R (+31.8) · D 34.1% · R 65.9%
2008→2024 swing
-15.0pp toward R · 2008: -16.8pp · 2024: -31.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+31.8 2020: R+29.6 2016: R+36.2 2012: R+16.4 2008: R+16.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 3.95%
Current HPI
210.1986
Rent YoY
Metro
Corning, NY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-6.7% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-06 Pending UNYREIS
  • 2026-04-30 Price Changed $139,900 UNYREIS
  • 2026-04-25 Listed $149,900 UNYREIS

Property tax history

+3.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,747 · -0.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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