🔨 Auction
811 E 2nd St · Beckemeyer, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 2.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +6.7/10.0
- Cash flow +5.5/30.0
- Schools +4.0/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +1.1/10.0
- DSCR +0.0/10.0
$50,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Price listed is Starting Bid Only. The home will be auctioned off on-site at @12 pm on 07/18/2026. A 1,238 sq. ft. 1 Story Home with 3 bedrooms, 1 bath, kitchen, LR & laundry area. The home has a newer furnace, central air conditioner & water heater. All appliances stay. Also included with the property is a 22' x 24' 2-car det'd garage. The property is located across the street from the beautiful Beckemeyer City Park. There is also a full line of personal property selling starting at 11 am. Property will sell under auction terms and be sold AS- IS, WHERE-IS. Seller will not make any repairs as a result of any building, occupancy, or environmental inspections. Buyer will be requi
Key facts
- Newer furnace
- Water heater
- Appliances stay
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: 2-car garage
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Single phase electric; Natural gas connected
- Home design: Single-family residence; One level
- Construction: Frame construction
- Exterior features: Back yard
Interior
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (all on the main level)
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $50k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-394 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $50k).
- Recommended offer: $49k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#690 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment D-.
- Central Chsd 71 (rural): math 40% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #247 of 919 in IL (top 27%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 3 active listings in the ZIP; 64 units permitted in Clinton County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $7k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $6k appreciation (3.3% local appreciation)).
- Clinton County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 17 days — a 2% lower offer ($49k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 5.6% of price; built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.61% ✗
- Cap rate
- 3.75%
- Cash-on-cash
- -9.09%
- DSCR
- 0.60
- GRM
- 13.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $185,690
- Comps found
- 2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 290 E 1st St | 0.36mi | 3/1.0 | 1,268 (+6%) | 7mo | $140,000 | $110 | 68 |
| 651 Dora St | 0.53mi | 3/1.0 | 1,092 (-9%) | 0mo | $169,000 | $155 | 61 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.31% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 0.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.01×
- Total profit
- $370
- Equity at exit
- $86,755
- IRR
- 4.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.63×
- Total profit
- $32,768
- Equity at exit
- $136,293
Cash invested: $51,993 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 62219
- Home prices YoY
- 2.7%
- Active inventory
- 3
- Price-to-rent
- 3.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,126 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$974
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$232 /mo · $2,785/yr
- Insurance
- −$77
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$236
- Net cashflow
- $-394
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-265 | -5% $-330 | +0% $-394 | +5% $-458 | +10% $-522 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-483 | -5% $-438 | +0% $-394 | +5% $-349 | +10% $-305 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-300 | -0.5pp $-347 | base $-394 | +0.5pp $-442 | +1.0pp $-491 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $46,422
- Closing costs
- $5,571
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 13 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $50,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $50,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $50,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $50,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $50,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $50,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $50,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $50,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $50,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $50,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $50,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-04remarks 691-char remark
-
2026-06-04$50,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,511
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,402
- − Property taxes
- −$2,785
- − Insurance
- −$928
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,081
- − Management
- −$1,081
- − Depreciation
- −$5,402
- Taxable loss
- −$8,168
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,960
- After-tax cash flow
- $-2,765/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Central Chsd 71
- NCES district ID
- 1704770
- Math proficiency
- 40% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 45% ▲ 5.00%
- Median HH income
- $62,462
- Composite
- 40.07/100
- National rank
- #7869
- State rank
- #247 of 919 in IL
Livability — Beckemeyer
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #690
- US rank
- #14096
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Beckemeyer, IL
- City population
- 1,028
- Population (ZIP)
- 1,028
Population outlook (Clinton County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 37,663 people
- By 2030
- 37,194 · -1.2%
- By 2040
- 35,566 · -5.6%
- By 2050
- 32,950 · -12.5%
- By 2075
- 26,403 · -29.9%
- By 2100
- 19,267 · -48.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (78%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 78% Hispanic / Latino 20% Two or more races 16%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 18%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Lithuanian 2% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 11% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · Spanish 12%
Political lean MEDSL · Clinton
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+51.8) · D 23.1% · R 75.0% · Other 1.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -42.0pp toward R · 2008: -9.8pp · 2024: -51.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+51.8 2020: R+51.1 2016: R+49.0 2012: R+30.0 2008: R+9.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 3.31%
- Current HPI
- 125.9017
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
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| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
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| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-06-03 Listed $50,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…